Texas, 2025

Drought in Texas, May 1 to 31, 2025

May 1 to 31, 2025 · NWS EPZ · 7 events in 7 counties and zones

Little to no precipitation fell across far west Texas in May which kept almost the entire area in Exceptional(D4) drought.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 7 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
7

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.

Little to no precipitation fell across far west Texas in May which kept almost the entire area in Exceptional(D4) drought.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 30, 10:21 PM MST, 1 hour 39 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Issued at 200 AM MDT Wed Apr 30 2025
  • Temperatures near normal, to slightly above, for early May.
  • Dry areawide with slightly breezy afternoons through Thursday.
  • Moisture pushes into eastern areas for Friday and Saturday, bringing low to medium thunderstorm chances, especially from the Rio Grande Valley and eastward, and area mountains.
  • Hazardous weather day looking likely Sunday as strong winds, blowing dust, and critical fire danger return.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 10:21 PM MST, 1 hour 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1121 PM MDT Wed Apr 30 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 200 AM MDT Wed Apr 30 2025

 - Temperatures near normal, to slightly above, for early May.

 - Dry areawide with slightly breezy afternoons through Thursday.

 - Moisture pushes into eastern areas for Friday and Saturday,
   bringing low to medium thunderstorm chances, especially from
   the Rio Grande Valley and eastward, and area mountains.

 - Hazardous weather day looking likely Sunday as strong winds,
   blowing dust, and critical fire danger return.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 143 PM MDT Wed Apr 30 2025

Today's departing storm system is keeping the region a bit cooler
on continued breezy wind conditions that have turned more westerly
on the back side of the exiting upper trough. We keep the dry air
pouring in with all the associated moisture staying well to our
north. Tonight will be seasonal, with dry conditions and light
winds.

Thursday follows with a minor shortwave ridge passing across the
region. This will allow for a warming of 3-5 degrees, with
afternoon highs back above the seasonal average. Winds will also
be lighter as pressure gradients at all levels loosen. Winds will
shift back to SW and keep the fetch of dry air streaming in.

Friday begins a moisture intrusion from the east, as we see high
pressure at the surface push a boundary of gulf moisture in from W
TX and the Eastern NM Plains, across the Central Mountain Chain,
and into the Rio Grande Valley. Models vary a bit on the strength
and depth of the moisture push, but it is safe today that Friday's
initial push will be limited to the RG and east for all but Sierra
Country into the Black Range area. Those area will see some POPs,
with spotty light rain, and isolated thunderstorms possible.

Friday night, into Saturday, the east push of moisture makes a
stronger push west to the Continental Divide. This means dewpoints
rising into the 40s along the dryline (around DMN) to the 50s east
for Saturday. PWATs will rise to the 0.50-0.75" levels for our
central and eastern zones. Heating and weak convergence will
allow for some destabilization, with LIs 0 to -3 and CAPE 200-600
J/kg in those central and eastern zones. Thus isolated to
scattered shower and storms are expected. Severe storms not
expected, but strong outflow winds, with blowing dust is possible.

Sunday the moisture gets a shove back east, where it will linger
over OTERO and HUDSPETH counties, with the rest of the region back
to dry conditions. This is due to the next Pacific low pressure
system approaching. We will see a return of S-SW winds, which will
strengthen as the gradients tighten aloft, and we develop a sharp
surface trough right over the area. Winds of 20-30 mph look likely
with gusts 30-40 mph possible. This will result in blowing dust
and Critical fire weather conditions for our central and western
zones. Watch for wind, dust, and fire headlines in the coming
days.

Monday looks to continue breezy to windy as the upper low will be
show to lift, due to a blocking pattern downstream, over the
Central and Eastern U.S. We could repeat Sunday with more
headlines for the same hazards.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1120 PM MDT Wed Apr 30 2025

VMC through forecast period under west flow aloft. Skies FEW-
SCT250 with broken high clouds over central NM overnight,
becoming clear again Thursday afternoon. Surface winds light
overnight 270-300 at 05-10 knots. Southwest winds 220-250 at
08-12 knots this afternoon.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 143 PM MDT Wed Apr 30 2025

After another day of Elevated fire weather conditions, due to dry
and breezy conditions, winds will slacken quickly this evening,
but RH recover will continue quite poor overnight. For Thursday a
minor shortwave ridge moves over helping to add a few degrees to
the afternoon max temperatures, drop afternoon minRH to critically
low values, but also slack winds to their lightest of the week.
However due to fuel conditions and extreme dryness, conditions
will continue somewhat elevated.

