A severe weather outbreak occurred during the mid to late afternoon hours of Thursday, June 19th, 2025, as a strong cold front supported by a seasonably strong upper-level jet intersected a hot, humid, and unstable airmass. Severe weather was exclusively in the form of damaging wind gusts, many of which were considerable (near hurricane-force) in nature in the Washington DC metro area.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LWX wrote it up.
A severe weather outbreak occurred during the mid to late afternoon hours of Thursday, June 19th, 2025, as a strong cold front supported by a seasonably strong upper-level jet intersected a hot, humid, and unstable airmass. Severe weather was exclusively in the form of damaging wind gusts, many of which were considerable (near hurricane-force) in nature in the Washington DC metro area.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 19, 8:41 AM EST, 4 hours 19 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
941 AM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Heat and humidity continue today ahead of a potent cold front that
looks to cross the region. The front will bring a widespread risk of
severe weather to the area later this afternoon and evening with
damaging winds, large hail, and heavy rainfall as the primary
concerns. Drier and less humid Friday into Saturday as high pressure
builds into the region. A prolonged period of excessive heat is
expected Sunday into the middle part of next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of mid morning, satellite and observations revealed a clear
sky east of the Appalachians. Steady heating is taking place,
eroding CINH. Given abundant low-level moisture in place,
moderate to strong instability will build quickly by midday
despite modest mid-level lapse rates (though the 12Z KIAD RAOB
did reveal an area of steeper lapse rates in the 850-700 hPa
layer). Wind observations indicate gusts of 30 to 40 mph over
the higher terrain, indicative of an enhanced wind field.
Shaping up to be an active afternoon and evening ahead as a potent
cold front and upper-level trough swing across the region. The
Storm Prediction Center has maintained areas east of US-15 in
an Enhanced Risk (Level 3 out of 5) for severe weather today.
Locations further west remain in a Slight Risk (Level 2 out 5).
Regardless of the severe risk zones, all hazards will be on the
table with t-storms today.
SEVERE THREAT: Storms look to initiate over the mountains
between 16-19z/12-3pm ahead of the incoming front. Areas
further east will likely see storms develop between 2-4pm/18-20z
with a prefrontal shortwave trough pushing through. Convection
overall will be scattered mainly along and west of I-81 with
conglomeration of supercells and organized line
segments/clusters working east toward the Baltimore/DC metro
areas between 19-23z/3-7pm. Storms will fuel off of high
temperatures in the upper 80s and low to mid 90s with dewpoint
factors in the upper 60s and low 70s. Heat indices will climb
toward 100 degrees in the metros/east of the Blue Ridge as a
result of the increased humidity.
SBCAPE values look to surge into the 1500-3000 J/kg during the
peak heating period with steepening low-level lapse rates (7+
C/KM). 0-6 km bulk effective shear values will run between 40-50
kts with 0-1 km SRH values around 100 m2/s2. This will amplify
the damaging wind threat as well as the potential for an
isolated tornado or two across the region, though low-level flow
may be somewhat veered to W/SW. Updraft helicity tracks from the
HREF illustrate the potential tornado/rotating updraft threat
especially east of I-95 and down across southern MD/the northern
neck of VA where slight better environmental spin resides (with
a potential bay breeze/outflow interaction).
FLASH FLOOD THREAT: Outside of the severe threat, instances of flash
flooding will remain an issue mainly in the metros/over the terrain.
This is largely due in part to some hypersensitivity given the
recent rainfall yesterday and really over the last week. FFG
guidance for much of the area in the 1-, 3-, and 6-hr time
windows remains less than 1" with PWATS ahead of the front
approaching 2". Rain rates of 1-2"+/hr are possible with storms
as they pass through. The good news is that storms will be
progressive given the amplified shear across the region.
Shower and thunderstorm activity will quickly race eastward
this evening between 00-03z/8-11pm. Winds will remain elevated
out of the west and northwest with gusts running between 15 to
25 mph. Winds will decrease late tonight along with humidity
under west to northwest flow. Some fog may be possible in the
river valleys although wind may be a limiting factor. Lows
tonight will fall back into the upper 50s and low 60s north and
west of the urban centers. Low to mid 60s are expected for the
Baltimore/DC city centers and locations near the bay.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
The humidity finally lowers along with a brief reprieve in the
excessive heat as we round out the workweek. Strong upper-level
ridging and surface high pressure will build over the eastern
CONUS through the start of the weekend. The surface high and
upper-level ridge will continue to strengthen each day bringing
warming temperatures and eventually more humidity. For Friday,
expect highs back in the mid 80s with dewpoints in the 50s and
low 60s. Overnight lows Friday night will fall into the upper
50s and low 60s west of the Blue Ridge with mid to upper 60s in
the metro areas. A spotty shower or t-storm cannot be ruled out
in northwest flow late Friday afternoon and evening as a weak
piece of trailing shortwave energy slides north and east of the
area. Highest confidence for this to occur would be along the
PA/MD line and west of the Catoctins. For now, hedged PoPs
to less than 15 percent given ample dry air advection settling
in with building surface high.
