Tropical Storm Chantal made landfall over northeastern South Carolina during the morning hours of July 6. The remnants of Chantal then tracked west-northwest into portions of central North Carolina, stalling out over the area before tracking east-northeast into Virginia by the 7th of July.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RAH wrote it up.
Tropical Storm Chantal made landfall over northeastern South Carolina during the morning hours of July 6. The remnants of Chantal then tracked west-northwest into portions of central North Carolina, stalling out over the area before tracking east-northeast into Virginia by the 7th of July. Catastrophic flash flooding occurred from record rainfall of up to 11 inches in some spots of the Piedmont, included 6 flash flood fatalities across Chatham, Alamance, and Orange Counties. Widespread flooding particularly affected the counties of Orange, Chatman, and Moore. Four EF-1 tornadoes also touched down over portions Lee, Chatham, Alamance, and Orange Counties. Preliminary loss estimates across central North Carolina exceeded 40 million.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 6, 11:33 AM EST, 1 hour 9 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 1233 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Tropical Depression Chantal will weaken to a remnant low as it drifts northeastward through central North Carolina this afternoon through tonight. This low will exit to our northeast early Monday, leaving behind a weak surface trough through central North Carolina and above normal temperatures over our area through mid week. && .NEAR TERM /TODAY AND TONIGHT/... As of 250 AM Sunday... * Flood Watch in effect for all but the northeast zones of central NC * Remnants of Chantal will bring a low-end tornado threat for the Sandhills into the Central Coastal Plain south of US-1 A Flood Watch was hoisted for all but the northeast zones of central NC. The remnants of Tropical Storm Chantal will bring widespread showers and embedded storms to most of central NC through early Mon with highs this afternoon mainly in the 80s. Chantal as of 2 am was about 85 miles southwest of Wilmington, NC, with maximum sustained winds of 50 kt (60 mph) and 1002 mb. Satellite and radar do depict the system is starting to wrap up and become more defined. The latest NHC track takes the system to the NW before moving into the central NC Sandhills and weakening as a depression as it tracks ENE into the northern Coastal Plain by Mon morning. While the model guidance has come into much better agreement with regards to Chantal's track and QPF footprint, there is still some uncertainty. Nevertheless, there was enough confidence to go with a Flood Watch for most of the area. In discussions with WPC with respect to left/right track solutions, the anticipated QPF footprint did not change much from the day shift Sat. If anything, the system may be moving a bit faster overall. The highest QPF, based on a suite of model guidance, including the CAMs/HREF and which matches well with the ECMWF AIFS model, shows the highest totals from the Triangle westward, over the western and southern Piedmont to Sandhills region of central NC. It appears that a trough over the MO valley region to Great Lakes and over the north-central Gulf may be helping to pull Chantal further to the NW, producing a band of higher QPF on its NW side. In this region of central NC, rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches, locally 4+, are possible. However, as has happened so often in our area, the QPF footprint may be off by 50 to 100 miles. Also, some guidance is still indicating other alternate scenarios, such as the HRRR, which shows higher totals to the north and east of Chantal over the Coastal Plain. As such, given this potential uncertainty, we included portions of the Coastal Plain in the Flood Watch, in case minor changes to the track/QPF occur with future updates. In addition to the flash flood threat, a tornado threat will exist for the Sandhills to the central Coastal Plain, largely south and east of the Triangle. Enhanced low-level flow/shear and instability with low/mid 70s dewpoints will favor the potential for low-topped supercells over eastern NC, where the right front quadrant of Chantal will overspread. It would appear the greatest threat for any isolated tornadoes would be between mid-morning into early evening, when the system is more wrapped up, during peak heating, and prior to becoming an extratropical depression. Pockets of scattered showers and embedded storms will exist into the overnight, but should lessen after midnight as the system pulls NE. Lows will be in the low/mid 70s. && .SHORT TERM /MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT/... As of 250 AM Sunday... The remnants of Chantal will gradually lift NE into VA during the aftn or eve on Mon. Morning pockets of showers and clouds should give way to some partial sunshine in the aftn/eve as weak westerly flow aloft overspreads the area. That should favor a warmer and also humid day with upper 80s E to low 90s W. Even with its departure, scattered showers and storms will be possible, especially along/east of US-1 closer to the departing low. That said, I would not be surprised if there is less overall storm coverage owing to weak westerly downslope flow. There will, however, be a weak trough over the OH valley with a developing weak lee trough in western NC that could still favor isolated/scattered storms. Any storms should die out after sunset, with lows muggy in the mid 70s with possible fog and stratus. