A broad trough across the western United States and a dryline across the Permian Basin and Stockton Plateau resulted in afternoon thunderstorms. Several severe right-moving supercells occurred over the Stockton Plateau, with left-moving supercells moving across western portions of the Permian Basin.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
A broad trough across the western United States and a dryline across the Permian Basin and Stockton Plateau resulted in afternoon thunderstorms. Several severe right-moving supercells occurred over the Stockton Plateau, with left-moving supercells moving across western portions of the Permian Basin. In addition, a localized dry microburst resulted in intense wind gusts of 100 MPH or greater near Midland International Air & Space Port.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 22, 1:50 PM CST, 44 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX 250 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025 ...New SHORT TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 245 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025 - Severe storms expected to develop this afternoon/evening. Large hail and damaging winds will be the primary threats. - Storm chances continue Wednesday afternoon/evening for the Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos. A few of these storms may also be strong to severe with large hail and damaging winds again the primary threats. - Daily shower and storm chances after Wednesday through early next week, with highest chances over eastern Permian Basin into Terrell County Thursday, Saturday, and next Tuesday. Rainfall amounts uncertain and highly dependent on mesoscale influences. .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Wednesday night) Issued at 245 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025 Westerly to southwesterly flow aloft remains prevalent across west Texas and southeast New Mexico this afternoon in advance of an upper level trough over the western CONUS. At the surface, a dryline extends from the western Permian Basin to the Trans Pecos and Big Bend region, where dewpoints range from the lower 50s to the lower 60s. CAPE values generally range between 1500-2500 J/KG along and east of the surface dryline this afternoon, with steep mid level lapse rates between 8.5-9 C/km. Visible satellite imagery is starting to show the first signs of convective initiation in the Davis Mountains and adjacent Stockton Plateau/Upper Trans Pecos region as of 230 PM CDT. Shortwave impulses embedded within the W-SW flow aloft will translate over our forecast area this afternoon and evening and will provide ascent for continued development of scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Trans Pecos and into the Permian Basin through the afternoon/evening. Favorable instability and deep layer shear will be supportive of supercells with the primary hazards of concern being large hail (potentially golfball size or larger) and damaging gusts in excess of 70 mph. A tornado cannot be entirely ruled out if a storm becomes latched onto a boundary. The severe weather threat will peak late this afternoon into early this evening before storms gradually decrease in coverage by late this evening. A repeat scenario looks to be on tap for Wednesday, with a similar pattern (perturbations within W-SW and convergence along the dryline) contributing to additional scattered convection from the southwest mountains/Big Bend/Trans Pecos to the Permian Basin. Storms will have the potential to become severe again with large hail and damaging winds once again being the primary threats. Lows tonight mostly range in the 50s and 60s with highs on Wednesday topping out in the 80s over most areas, except 90s along the Rio Grande. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through Monday) Issued at 1236 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025 A persistent stormy pattern holds into Thursday, at least for the Permian Basin into Stockton Plateau and Terrell County. Long wave troughing from the Great Basin into northern Mexico will impart up to 45 knots of shear, while WPC Surface Analysis shows a dryline sharpening over Eddy County Plains into Davis Mountains and Big Bend, providing forcing for ascent each day. Short wave and vorticity perturbations in the southwest flow aloft coupled with diurnal heating of elevated terrain, as well as enhancement in moisture advection and low-level shear from a LLJ again developing in the evening - will be favorable to initiation of storms. With CAPE remaining above 1000 J/kg and rising up to 2500 J/kg in forecast soundings, lapse rates of 7-9 C/km, and dew point temperatures in the 50s to lower 60s over Permian Basin into eastern Stockton Plateau and Terrell County, there will be enough moisture and instability for strong to severe storms east of the dryline that are capable of generating large hail and damaging winds. SPC has most of the area east of the dryline outlooked in a MRGL risk and this may be upgraded in later outlooks. 