Low humidity continues Saturday although temperatures push back into
the upper 80s and low 90s under light southerly flow. Lows Saturday
night will drop back into the mid to upper 60s and low 70s. Humidity
will gradually increase during this time as broad 1024-1028 mb high
pressure strengthen off the Carolina coast.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The longwave pattern across the CONUS will remain relatively
stagnant through the long term period, with deep upper troughing
centered over the Western US, and a strong upper ridge present
across the Eastern US. The center of a corresponding mid-upper level
anticyclone will remain centered overhead throughout the period. 500
hPa heights are modeled to reach around 596-598 dam during this
period. As a result, an extended stretch of heat and humidity is
expected late this weekend through the middle of next week.
Model guidance is in good agreement that 850 hPa temps will soar to
above 20C, which will lead to daytime highs well into the 90s, and
potentially even nearing 100. Dewpoints will remain in the low 70s,
which will keep overnight lows in the 70s. Heat indices will climb
to in excess of 100 each day, and could even reach 105-110 some
days. While dewpoints will be high at the surface, sinking motion
near the center of the mid-upper level anticyclone will lead to dry
conditions in the mid-upper levels, and quiet weather at the
surface, with ample sunshine during the daylight hours. Those who
are sensitive to the heat are encouraged to take preparations in
advance for what will likely be an extended heatwave locally.
&&
.AVIATION /13Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR conditions continue to prevail amongst the terminals this
morning with a few high level clouds.
Expect temporary drops to sub-VFR this afternoon and evening as a
potent cold front cross the region. The front will bring numerous
showers and thunderstorms to the terminals especially within the BWI-
IAD-DCA corridor. Storms fire prior to 18z/2pm west of KMRB and
KCHO before working east toward the corridor between
19z-23z/3-7pm. Maintained TEMPOs in for this time window at the
aforementioned terminals above, though there may be more than
just one round. Expect variable wind gusts in and around
thunderstorms with gusts in excess of 30-40 kts. Convection will
clear the corridor between 00-03z/8-11pm tonight with
improvements back to VFR. Light southwest winds this morning
will increase this afternoon and evening with gusts between
20-25 kts.
VFR conditions are expected Friday as high pressure builds back into
the region. Winds will remain out of the west and northwest at 5-10
kts. Winds switch to the south Saturday as high pressure sinks south
and east of the area.
VFR conditions and light winds are expected on both Sunday and
Monday.
&&
.MARINE...
A strong cold frontal boundary will cross the waters today bringing
numerous showers and thunderstorms. SMWs are possible given
thermodynamic and kinematic environment this afternoon and evening
in any thunderstorm. SCA conditions are also expected this afternoon
and into Friday with the cold frontal passage. Southwest winds today
will switch to the northwest this afternoon and evening with gusts
up to 25 kts.
Sub-SCA level winds return Friday afternoon with west to northwest
winds are expected. Winds will become southerly Saturday afternoon
at generally 10 knots or less.
Light and variable winds are expected over the waters on both Sunday
and Monday. No marine hazards outside of heat are expected for the
middle of next week.
&&
.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...None.
MD...Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 6 AM EDT
Friday for MDZ008.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 6 AM EDT
Friday for ANZ530>534-537>541-543.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 9 PM EDT this
evening for ANZ535-536-542.