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 1233 PM Sunday... Expect a return to diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday after a surface trough sets up across the central portion of North Carolina. Tuesday is also expected to have the least cloud cover of any day this week, which will help it to be the warmest day of the week - widespread low to mid 90s are in the forecast for temperatures and it is the primary day that may reach heat advisory criteria of 105 degrees. The entire forecast area is under a marginal (level 1 of 5) risk for severe thunderstorms on Tuesday, primarily due to the inverted-V soundings which could mix stronger wind down to the surface. The storms will have plenty of instability to work with, although deep level shear will be weak and will have a harder time organizing thunderstorms. As an upper trough develops over the eastern half of the United States for the second half of the week, this will increase the coverage of showers and thunderstorms Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. This should result in a slight reduction of temperatures - although most places will still reach the low 90s on Wednesday and highs in the upper 80s will be more typical on Thursday and Friday with the increased cloud cover. Once the trough axis moves farther east and gets closer to the Atlantic coastline over the weekend, coverage of showers and thunderstorms should decrease somewhat, returning more to scattered showers/storms each afternoon, with a slight increase in highs back into the low 90s. While some upper 60s are possible for overnight lows, most locations will not fall out of the 70s through much of the week. && .AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 1230 PM Sunday... Adverse aviation conditions will dominate at all terminals across central NC through much of tonight, with SW-to-NE improvement Mon morning. What is now TD Chantal centered just S of LBT will continue to track slowly to the NNE and NE through central NC through tonight, while continuing to weaken to a remnant low. Numerous to widespread showers, and isolated storms, will bring MVFR to IFR conditions (both cigs and vsbys) as the storm center tracks through, with the IFR conditions most likely where the rain is heaviest. Wind concerns are now lower as the storm weakens, although sporadic surface gusts up to 15-20 kts are possible anywhere, with isolated up to 20-35 kts in and near the heavier showers and isolated storms, mostly this afternoon through early evening. Once the low center tracks NE of central NC early Mon morning, leaving behind a weak trough down through the area, cigs and vsbys will quickly trend to VFR, with just mid and high clouds over the area and light surface winds through the end of the TAF valid period. Looking beyond 18z Mon, a few showers and storms are possible with heating Mon from mid afternoon to early evening, mainly at RWI/FAY. Additional rounds of scattered storms are expected each afternoon through mid evening Tue-Fri as a weak upper trough holds to our west, and early-morning areas of sub-VFR fog and stratus are possible each day Wed-Fri. -GIH && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch through late tonight for NCZ007-008-021>025-038>042- 073>078-083>086-088-089. && SYNOPSIS...Hartfield NEAR TERM...Kren SHORT TERM...Kren LONG TERM...Green AVIATION...Hartfield
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Raleigh NC 454 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025 NCZ042-077-078-085-086-088-089-070900- Johnston-Harnett-Wayne-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson- 454 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. In addition to the potential for locally heavy rain, an isolated, brief tornado or two is also be possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. High temperatures in the lower to mid 90s on Tuesday combined with a very humid airmass will result in afternoon heat index values of 100 to 105. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. NCZ007-008-024-025-040-041-073>076-083-084-070900- Person-Granville-Orange-Durham-Chatham-Wake-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore- Lee-Anson-Richmond- 454 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. High temperatures in the lower to mid 90s on Tuesday combined with a very humid airmass will result in afternoon heat index values of 100 to 105. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ021>023-038-039-070900- Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Davidson-Randolph- 454 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ009>011-026>028-043-070900- Vance-Warren-Halifax-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Wilson- 454 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Periods of locally heavy rain are possible later today and tonight which could result in localized flooding of poor drainage areas. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. High temperatures in the lower to mid 90s on Tuesday combined with a very humid airmass will result in afternoon heat index values of 100 to 105. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 110 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 17:38 UTC.
28 flash flood, 4 tornado, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Norton Road was flooded and closed due to flood waters.
North Turnpike road was closed due to flooding.
The public reported an impassable roadway with rapidly-flowing water covering US 15-501 in Southern Pines.
An EF-1 tornado touched down at the Raleigh Executive Jetport 7.5 miles northeast of Sanford in Lee County, North Carolina. Several hangers had damage to wall panels and doors. Several aircraft were damaged. Minor damage to the taxiway occurred. The tornado briefly lifted before touching back down near its end point, and resulted in minor damage to several mobile homes and several trees that were snapped and uprooted.
An EF-1 tornado touched down along Moncure Pittsboro Road and snapped and uprooted several trees, before continuing to the northwest for approximately 1.4 miles.
