NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 15, 12:26 PM EST, 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 15, 12:26 PM EST, 34 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
126 PM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds into New England today, remaining in place
through mid-week. A coastal low approaches the region today,
lingering through mid-week. This low will bring widespread rain,
cooler temperatures, and breezy conditions across the area from
later today through Wednesday. A brief warmup is expected by late
week before a return to slightly below normal temperatures by early
next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 330 AM EDT Monday...
Key Messages:
- Wind Advisories have been issued along the coast from Norfolk/Portsmouth
south to eastern Currituck from this afternoon into early
Tuesday morning.
- Rain pushes inland beginning from late this morning through tonight.
Locally heavy rainfall is possible across SE VA/NE NC
tonight.
Latest analysis depicted a ~1008mb low pressure off the Carolina
coast and a 1027mb high centered over SE Canada, ridging south into
the local area. Aloft, there was a closed upper level low over the
Southeast coast with a tall/skinny ridge extending from the MS
Valley into the Great Lakes and Canada. Temps as of 150 AM ranged
from the upper 50s to lower 60s inland with lower 70s along the
coast. Skies were mostly clear except for some high clouds building
into SE VA/NE NC. Clouds are expected to gradually spread north this
morning. However, given the clearing, some patchy fog is possible
early this morning across inland areas. Morning lows in the upper
50s to around 60F inland (locally mid 50s) and upper 60s to around
70F along the coast are expected. Highs today in the 70s are
expected with upper 70s north and mid (locally lower) 70s south.
The coastal low offshore slowly moves NW today, pushing rain bands
onshore beginning late this morning and spreading inland through the
day. PoPs increase to 50-80% across far SE VA/NE NC this afternoon,
increasing to 60-90% across most of the area (30-50% across far
northern areas) tonight. Moderate to heavy rain is expected tonight
as the fgen on the north side of the low intensifies. As such,
expect rainfall totals through tonight of generally 1-2" across NE
NC, 0.5-1" across SE VA, and <0.5" NW of Richmond with locally
heavier totals possible across southern portions of the FA. Given
the potential for heavy rain and training of showers, WPC has placed
a Marginal risk for excessive rainfall across far SE VA/NE NC for
today/tonight. Additionally, given the enhanced fgen north of the
low allowing for a belt of enhanced low-level winds and near 70F dew
points along the coast, SPC has placed a Marginal risk for severe
storms across far SE VA/NE NC for tonight with the main threat being
a quick, spin-up tornado. Will note that while the tornado
threat is low given weak instability and the potential for a
stable surface layer, elevated storms are possible tonight
across mainly SE VA/NE NC.
Additionally, the pressure gradient between the high pressure
to the north and the coastal low tightens over the area today
into tonight. This will allow NE winds to increase to 10-15 mph
with gusts up to 20-25 mph inland and 20-30 mph with gusts up to
45 mph along the coast this afternoon into tonight. As such,
Wind Advisories have been issued for eastern Currituck County
from 2 PM this afternoon through 6 AM Tue, and for Norfolk,
Portsmouth, and Virginia Beach from 6 PM this evening through 10
AM Tue.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 330 AM EDT Monday...
Key Messages:
- Locally heavy rain is possible Tuesday across eastern portions
of the area with storm total rainfall totals of 2-3"+
possible.
- Breezy NE winds with gusts up to 25-30 mph inland and up to
30-45 mph along the coast continue Tuesday.
Models and ensembles have come into better agreement on the coastal
low moving into E NC by early Tue morning and becoming nearly
stationary through the day before slowly moving NE Wed. While
confidence is now high on the general track of the low, the exact
location of the center will matter with respect to the heavy rain
and flooding potential given that it is expected to stall on Tue
underneath an upper level closed low aloft. Widespread light to
moderate rain is expected across the area Tue into Tue night.
