An area of low pressure tracked across southern and eastern sections of North Carolina. Scattered showers and storms developed along and ahead of the low pressure system, producing isolated flash flooding in Lee County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RAH wrote it up.
An area of low pressure tracked across southern and eastern sections of North Carolina. Scattered showers and storms developed along and ahead of the low pressure system, producing isolated flash flooding in Lee County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 5, 1:40 PM EST, 14 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 240 PM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025 .SYNOPSIS... A weak area of low pressure will track slowly east northeast across southern and eastern NC through Friday morning. A series of mid and upper-level disturbances will overspread and interact with a frontal zone that will settle into and stall over NC this weekend through early to mid next week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 1135 AM Thursday... Sensible weather impacts of a wet and cooler than average day remain, along with a risk of heavy rain and isolated flooding. The greatest flooding risk in the next few hours will accompany a 925 mb low and related compact, deformation band of rain responsible for 1-1.25"/hr amounts now pivoting across Rowan and Davidson Co. This area of heavy rain will likely continue to affect Davidson Co. then downstream into Randolph and Chatham, and possibly adjacent srn portions of Guilford and Alamance and nrn Stanly, Montgomery, and Moore. Co through ~19Z. Additional, heavy and convective rain may materialize just downstream of the low through the rest of the Sandhills, ern Piedmont, and srn and cntl Coastal Plain, where scattered to locally numerous convection now developing across nern SC and sern NC may tend to slow and converge through the afternoon. Isolated tornado potential appears more limited in the latest model guidance, mostly related to a weaker and slightly farther swd track of a weak, 1017 mb surface low over n-cntl SC at 15Z, which will will move very slowly enewd and probably across srn through ern NC through tonight. The relatively greatest, non-zero risk of a quick spin-up will exist immediately ahead of the surface low, where surface winds will remain backed with a significant ely component and where effective SRH will be maximized perhaps as high as 100-150 m2/s2. .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 AM EDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ * Isolated to widely scattered instances of flash flooding possible * Conditional/low-end threat of a short-lived tornado Overview: A developing area of low pressure along the GA/SC coast will track northward over eastern portions of the Carolinas through tonight, then shift off the southern Mid-Atlantic Coast on Friday. Tropical moisture, featuring PWATs of 2-2.25"(99th percentile), will support increasing showers from the south between 09 to 15z. Rain may become heavy at times during the afternoon and early evening, with scattered thunderstorms also possible, especially across the Sandhills and southern/central coastal plain, and to a less extent across the central Piedmont and northern coastal plain counties. Heavy Rain/Flooding Threat: Temperatures will be tempered by widespread low cloud cover and rain, but increasing BL dewpoints into the upper 60s to lower 70s and modest heating will support the development of weak buoyancy of 500-1000 J/KG of MLCAPE during the afternoon. This instability will align with the arrival of a weak sfc circulation into the area. Combined with near record PWATs and enhanced low-level convergence along the sfc wave, locally enhanced rainfall totals are likely. HREF guidance suggests precip totals could reach 2-3"(neighborhood probabilities ~40%), with isolated pockets of 3-5" possible (neighborhood probs ~20-30%). These higher totals and flooding potential are most likely across the Sandhills and southern coastal plain counties, though such maxima can easily shift on mesoscale variability. Severe Threat: Despite generally weak deep layer flow, wind profiles will veer significantly in the 0-3km layer, supporting clockwise- curved hodographs and 150-250 m2/s2 effective helicity. This would favor the potential for rotating updrafts and mini supercells particularly from 12 to 18z, when low-level shear/helicity is maximized. By afternoon, the shear is forecast to weaken. Still a conditional threat exists for a brief, weak tornado, mainly across southeastern portions of the forecast area. Temperatures: Widespread clouds and rain will modulate high temps; 75-80. Lows 65-70. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT/... As of 355 AM Thursday... The surface low centered over the Outer Banks on Friday morning will move NE into the Atlantic during the day Friday, taking the plume of deep moisture and associated cloud cover with it. Subsidence and N/NW flow on the backside of the low should prevail for a good part of the day especially in eastern parts of central NC, which will somewhat limit moisture and instability. Looking upstream, an MCS will be moving east across the TN Valley into the southern Appalachians during the afternoon and evening, but it looks to stay west of central NC until the overnight hours. Still, there should be plenty of sunshine and good surface heating on Friday, with high temperatures reaching the upper-80s to 90 in many spots (mid-80s across the far NE Piedmont and northern/central Coastal Plain). Latest guidance depicts potential for 1000-2000 J/kg of SBCAPE across the west, decreasing farther east. So while any convection should be isolated, it can't be entirely ruled out, particularly in the NW Piedmont where the 00z HREF indicates there is the best chance for showers and storms. POPs there are in the 30-40% chance range, decreasing to slight elsewhere. The NW is also where the SPC has a marginal (level 1 of 5) risk for severe storms, with damaging winds being the main threat. However, think this threat will be very isolated given only 20-30 kts of bulk shear at most, and most of the cells should be pulse-like in nature. What is left of the MCS will move across central NC early Saturday, but given it will be in a weakened state and the unfavorable diurnal timing, expect any precipitation with it to be minimal. It should still bring extensive cloud cover, keeping low temperatures mild, in the mid-60s to lower- 70s. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 240 PM Thursday... * general mid and upper-level troughing across the eastern U.S. through mid week along with a moist and unstable environment will result in a period of greater than average precipitation chances. * Rain chances will be maximized during the afternoon and evening, especially on Sunday and again Tuesday into Wednesday. * Stronger deep layer flow should support an increased risk of stronger storms on Sunday and perhaps Tuesday or Wednesday. Saturday will likely be the better day for outdoor activities this weekend as guidance suggests a little less convection than previously expected. Convection across the TN Valley on Friday night will likely weaken as it moves east with the remnants moving into western and northern NC on Saturday morning and dissipating. While cloud cover may be increased, rain chances would appear limited through the early to mid afternoon hours. The convective remnants may be a contributor to convective redevelopment during the afternoon and evening, likely across eastern and southern areas. Rain chances increase on Sunday as a shortwave trough across the OH Valley and an associated cold front drop into the region. With dew points in the upper 60s to lower 70s, favorable lapse rates, moderately instability and enhanced flow, there is a risk of strong to severe storms primarily during the afternoon and evening. Brief shortwave ridging on Monday ahead of the next trough should result in a bit of a lull or reduced threat of showers and storms. A stronger mid and upper level trough moves across the Great Lakes and the Northeast on Tuesday and Wednesday with an associated cold front and enhanced flow spreading into our region. This will likely result in another period of showers and storms with high PoPs and a threat of strong to severe storms on Tuesday and Wednesday. The troughing moves offshore and some weak ridging builds into the Southeast on Thursday resulting in a diminished risk of showers and storms on Thursday. Temperatures are likely to range near to above normal during the period. Highs should be the warmest on Saturday and Monday with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s as there is apt to be a lull in convection and perhaps cloud cover. Heat index values these days will range in the 90s with some upper 90s possible across the southeast areas. Otherwise highs will range in the 80s to around 90. -Blaes && .AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 210 PM Thursday... IFR-MVFR restrictions and rain, and convection (showers/storms) mainly at FAY, will accompany an area of low pressure that will track across cntl and ern NC through early tonight. Deep layer clearing behind the low later tonight-Fri morning will result in the development of fog and low overcast at INT/GSO, and probably an otherwise lowering of existing ceilings into LIFR range elsewhere, through Fri morning. Lifting and scattering of that shallow low- level moisture will favor a return to VFR conditions between 13-15Z Fri. Outlook: A good chance of mainly afternoon and evening showers/ storms will accompany a frontal zone that will settle into and linger over NC through early to mid next week. Areas of morning fog/stratus will also be possible, particularly where rain occurs the previous afternoon-evening. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SYNOPSIS...MWS NEAR TERM...MWS/CBL SHORT TERM...Danco LONG TERM...Blaes AVIATION...MWS
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Raleigh NC 1037 AM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025 NCZ026>028-040>043-074>078-083>086-088-089-061445- Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Chatham-Wake-Johnston-Wilson-Montgomery- Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland- Sampson- 1037 AM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Rain and embedded thunderstorms today may produce localized, especially urban flooding. A short-lived tornado will also be possible this afternoon through early evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. An unsettled weather pattern is expected Saturday through early next week within a moist and unstable airmass. Scattered, to at times numerous, showers and storms will be possible in the afternoon and evening hours during this time. Some could become severe and also produce isolated heavy rainfall. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. NCZ008>011-022>025-038-039-073-061445- Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Durham- Davidson-Randolph-Stanly- 1037 AM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Rain and embedded thunderstorms today may produce localized, especially urban flooding. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. An unsettled weather pattern is expected Saturday through early next week within a moist and unstable airmass. Scattered, to at times numerous, showers and storms will be possible in the afternoon and evening hours during this time. Some could become severe and also produce isolated heavy rainfall. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. NCZ007-021-061445- Person-Forsyth- 1037 AM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. An unsettled weather pattern is expected Saturday through early next week within a moist and unstable airmass. Scattered, to at times numerous, showers and storms will be possible in the afternoon and evening hours during this time. Some could become severe and also produce isolated heavy rainfall. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 64 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 18:56 UTC.
3 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Knee deep flooding was reported on Seventh Street and six inch deep flooding was reported on Rose Street. The roads were either closed or impassable.
Knee deep flooding was reported on Seventh Street and six inch deep flooding was reported on Rose Street. The roads were either closed or impassable.
Multiple water rescues were reported around Sanford.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, June 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1265704, 1265705, 1265706.