Warm temperatures and a moist atmosphere within a mid-level monsoon moisture plume led to scattered thunderstorms on the afternoon of the eighth. One of these storms became severe near Childress producing quarter size hail.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.
Warm temperatures and a moist atmosphere within a mid-level monsoon moisture plume led to scattered thunderstorms on the afternoon of the eighth. One of these storms became severe near Childress producing quarter size hail. Another storm in northern Crosby County produced a landspout tornado near a thunderstorm outflow boundary. The landspout remained in open fields and caused no known damage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 8, 11:12 AM CST, 4 hours 13 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 1212 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1211 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025 - Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected through this evening. A few storms may become severe. - Isolated to scattered thunderstorms may return each afternoon Thursday through the weekend. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Wednesday) Issued at 1211 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025 A 500 mb level high remains stalled over the Desert Southwest today. Waves propagating around it, combined with monsoonal moisture as well as building daytime instability will provide the necessary ingredients for thunderstorm development this afternoon through evening. GFS continues to show the most potent wave tracking northwest to southeast across the area, and average model CAPE remains in the 1500-2000 J/kg range. While uncertainty remains with regards to specific placement of storms depending on the position of the aforementioned wave, in general, areas on the Caprock look to be more favorable for storm development and broad chance PoPs have been retained in the latest forecast. In any case, these chances will linger until around midnight. PWATs are averaging around 1.5 inches and with the monsoonal aspect to the moisture, heavy rain would be the primary threat. However, up to half dollar sized hail and wind gusts to 65 mph cannot be completely ruled out. Storms will taper off by early Wednesday morning and the rest of the day looks to be quiet, with light west winds shifting SE in the afternoon, mostly sunny skies, and near seasonal temperatures in the low-to-lid 90s. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 1211 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025 The longterm forecast for dryer and warmer conditions during the week and the return of storm chances later in the week is still on par. The upper high sitting over the Desert Southwest will flatten and expand latitudinally as an upper trough tracks north of the ridge. However, the expansion of the high will have no effect on the upper flow or heights over the Texas Panhandle. Thickness values will increase by mid-week due to pressure falls. Additionally, south to southwesterly surface flow will prevail as lee surface troughing develops. Greater thicknesses and southerly surface flow will result in temperatures slightly warming Wednesday-Friday to the mid to upper 90s. Thunderstorm chances return Thursday evening as the upper shortwave tracks over the Intermountain West into the Central Plains by the latter half of the week. The shortwave in combination with moist southerly upslope winds, thunderstorms are progged to develop off the Raton Mesa. With decent instability and shear, these thunderstorms could persist and track into our region especially for the far southern Texas Panhandle and portions of the South Plains by Thursday evening. However, as confidence on this is low, NBM slight chance PoPs were kept. By the weekend, the upper high will back off to the west as the upper trough continues to track east. Multiple shortwaves are progged to track over the region as southerly surface flow persists bringing in gulf moisture to the area. This will result in cooler temperatures with highs in the 80s to lower 90s and rain chances through early next week. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1208 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025 There is a chance of showers and thunderstorms at KPVW and KLBB this afternoon through evening. Although confidence is on the lower end, VCTS has been added to these respective TAFs. Gusty/erratic winds and reduced visibility would accompany any storm over the site. Otherwise VFR and light winds will continue. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...19 LONG TERM....10 AVIATION...19
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Lubbock TX 1214 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025 TXZ021>044-091715- Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd- Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum- Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall- 1214 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. There is a chance of thunderstorms this afternoon through evening across the area, with slightly higher chances on the Caprock. Threats include locally heavy rain/flooding, wind gusts to 65 mph, and hail up to half dollar size. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Thunderstorms, some severe, are possible again Thursday through the weekend.
The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 48 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:50 UTC.
1 strong wind, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
LANDSPOUT. Location: 33.804N/101.167W. An NWS cooperative weather observed a landspout tornado in Crosby County that persisted for approximately 20 minutes.
An emergency management official in Childress County reported quarter size hail covering the ground north of Childress.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1274533, 1274530.