&&
SYNOPSIS...KRR
NEAR TERM...DHOF/EST
SHORT TERM...EST
LONG TERM...KJP
AVIATION...DHOF/KJP/EST
MARINE...DHOF/KJP/ESTHazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 147 PM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025 ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ008-011-013-014-016>018-504-506-508- VAZ053>057-527-201800- Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD- Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD- Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD- Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD- Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA- Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD- Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD- Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA- Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor- Chester River to Queenstown MD-Eastern Bay- Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River- Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD- Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth Island-District of Columbia-Cecil-Southern Baltimore- Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Central and Southeast Howard- Southeast Harford-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 147 PM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Maryland portion of the Chesapeake Bay, Tidal Potomac River, and I-95 corridor through central Maryland, northern Virginia, and District of Columbia. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight A Flood Watch for flash flooding is in effect for the Baltimore MD and Washington DC metro areas from 3 to 9 PM. Scattered to numerous severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon and evening. There is the potential for considerable storm damage from 70 mph gusts. Large hail and an isolated tornado or two are also possible. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect until 9 PM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday An extended period of excessively hot and humid conditions is expected Sunday through at least the middle of next week. Daily heat indices in the afternoon and evening of 100 to 110 are expected, and up to 115 degrees is possible. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. MDZ003>006-503-505-507-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-501-502-505>508- 526-WVZ050>053-055-201800- Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Northwest Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Northwest Harford-Augusta- Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Nelson- Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper- Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun- Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Northwest Prince William-Hampshire- Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy- 147 PM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern West Virginia, northern and central Virginia, and central and western Maryland. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Scattered to numerous severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon and evening. There is the potential for considerable storm damage from 70 mph gusts. Large hail and an isolated tornado or two are also possible. An isolated instance of flooding is possible as well. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect until 9 PM near and east of Interstate 81. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday An extended period of excessively hot and humid conditions is expected Sunday through at least the middle of next week. Daily heat indices in the afternoon and evening of 100 to 110 are expected, and up to 115 degrees is possible. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. MDZ501-502-509-510-VAZ503-504-WVZ501>506-201800- Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany- Western Garrett-Eastern Garrett-Western Highland-Eastern Highland- Western Grant-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton- 147 PM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Allegheny Front counties in western Maryland, eastern West Virginia, and Highland County Virginia. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon and evening. An isolated instance of flooding is possible as well. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday An extended period of excessively hot and humid conditions is expected Sunday through at least the middle of next week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. DHOF
The Sterling radar (KLWX), 148 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 17:58 UTC.
78 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Trees and wires blew down in the 8100 block of VA-613 Spring Creek Road.
A tree blew down in the 1300 block of VA-600 North Hayfield Road.
Several large trees blew down around Dayton, including in the 200 block of Sunset Drive, and on Slab Road.
Several trees blew down around Churchville, including in the 200 block of US-250 Hankey Mountain Highway, and near the intersection of Jennings Gap Road and Dryden Road.
A tree blew down near the intersection of FR-92 and Johnstown Road.
A large tree blew down in the 15800 block of VA-42 Senedo Road.
Several trees blew down in the City of Harrisonburg. Trees blew down along US-33 East Market Street, on West Elizabeth Street, on Jefferson Street, and on Stonechris Drive.
A tree blew down onto a house on Dunlap Street between Bruce Street and Green Street.
Several trees and wires blew down in the City of Staunton.
A tree blew down in the 600 block of Woods Mill Road.
A personal weather station measured a wind gust of 60 knots (69 MPH) near Dale Enterprise. Trees blew down nearby.
Several trees blew down around Weyers Cave.
Several trees blew down around Verona.
Large tree limbs blew down along Mountain Valley Road in Keezletown.
A tree blew down in the 2300 block of Swartz Road.
A tree blew down near the intersection of US-11 Old Valley Pike and Toll House Road.
A tree blew down on East Reservoir Road near Broadview Lane.
A tree blew down at the intersection of Jess Sine Road and Swartz Road.
Several trees and large branches blew down in Shenandoah.
Several trees blew down around New Hope.
Several trees blew down around Riverheads.
A wind gust of 50 knots (58 MPH) was measured by a personal weather station at Page County High School (KVASHENA19).
Several trees blew down around Fishersville.
Several trees blew down around Stuarts Draft, including in the 1800 block of VA-608 Tinkling Spring Road.
Several trees and wires blew down around Elkton, including in the 1800 block of Newtown Road, and in the 11700 block of Red Brush Road.
A tree blew down onto power lines near Stanley.
Numerous trees, branches, and wires blew down in the City of Waynesboro.
Several trees blew down around Greenville, including in the 300 block of VA-662 Stover School Road, and in the 200 block of McClures Mill Road.
Several trees blew down around Crimora, including in the unit block of Odell Drive, and near the intersection of US-340 East Side Highway and Odell Drive.
Multiple trees blew down in Stanley, including near the intersection of Keystone Road and Lucas Hollow Road blocking both lanes.
Several trees and wires blew down around Stanley.
A tree blew down blocking Jordan Hollow Road in eastern Page County.
Several trees and wires blew down around Rileyville.
Trees blew down on US-15 at VA-672 Lovettsville Road.
Multiple trees blew down in Lovettsville.
There were about a dozen calls for trees blown down in Rappahannock County.
A wind gust of 57 knots (66 MPH) was measured by a mesonet in Hume (N4HAC/AX084).
There were multiple trees blown down in Bluemont.
A tree blew down blocking the roadway near the intersection of Oak Park Road and Beahm Town Road.
Trees and wires blew down near the interchange of US-29 and US-15.
Multiple trees blew down along VA-678 Old Waterloo Road.