40% to 50% PoPs persist will cover this same risk area, with highs 5 to 10 degrees above average in the upper 80s to lower 90s under sunnier skies west of the dryline, and highs up to 5 degrees above average under cloudier skies limiting diurnal heating east of the dryline. Lows fall into the 60s, 50s western higher terrain into SE NM plains and northern Permian Basin, as moisture and clouds limit radiational cooling and keep the diurnal range down to 20 degrees. Subsidence in the wake of the perturbations decreases PoPs Friday, but PoPs again expand westward as more perturbations ripple through the flow, with highest PoPs 40% to 50% over northern Permian Basin and Western Low Rolling Plains on Saturday, before decreasing back down to the 20% to 30% range over eastern parts of the area by Sunday. Geopotential heights less than 582 decameters northwest of Davis Mountains and between 582 and 588 decameters elsewhere along with 1000-500 mb thicknesses between 570 and 576 decameters from late week through this weekend keep temperatures relatively consistent each day, 80s to 90s with coolest temperatures over the northeast Permian Basin in the lower 80s, higher elevations west of the dryline in the lower to mid 80s, and warmest temperatures in the 90s over the Upper Trans Pecos and Rio Grande basins. An exception will be the northeast Permian Basin where highs may not reach the 80s under cloudier skies and another relative maximum in PoPs Saturday. As on Friday, warmer temperatures with subsidence in the wake of the disturbances aloft are again forecast Sunday, with highs ranging from the mid 80s to mid 90s and lows ranging from the mid 50s to mid 60s. Sunday might end up being the warmest day in the long term as a result of gusty downsloping winds developing during the day. However, as troughing deepens over the Great Basin and decreases heights and thicknesses by early next week, a cooling trend and increase in rain chances is expected. NBM rain totals show only a few tenths of an inch accumulation from late this week into early next week over the northeast and southeast Permian Basin into eastern Stockton Plateau and Terrell County. Given tendency of NBM to overperform for rain totals a few days in advance of a rain event, there remains uncertainty about how much rain will fall. The more rain that falls over the eastern Permian Basin into Terrell County, the cooler we can expect temperatures in those regions to be during the day and therefore the lower the diurnal range. Less rain than currently indicated may keep temperatures even over cloudier eastern parts of the area at the higher end during the day, while increasing the diurnal range. There are no indications of a significant wind shift in forecast grids through the extended, with southwesterly winds west of the dryline and southerly/southeasterly winds east of the dryline. Therefore, position and strength of the dryline, storm interactions/mergers, extent and location of prior wetting rains, amount of differential heating of elevated terrain and clearer sky versus cloudier regions, as well as timing, strength, and location of disturbances aloft look to be the main factors impacting temperature and precipitation for the foreseeable future. NBM grids are also indicating the dryline developing farther east early next week, so highest rain chances may end up east of the area compared to so far this week if this pans out. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 533 AM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025 VFR conditions should prevail next 24 hours in return flow. Forecast soundings develop a widespread cu field late morning/early afternoon, w/bases ranging from ~ 4.5 kft AGL east of the dryline to 12 kft AGL KCNM. Convection will be possible during the afternoon and evening, mainly eastern terminals, but chances are too low/uncertain for a mention this issuance. MVFR cigs look likely for a few hours KMAF/KHOB near the end of the forecast period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 60 81 62 82 / 40 20 30 40 Carlsbad 57 89 56 89 / 10 10 10 10 Dryden 64 82 64 86 / 20 20 30 40 Fort Stockton 62 85 64 88 / 20 20 20 40 Guadalupe Pass 55 81 57 80 / 0 0 10 0 Hobbs 56 83 59 85 / 20 10 20 20 Marfa 53 83 53 85 / 0 20 10 10 Midland Intl Airport 61 83 63 84 / 30 10 30 30 Odessa 61 82 64 84 / 30 10 30 30 Wink 61 87 63 89 / 20 10 10 20 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && SHORT TERM...44 LONG TERM....94 AVIATION...44
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
Issued by National Weather Service El Paso TX
333 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025
TXZ067-068-075-222115-
Pecos TX-Crane TX-Ward TX-
333 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL PECOS...
SOUTHEASTERN WARD AND WEST CENTRAL CRANE COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM
CDT...
At 333 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles south of Grandfalls, moving northeast at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Imperial Reservoir, Grandfalls, and Imperial.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
western and southwestern Texas.
&&
LAT...LON 3108 10292 3120 10303 3144 10277 3123 10259
TIME...MOT...LOC 2033Z 219DEG 7KT 3120 10291
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
TSBThe Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 110 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:33 UTC.
20 hail, 6 thunderstorm wind, 5 flash flood, 2 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A report of penny size hail was received from mPING. Time is estimated from radar.
A storm chaser estimated ping pong ball size hail within the core of the supercell, roughly 15 to 20 miles north of Fort Stockton. Time is estimated from radar.