Multiple large trees were reported down near the neighborhood of High Park.
Oakwood Drive north of Pittsboro was flooded due to heavy rainfall.
At least thirteen water rescues were reported across Moore County.
Aberdeen Creek flooded parts of North Carolina Highway 5 and US Highway 1 with several roads closed in the area. Damage estimates may have exceeded 5 million, including to roads, bridges, infrastructure, and residential areas.
A tornado touched down along Mount Hermon Rock Creek Road in Southwest Alamance County, just north of Russell McPherson Road. It then tracked south a short distance before lifting near the intersection of Mount Hermon Rock Creek Road and Mountain Valley Drive. Numerous trees were snapped and uprooted, with the worst of the damage occurring to an automotive repair shop, whose entire roof was torn off by the tornado.
Two boaters launched a canoe from Marthas Chapel Road in the early evening hours. One body was found the morning of the 8th, and another found the morning of the 9th of July.
A tornado touched down on the northern end of Royal Oak Lane, just north of Lake Michael and slowly drifted to the south about a quarter mile before lifting. During this brief time on the ground, considerable tree damage was done, with dozens of trees snapped and uprooted.
High water was reported across both lanes of traffic on Farm Life School Road.
Both lanes of Highway 902 just west of Chatham Central High School were washed out due to flooding. Nearly twenty feet of roadway had been washed away.
Over 80 roads across the county were flooded, with multiple stalled cars, and nearly 33 water rescues across Chatham County, including one at the location near Siler City.
Flooding was reported along Juniper Lake Road near Highway 15-501.
The left lane of Interstate 40 was closed from Exit 150 at Jimmie Kerr Road to Exit 153 at Trollingwood Hawfields Road due to flooding.
There were numerous reports of stranded/submerged vehicles, washed out roadways, apartments and residential homes flooded, and law enforcement performed multiple water rescues, including one at Camelot Village. Total estimated damages may have exceeded 30 million across Orange County.
There were several reports of flash flooding and flooded roads across northern Durham.
Houses were flooded with stranded vehicles reported near Route 501 and South Elliott Road.
Mail trucks were submerged in Chapel Hill near South Estes drive and Willow Drive.
One lane was closed along Interstate 85 due to flooding near exit 165.
Erwin Road was closed due to flooding.
Flooding was reported along portions of Interstate 85/40. The Eastbound lanes were closed near Buckhorn Road.
The vehicle of a 58 year old female on her way to work was submerged in flood waters. The victim was swept away upon trying to exit the vehicle.
Buckhorn Road was closed due to flooding near exit 157 of Interstate 40.
North Carolina highway 87 was impassable where it crossed Terrels Creek, near Chicken Bridge Road, and where it crossed Long Branch Creek, near Castle Rock Farm Road.
Several roads were flooded in southern Person County, with multiple roads closed.
One person died when their car traveling on Farrington Point Road entered floodwaters. The driver was swept away.
Deputies responded to a report of a missing period last seen driving near Jones Drive and Calloway Drive. The body of a man was later recovered in a creek downstream. Another man was found dead also due to flooding. Both fatalities were the result of swift high water across the roadway.
US Highway 158 was closed in both directions near Hyco Creek Farm Road due to flooding along South Hyco Creek.
Hester Store Road was closed in both directions near Robert Hester Road due to flooding along Mill Creek.
Tom Bowes Road was closed in both directions near Whitefield Farm Road due to flooding of the nearby creek crossing.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flash Flood, Chatham | 2025-07-06 | Unknown | Direct | ||
| Flash Flood, Chatham | 2025-07-06 | Unknown | Direct | ||
| Flash Flood, Orange | 2025-07-06 | 58 | Female | Unknown | Direct |
| Flash Flood, Chatham | 2025-07-06 | 83 | Female | Unknown | Direct |
| Flash Flood, Alamance | 2025-07-06 | 23 | Male | Vehicle/Towed Trailer | Direct |
| Flash Flood, Alamance | 2025-07-06 | 71 | Male | Vehicle/Towed Trailer | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for North Carolina, 2025Warnings in North Carolina, July 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-30. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1280394, 1280391, 1280381, 1277002, 1277003, 1280128, 1280348, 1280383, 1280384, 1277008, 1280349, 1277014, 1280385, 1280351, 1280353, 1280386, 1280343, 1280368, 1280396, 1280370, 1280371, 1280373, 1280375, 1280358, 1280360, 1280377, 1280354, 1280387, 1280355, 1280347, 1280388, 1280389, 1280390.