However, 00z CAMs and HREF showing the potential for a swath of
heavy rain just to the NW of the center of the low. Training showers
with heavy rainfall rates lasting for several hours in duration are
the main concern, particularly given the stationary aspect of the
surface low. The 00z HREF 48 hour PMM (probability-matched mean)
shows the potential for 2-4" across SE VA/NE NC but a corridor of 5-
10" of rain across E NC. This is concerning given PWs of 1.8-2.0"
and the overall synoptic support including the enhanced pressure
gradient to the NW of the low given high pressure to the N as well
as being located underneath a closed low aloft. Several 00z CAMs
also showed the potential for a swath of up to 5-7"+ of rain. While
the general consensus is for the heaviest rain to fall just to
the south of the local area, a slight shift north in the
position of the low would place that potential over NE NC and
potentially SE VA. As such, we will continue to closely monitor
the model trends today and may need to issue a Flood Watch even
though antecedent conditions have been very dry. WPC has placed
the SE half of the FA under a Marginal risk for excessive
rainfall on Tue for now to account for the localized flooding
potential.
The coastal low weakens on Wed with additional rainfall totals of up
to ~0.5" possible. Storm total rainfall amounts of 2-3" (locally
higher) across SE VA/NE NC and 0.5-1.5" across the NW half of the
area are expected with most locations seeing >1" of rain. The
widespread rain and clouds will also keep temps cool Tue and
Wed with highs in the mid 60s possible across the Piedmont,
upper 60s to lower 70s farther east, and mid to potentially
upper 70s across far SE VA/NE NC on Tue. Richmond may see highs
near the daily record low maximum value on Tue (see climate
section below for more information). Temps will remain cool on
Wed with highs struggling to get out of the 60s inland
(generally upper 60s are forecast) and low- mid 70s across
eastern portions of the FA with upper 70s possible across far SE
VA/NE NC. Additionally, breezy NE winds with gusts up to 25-30
mph inland and up to 30-45 mph along the coast continue Tuesday
with Wind Advisories continuing across Norfolk, Portsmouth, and
Virginia Beach through 10 AM Tue. Winds become N/NE and diminish
to 5-10 mph Wed as the low weakens and the high pressure across
New England moves offshore, weakening the pressure gradient.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 340 AM EDT Monday...
Key Messages:
- Low pressure moves away from the area Thursday with improving conditions.
- A warmup is expected by late week with cooler weather
returning next weekend.
The upper level low washes out across the region Thu with the
coastal low weakening as it lifts NE. However, clouds and drizzle or
light rain linger into Thu with some clearing skies possible in the
late afternoon. As such, highs are expected to be a bit warmer on
Thu with temps in the upper 70s for most (locally mid 70s are
possible). The upper level ridge moves into the East Coast Fri into
Sat with a warmup expected on Fri with highs in the mid 80s
possible. A strong area of high pressure builds SE into New England
next weekend into early next week with CAD potentially developing.
As such, cooler weather returns with highs generally in the 70s Sat
through Mon.
&&
.AVIATION /17Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 125 PM EDT Monday...
Latest analysis depicted a weak area of low pressure off the
Carolina coast and a strong area of high centered over SE
Canada, ridging south into the local area. Skies remain partly
cloudy to the west and mostly cloudy to cloudy across the east.
Winds have begun to pick up out of the NNE between 15 to 20 kt
with some gusts upwards of 25 kt. Across the SE some gusts
upwards of 30 to 35 kt cannot be ruled out later this afternoon
and evening as the coastal low continues to strengthen. VFR
conditions have been noted across all terminals. However, flight
conditions are expected to deteriorate through the afternoon
and evening as CIGS and VIS drop to MVFR and IFR. Latest radar
scans are showing rain showers hugging the VA/NC coastal e and
struggling to make it on shore. This could possibly be due to
the dry air in place from the high to the north. However, these
showers moderate to heavy at times will eventually make its way
across the SE dropping CIGS and VIS. Due to the uncertainty in
timing tempos have been added for the SE terminals due to he
uncertainty in timing. Across RIC and SBY flight restrictions
are expected roughly after the 6z taf period. Winds this
afternoon and evening will remain elevated between 10 to 15 kt
with gusts at or just above 20kt.
The coastal low pushes into eastern NC tonight and lingers into
midweek, leading widespread IFR conditions Tue through at least
Wed and VIS across all area terminals. Conditions gradually
improve Thursday, with dry and VFR conditions returning by
Friday.
&&
.MARINE...
As of 330 AM EDT Monday...
Key Messages:
- Marine conditions deteriorate later today and especially
tonight as low pressure off the Carolina coast deepens as it
tracks toward the marine area. Gale Warnings are in effect for
all ocean zones, the bay south of Windmill Point, and the
Lower James River. NE winds will range from 25-30 kt with
frequent gusts to 35-40 kt from later today through Tuesday.
