Texas, 2025

Drought in Texas, October 31, 2025

October 31, 2025 · NWS EWX · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

October rainfall was less than 50% of normal across most of South-Central Texas and drought conditions worsened in four counties. Fayette and Gonzales Counties changed from Severe (D2) Drought category to Extreme (D3) Drought while Dimmit and Lavaca went from Moderate (D1) Drought to D2.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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  • Wind
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  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.

October rainfall was less than 50% of normal across most of South-Central Texas and drought conditions worsened in four counties. Fayette and Gonzales Counties changed from Severe (D2) Drought category to Extreme (D3) Drought while Dimmit and Lavaca went from Moderate (D1) Drought to D2. The rest of the counties were unchanged. Bexar and Medina Counties remained in D3. Atascosa, Bastrop, Caldwell, Comal, Frio, Guadalupe, Hays, Karnes, Travis, and Wilson remained in D2.At the end of the month, the seven-day average streamflow was much below (<10%) normal on the upper Colorado, lower Guadalupe, Medina, Lavaca, Blanco, San Marcos, lower Nueces, Atascosa, and upper San Antonio Rivers; below (10%-24%) normal on the lower Colorado and lower San Antonio Rivers; and normal (25%-75%) on the Frio River. |The Edwards Aquifer dropped 2.3 feet and was 39.4 feet below normal. Medina Lake dropped 1.2 feet and was 82.7 feet below conservation elevation. Lake Travis dropped 2.3 feet and was 12.0 feet below normal. Canyon Lake dropped 1.3 feet and was 19.0 feet below normal. Most water providers encouraged conservation while San Antonio and Universal City imposed stage 3 restrictions and New Braunfels and Austin had stage 2. Of the counties in D2 or worse drought, Atascosa, Bastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, Fayette, Medina, Frio, Gonzales, Guadalupe, and Travis had outdoor burn bans in effect at the end of the month.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 4:55 AM CST, 1 hour 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 4:55 AM CST, 1 hour 5 minutes before
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The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Dimmit

When
October 31, 6:00 AM CST to 11:59 PM CST
Where
Dimmit forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
28.423, -99.757 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

October rainfall was less than 50% of normal across most of South-Central Texas and drought conditions worsened in four counties. Fayette and Gonzales Counties changed from Severe (D2) Drought category to Extreme (D3) Drought while Dimmit and Lavaca went from Moderate (D1) Drought to D2. The rest of the counties were unchanged. Bexar and Medina Counties remained in D3. Atascosa, Bastrop, Caldwell, Comal, Frio, Guadalupe, Hays, Karnes, Travis, and Wilson remained in D2.At the end of the month, the seven-day average streamflow was much below (<10%) normal on the upper Colorado, lower Guadalupe, Medina, Lavaca, Blanco, San Marcos, lower Nueces, Atascosa, and upper San Antonio Rivers; below (10%-24%) normal on the lower Colorado and lower San Antonio Rivers; and normal (25%-75%) on the Frio River. |The Edwards Aquifer dropped 2.3 feet and was 39.4 feet below normal. Medina Lake dropped 1.2 feet and was 82.7 feet below conservation elevation. Lake Travis dropped 2.3 feet and was 12.0 feet below normal. Canyon Lake dropped 1.3 feet and was 19.0 feet below normal. Most water providers encouraged conservation while San Antonio and Universal City imposed stage 3 restrictions and New Braunfels and Austin had stage 2. Of the counties in D2 or worse drought, Atascosa, Bastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, Fayette, Medina, Frio, Gonzales, Guadalupe, and Travis had outdoor burn bans in effect at the end of the month.

Drought, Fayette

When
October 31, 6:00 AM CST to 11:59 PM CST
Where
Fayette forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
29.877, -96.920 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

