New Mexico, 2025High Wind in New Mexico, November 1, 2025
November 1, 2025 · NWS MAF · 1 event in 1 county or zone
On the 1st, a front came through West Texas and Southeast New Mexico, resulting in high gap winds at Carlsbad Caverns National Park.
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- Deaths
- 0
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- None recorded
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- None recorded
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
On the 1st, a front came through West Texas and Southeast New Mexico, resulting in high gap winds at Carlsbad Caverns National Park.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 11:48 PM MST, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 148 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025
- A cold front will bring breezy northerly winds and cooler temperatures to the area today.
- A warming trend returns Sunday, with above normal temperatures expected through the upcoming week. Dry weather conditions will continue through next Friday.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 11:48 PM MST, 2 hours 45 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
148 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 148 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025
- A cold front will bring breezy northerly winds and cooler
temperatures to the area today.
- A warming trend returns Sunday, with above normal temperatures
expected through the upcoming week. Dry weather conditions will
continue through next Friday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 148 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025
Not much has changed over the past 24 hours. WV imagery this
morning shows the upper ridge off the coast of Mexico, putting West
Texas and Southeast New Mexico under dry, northwest flow aloft. 00Z
KMAF raob came in w/a pwat of just 0.40", or just over the 20th
percentile. W/this in mind, precipitation still remains out
of the question for the duration of the forecast.
Latest mesoanalysis/observations show a cold front just entering the
northern zones at 06Z. Unfortunately, this will result in a much
cooler and blustery day than yesterday. Latest CAMs suggest the
cold front will shave a good 10 F off of yesterday's highs. Highs
looks to average ~ 4-6 F below normal, with all but the river
valleys remaining in the 60s at best.
Tonight, surface winds will veer back to return flow, but go light,
combining with mostly clear skies to promote efficient radiational
cooling and allow lows to cool to a couple of degrees below normal.
Only a couple of very isolated spots in the Davis Mountains/Marfa
Plateau look to reach freezing, but temporal and areal coverage are
not enough to warrant a warning attm.
Fortunately, this cool spell will be brief, and temperatures Sunday
look to make an appreciable rebound to ~ 4-6 F above climatology,
putting most locations back in the 70s as thicknesses increase.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 148 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025
A strong upper-level ridge will build across southeast New Mexico
and west Texas Sunday night into Monday. This feature will remain
elongated across central and southern portions of Texas Monday
night and Tuesday. A deep layer dry airmass will remain entrenched
over our region underneath this feature through Tuesday, with
very low precipitable water values averaging between 0.25" and
0.5". Skies will generally remain clear through the early part of
the week, except for perhaps a few high clouds clipping northern
portions of our CWA on Tuesday. A surface trough will take shape
across eastern New Mexico and west Texas Monday and Tuesday,
allowing for southerly/southwesterly winds and a return to above
normal temperatures across our region. Early morning lows will
range in the lower 40s to lower 50s, while high temperatures range
in the upper 70s to mid 80s over most of our forecast area both
days.
The upper level flow pattern will transition more zonal on
Wednesday. W-NW flow aloft looks to generally prevail through the
latter part of the week on the base of and in the wake of a trough
passing from the Rocky Mountains to the central Plains and
Mississippi Valley region. A very dry airmass will remain in place
with precipitable water values continuing to average less than
0.50" through the middle to latter half of the week. Mostly clear
skies and dry conditions will persist Wednesday-Friday. A weak
surface front may enter far northern portions of our forecast area
on Wednesday, but looks to quickly weaken/become diffuse by
Wednesday night. Low level thermal ridging enhances over much of
our area ahead of this boundary, so high temperatures Wednesday
afternoon should average a little over 10 degrees above normal for
early November with highs topping out in the lower to mid 80s
over much of the region, except for readings in the mid 70s to
around 80 degrees over the higher terrain areas and in the upper
80s to lower 90s along the Rio Grande. Another round of above
normal temperatures is anticipated on Thursday as the surface lee
trough takes shape again across the region. Another weak cold
front may push through southeast New Mexico and portions of west
Texas Thursday night. Highs on Friday may be just a few degrees
cooler than Wednesday/Thursday, but still averaging several
degrees above normal with readings in the mid 70s to mid 80s
across the region. Early morning lows will continue to range in
the 40s to lower 50s through the middle to latter part of the
week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1013 PM CDT Fri Oct 31 2025
VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours. The main concern will
be a cold front. Latest NAM buffer soundings put fropa at KHOB
first at around 06Z, and clearing KFST around 10Z or 11Z. The
front is not particularly strong, but should provide gusty winds
throughout the day Friday. These winds will quickly veer back to
light return flow after sundown.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 67 40 75 47 / 0 0 0 0
Carlsbad 68 41 80 46 / 0 0 0 0
Dryden 74 45 75 45 / 0 0 0 0
Fort Stockton 68 43 80 51 / 0 0 0 0
Guadalupe Pass 62 44 69 50 / 0 0 0 0
Hobbs 67 40 75 43 / 0 0 0 0
Marfa 65 33 72 39 / 0 0 0 0
Midland Intl Airport 67 42 74 47 / 0 0 0 0
Odessa 66 42 74 48 / 0 0 0 0
Wink 69 39 77 42 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&
SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...44
High Wind, Eddy County Plains
- When
- November 1, 2:33 AM MST to 3:36 AM MST
- Where
- Eddy County Plains forecast zone
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 32.472, -104.304 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The West Texas Mesonet station 164 Carlsbad Caverns NP measured a 60mph wind gust, along with other intermittent high wind gusts.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1294777.