Friday be being to see some east wind influence that will bring
in some low-level, shallow gulf moisture. This will bring the
dryline into our region, to the Rio Grande valley and Gila for
Friday, and to the Continental Divide for Saturday. This will aid
in RHs late this week and lower the fire danger threat, at least
east of the Rio Grande. Both days will have low-medium
rain/thunderstorm chances. Mostly east of the RGV on Friday, but
even the Black Range could see something Friday. Saturday,
rain/storm chances extend a bit more west into all but the SW
deserts. Dry lower levels will bring the threat of dry lightning.

Sunday looks to bring our next day of Critical fire weather
conditions for all but the SACs. Winds will increase from the
S-SW ahead of a potent upper low, resulting in critical to extreme
fire weather conditions mainly west of the RGV. Fire weather
products will likely be needed for Sunday. Seasonal temperatures
are expected through next weekend.

Min RHs range from 5-15% through Thu, then 15-40% east of the RGV
by Sat. Vent rates will be mostly excellent.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  55  86  56  86 /   0   0   0  10
Sierra Blanca            49  82  51  81 /   0   0   0  10
Las Cruces               47  82  49  82 /   0   0   0  20
Alamogordo               48  83  48  82 /   0   0   0  30
Cloudcroft               36  60  36  57 /   0   0   0  50
Truth or Consequences    52  82  52  80 /   0   0   0  50
Silver City              46  74  46  76 /   0   0   0  20
Deming                   46  84  47  85 /   0   0   0  10
Lordsburg                44  81  46  83 /   0   0   0  10
West El Paso Metro       55  83  57  84 /   0   0   0  10
Dell City                46  86  48  80 /   0   0   0  10
Fort Hancock             50  89  52  89 /   0   0   0  10
Loma Linda               52  78  53  76 /   0   0   0  10
Fabens                   50  87  53  87 /   0   0   0  10
Santa Teresa             49  82  50  83 /   0   0   0  10
White Sands HQ           57  84  57  83 /   0   0   0  20
Jornada Range            46  82  46  82 /   0   0   0  30
Hatch                    46  84  46  84 /   0   0   0  30
Columbus                 51  84  53  85 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                49  81  49  80 /   0   0   0  20
Mayhill                  41  74  39  64 /   0   0   0  50
Mescalero                39  71  39  66 /   0   0   0  50
Timberon                 38  69  38  66 /   0   0   0  30
Winston                  39  75  38  70 /   0   0   0  50
Hillsboro                47  81  48  79 /   0   0   0  30
Spaceport                45  82  46  80 /   0   0   0  40
Lake Roberts             41  76  41  76 /   0   0   0  30
Hurley                   43  78  43  79 /   0   0   0  20
Cliff                    41  81  42  83 /   0   0   0  20
Mule Creek               43  77  43  78 /   0   0   0  10
Faywood                  47  77  48  77 /   0   0   0  20
Animas                   44  83  46  84 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  44  82  46  83 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           46  82  47  82 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               47  76  48  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

FORECASTER...30-Dennhardt

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

7 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Western El Paso County

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Western El Paso County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.769, -106.235 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The northern half of the zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought with the south in Exceptional(D4) drought.

Drought, Eastern/Central El Paso County

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Eastern/Central El Paso County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.769, -106.235 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The northern half of the zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought while the south continued to be in Exceptional(D4) drought. The El Paso Airport reported a trace of precipitation which was 0.43 inches below normal.

Drought, Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.612, -105.810 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Exceptional(D4) drought continued for all but the far northern areas where Extreme(D3) drought continued.

Drought, Salt Basin

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Salt Basin forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.456, -105.386 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Exceptional(D4) drought continued for all but the far northern areas where Extreme(D3) drought continued.

Drought, Southern Hudspeth Highlands

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Southern Hudspeth Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.456, -105.386 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The entire zone remained in Exceptional(D4) drought in May.

Drought, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.612, -105.810 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The entire zone remained in Exceptional(D4) drought May. No precipitation fell at the Cooperative Observation site in Tornillo which averages 0.50 inches of precipitation in the month.

Drought, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.456, -105.386 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The entire zone remained in Exceptional(D4) drought in May.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, May 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1263100, 1263102, 1263103, 1263104, 1263105, 1263107, 1263108.