Texas, 2025Drought in Texas, May 1 to 31, 2025
May 1 to 31, 2025 · NWS EPZ · 7 events in 7 counties and zones
Little to no precipitation fell across far west Texas in May which kept almost the entire area in Exceptional(D4) drought.
Every event with a place to put it; 7 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 7
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Little to no precipitation fell across far west Texas in May which kept almost the entire area in Exceptional(D4) drought.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 30, 10:21 PM MST, 1 hour 39 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Issued at 200 AM MDT Wed Apr 30 2025
- Temperatures near normal, to slightly above, for early May.
- Dry areawide with slightly breezy afternoons through Thursday.
- Moisture pushes into eastern areas for Friday and Saturday, bringing low to medium thunderstorm chances, especially from the Rio Grande Valley and eastward, and area mountains.
- Hazardous weather day looking likely Sunday as strong winds, blowing dust, and critical fire danger return.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 10:21 PM MST, 1 hour 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1121 PM MDT Wed Apr 30 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 200 AM MDT Wed Apr 30 2025
- Temperatures near normal, to slightly above, for early May.
- Dry areawide with slightly breezy afternoons through Thursday.
- Moisture pushes into eastern areas for Friday and Saturday,
bringing low to medium thunderstorm chances, especially from
the Rio Grande Valley and eastward, and area mountains.
- Hazardous weather day looking likely Sunday as strong winds,
blowing dust, and critical fire danger return.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 143 PM MDT Wed Apr 30 2025
Today's departing storm system is keeping the region a bit cooler
on continued breezy wind conditions that have turned more westerly
on the back side of the exiting upper trough. We keep the dry air
pouring in with all the associated moisture staying well to our
north. Tonight will be seasonal, with dry conditions and light
winds.
Thursday follows with a minor shortwave ridge passing across the
region. This will allow for a warming of 3-5 degrees, with
afternoon highs back above the seasonal average. Winds will also
be lighter as pressure gradients at all levels loosen. Winds will
shift back to SW and keep the fetch of dry air streaming in.
Friday begins a moisture intrusion from the east, as we see high
pressure at the surface push a boundary of gulf moisture in from W
TX and the Eastern NM Plains, across the Central Mountain Chain,
and into the Rio Grande Valley. Models vary a bit on the strength
and depth of the moisture push, but it is safe today that Friday's
initial push will be limited to the RG and east for all but Sierra
Country into the Black Range area. Those area will see some POPs,
with spotty light rain, and isolated thunderstorms possible.
Friday night, into Saturday, the east push of moisture makes a
stronger push west to the Continental Divide. This means dewpoints
rising into the 40s along the dryline (around DMN) to the 50s east
for Saturday. PWATs will rise to the 0.50-0.75" levels for our
central and eastern zones. Heating and weak convergence will
allow for some destabilization, with LIs 0 to -3 and CAPE 200-600
J/kg in those central and eastern zones. Thus isolated to
scattered shower and storms are expected. Severe storms not
expected, but strong outflow winds, with blowing dust is possible.
Sunday the moisture gets a shove back east, where it will linger
over OTERO and HUDSPETH counties, with the rest of the region back
to dry conditions. This is due to the next Pacific low pressure
system approaching. We will see a return of S-SW winds, which will
strengthen as the gradients tighten aloft, and we develop a sharp
surface trough right over the area. Winds of 20-30 mph look likely
with gusts 30-40 mph possible. This will result in blowing dust
and Critical fire weather conditions for our central and western
zones. Watch for wind, dust, and fire headlines in the coming
days.
Monday looks to continue breezy to windy as the upper low will be
show to lift, due to a blocking pattern downstream, over the
Central and Eastern U.S. We could repeat Sunday with more
headlines for the same hazards.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1120 PM MDT Wed Apr 30 2025
VMC through forecast period under west flow aloft. Skies FEW-
SCT250 with broken high clouds over central NM overnight,
becoming clear again Thursday afternoon. Surface winds light
overnight 270-300 at 05-10 knots. Southwest winds 220-250 at
08-12 knots this afternoon.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 143 PM MDT Wed Apr 30 2025
After another day of Elevated fire weather conditions, due to dry
and breezy conditions, winds will slacken quickly this evening,
but RH recover will continue quite poor overnight. For Thursday a
minor shortwave ridge moves over helping to add a few degrees to
the afternoon max temperatures, drop afternoon minRH to critically
low values, but also slack winds to their lightest of the week.
However due to fuel conditions and extreme dryness, conditions
will continue somewhat elevated.
Friday be being to see some east wind influence that will bring
in some low-level, shallow gulf moisture. This will bring the
dryline into our region, to the Rio Grande valley and Gila for
Friday, and to the Continental Divide for Saturday. This will aid
in RHs late this week and lower the fire danger threat, at least
east of the Rio Grande. Both days will have low-medium
rain/thunderstorm chances. Mostly east of the RGV on Friday, but
even the Black Range could see something Friday. Saturday,
rain/storm chances extend a bit more west into all but the SW
deserts. Dry lower levels will bring the threat of dry lightning.
