Texas, 2025Drought in Texas, July 1 to 31, 2025
July 1 to 31, 2025 · NWS CRP · 6 events in 6 counties and zones
Periods of rainfall across the Coastal Bend and South Texas provided temporary relief for crops and pastures but ultimately did little to halt the ongoing decline in soil moisture and persistence of drought conditions in some areas. Scattered showers delayed fieldwork and harvest activities particularly for grain sorghum, corn, and rice but improved short-term range and pasture conditions,…
Every event with a place to put it; 6 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 6
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Periods of rainfall across the Coastal Bend and South Texas provided temporary relief for crops and pastures but ultimately did little to halt the ongoing decline in soil moisture and persistence of drought conditions in some areas. Scattered showers delayed fieldwork and harvest activities particularly for grain sorghum, corn, and rice but improved short-term range and pasture conditions, supporting livestock health and reducing the need for supplementation. Cotton and sesame responded well to the moisture, though some areas required supplemental irrigation due to continued dryness. Soil moisture levels were generally adequate immediately following rainfall but quickly began to decline under triple-digit temperatures and high winds. While most crops progressed well and pastures remained in fair to good shape, areas lacking recent rainfall began to suffer, and producers grew concerned about moisture availability heading into August.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 11:37 PM CST, 23 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025
- Medium to high (40-80%) chances for rain today across the Coastal Plains and Brush Country
- Rain chances decrease to under a 10% Wednesday through the weekend
- High heat returns this weekend
Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 11:37 PM CST, 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1237 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025
- Medium to high (40-80%) chances for rain today across the Coastal
Plains and Brush Country
- Rain chances decrease to under a 10% Wednesday through the
weekend
- High heat returns this weekend
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025
One more wet is expected today as the remnants of Barry move
northward across Mexico promoting medium to high (40-80%) chances
for rain, mainly across the Brush Country and Coastal Plains. Deep
tropical moisture could lead to high rainfall rates in the heavier
showers and thunderstorms. While flash flooding is not expected,
ponding on roads is likely during these heavier storms. Rain chances
will gradually decrease Tuesday night and Wednesday before dropping
under 10% Wednesday night through the weekend. Independence Day
continues to look dry, with the only possible hazard being the heat
as heat index values will peak between 100-107 degrees.
Please use caution if outdoors and remember to remain hydrated and
take frequent breaks. More heat safety information can be found at
weather.gov/heat
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through much of the TAF period with
CIGs generally above 3kft. However, increasing showers and
thunderstorms across S TX will lead to brief periods of IFR/MVFR
conditions at times throughout the TAF period. Scattered showers
currently across Deep S TX, are moving northwestward toward LRD
and are expected to reach LRD around 06Z. The showers will
continue to move northwestward through the overnight hours, with
ALI, CRP and COT likely to be impacted by these showers. The least
likely TAF site to get rain will be VCT, but they too will see a
few showers later this morning. Additional showers and
thunderstorms can be expected through Tuesday afternoon with the
highest chances being across the Rio Grande Plains and Brush
Country. SHRAs are in the prevailing group for all, but VCT. The
mention of TSRA's are in PROB30 and TEMPOs where timing looks best
for the stronger storms. Rain chances are expected to decrease
Tuesday evening, especially across the east, but will remain at
20-30% for LRD and COT.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025
Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) flow is expected to continue this week.
Medium (35-60%) rain chances are expected today gradually decreasing
Tuesday night before dropping to under 10% by Wednesday night. Gusty
winds will be possible in and around any thunderstorm.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi 89 76 90 77 / 50 20 20 10
Victoria 92 73 92 74 / 20 10 20 10
Laredo 88 74 91 76 / 60 30 20 10
Alice 89 73 91 74 / 60 20 30 10
Rockport 89 80 90 81 / 40 10 20 10
Cotulla 90 75 92 76 / 60 30 40 20
Kingsville 88 74 90 76 / 60 20 20 10
Navy Corpus 88 80 88 81 / 50 20 20 10
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...TE/81
Drought, Duval
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM CST to July 8, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Duval forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 27.681, -98.509 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
D2 conditions improved leading to widespread D1 and D0 conditions.
Drought, Webb
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM CST to July 8, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Webb forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 27.761, -99.332 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
D2 conditions improved leading to widespread D1 and D0 conditions.
Drought, Bee
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM CST to July 15, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Bee forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 28.417, -97.741 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
D2 conditions improved leading to widespread D1 and D0 conditions.
Drought, La Salle
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM CST to July 31, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- La Salle forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 28.345, -99.100 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
D2 conditions improved leading to only a small sliver of D2 drought over eastern La Salle.
Drought, McMullen
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM CST to July 31, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- McMullen forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 28.353, -98.568 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Drought, Live Oak
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM CST to July 31, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Live Oak forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 28.351, -98.125 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Heat in Arizona, July 1 to 4, 202510 deaths · 4 events
- Flash Flooding in Texas, July 1 to 5, 20256 deaths · $39 million · 21 events
- Heat in Nevada, July 1, 20252 deaths · 2 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Ohio, July 1, 20251 death · $172,000 · 50 kt wind · 38 events
- Flash Flooding and Flood in Pennsylvania, July 1, 20251 death · $27,000 · 52 kt wind · 19 events
- Wildfire in Washington, July 1 to 31, 2025$4.3 million · 1 event
- Tornado and Damaging Winds in Maryland, July 1, 2025$331,000 · EF1 · 21 events
- Damaging Winds in Nevada, July 1, 2025$1.0 million · 63 kt wind · 16 events
- Drought in Hawaii, July 1 to 31, 2025$1.0 million · 1 event
- Damaging Winds in Virginia, July 1, 2025$128,000 · 52 kt wind · 41 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Pennsylvania, July 1, 2025$200,000 · 24 events
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Mississippi, July 1, 2025$262,000 · 66 kt wind · 10 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1270723, 1270724, 1270725, 1270726, 1270727, 1270728.