- A High Rip Risk remains in place for the southern beaches
through Wednesday, with a moderate rip risk across the
northern beaches today. The rip risk increases to high across
the northern beaches on Tuesday.
- Winds slowly decrease from late Tuesday through Wednesday as
the low fills in.
Latest analysis shows deepening low pressure off the Carolina coast,
with ~1028mb high pressure over SE Canada and the NE CONUS. NE winds
have increased to ~15 kt N/20 kt S as the gradient between these two
features is gradually starting to tighten.
Marine conditions still look to deteriorate quickly from south to
north today, and especially tonight, as the weak low off the
Carolina coast deepens and lifts N toward the mid-Atlantic coast.
The low is progged to move inland over eastern NC on Tuesday and
gradually weaken/fill in as it becomes vertically stacked from late
Tue-Wed as it tracks near/over the southern waters. The 15/00z suite
of guidance continue to show high potential for gale force gusts
across the ocean/lower bay. Timing looks a bit later than was
depicted by the 12z/14 guidance, and have pushed back the start time
of the Gale Warnings for the SE VA coastal waters by 3-6 hours.
Winds increase to 25-30 kt across the ocean, middle/lower bay, Lower
James, and Currituck Sound by this evening/tonight. Winds may even
be just above 30 kt for a few hours south of Cape Charles tonight-
Tue AM, where probs for sustained gales are ~20% between 4-10 AM
Tuesday. As such, have expanded the Gale Warnings to include the bay
S of Windmill Pt and all ocean zones. Will keep SCAs for the
northernmost bay zone and upper rivers where local wind probs for
34+ kt wind gusts are no higher than 20-35%. Wind gusts decrease
below gale force across the NC coastal waters during the day on Tue
but likely remain 25-30 kt with 30-40 kt gusts farther north before
dropping to high-end SCA levels by Tue evening-early Tue night. Will
run Gale headlines for the bay, VA/MD coastal waters, and Lower
James River through late Tuesday to account for this.
Winds gradually decrease from south to north from Tuesday evening
into Wednesday, as the vertically-stacked low tracks over the marine
area (resulting in a slackening pressure gradient). Sub-SCA winds
are then expected late this week. With the increasing NE winds, seas
will build to 8-11 ft by tonight/Tue with 3-6 ft waves on the bay
(potentially to ~7 ft at the mouth of the bay). High Surf Advisories
have been issued for the VA coast and the NE NC Outer Banks from
late this evening-Tuesday. The high rip risk will continue for the
southern beaches through at least Wednesday. The rip risk is
moderate across the northern beaches today, increasing to high on
Tue/Wed.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 330 AM EDT Monday...
With the increasing NE winds and building seas Mon night-Tue, tidal
anomalies across the lower bay and SE VA/NE NC coast are expected
increase by 1-1.5 ft. Anomalies across the upper bay won't increase
as much (especially on the E side of the bay given the NE wind).
This will likely result in another round of minor tidal flooding
across the tidal Potomac/Rappahannock/York/James, Middle/Lower Bay,
and SE VA/NE NC coast. ETSS shows solid to high-end minor flooding
across most of these locations, with peak water levels occurring
during the Tuesday evening high tide cycle. There is increasing
potential for moderate flooding Tuesday evening along the tidal
James, southern shore of the Chesapeake Bay, and SE VA coast. With
the increase in winds, ETSS is now a few tenths above moderate in
these locations during the Tue evening high tide. Also, the 50th
percentile is now just above the 4.5 ft MLLW threshold at Jamestown
with the 90th percentile right around the major flood threshold of
5.0 ft MLLW. These percentiles from the P-ETSS seem reasonable given
the forecast winds/synoptic pattern. As such, confidence in moderate
flooding has increased enough to issue a Coastal Flood Watch from
Jamestown to Norfolk/VA Beach for that Tuesday evening high tide
cycle. Areas just to the north of the watch are expected to see
solid to high end minor tidal flooding Tuesday evening.
Given that minor tidal flooding (mainly low-end minor) begins with
the high tide this aftn/evening from Lewisetta to Norfolk/VA Beach,
have issued Coastal Flood Advisories for these locations starting
today (and continuing through Tue). Have also issued an advisory for
Eastern Currituck just for today (as water levels are forecast to
crest below minor there tonight with the lower astronomical tide).
