A weak trough of low pressure over the Ohio and Tennessee valley region was in place, along with very anomalous moisture over the Carolinas. Scattered showers and storms over the Appalachians become widespread as they moved into central North Carolina in the evening and overnight hours.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RAH wrote it up.
A weak trough of low pressure over the Ohio and Tennessee valley region was in place, along with very anomalous moisture over the Carolinas. Scattered showers and storms over the Appalachians become widespread as they moved into central North Carolina in the evening and overnight hours. Numerous wind and flash flooding reports were recorded over the region.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 9, 1:56 PM EST, 2 hours 4 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC Issued by National Weather Service Wakefield VA 256 PM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Disturbances in unseasonably moist, southwesterly flow aloft will interact with a surface trough over the Middle Atlantic and Carolinas through Thursday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 230 PM Wednesday... A cluster of showers and thunderstorms has developed along the northern North Carolina mountains as of early afternoon. This cluster is expected to expand farther south and continue to move east into the central portion of the state. There are two primary threats, both of importance. One is the flash flooding threat - a flood watch is in effect until 2am Thursday across much of the western half of the forecast area, the area most impacted by Chantal over the weekend. WPC has upgraded some northern portions of the flood watch area to a moderate (level 3 of 4) risk for flash flooding, a risk level that is not often seen across central North Carolina. The rest of the area is under a slight (level 2 of 4) risk for excessive rainfall. The second threat is severe weather. This is somewhat coincident with the flash flooding threat spatially, highlighting western counties more than eastern counties. However, the threat categories are not as high - western counties are in a slight (level 2 of 5) risk while eastern counties are in a marginal (level 1 of 5) risk. The thunderstorm threat will be the greatest during the late afternoon and early evening hours, with the primary threat coming from damaging winds. Both threats should become minimal after midnight. Overnight lows will be in the low to mid 70s. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT/... As of 230 PM Wednesday... * There is a Slight Risk of both excessive rainfall and severe storms for much of central NC on Thu, with a Marginal Risk elsewhere across the area. Bermuda high pressure will continue ridging wsw to across FL through Thu night. A northern stream s/w tracking slowly ewd across srn Quebec, Canada while the attendant trough moves ewd across the Appalachians. Both the s/w and the trough should lift newd late Thu night, while a weak s/w lingers over the Carolinas/mid-Atlantic. At the surface, relatively low pressure will prevail across much of central NC through Thu eve, then lift newd across the mid-Atlantic Thu night. Still expect a warm, moist, unstable airmass over the area, with showers and storms expected, mainly along differential heating boundaries and leftover outflows from todays storms. The primary weather concerns will again be heavy rainfall/flooding and isolated damaging wind gusts. There is a Slight Risk (west) to Marginal Risk (east) of severe storms, and a Slight Risk (northwest 2 thirds) and Marginal Risk (southeast) for excessive rainfall. Impacts will be greatest over areas that were hardest hit by Chantal and those who receive heavy rainfall with todays storms. As for temperatures, highs should generally be in the mid to upper 80s, while lows in the upper 60s to mid 70s are expected. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 230 PM Wednesday... * There is a Marginal Risk for both excessive rainfall and severe storms on Friday. Aloft, the weak wave over the area on Fri should slowly drift newd out of the area Fri night. High pressure may briefly build back in on Sat and Sun. A northern stream s/w will swing ewd from the northern Plains to the Northeast/southeast Canada from Sat to Mon. While high pressure may hold across the area, the s/w trough could clip central NC on Sun. The longwave trough may finally extend swwd through and slip sewd into central NC early-mid next week. The surface pattern will largely remain the same as it has been, with relative low pressure/trough over the area. With little change in airmass, expect continued aft/eve convection each day through the extended forecast period, with greater coverage/intensity coincident with s/w passages aloft and slightly less coverage/intensity when the high aloft ridges over the area. Highs should generally be in the upper 80s to low 90s, while lows in the upper 60s to low 70s are expected. && .AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 230 PM Wednesday... 24 hour TAF period: While all terminals will begin with VFR conditions, an area of showers and thunderstorms is expected to move across the NC mountains and push into central North Carolina. Confidence is highest in thunderstorms with gusty wind reaching INT/GSO/RDU, where TEMPOs were maintained for thunderstorms with gusty winds. The timing in the 18Z TAFs may turn out to be a little fast for the arrival of precipitation. Further south and east, there was enough confidence to add PROB30s to the FAY and RWI TAFs for thunderstorms, although there was not enough confidence to add gusty winds in the thunderstorms or prevailing precipitation. After the threat of precipitation comes to an end, IFR stratus is expected to develop at all stations. Added an IFR mention to RWI and FAY, and cannot rule out the potential for LIFR ceilings developing at INT/GSO/FAY. While FAY/RWI are likely to mix out before 18Z, it appears that sub-VFR ceilings could persist at the other three sites through the rest of the TAF period. Outlook: Two more days of diurnally-driven widespread showers and thunderstorms appear likely on Thursday and Friday, with coverage more scattered Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. In addition, considering the early morning fog/stratus that occurred this morning and that is expected again Thursday morning, early morning restrictions could continue through the next several days with no change in air mass. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch through late tonight for NCZ007>010-021>025-038>040- 073>076-083>086. && SYNOPSIS...MWS NEAR TERM...Green SHORT TERM...KCP LONG TERM...KCP AVIATION...Green