Sunday looks to bring our next day of Critical fire weather
conditions for all but the SACs. Winds will increase from the
S-SW ahead of a potent upper low, resulting in critical to extreme
fire weather conditions mainly west of the RGV. Fire weather
products will likely be needed for Sunday. Seasonal temperatures
are expected through next weekend.
Min RHs range from 5-15% through Thu, then 15-40% east of the RGV
by Sat. Vent rates will be mostly excellent.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso 55 86 56 86 / 0 0 0 10
Sierra Blanca 49 82 51 81 / 0 0 0 10
Las Cruces 47 82 49 82 / 0 0 0 20
Alamogordo 48 83 48 82 / 0 0 0 30
Cloudcroft 36 60 36 57 / 0 0 0 50
Truth or Consequences 52 82 52 80 / 0 0 0 50
Silver City 46 74 46 76 / 0 0 0 20
Deming 46 84 47 85 / 0 0 0 10
Lordsburg 44 81 46 83 / 0 0 0 10
West El Paso Metro 55 83 57 84 / 0 0 0 10
Dell City 46 86 48 80 / 0 0 0 10
Fort Hancock 50 89 52 89 / 0 0 0 10
Loma Linda 52 78 53 76 / 0 0 0 10
Fabens 50 87 53 87 / 0 0 0 10
Santa Teresa 49 82 50 83 / 0 0 0 10
White Sands HQ 57 84 57 83 / 0 0 0 20
Jornada Range 46 82 46 82 / 0 0 0 30
Hatch 46 84 46 84 / 0 0 0 30
Columbus 51 84 53 85 / 0 0 0 0
Orogrande 49 81 49 80 / 0 0 0 20
Mayhill 41 74 39 64 / 0 0 0 50
Mescalero 39 71 39 66 / 0 0 0 50
Timberon 38 69 38 66 / 0 0 0 30
Winston 39 75 38 70 / 0 0 0 50
Hillsboro 47 81 48 79 / 0 0 0 30
Spaceport 45 82 46 80 / 0 0 0 40
Lake Roberts 41 76 41 76 / 0 0 0 30
Hurley 43 78 43 79 / 0 0 0 20
Cliff 41 81 42 83 / 0 0 0 20
Mule Creek 43 77 43 78 / 0 0 0 10
Faywood 47 77 48 77 / 0 0 0 20
Animas 44 83 46 84 / 0 0 0 0
Hachita 44 82 46 83 / 0 0 0 0
Antelope Wells 46 82 47 82 / 0 0 0 0
Cloverdale 47 76 48 76 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&
FORECASTER...30-Dennhardt
Drought, Western El Paso County
- When
- May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Western El Paso County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 31.769, -106.235 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The northern half of the zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought with the south in Exceptional(D4) drought.
Drought, Eastern/Central El Paso County
- When
- May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Eastern/Central El Paso County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 31.769, -106.235 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The northern half of the zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought while the south continued to be in Exceptional(D4) drought. The El Paso Airport reported a trace of precipitation which was 0.43 inches below normal.
Drought, Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains
- When
- May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 31.612, -105.810 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Exceptional(D4) drought continued for all but the far northern areas where Extreme(D3) drought continued.
Drought, Salt Basin
- When
- May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Salt Basin forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 31.456, -105.386 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Exceptional(D4) drought continued for all but the far northern areas where Extreme(D3) drought continued.
Drought, Southern Hudspeth Highlands
- When
- May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Southern Hudspeth Highlands forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 31.456, -105.386 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The entire zone remained in Exceptional(D4) drought in May.
Drought, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties
- When
- May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 31.612, -105.810 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The entire zone remained in Exceptional(D4) drought May. No precipitation fell at the Cooperative Observation site in Tornillo which averages 0.50 inches of precipitation in the month.
Drought, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County
- When
- May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 31.456, -105.386 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The entire zone remained in Exceptional(D4) drought in May.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Puerto Rico, May 1 to 5, 20251 death · 1 injured · $523,000 · 79 events
- Tornado and Hail in Alabama, May 1 to 3, 20251 death · 2 injured · $7,000 · EF0 · 40 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Alabama, May 1 to 3, 2025$384,000 · 2 in hail · 77 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flood in Texas, May 1, 20251 injured · $100,000 · EF1 · 15 events
- Wildfire in Pennsylvania, May 1 to 2, 2025$800,000 · 1 event
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Ohio, May 1 to 5, 2025$55,000 · 1.25 in hail · 55 events
- Tornado and Flash Flooding in Oklahoma, May 1 to 2, 2025$175,000 · EF0 · 26 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Texas, May 1 to 2, 2025$70,000 · 4.5 in hail · 34 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Mississippi, May 1 to 2, 2025$101,000 · 1.5 in hail · 16 events
- Damaging Winds in Pennsylvania, May 1, 2025$82,000 · 61 kt wind · 11 events
- Flooding in Oklahoma, May 1 to 5, 2025$100,000 · 4 events
- Drought in New Mexico, May 1 to 31, 202528 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1263100, 1263102, 1263103, 1263104, 1263105, 1263107, 1263108.