What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 5, 12:28 PM CST, 1 hour 47 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 128 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
- Episodic rounds of showers and thunderstorms beginning this evening and continuing through the weekend. Severe weather will be possible.
- Warming trend with normal temperatures by Friday.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 5, 12:28 PM CST, 1 hour 47 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
Issued by National Weather Service Tulsa OK
128 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 128 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
- Episodic rounds of showers and thunderstorms beginning this
evening and continuing through the weekend. Severe weather will
be possible.
- Warming trend with normal temperatures by Friday.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 128 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
Severe weather concern will increase this evening and continue
into early Friday morning.
An initial semi-contiguous area of thunderstorms has translated
into western Oklahoma from the Texas Panhandle early this
afternoon, plausibly tied to an area of moist mid-level
ascent. Some risk for large hail and perhaps damaging wind gusts,
as destabilization continues downstream, can be intermittently
expected with strongest cores this afternoon into early evening.
Localized flooding may also be a concern where repeated rounds of
thunderstorms occur.
Otherwise, the most confident scenario remains for robust
convection to organize across far southwestern Kansas/Oklahoma
Panhandle and spread southeastward into northern and north-
central Oklahoma late this evening into early Friday morning. An
increasingly unstable airmass, potentially aided by increasing
moisture/theta-e flux, is expected across the area during this
time. Damaging wind gusts, with a few significant (>80 mph) wind
gusts, large hail and perhaps a tornado or two will be the main
hazards with severe thunderstorms towards daybreak Friday.
Flooding will also remain a concern into early Friday morning
along and north of the Interstate 40 corridor. This is where
localized heavy rainfall has occurred this week, and an additional
2-4" inches is likely with the convective cluster/line overnight.
A Flood Watch begins at 7 PM this evening and continues until 12
PM Friday.
Ungar
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Saturday night)
Issued at 128 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
Friday: The convective complex discussed above will be ongoing
towards daybreak, and slowly decay as it translates into east-
central/southeast Oklahoma towards midday. At least occasional
severe weather risk, likely focusing on mainly damaging wind gusts,
will remain possible during this time.
Outflow along the complexes southwest periphery will likely slow
and stall across the central/southern portions of the forecast
area into Friday afternoon. There will be low potential for a
severe thunderstorm or two near this quasi-stationary
feature/modified boundary from the late afternoon into early
evening. If thunderstorms form, a severe weather risk (large
hail/damaging winds/a tornado) will ensue.
Friday Night: Another convective complex, with similar evolution to
that of early Friday morning, is expected from late Friday into
early Saturday. With a continued unstable airmass progged across the
region, severe weather concern will exist with this activity. With
upscale growth expected (into a mesoscale convective system),
damaging winds will once again be the main hazard, though concern
for large hail and a tornado or two will also remain.
Saturday: Thunderstorm activity is likely to be ongoing during the
morning, posing some occasional risk for severe weather towards
midday. Once again, a remnant outflow may provide enough focus/lift
for additional thunderstorms into the afternoon and evening before
additional convective complexes impact portions of the area,
perhaps focused further south across Oklahoma and north Texas,
into the early morning on Sunday.
Ungar
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 936 AM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
Continued potential for areas/complexes of thunderstorms will remain
the main weather message as we end the weekend and begin a new week.
The upstream upper air pattern looks to evolve towards a more
dominant/high-amplitude ridge across the West Coast. Ahead of this
feature, a strong upper wave will dig across the Great
Lakes/Northeast early in the period. Trailing fronts/impulses
will offer enough support for episodic rounds of showers and
thunderstorms. This includes potential for severe weather, most
especially across western Oklahoma into western-north Texas on
Sunday (risk for mainly damaging wind gusts and large hail).
A transition towards drier surface weather is currently forecast as
we head into Tuesday and beyond, as the upper ridge begins to shift
eastward. Temperatures will begin a more sustained (slow) uptrend
during this time, with mid to upper-80s high temperatures.
Ungar
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1247 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
Initially VFR conditions will give way to varied category late
Thursday evening into Friday morning. Convective coverage will
steadily increase through the evening, peaking early Friday
morning. In addition to reduced visibility, erratic-gusty winds
can be expected near thunderstorms. Low stratus is also expected
by Friday morning.
