Texas, 2025

Drought in Texas, April 22 to 28, 2025

April 22 to 28, 2025 · NWS FWD · 5 events in 5 counties and zones

Severe drought conditions briefly developed across portions of Central Texas late in the month. Drought conditions improved before the end of the month after beneficial rainfall was received.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.

Severe drought conditions briefly developed across portions of Central Texas late in the month. Drought conditions improved before the end of the month after beneficial rainfall was received.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 21, 11:58 PM CST, 2 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Tranquil and pleasant weather conditions will continue through Tuesday morning.
  • Storm chances will increase starting Tuesday afternoon with additional waves of showers and storms through the weekend. Flash flooding and severe weather chances will also increase during this timeframe.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 21, 11:58 PM CST, 2 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1258 AM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

...New Short Term, Aviation...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Tranquil and pleasant weather conditions will continue through
  Tuesday morning.

- Storm chances will increase starting Tuesday afternoon with
  additional waves of showers and storms through the weekend.
  Flash flooding and severe weather chances will also increase
  during this timeframe.

&&

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Through Wednesday/

Low-level moisture will be on the rise through the remainder of
the night, resulting in warmer overnight temperatures and the
development of stratus later tonight. A warm front will begin to
lift northward through the area this morning and will likely
result a brief period of patchy fog generally east of the I-35
corridor and near/south of I-20. While we can't rule out dense
fog in some areas, any occurrence should be isolated and brief.
Therefore, a Dense Fog Advisory is not anticipated at this time,
but we will monitor trends closely through the morning.

Any fog will dissipate by mid morning, with morning stratus
scattering out by midday. This afternoon, the first of a series
of upper level disturbances will move across the area. If
destabilization is sufficient as this disturbance arrives,
scattered showers and storms may develop across portions of
Central and East Texas. Given the lack of forcing, the severe
weather threat will remain fairly isolated. However, any stronger
storms will be capable of producing severe hail and damaging wind
gusts.

Some of this activity may continue into the evening hours,
but our focus will then turn towards an active dryline late this
evening into the overnight hours Tuesday night. Storms are
expected to develop near the dryline in far West Texas with the
arrival of another upper level disturbance. There is still
significant uncertainty in whether any of this activity will
survive the journey into North and Central Texas, but if it does,
it should be on a weakening trend as it encounters a more weakly
sheared environment. We will keep PoPs broad-brushed through the
overnight hours, but it's possible the better potential for
showers and storms will occur on Wednesday. If the decaying
convection sends any boundaries into North and Central Texas, they
would serve as a focus for additional convective development with
the arrival of another disturbance. Similar to Tuesday, any severe
threat would remain fairly isolated, with hail and damaging winds
expected to be the main hazards.

Barnes

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 231 PM CDT Mon Apr 21 2025/
/Tuesday Night Onward/

An active weather pattern will remain in place through the entire
duration of the long term forecast with daily chances for showers
and thunderstorms into next week. Relatively zonal flow aloft will
prevail through the rest of the workweek, with multiple subtle
disturbances traversing the region during the next few days. This
will enable scattered convection in the absence of well-defined
surface boundaries, with marginal strong/severe convective
hazards.

The first such disturbance will spread into West Texas on Tuesday
evening, aiding in the development of scattered convection within
an open warm sector east of an ill-defined dryline. This
convective activity across the Big Country may eventually spread
into our western zones late Tuesday night or Wednesday morning,
although its intensity will likely be on a downward trend the
farther east it progresses as it encounters weaker flow and shear.
This may however, result in either outflow boundaries or an MCV
feature moving into parts of North Texas early on Wednesday,
perhaps serving as foci for additional convective initiation later
in the day. One or both of these scenarios are supported by most
12z HREF members. With relatively weak forcing overall, scattered
and disorganized convective coverage will be favored as the
entire CWA remains positioned within the open warm sector.
Moderate MUCAPE and modest shear could support at least marginally
severe hail/wind threats, although these hazards would likely
remain isolated.

Another progressive disturbance will pivot through zonal flow
aloft on Thursday, offering additional scattered shower and
thunderstorm chances while we remain positioned within the
warm/moist buoyant sector. Coverage would likely peak with diurnal
heating when instability is at a maximum, but convection should
once again be disorganized in the absence of a focusing surface
boundary. More isolated thunderstorm activity is possible heading
into Friday and the upcoming weekend, while weak ridging aloft
and associated subsidence may limit the overall chances and
coverage. North Texas will retain slightly higher PoPs than
Central Texas during this period, being farther removed from the
influences of the ridge and possibly more susceptible to an
intrusion of MCS activity from Oklahoma. By early next week, long-
range guidance suggests a pattern more favorable for an eastward-
advancing dryline into North Texas which would offer a greater
potential for strong or severe organized convection during the day
6-8 time window.

-Stalley

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/06Z TAFs/

MVFR/IFR stratus is expected to develop within the next few hours
across Central Texas, spreading northward into portions of D10
later this morning. Confidence is slightly higher that MVFR
ceilings will make it to DFW/DAL/GKY as compared to AFW/FTW where
any occurrence of MVFR ceilings has a better chance of remaining
intermittent. A TEMPO group has been introduced to the two western
D10 TAF sites to account for this potential, with prevailing MVFR
ceilings maintained in the remainder of the D10 TAFs. Patchy fog
is expected to develop across portions of Central Texas for a few
hours this morning, and a brief TEMPO group has been introduced
to the KACT TAF for MVFR visibilities and LIFR ceilings.

Any fog is expected to dissipate by 15Z, with stratus scattering
out by midday. Scattered storms may develop across portions of
Central and East Texas this afternoon and evening, but confidence
in the location of this activity remains low at this time.
Therefore, no precipitation has been included in the KACT TAF, but
trends will need to be monitored closely. Additional showers and
storms may approach from the west late Tuesday night but this
activity will likely dissipate prior to reaching the terminals.
Better rain/storm chances will likely exist just outside of the
extended TAF period on Wednesday. Otherwise, south to southeast
winds will prevail near 5 to 10 knots through the period, with
light and variable winds continuing for the next few hours at
KACT.

Barnes

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    59  85  65  81  66 /   0   5  40  70  50
Waco                61  88  66  81  66 /   0  20  40  70  30
Paris               55  82  62  80  63 /   0   0  10  70  40
Denton              54  85  62  80  62 /   0   0  40  70  50
McKinney            56  83  63  80  63 /   0   0  20  70  40
Dallas              60  87  67  82  66 /   0   5  30  70  50
Terrell             57  85  65  80  64 /   0  20  20  70  40
Corsicana           62  86  66  81  66 /   0  20  30  70  40
Temple              62  88  66  82  66 /   0  20  40  70  30
Mineral Wells       53  87  63  80  63 /   0   0  60  70  50

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

5 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Coryell

When
April 22, 12:00 AM CST to April 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Coryell forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.391, -97.799 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions briefly impacted portions of the county late in the month.

Drought, McLennan

When
April 22, 12:00 AM CST to April 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
McLennan forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.552, -97.202 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions briefly impacted portions of the county late in the month.

Drought, Falls

When
April 22, 12:00 AM CST to April 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Falls forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.253, -96.936 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions briefly impacted portions of the county late in the month.

Drought, Robertson

When
April 22, 12:00 AM CST to April 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Robertson forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.027, -96.513 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions briefly impacted portions of the county late in the month.

Drought, Milam

When
April 22, 12:00 AM CST to April 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Milam forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.786, -96.977 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions briefly impacted portions of the county late in the month.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, April 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1254308, 1254309, 1254310, 1254312, 1254313.