Additional advisories may be needed just for Tuesday for the
Atlantic coast of the eastern shore, but did not issue them with the
overnight forecast package given that water levels are expected to
crest below minor flood stage today/tonight.
&&
.CLIMATE...
Record Low Maximum Temperatures:
9/16 9/17
RIC 65/1959 61/2011
ORF 64/1963 65/1986
SBY 59/1963 63/1924
ECG 66/1963 65/2011
&&
.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...High Surf Advisory from midnight tonight to midnight EDT
Tuesday night for MDZ025.
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for
NCZ102.
High Surf Advisory until 4 PM EDT Tuesday for NCZ102.
Wind Advisory until 6 AM EDT Tuesday for NCZ102.
VA...High Surf Advisory until 4 PM EDT Tuesday for VAZ098.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 AM EDT Wednesday for VAZ075>078-
085-521-522.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 11 PM EDT Tuesday for VAZ083-084-
086-518-520-523.
Wind Advisory from midnight tonight to 4 PM EDT Wednesday for
VAZ084-086-099-100-523-525.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT Tuesday for VAZ089-090-
093-096-524-525.
Coastal Flood Watch from Tuesday afternoon through late
Tuesday night for VAZ089-090-093-096-524-525.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 1 PM EDT Tuesday for VAZ095-097-
098.
Wind Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 10 AM EDT Tuesday for
VAZ095-098.
Coastal Flood Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday
evening for VAZ095-097-098.
High Surf Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EDT Tuesday
for VAZ099-100.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for ANZ630-631-
635>637-650-652.
Gale Warning from midnight tonight to 7 PM EDT Tuesday for
ANZ630-631-635>637-650-652.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ632-
634-638.
Gale Warning from 6 PM this evening to 4 PM EDT Tuesday for
ANZ632-634-638.
Gale Warning until 10 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ633-658.
Gale Warning until 4 PM EDT Tuesday for ANZ654-656.
&&
SYNOPSIS...RMM
NEAR TERM...RMM
SHORT TERM...RMM
LONG TERM...RMM
AVIATION...HET/RMM
MARINE...ERI
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
CLIMATE...Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 15, 3:27 AM EST, 9 hours 33 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
427 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
VAZ048-060>062-064-069-509>511-160830-
Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline-Powhatan-
Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-
427 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia and north
central Virginia.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
A coastal low begins to impact the region tonight, bringing
widespread rain to the area.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
A coastal low impacts the region through Wednesday, bringing
widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to the area.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
VAZ099-160830-
Accomack-
427 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EDT
TUESDAY...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Beach Hazards Statement.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
High Surf Advisory.
A coastal low impacts the region beginning today, bringing
widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to the area.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
High Surf Advisory.
A coastal low impacts the region through Wednesday, bringing
widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to the area.
Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible on Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
MDZ021>024-VAZ065>068-079-080-512>517-519-160830-
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-
Nottoway-Amelia-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Eastern Hanover-
Western Chesterfield-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Western King and Queen-
427 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, central
Virginia, east central Virginia and south central Virginia.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
A coastal low impacts the region beginning today, bringing
widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to the area.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
A coastal low impacts the region through Wednesday,
bringing widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to
the area. Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible on
Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
VAZ075>078-085-521-522-160830-
Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-Middlesex-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-
427 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 AM
EDT WEDNESDAY...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Virginia and
eastern Virginia.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Coastal Flood Advisory.
A coastal low impacts the region beginning today, bringing
widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to the area.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Coastal Flood Advisory.
A coastal low impacts the region through Wednesday,
bringing widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to
the area. Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible on
Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
VAZ083-518-520-160830-
New Kent-Eastern King William-Eastern King and Queen-
427 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM EDT TUESDAY...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Virginia.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Coastal Flood Advisory.
A coastal low impacts the region beginning today, bringing
widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to the area.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Coastal Flood Advisory.
A coastal low impacts the region through Wednesday,
bringing widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to
the area. Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible on
Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
MDZ025-160830-
Maryland Beaches-
427 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK.
