Texas, 2025

Drought in Texas, May 1 to 31, 2025

May 1 to 31, 2025 · NWS SJT · 9 events in 9 counties and zones

There were moderate to extreme drought conditions across portions of the Concho Valley, the Heartland, the northern Edwards Plateau, and the northwest Hill Country, mainly south of a Mertzon to Eden to Brownwood line during the month of May.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 9 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
9

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.

There were moderate to extreme drought conditions across portions of the Concho Valley, the Heartland, the northern Edwards Plateau, and the northwest Hill Country, mainly south of a Mertzon to Eden to Brownwood line during the month of May.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 30, 11:33 PM CST, 27 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Thunderstorms return on Friday with isolated severe storms and localized heavy rainfall potentially developing again.
  • An active weather pattern will continue into early next week. We will need to monitor for more severe weather and locally heavy rainfall.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 11:33 PM CST, 27 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1233 AM CDT Thu May 1 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Thunderstorms return on Friday with isolated severe storms and
  localized heavy rainfall potentially developing again.

- An active weather pattern will continue into early next week. We
  will need to monitor for more severe weather and locally heavy
  rainfall.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 202 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

Showers and thunderstorms across the Big Country and northern
portions of the Heartland have moved out of West Central TX.
However, with the lingering low-level moisture, some diurnal
heating to help with instability, and a series of upper-level
disturbances tracking through the area, there is a small chance
for another round of isolated showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon and evening mainly north of a Brownwood to Sterling City
line. Confidence in development has however decreased with this
forecast package given the down-trend in potential in recent high-
res model runs. SPC currently has the Big Country and portion of
the northern Heartland and northern Concho Valley in a Slight Risk
for Severe Thunderstorms. There remains some flooding potential
with storms that do develop across parts of the Big Country and
Heartland mainly today, which has kept a Slight to Marginal Risk
for excessive rainfall across this area.

Otherwise, were expecting mostly sunny skies and and a lower
chance for showers south of a San Angelo to San Saba line through
this evening. Slightly cooler overnight low temperatures are
expected tonight, mainly in the 50s. By Thursday, high
temperatures will look to only reach into the 80s across the Big
Country, with elsewhere seeing high temperatures in the low to mid
90s. A Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms remains in place
across our eastern-most counties for Thursday afternoon/evening,
as well as a Marginal Risk for Excessive Rainfall across our
southeastern-most counties. However, much of the area should see a
brief reprieve earlier in the day from the rain and storms we
have seen across parts of West Central Texas over the past few
days.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 112 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible along the dryline
late Thursday afternoon and evening, mainly across our eastern
and southeast counties. Coverage looks fairly limited, but any
storms that develop could become strong to severe. Late Thursday
into Friday, an upper level low will dive south across the Desert
Southwest, eventually tracking northeast toward Colorado.
Meanwhile, a cold front will track south into the area late
Thursday into Friday. This front will serve as a focus for shower
and thunderstorm development. Although a few strong to severe
thunderstorms will be possible, locally heavy rainfall looks to be
the main threat, especially across the southern half of the area.
Highs on Friday will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s across the
Big Country, to the mid 70s to mid 80s farther south. Rain chances
will continue into Friday night and Saturday. Cooler temperatures
are forecast on Saturday with highs in the low to mid 70s. A few
showers and thunderstorms may linger into Sunday, but overall
drier conditions are expected. Highs will remain below normal, in
the mid to upper 70s. Overnight lows will be in the upper 50s to
lower 60s.

A more potent upper level low is forecast to deepen across the
western CONUS early next week. As this system approaches, expect
an increase in rain chances late Monday through Wednesday. At this
point, the main concern looks to be locally heavy rainfall. It is
a bit too early to pinpoint exact rainfall amounts, but this
system could result in beneficial rainfall for much of the
forecast area. Temperatures early next week will generally remain
below normal. Highs will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s, with
overnight lows in the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1233 AM CDT Thu May 1 2025

VFR conditions expected through the next 24 hours with light and
variable winds tonight, becoming south to southeasterly Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     88  61  71  52 /   0  20  80  30
San Angelo  92  60  76  54 /   0  20  90  40
Junction    96  60  84  57 /  20  20  80  60
Brownwood   91  61  76  54 /   0  20  90  50
Sweetwater  87  60  69  51 /   0  20  80  20
Ozona       91  62  79  57 /   0  20  80  50
Brady       93  62  80  57 /  10  20  90  60

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....Daniels
AVIATION...20

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 30, 9:04 PM CST, 2 hours 56 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1004 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     Hail             Stamford                32.95N 99.80W
04/30/2025  M1.00 Inch       Jones              TX   Public

&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

9 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Concho

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Concho forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.327, -99.864 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Concho County during the month of May.

Drought, McCulloch

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
McCulloch forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.199, -99.347 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across McCulloch County during the month of May.

Drought, San Saba

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
San Saba forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.155, -98.818 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across San Saba County during the month of May.

Drought, Crockett

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Crockett forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.723, -101.412 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe/extreme drought conditions across Crockett County during the month of May.

Drought, Schleicher

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Schleicher forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.897, -100.539 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Schleicher County during the month of May.

Drought, Sutton

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Sutton forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.498, -100.538 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe/extreme drought conditions across Sutton County during the month of May.

Drought, Menard

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Menard forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.890, -99.821 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Menard County during the month of May.

Drought, Mason

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Mason forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.718, -99.226 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe/extreme drought conditions across Mason County during the month of May.

Drought, Kimble

When
May 1, 12:00 AM CST to May 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Kimble forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.487, -99.749 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated severe/extreme drought conditions across Kimble County during the month of May.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, May 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1267512, 1267514, 1267515, 1267517, 1267519, 1267521, 1267524, 1267525, 1267527.