An above normal month of rainfall helped to continue improving drought conditions for Far West Texas in October with several zones being placed in Moderate(D1) drought mid month.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
An above normal month of rainfall helped to continue improving drought conditions for Far West Texas in October with several zones being placed in Moderate(D1) drought mid month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 30, 9:17 PM MST, 2 hours 43 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1017 PM MDT Tue Sep 30 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 935 PM MDT Tue Sep 30 2025 - Dry conditions persist through the week ahead. - Temperatures will climb to around 5 to 8 degrees above normal by Thursday as a drier air mass takes over. Southerly winds may also become a little breezy Saturday and Sunday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 935 PM MDT Tue Sep 30 2025 The monsoon season has wrapped up, but that doesn't mean that rain is completely out of the forecast; we will stay dry through the coming weekend, though. An upper level ridge centered to our south over northern Mexico won't be in much of a hurry to move off. This ridge will keep us dry, with light winds and our high temperatures running around 5 degrees above average. By Saturday, the ridge shows signs of breaking down as a decent upper level trough pushes across the Four Corners region. This trough won't have much moisture to work with, but it may give us some clouds. The other impact from the trough will be the breezy winds. Right now, it doesn't look too windy. We do have a lee side trough develop Saturday afternoon, but it doesn't look very strong, so for now it looks like we will have breezy (15 to 25 mph) winds Saturday afternoon. Right now I'm not expecting much blowing dust; the winds aren't that strong and recent rains should continue to help keep the dust down. High temperatures this weekend will continue to run a few degrees above average. For the start of next week, another upper level ridge will initially be centered over southeast U.S. and the circulation around the ridge will begin to draw up some lingering moisture out of northern Mexico. Right now it is still too early to tell if we will get enough moisture for some rain chances for Monday afternoon. After Monday the current extended models indicate that some tropical moisture from a Pacific tropical system may try to make its way into the southwest U.S. later next week, but where the moisture goes will depend on both the track of the tropical system and the exact location of the upper level ridge. For now you can enjoy our quiet and warm weather through at least Sunday. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 935 PM MDT Tue Sep 30 2025 We will see quiet weather for the tonight and Wednesday. Ceilings tonight into the day on Wednesday will be unlimited. The winds will be light and variable tonight, We will have light south or southwest winds on Wednesday. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1040 AM MDT Tue Sep 30 2025 Fire weather concerns are low with low fire danger this week with below normal ERCs and high soil moisture. Min RH 30-40%, dropping into the 20s by the end of the work week with light west winds 7 to 15 mph. Vent rates will be Good today and Wednesday afternoon with transport to the east. The ridge is expected to break down on Saturday as a closed low sweeps into the Great Basin, leading to an increase in southwest winds that afternoon. Winds will fall short of hitting critical thresholds and with minimum RH only dipping into the upper teens, elevated to critical fire weather conditions will be unlikely. The aforementioned low will be absorbed into a larger scale trough cruising the Canada/CONUS border, keeping dry air in place on Sunday, along with low-end breezy conditions. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 91 66 92 66 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 85 57 86 56 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 86 59 87 59 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 86 60 87 60 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 64 45 66 44 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 84 58 86 59 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 79 55 81 57 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 88 58 90 60 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 84 60 87 63 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 88 65 90 65 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 88 58 89 57 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 91 63 92 63 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 81 60 83 59 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 90 63 91 62 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 86 62 88 62 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 86 63 87 62 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 85 60 87 59 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 88 58 90 59 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 88 60 90 61 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 84 58 86 59 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 76 49 77 49 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 76 49 78 49 / 10 0 0 0 Timberon 73 48 74 48 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 77 48 79 49 / 10 0 0 0 Hillsboro 84 56 86 57 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 84 57 86 57 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 80 48 82 51 / 10 0 0 0 Hurley 82 54 84 56 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 86 55 88 58 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 82 53 84 57 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 81 56 82 57 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 86 59 89 61 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 85 58 87 59 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 86 60 88 60 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 81 59 84 60 / 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && FORECASTER...15-Brice
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The zone started out in Severe(D2) drought but improved to Moderate(D1) drought on October 14th. The El Paso Airport reported 2.66 inches of precipitation which was 2.07 inches above normal.
October started out with all of the zone being in Severe(D2) drought except the far north which was in Moderate(D1) drought. By mid month, the entire zone was in Moderate(D1) drought.
The entire zone started the month in Severe(D2) drought but improved to Moderate(D1) drought on October 14th. The Tornillo Cooperative Observer reported 1.51 inches of precipitation which was 0.74 inches above normal.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1296405, 1296406, 1296407.