Safe travels!
Ungar
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK 69 86 68 86 / 80 60 60 40
Hobart OK 66 89 67 91 / 70 30 50 10
Wichita Falls TX 72 93 72 94 / 30 20 20 10
Gage OK 61 81 61 85 / 90 20 80 10
Ponca City OK 66 83 65 83 / 90 40 80 40
Durant OK 73 91 74 91 / 40 40 10 30
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through Friday afternoon
for OKZ004>020-024>026.
TX...None.
&&
NEAR TERM...09
SHORT TERM...09
LONG TERM....09
AVIATION...09In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 5, 11:53 AM CST, 2 hours 22 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
Issued by National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1253 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
OKZ014-051830-
Roger Mills OK-
1253 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN ROGER MILLS COUNTY
THROUGH 130 PM CDT...
At 1253 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near
Allison, moving northeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
is possible.
Locations in or near the path include...
Reydon...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
western Oklahoma.
&&
LAT...LON 3573 10000 3577 9991 3552 9982 3549 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 1753Z 244DEG 25KT 3558 10014
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPHSpecial weather statement, Jun 5, 12:14 PM CST, 2 hours 1 minute before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
Issued by National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
114 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
OKZ022-023-035-038-051900-
Kiowa-Washita-Caddo-Comanche-
114 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN WASHITA...
NORTHWESTERN COMANCHE...SOUTHERN CADDO AND NORTHEASTERN KIOWA
COUNTIES...
At 113 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Cooperton, or
20 miles southeast of Hobart, moving east at 45 mph.
Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.
Locations impacted include...
Carnegie, Alfalfa, Anadarko, Stecker, Boone, Fort Cobb Reservoir,
Fort Cobb, Cooperton, Albert, Gotebo, Roosevelt, Mountain View,
Apache, and Wichita Mountains Wildlife Refuge.
&&
LAT...LON 3534 9841 3498 9809 3497 9809 3477 9882
3490 9920
TIME...MOT...LOC 1813Z 247DEG 38KT 3489 9878
HernandezSpecial weather statement, Jun 5, 12:59 PM CST, 1 hour 16 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
Issued by National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
159 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
OKZ014-021-051930-
Roger Mills-Beckham-
159 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN ROGER MILLS AND
NORTHWESTERN BECKHAM COUNTIES...
At 159 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Erick, or 15
miles west of Sayre, moving northeast at 40 mph.
Winds in excess of 40 mph and penny size hail are possible with this
storm.
Locations impacted include...
Erick, Sweetwater, and Texola.
&&
LAT...LON 3554 10000 3535 9957 3515 9996 3516 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 1859Z 229DEG 34KT 3530 9991
Hernandez
Special weather statement, Jun 5, 1:00 PM CST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
Issued by National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
200 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
OKZ014-051945-
Roger Mills-
200 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN ROGER MILLS
COUNTY...
At 159 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Durham, or 20
miles northwest of Cheyenne, moving east at 35 mph.
Winds in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail are possible with this
storm.
Locations impacted include...
Crawford, Strong City, Cheyenne, Roll, and Durham.
&&
LAT...LON 3588 10000 3589 9998 3580 9952 3554 9962
3569 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 1859Z 288DEG 28KT 3578 9996
HernandezSpecial weather statement, Jun 5, 2:14 PM CST, 1 minute before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
Issued by National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
314 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
OKZ014-016-021-022-052045-
Roger Mills-Washita-Beckham-Custer-
314 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WESTERN WASHITA...
SOUTHEASTERN ROGER MILLS...SOUTHWESTERN CUSTER AND NORTHERN BECKHAM
COUNTIES...
At 313 PM CDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from 7 miles southwest of Burns Flat to 7
miles east of Sweetwater. Movement was northeast at 45 mph.
Winds in excess of 30 mph and half inch hail are possible with these
storms.
Locations impacted include...
Arapaho, Sayre, Berlin, Stafford, Foss, Canute, Foss Reservoir, Elk
City, Clinton, Cheyenne, Burns Flat, Butler, Dill City, Hammon,
Bessie, and Custer City.
&&
LAT...LON 3566 9884 3563 9972 3536 9991 3517 9922
3524 9907
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 244DEG 37KT 3530 9930 3542 9978
Hernandez