Oklahoma, 2025Wildfire in Oklahoma, March 24 to 26, 2025
March 24 to 26, 2025 · NWS OUN · 1 event in 1 county or zone
The combination of warm, dry and breezy conditions created favorable conditions for fire starts and spread.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $2,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The combination of warm, dry and breezy conditions created favorable conditions for fire starts and spread.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 24, 8:29 PM CST, 16 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 926 PM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025
- Elevated fire conditions will continue this afternoon with warm, breezy, and dry conditions.
- Strong to an isolated severe storm is possible Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Otherwise, increasing rain and thunderstorm chances expected late Tuesday through early next week.
- Elevated to near-critical fire conditions may return Thursday across northern Oklahoma and again Saturday across western Oklahoma and adjacent portions of western north Texas.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 24, 8:29 PM CST, 16 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
929 PM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 926 PM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025
- Elevated fire conditions will continue this afternoon with warm,
breezy, and dry conditions.
- Strong to an isolated severe storm is possible Tuesday night
into Wednesday morning. Otherwise, increasing rain and
thunderstorm chances expected late Tuesday through early next
week.
- Elevated to near-critical fire conditions may return Thursday
across northern Oklahoma and again Saturday across western
Oklahoma and adjacent portions of western north Texas.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 221 PM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025
Temperatures will continue to warm to above normal today under
mostly sunny skies and low-end breezy south winds ahead of the lee
trough. Elevated fire weather concerns will continue into this
evening, but quickly diminish near or after sunset with cooling
temperatures and recovering relative humidity values. Clearing skies
tonight and continued light winds will give way to radiational
cooling with low temperatures in the 40s. The cold front will begin
to push into northern Oklahoma early tomorrow morning, bringing
light north winds.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday through Wednesday night)
Issued at 221 PM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025
The cold front will continue to push south across Oklahoma Tuesday
morning and into north Texas by the afternoon hours where it will
stall across Texas along a line roughly from Lubbock to Dallas.
Despite the cold front, the bulk of the cold air advection will keep
farther northeast with the main wave across the Midwest into the
Ohio Valley. Additionally, with the weak front southerly surface
flow ahead of the front will still give way to warm air advection
and temperatures in the upper 70s to 80s and even approaching the
90s across portions of north Texas.
Warm moist Gulf air will advect northward around the 850 and 700mb
high over Texas and move over the front with isentropic lift
generating a corridor for increased precipitation chances south of I-
40 and into north Texas Tuesday evening and into Wednesday morning.
A weak disturbance in the northwesterly flow aloft may provide
enough dynamical lift to support strong to isolated severe
thunderstorms. The better chance for a severe storm will be across
southern Oklahoma and into north Texas. Storms are expected to be
elevated behind the front with the main threat being hail, but gusty
winds may be possible. With the northwesterly flow aloft, storm
motion will generally be southeast with development mainly along an
axis from Elk City to Durant. PWATs will generally be around 0.75"
to 1", which will support localized heavy rainfall. Generally, less
than 0.25" of rainfall is expected with any overnight activity with
the highest amounts near south central Oklahoma and into north
Texas.
Rainfall chances will diminish through the day Wednesday, but
continued warm air advection will give way to temperatures warming
into the 70s and 80s again. The only caveat to temperatures
Wednesday will be the potential for lingering clouds from the early
morning showers and storms, which may keep temperatures cooler in
the area where rain chances are the greatest. Overnight Wednesday,
continued increased low-level moisture will bring in low clouds and
the potential for some light rain showers. Increased cloud cover
will also give way to more mild temperatures overnight into Thursday
morning with lows in the 50s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 325 AM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025
Ensemble and deterministic guidance continue to indicate a
pattern change the latter half of the week with a more active
southern jet stream with embedded shortwaves moving into the
Southern Plains.
One embedded wave is forecast to approach late Thursday into
Friday with a chance for rain; however, there remains uncertainty
on the exact latitude of the wave's track (which will modulate the
highest chance for rainfall). Currently, the highest chance for
rain is across the southern half of the area. Another wave is
forecast to approach by the weekend; however, the dryslot may
limit rain across parts of the area. Therefore, even with the
pattern change, rain is not a guarantee (especially across the
entire area).
In addition, with the approach of these shortwaves, surface winds
will likely be stronger. As a result, fire weather conditions
will likely increase across parts of the area. Currently, the
highest chance for this is across western Oklahoma and adjacent
parts of north Texas on Saturday due to the aforementioned
dryslot.
Mahale
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 926 PM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025
High clouds will continue to stream across the area tonight into
Tuesday. Scattered low/mid clouds will be possible Tuesday
evening. Winds will shift towards the NE Tuesday as a boundary
moves south across the area. Some showers and maybe a few storms
will be possible starting Tuesday evening generally along/south
of I-40. However, chances are too low at this time for mention in
any TAF.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK 50 80 53 76 / 0 0 30 20
Hobart OK 46 82 51 76 / 0 0 30 20
Wichita Falls TX 49 87 55 80 / 0 10 40 30
Gage OK 41 79 45 77 / 0 0 10 10
Ponca City OK 47 79 49 77 / 0 0 0 10
Durant OK 52 85 56 75 / 0 0 40 40
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
NEAR TERM...23
SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...25
Wildfire, Atoka
- When
- March 24, 8:45 PM CST to March 26, 9:00 PM CST
- Where
- Atoka forecast zone
- Property damage
- $2,000
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 34.374, -96.038 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Half Bank Road Fire burned 498 acres in central Atoka County. The control/end time of the fire is estimated.
- Wildfire
- A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding in American Samoa, March 24, 2025$515,000 · 7 events
- Damaging Winds in Louisiana, March 24, 2025$110,000 · 87 kt wind · 5 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Louisiana, March 24, 2025$30,000 · 1.25 in hail · 12 events
- Winter Weather in Maine, March 24, 202510 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Gulf of Mexico, March 24, 202561 kt wind · 4 events
- High Wind in Montana, March 24, 202556 kt wind · 4 events
- Damaging Winds in Texas, March 24, 202564 kt wind · 4 events
- Strong Wind in Colorado, March 24, 20253 events
- Damaging Winds in Texas, March 24, 202572 kt wind · 3 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Gulf of Mexico, March 24, 20252 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in North Atlantic Coastal Waters, March 24, 20252 events
- Sneakerwave in Oregon, March 24 to 25, 20252 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1243299.