A wind gust of 56 knots (64 MPH) was measured by the AWOS at Culpeper Regional Airport (KCJR).
Dozens of trees blew down along VA-626 Halfway Road in northern Fauquier County.
Numerous trees blew down near the intersection of Trailhead Drive and US-50 Little River Turnpike.
Numerous trees blew down along VA-55 John Marshall Highway between Haymarket and Gainesville.
A large tree blew down along VA-615 Rapidan Road at VA-673 Old Rapidan Road.
Numerous trees blew down in Aldie.
Numerous trees were uprooted in South Riding, including one that fell onto a car.
A wind gust of 65 knots (75 MPH) was measured by an ASOS at the NWS Sterling Field Support Center (SFSC).
A wind gust of 57 knots (66 MPH) was measured by the ASOS at Washington Dulles International Airport (KIAD).
Numerous trees blew down near Ashburn.
Large trees blew down onto southbound VA-28 Sully Road past VA-606 Old Ox Road.
Multiple tree branches blew down around the Monument Drive Transit Center near the intersection of Monument Drive and I-66 Custis Memorial Parkway.
Multiple trees blew down in the vicinity of Brent Town in southern Fauquier County.
Numerous trees blew down in the Sterling to Countryside area.
A wind gust of 62 knots (71 MPH) was measured by a personal weather station at Great Falls Crossing. Dozens of trees blew down in the area, with many onto wires and a few onto houses.
Large trees blew down along MD-193 Georgetown Pike near Ellsworth Avenue, on MD-193 Georgetown Pike near VA-738 Old Dominion Drive, on VA-676 Towlston Road near VA-738 Old Dominion Drive, on VA-685 Swinks Mill Road at Karen Forest Drive, on VA-738 Old Dominion Drive at Kimberwicke Road, and on VA-684 Spring Hill Road between VA-193 Georgetown Pike and VA-738 Old Dominion Drive.
Trees blew down on VA-681 Walker Road near Golden Falcon Street.
Trees blew down on US-50 Fairfax Boulevard/Arlington Boulevard at Blake Lane/Pickett Road.
A tree blew down on VA-674 Hunter Mill Road between VA-673 Lawyers Road and the Washington and Old Dominion Trail. Numerous other trees and branches were down in the area.
Multiple large trees blew down along VA-674 Hunter Mill Road near VA-673 Lawyers Road and VA-672 Vale Road.
A tree blew down on Follin Lane Southeast between Hine Street Southeast and Echols Street Southeast.
The National Park Service reported that the entrance to Great Falls National Park was blocked by fallen trees.
Trees blew down along VA-644 Old Keene Mill Road near Bardu Avenue.
Large trees blew down onto cars on eastbound VA-267 Dulles Connector Road between VA-123 Dolley Madison Boulevard and I-66 Custis Memorial Parkway, completely blocking the road.
Trees blew down onto I-495 Capital Beltway at mile marker 42.6.
Trees blew down on George Washington Memorial Parkway between Turkey Run and I-495 Capital Beltway.
About a dozen trees blew down along VA-694 Great Falls Street between McLean and the City of Falls Church, including a few onto wires and one onto a house.
Two large trees uprooted and crushed a house on Woodley Place.
Trees blew down onto northbound I-95/I-495 Capital Beltway Outer Loop at mile marker 173.1.
Trees blew down onto eastbound I-66 Custis Memorial Parkway at mile marker 68.3 and in nearby neighborhoods.
A large tree blew down onto two houses on North Frederick Street.
A large tree blew down onto Pohick Road at Gambrill Road.
Numerous trees, branches, and wires blew down in the City of Alexandria, including near the intersection of North Howard Street and West Braddock Road, at the intersection of South Fairfax Street and Gibbon Street, in the 200 block of South Pickett Street, in the 800 block of South Pitt Street, on Church Street, and in the 400 block of Cameron Street.
Trees blew down onto westbound I-66 Custis Memorial Parkway at mile marker 73.7.
Trees blew down on I-95 south of VA-630 Courthouse Road.
A wind gust of 53 knots (61 MPH) was measured by the ASOS at Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport (KDCA).
Ironside Cove was inaccessible due to multiple trees blown down across the road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, June 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1255611, 1255612, 1255614, 1255615, 1255616, 1255617, 1255618, 1255619, 1255620, 1255622, 1255623, 1255624, 1255625, 1255626, 1255627, 1255628, 1255629, 1255630, 1255631, 1255632, 1255633, 1255636, 1255639, 1255640, 1255641, 1255644, 1255646, 1255648, 1255649, 1255650, 1255651, 1255654, 1255656, 1255663, 1255664, 1255666, 1255669, 1255671, 1255673, 1255676, and more.