An upper trough was moving through the Great Basin region with some weak convergence setup over the Rio Grande Valley which contributed to thunderstorm development. A severe thunderstorm moved through west El Paso and damaged areas around Mesa and Doniphan.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
An upper trough was moving through the Great Basin region with some weak convergence setup over the Rio Grande Valley which contributed to thunderstorm development. A severe thunderstorm moved through west El Paso and damaged areas around Mesa and Doniphan.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 25, 4:30 PM MST, 3 hours 45 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 530 PM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 527 PM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025 - Thunderstorm chances will begin ramping up starting in Southwestern New Mexico today, then slowly spreading east through the weekend. - Localized heavy rainfall and a few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible. - Thunderstorm chances will diminish on Monday, and mainly be focused east of the Rio Grande, before a general drying trend arrives Tuesday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1105 AM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025 Active weekend ahead as upper low currently over central CA will be pushing into SW AZ and stall out. For tonight, looks like low level convergence zone sets up over SE AZ and convection then pushes east into SW NM. Pretty good agreement among models that the El Paso area/RGV will be about the eastward extent of storms. May see a couple severe storms out west where best shear will be located. Going into Fri/Fri night, will start to see some diffluence aloft setting up over the CWA as upper low makes it into the CA/AZ/Mexico region. Could be a little later start to storms out west with outflows progressing eastward through the area and triggering storms through much of the night. Decent instability around, but shear not great, so just expect some strong storms with maybe a stray severe one. Saturday will be similar to Fri with the upper low not moving much. In fact, as is typical with these cutoff lows, the GFS has trended slower with opening up and lifting out this system. Again expect storms to form out west and then push east into the evening hours. The one thing that could limit convection will be lingering debris clouds that don't allow things to get very unstable, especially out east. Either way, looks like with the disturbances moving through, should at least get scattered to numerous showers. The upper low starts to open up and lift out on Sunday. This brings drier air into the western zones, but sets up a pseudo dryline near the Rio Grande which will then be the focus for storms into Monday. This is where I think best chance for severe storms will be as the upper level SW flow increases with SE surface winds. Looks like enough lift and moisture linger into Monday out east for at least isolated showers. Drier air moves in by Tuesday and no precipitation is expected for the remainder of the period. Temperatures will start out warmer, but cool down into the weekend with the increased moisture and precipitation. If clouds stick around through much of the day, could have some areas in the eastern lowlands not get out of the 70s this weekend. Drier air going into the middle of next week will bring high temperatures back into the mid 80s to possibly lower 90s in the lowest elevations. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 527 PM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025 VFR conditions expected though SCT TSRA / SHRA west and northwest of TAF sites may bring impacts later this evening. Confidence that these storms will reach LRU and ELP have decreased, but I let the PROB30 continue. +RA, GR, and strong winds will be the main hazards with these storms along with flight category reductions. Aside from the storms, expect FEW-SCT 070-090 with winds up to 10 knots, largely from the west and southwest. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1105 AM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025 Fire concerns will be minimal over the next several days as moisture moves into the region and there will be a daily chance for showers and thunderstorms. Best chances for precip today will be west of the RGV, then all areas Fri/Sat before shifting to the east for Sun/Mon. Temperatures will be within 5 degrees of normal through Monday before warming back up going into the middle of next week. Winds generally under 15 mph except near thunderstorms through the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 65 87 65 83 / 20 30 50 40 Sierra Blanca 56 82 59 79 / 10 40 50 60 Las Cruces 59 83 60 79 / 40 50 50 50 Alamogordo 59 83 59 79 / 10 40 40 50 Cloudcroft 45 62 44 59 / 10 50 40 70 Truth or Consequences 58 83 59 79 / 20 50 50 50 Silver City 53 77 53 72 / 70 60 60 70 Deming 59 84 59 80 / 60 50 50 50 Lordsburg 58 82 59 76 / 70 70 60 60 West El Paso Metro 64 85 65 81 / 30 30 50 40 Dell City 57 85 61 82 / 10 30 30 40 Fort Hancock 63 88 63 84 / 10 50 50 50 Loma Linda 58 78 58 74 / 10 40 50 50 Fabens 62 86 64 82 / 20 30 50 40 Santa Teresa 61 83 62 79 / 30 30 50 40 White Sands HQ 62 84 62 79 / 30 50 50 50 Jornada Range 59 83 60 77 / 30 50 50 50 Hatch 58 85 59 80 / 40 50 50 50 Columbus 61 84 61 80 / 50 50 50 50 Orogrande 58 82 59 77 / 20 40 50 50 Mayhill 50 73 50 69 / 0 50 30 80 Mescalero 49 74 49 70 / 10 50 40 70 Timberon 48 70 48 67 / 10 50 40 70 Winston 47 74 48 72 / 30 60 50 60 Hillsboro 55 82 55 77 / 50 50 50 60 Spaceport 56 83 58 79 / 20 50 50 50 Lake Roberts 48 76 47 72 / 60 70 60 70 Hurley 54 79 54 74 / 60 60 60 60 Cliff 55 81 52 78 / 70 60 60 60 Mule Creek 52 78 51 74 / 70 60 60 60 Faywood 56 79 55 73 / 50 60 60 60 Animas 58 80 58 76 / 70 70 60 60 Hachita 57 81 58 76 / 60 60 60 60 Antelope Wells 57 80 58 77 / 80 70 60 60 Cloverdale 55 74 55 72 / 80 80 60 60 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && FORECASTER...34-Brown
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
530 PM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0525 PM Hail 3 S Silver City 32.73N 108.26W
09/25/2025 M1.00 Inch Grant NM Public
Public reported 1 inch size hail.
&&
KSPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
621 PM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0525 PM Hail 3 S Silver City 32.73N 108.26W
09/25/2025 E1.25 Inch Grant NM Public
Corrects previous hail report from 3 S
Silver City. Public reported 1 inch measured
hail after 30 minutes of melting.
&&
KSPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
733 PM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0731 PM Flash Flood 1 SW Bayard 32.75N 108.14W
09/25/2025 Grant NM Emergency Mngr
Debris caused flooding to approach two
houses near Fahey and Royal.
&&
ALBPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
734 PM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0650 PM Flash Flood 4 NNW Mimbres 32.91N 108.01W
09/25/2025 Grant NM Emergency Mngr
Flooded low water crossing for NM35. Road
impassable.
&&
ALBPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
735 PM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 PM Debris Flow 7 NNW Mimbres 32.95N 108.02W
09/25/2025 Grant NM Emergency Mngr
Minor debris flow reported by Grant Co EM.
&&
ALBPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
859 PM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0841 PM Flash Flood Rincon 32.67N 107.07W
09/25/2025 Dona Ana NM County Official
Reports of water rescue for a vehicle washed
into an arroyo. Emergency response begun at
8:41PM.
&&
KSThe El Paso radar (KEPZ), 11 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 03:12 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Outflow winds blew over a tree and pulled down a powerline leaving the area around the El Pavon Apartments without power.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1295085.