A coastal low impacts the region beginning today, bringing
widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to the area.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
A coastal low impacts the region through Wednesday,
bringing widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to
the area. Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible on
Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
NCZ012-VAZ081-082-087-088-092-160830-
Northampton-Prince George (including Hopewell and Petersburg)-
Charles City-Greensville-Sussex-Southampton-
427 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina,
east central Virginia, south central Virginia and southeast
Virginia.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
A coastal low impacts the region beginning today, bringing
widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to the area.
Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
A coastal low impacts the region through Wednesday,
bringing widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to
the area. Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible on
Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
VAZ089-090-093-524-525-160830-
Surry-James City-Isle of Wight-Newport News-Hampton/Poquoson-
427 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 PM
EDT TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Coastal Flood Advisory.
A coastal low impacts the region beginning today, bringing
widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to the area.
Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Coastal Flood Advisory.
Coastal Flood Watch.
A coastal low impacts the region through Wednesday,
bringing widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to
the area. Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible on
Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
VAZ084-086-523-160830-
Gloucester-Mathews-York-
427 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM EDT TUESDAY...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Virginia and
southeast Virginia.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Coastal Flood Advisory.
A coastal low impacts the region beginning today, bringing
widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to the area.
Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Coastal Flood Advisory.
A coastal low impacts the region through Wednesday,
bringing widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to
the area. Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible on
Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
VAZ100-160830-
Northampton-
427 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EDT
TUESDAY...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Virginia.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Beach Hazards Statement.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
High Surf Advisory.
A coastal low impacts the region beginning today, bringing
widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to the area.
Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
High Surf Advisory.
A coastal low impacts the region through Wednesday,
bringing widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to
the area. Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible on
Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
NCZ013>017-030>032-160830-
Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Bertie-Chowan-
Perquimans-
427 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
A coastal low impacts the region beginning today, bringing
widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to the area.
Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible tonight.
Additionally, a quick spin-up tornado cannot be ruled out tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
A coastal low impacts the region through Wednesday,
bringing widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to
the area. Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible on
Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
VAZ098-160830-
Virginia Beach-
427 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 PM EDT
TUESDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM EDT
TUESDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT
TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
Coastal Flood Advisory.
High Surf Advisory.
Wind Advisory.
A coastal low impacts the region beginning today, bringing
widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to the area.
Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible tonight.
Additionally, a quick spin-up tornado cannot be ruled out tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Coastal Flood Advisory.
High Surf Advisory.
Wind Advisory.
Coastal Flood Watch.
A coastal low impacts the region through Wednesday,
bringing widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to
the area. Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible on
Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
VAZ096-160830-
Suffolk-
427 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 PM
EDT TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Coastal Flood Advisory.
A coastal low impacts the region beginning today, bringing
widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to the area.
Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible tonight.
Additionally, a quick spin-up tornado cannot be ruled out tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Coastal Flood Advisory.
Coastal Flood Watch.
A coastal low impacts the region through Wednesday,
bringing widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to
the area. Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible on
Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
VAZ097-160830-
Chesapeake-
427 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 PM EDT
TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Coastal Flood Advisory.
A coastal low impacts the region beginning today, bringing
widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to the area.
Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible tonight.
Additionally, a quick spin-up tornado cannot be ruled out tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Coastal Flood Advisory.
Coastal Flood Watch.
A coastal low impacts the region through Wednesday,
bringing widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to
the area. Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible on
Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
VAZ095-160830-
Norfolk/Portsmouth-
427 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 PM EDT
TUESDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT
TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Coastal Flood Advisory.
Wind Advisory.
A coastal low impacts the region beginning today, bringing
widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to the area.
Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible tonight.
Additionally, a quick spin-up tornado cannot be ruled out tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Coastal Flood Advisory.
Wind Advisory.
Coastal Flood Watch.
A coastal low impacts the region through Wednesday,
bringing widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to
the area. Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible on
Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
NCZ102-160830-
Eastern Currituck-
427 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM
EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM EDT
TUESDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT
TUESDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
THIS EVENING...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Beach Hazards Statement.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
Coastal Flood Advisory.
High Surf Advisory.
Wind Advisory.
A coastal low impacts the region beginning today, bringing
widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to the area.
Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible tonight.
Additionally, a quick spin-up tornado cannot be ruled out tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
High Surf Advisory.
A coastal low impacts the region through Wednesday,
bringing widespread rain, gusty winds, and cooler temperatures to
the area. Locally heavy rain and flash flooding is possible on
Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.