A report was received from mPING of quarter size hail. Time is estimated from radar.
A report of penny size hail was received from mPING. Time is estimated from radar.
A storm chaser reported ping pong ball size hail. Time is estimated from radar.
A report was received from mPING of ping pong ball size hail. Time is estimated from radar.
A report was received from mPING of ping pong ball size hail. Time is estimated from radar.
Landspout 31.06, -102.81/31.06,-102.80: A storm chaser reported a landspout over an open field, lasting for a few minutes. No damage was reported. Time and location are estimates.
Pecos County Emergency Manager reported a roof torn off and a canopy shed displaced. Wind speeds were estimated to have been approximately 80 mph. The time and amount of property damage are estimations.
The Fort Stockton ASOS station recorded a maximum wind gust of 68 MPH with a likely microburst.
Pecos County Emergency Manager reports ping pong ball size hail and heavy rain north of Fort Stockton on Highway 18. Time is estimated from radar.
Pecos County Emergency Manager reports multiple power lines down, affecting approximately 2,200 customers. Wind and hail damage caused minor roof damage and roof leaks. Wind speeds were estimated to be approximately 80 mph. The time and amount of property damage are estimates.
A report from mPING was received of street/road flooding or closures in Fort Stockton. Urban flooding was likely due to a slow-moving supercell thunderstorm. Time is estimated from radar.
The Pecos County Emergency Manager reported tennis ball size hail roughly 5 miles south of Fort Stockton on Highway 285. Time is estimated from radar.
Landspout 30.83,-102.84/30.82,-102.83: A storm chaser reported a landspout southeast of Fort Stockton near Highway 285 and potentially crossing the road. No damage was reported with this. The time and location are estimates.
A report of street/road flooding or closures was received from mPING on the northeast side of Fort Stockton. This was likely the result of a slow-moving supercell thunderstorm. Time is estimated from radar.
A report was received from mPING of golf ball size hail. Time is estimated from radar.
Pecos County Emergency Manager reports an 18-wheeler flipped over due to wind 10 miles south of Fort Stockton on Highway 285. Wind speeds were estimated to be approximately 80 MPH. The time and amount of property damage are estimates.
A storm chaser reported hail up to and potentially greater than 2 inches in diameter on US 285 south of Fort Stockton. Time is estimated from radar.
Public reports of hail near Kermit. Hail was measured with measuring tape with several images of quarter to hen egg size hail stones. Time is estimated from radar.
A report from mPING of street/road flooding or closures near I-20 was received. Time is estimated from radar.
A report of penny sized hail was received from mPING near Big Lake. Time is estimated from radar.
The Midland International Air and Space Port ASOS reported a peak wind gust of 97 kts due to a dry microburst from distant convection. Several other strong wind gusts were measured. Localized near-zero visibility from blowing dust was also observed. Reported wind damage in nearby Odessa and no faults found with the ASOS wind sensor support the validity of this observation. Time is estimated.
Due to a dry microburst from distant convection, at least six downed power poles were split near the base, an overturned semi-truck, and a broken stop sign were reported in northeast Odessa. The wind speeds were estimated to have been approximately 100 mph. The time and amount of property damage are estimates.
A report was received from mPING of penny size hail. The time is estimated from radar.
A report was received from mPING of quarter size hail. Time is estimated from radar.
A storm chaser reported golf ball size hail along US Highway 285. Time is estimated from radar.
A storm chaser reported roughly golf ball size hail along Highway 285. Time is estimated from radar.
A report of golf ball size hail was received from mPING. Time is estimated from radar.
A storm chaser reported walnut sized hail along Highway 285. Time is estimated from radar.
An NWS employee reported baseball size hail along Highway 285. The time is estimated from radar.
A storm chaser reported that a large stretch of FM 2400 was under approximately 6 inches of rushing water. The entire road is flooded. Time is estimated from radar.
A part of FM 2400 was reported flooded out by at least a foot of water. A few vehicles were unable to cross the road at either end. The time is estimated from radar.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, April 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1244482, 1244483, 1244484, 1244485, 1244486, 1244488, 1244487, 1244516, 1244491, 1244490, 1244489, 1244509, 1244492, 1244493, 1244517, 1244494, 1244495, 1244496, 1244497, 1244498, 1244503, 1244499, 1245969, 1245970, 1244502, 1244504, 1244506, 1244507, 1244508, 1244510, 1244511, 1244512, 1244513.