Texas, 2025

Drought in Texas, October 1 to 28, 2025

October 1 to 28, 2025 · NWS EWX · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Kinney and De Witt Counties received enough rain in October for drought conditions to improve from Severe (D2) Drought category to Moderate (D1).

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.

Kinney and De Witt Counties received enough rain in October for drought conditions to improve from Severe (D2) Drought category to Moderate (D1).

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 30, 11:40 PM CST, 20 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Warm days and mild nights continue through early next week.
  • Isolated showers are possible near the Coastal Plains this weekend into early next week.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 30, 11:40 PM CST, 20 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1240 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warm days and mild nights continue through early next week.

- Isolated showers are possible near the Coastal Plains this
  weekend into early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 1208 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

Weak west-northwesterly flow at the 500 mb level continues through
the short term forecast period. Unfortunately, dry and warm
weather looks to continue into the first 2 days of October. Highs
will easily climb into the lower to middle 90s with dewpoints
falling into the lower and middle 50s each afternoon. This morning
Thursday morning will be quite comfortable. The NBM has actually
been a bit on the warmer side of the bias the last couple nights,
so will opt to do a 60/40 blend of NBM operational and NBM 25th
percentile.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 1208 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

Warm and mostly dry weather continues through the long term
forecast period. Cool, comfortable mornings will be followed by
warm, dry and somewhat hot afternoons for the first week of
October. There have been some rays of hope that the pattern may
shift to a more active one for early to mid-October, but for now,
things remain status quo with warm and dry weather continuing.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1208 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

VFR conditions through the TAF period under mainly clear skies.
Variable winds around or less than 5 KT for most locations,
becoming SE along the Rio Grande Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1208 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

Minimum RH values between 20-30% will result in some elevated fire
weather conditions each afternoon, but with east to southeasterly
surface winds generally less than 10 mph, near-critical or
critical fire weather conditions are not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              96  67  96  68 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  96  65  96  67 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     96  65  95  66 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            91  65  92  66 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           96  68  96  69 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        94  64  94  66 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             94  64  95  66 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        97  64  96  65 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   95  66  95  66 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       95  69  95  69 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           97  69  97  70 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...MMM
LONG TERM....MMM
AVIATION...76

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, De Witt

When
October 1, 12:00 AM CST to October 21, 6:00 AM CST
Where
De Witt forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
29.082, -97.357 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Kinney and De Witt Counties received enough rain in October for drought conditions to improve from Severe (D2) Drought category to Moderate (D1).

Drought, Kinney

When
October 1, 12:00 AM CST to October 28, 6:00 AM CST
Where
Kinney forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
29.350, -100.418 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Kinney and De Witt Counties received enough rain in October for drought conditions to improve from Severe (D2) Drought category to Moderate (D1).

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1297123, 1297124.