October rainfall was less than 50% of normal across most of South-Central Texas and drought conditions worsened in four counties. Fayette and Gonzales Counties changed from Severe (D2) Drought category to Extreme (D3) Drought while Dimmit and Lavaca went from Moderate (D1) Drought to D2. The rest of the counties were unchanged. Bexar and Medina Counties remained in D3. Atascosa, Bastrop, Caldwell, Comal, Frio, Guadalupe, Hays, Karnes, Travis, and Wilson remained in D2.At the end of the month, the seven-day average streamflow was much below (<10%) normal on the upper Colorado, lower Guadalupe, Medina, Lavaca, Blanco, San Marcos, lower Nueces, Atascosa, and upper San Antonio Rivers; below (10%-24%) normal on the lower Colorado and lower San Antonio Rivers; and normal (25%-75%) on the Frio River. |The Edwards Aquifer dropped 2.3 feet and was 39.4 feet below normal. Medina Lake dropped 1.2 feet and was 82.7 feet below conservation elevation. Lake Travis dropped 2.3 feet and was 12.0 feet below normal. Canyon Lake dropped 1.3 feet and was 19.0 feet below normal. Most water providers encouraged conservation while San Antonio and Universal City imposed stage 3 restrictions and New Braunfels and Austin had stage 2. Of the counties in D2 or worse drought, Atascosa, Bastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, Fayette, Medina, Frio, Gonzales, Guadalupe, and Travis had outdoor burn bans in effect at the end of the month.

Drought, Gonzales

When
October 31, 6:00 AM CST to 11:59 PM CST
Where
Gonzales forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
29.457, -97.492 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

October rainfall was less than 50% of normal across most of South-Central Texas and drought conditions worsened in four counties. Fayette and Gonzales Counties changed from Severe (D2) Drought category to Extreme (D3) Drought while Dimmit and Lavaca went from Moderate (D1) Drought to D2. The rest of the counties were unchanged. Bexar and Medina Counties remained in D3. Atascosa, Bastrop, Caldwell, Comal, Frio, Guadalupe, Hays, Karnes, Travis, and Wilson remained in D2.At the end of the month, the seven-day average streamflow was much below (<10%) normal on the upper Colorado, lower Guadalupe, Medina, Lavaca, Blanco, San Marcos, lower Nueces, Atascosa, and upper San Antonio Rivers; below (10%-24%) normal on the lower Colorado and lower San Antonio Rivers; and normal (25%-75%) on the Frio River. |The Edwards Aquifer dropped 2.3 feet and was 39.4 feet below normal. Medina Lake dropped 1.2 feet and was 82.7 feet below conservation elevation. Lake Travis dropped 2.3 feet and was 12.0 feet below normal. Canyon Lake dropped 1.3 feet and was 19.0 feet below normal. Most water providers encouraged conservation while San Antonio and Universal City imposed stage 3 restrictions and New Braunfels and Austin had stage 2. Of the counties in D2 or worse drought, Atascosa, Bastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, Fayette, Medina, Frio, Gonzales, Guadalupe, and Travis had outdoor burn bans in effect at the end of the month.

Drought, Lavaca

When
October 31, 6:00 AM CST to 11:59 PM CST
Where
Lavaca forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
29.384, -96.930 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

October rainfall was less than 50% of normal across most of South-Central Texas and drought conditions worsened in four counties. Fayette and Gonzales Counties changed from Severe (D2) Drought category to Extreme (D3) Drought while Dimmit and Lavaca went from Moderate (D1) Drought to D2. The rest of the counties were unchanged. Bexar and Medina Counties remained in D3. Atascosa, Bastrop, Caldwell, Comal, Frio, Guadalupe, Hays, Karnes, Travis, and Wilson remained in D2.At the end of the month, the seven-day average streamflow was much below (<10%) normal on the upper Colorado, lower Guadalupe, Medina, Lavaca, Blanco, San Marcos, lower Nueces, Atascosa, and upper San Antonio Rivers; below (10%-24%) normal on the lower Colorado and lower San Antonio Rivers; and normal (25%-75%) on the Frio River. |The Edwards Aquifer dropped 2.3 feet and was 39.4 feet below normal. Medina Lake dropped 1.2 feet and was 82.7 feet below conservation elevation. Lake Travis dropped 2.3 feet and was 12.0 feet below normal. Canyon Lake dropped 1.3 feet and was 19.0 feet below normal. Most water providers encouraged conservation while San Antonio and Universal City imposed stage 3 restrictions and New Braunfels and Austin had stage 2. Of the counties in D2 or worse drought, Atascosa, Bastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, Fayette, Medina, Frio, Gonzales, Guadalupe, and Travis had outdoor burn bans in effect at the end of the month.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1297138, 1297139, 1297140, 1297141.