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Raleigh NC 500 PM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025 NCZ007>010-021>025-038>040-073>076-083>086-101200- Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange- Durham-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Anson- Richmond-Scotland-Hoke- 500 PM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. In addition to the heavy rain threat, there is a level 2 of 5 risk for severe storms today. Isolated to scattered damaging winds are the main threat. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. An active pattern will continue through the end of the workweek with isolated strong to severe storms and flooding possible each afternoon. Numerous to widespread showers and storms Thursday and Friday may result in isolated to scattered flash flooding, which will be most probable in urban areas as well as the more hydrologic sensitive areas in the eastern Piedmont where the heaviest rainfall from Chantal occurred on Sunday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. NCZ011-026>028-041>043-077-078-088-089-101200- Halifax-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Wake-Johnston-Wilson-Harnett-Wayne- Cumberland-Sampson- 500 PM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Scattered showers and storms are expected through tonight. In addition to a threat of locally heavy rainfall, isolated damaging winds will be possible with any storms. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. An active pattern will continue through the end of the workweek with isolated strong to severe storms and flooding possible each afternoon. Numerous to widespread showers and storms Thursday and Friday may result in isolated to scattered flash flooding, which will be most probable in urban areas as well as the more hydrologic sensitive areas in the eastern Piedmont where the heaviest rainfall from Chantal occurred on Sunday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed.
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</html>The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 96 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:01 UTC.
24 thunderstorm wind, 20 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
A tree was reported down along Vance Road.
A tree was reported down near Belews Creek Road.
Trees were reported down in Peachland.
Trees were reported down in Wadesboro.
A tree was reported down on Tuckertown Road.
Trees were reported down on power equipment.
A tree fell on a house and car off Jackson Hill Rd near Denton.
Trees were reported down on power equipment.
A tree was reported down on Shiptontown Road.
Trees were reported down on powerlines.
Trees were reported down on power equipment.
A tree was reported down near the intersection of Commonwealth Road and Walker Mill Road.
Trees were reported down on power equipment.
Trees were reported down on power equipment.
A tree was reported down, blocking both lanes of traffic.
Several trees were reported down around the town of Siler City.
A tree was reported down along highway 902.
A tree was reported down on power equipment near Hanks Street.
A tree was reported down at Old Chapel Hill Rd near Mohawk Trail, resulting in power outages.
A tree was reported down near the intersection of Chapel Hill Road and Pinecrest Road, resulting in power outages.
A tree was reported down at Old US highway 421 and Foust Road.
The Chapel Hill police reported flooding at the intersection of Bennett Road and Mt. Carmel Church Road.
The Chapel Hill police reported flooding along the Pritchard Avenue Extension.
Chapel Hill police reported flooding at South Estes Drive and Willow Drive.
Chapel Hill police reported flooding at the intersection of Martin Luther King Jr Boulevard and Estes Drive.
The Granville County Sheriffs office reported the road is underwater at the intersection of US highway 158 and Graham Hobgood Road west of Oxford.
An emergency manager reported flooding at the intersection of Orange Grove Road and South Churton Street.
The Granville County Sheriffs office reported at least two feet of water near the C.G. Credle Elementary School in Oxford.
A tree was reported down at Western Boulevard near Nazareth Street, resulting in power outages.
A tree was reported down on power equipment near Glasscock Street.
The Granville County Sheriffs office reported a flooded roadway at the intersection of Goochs Mill Road and Enon Road.
A water rescue was reported by broadcast media over northwestern Durham.
The local fire department shut down Midway School Road due to flooding.
The High Point fire department was deployed to multiple water rescues due to flash flooding.
Koontz Road was flooded due to heavy rainfall.
Roadways in High Point were closed due to flash flooding.
Several trees were reported down near and west of the town of Halifax.
There was a report of a water rescue due to a car stuck in flood waters.
In Durham, at least three cars were damaged or totaled due to flood waters. There was also about eight inches of water in a residential home.
The greenway tunnel was flooded along Walnut Creek and State Street in Raleigh.
The inbound lanes of Western Boulevard were closed due to high water flowing across the roadway.
A water rescue was reported off of Glenwood Avenue.
Walnut creek crested in flood stage at the Trailwood Drive river gage with a reading of 10.5 feet, flooding nearby areas and Avent Ferry Road.
Crabtree creek crested in flood stage at the Wake Forest river gage with a reading of 12.6 feet, flooding nearby areas.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, July 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1279708, 1277876, 1277870, 1277871, 1277889, 1279762, 1277888, 1279761, 1277890, 1277886, 1279747, 1279740, 1279765, 1279764, 1279743, 1279736, 1279734, 1279777, 1279769, 1279707, 1277891, 1280231, 1280234, 1280237, 1280243, 1280249, 1280248, 1280251, 1279770, 1279775, 1280252, 1280254, 1280256, 1280258, 1280257, 1280260, 1279715, 1280261, 1280255, 1280263, and more.