Deep monsoonal moisture was located across much of New Mexico with an upper trough approaching the Four Corners region. This helped storms to develop overnight and brought heavy rain to portions of the White Sands Missile Range west of Tularosa.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
Deep monsoonal moisture was located across much of New Mexico with an upper trough approaching the Four Corners region. This helped storms to develop overnight and brought heavy rain to portions of the White Sands Missile Range west of Tularosa.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 25, 4:43 AM MST, 42 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
543 AM MDT Wed Jun 25 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Potential for heavy rainfall with localized flooding continues
through Thursday. Flood watches are in effect for all areas
through Wednesday.
- Showers/thunderstorms will be widespread over the entire area
through Friday, becoming more isolated Saturday and Sunday.
Moisture peaks on Tuesday, with the highest chances of heavy
rainfall and flooding through Wednesday.
- Lingering monsoon moisture will allow for daily afternoon
showers and thunderstorms through early next week especially
in the higher terrain.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1050 PM MDT Tue Jun 24 2025
The monsoon is here! Moisture is continuing to stream northward
between a large subtropical ridge covering much of the Southeast
with a UL trough over the Western quarter or so of the CONUS. 00z
balloon showed 1.45" of PW, which is a record for the 00z June 25
balloon according to the SPC Sounding Climatology, beating the
previous of 1.43". Meanwhile, UL trough will nudge eastward
overnight, which will shift the H250 over Northern NM into CO,
leaving our region within the right-entrance region of the jet.
Continued UL support as well as outflows will keep at least
scattered showers and thunderstorms lasting through much of the
night, with heavy rain and flash flooding the main concern.
There will probably be a lull in the morning before more scattered
showers and thunderstorms re-develop with heavy rain/flash
flooding the concern. The H250 jet will continue to lift out, but
subtle height falls will continue to overspread NM as the trough
nudges east, promoting a healthy coverage of storms. The flood
watch remains in effect for the entire CWA on Wednesday, expiring
on Thursday.
UL support wanes on Thursday as the trough to our west weakens,
allowing height rises across NM. Nevertheless, we will remain
within the monsoonal plume, and that will remain the case
throughout the remainder of the forecast period. UL high will try
to form over the Four Corners, with the original high to our
east. This will keep us sandwiched between the ridges, locking the
moisture in place. Rain chances will gradually decrease each
afternoon with Sunday showing the latest POPs via the NBM when the
Four Corners high is closest but begin to increase again starting
Monday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 536 AM MDT Wed Jun 25 2025
Early morning convection has kept things interesting. Though
widespread convection continues, most of the rain has cleared from
our main terminals. For KELP and KLRU, there is still another
round of showers and thunderstorms to our west, but I'm not sure
if it will make it to the airports. Later today we will see
another chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Brief IFR
visibilities and ceilings will be possible with the passing
thunderstorms. The thunderstorms will begin to slow down around
midnight tonight, but we could still see some lingering mid and
high ceilings into the morning hours of Thursday.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1206 PM MDT Tue Jun 24 2025
Overall not expecting any critical fire weather areas for the next
7 days. There might be some areas of elevated fire weather on
Sunday for the Gila but driven by min RH dropping below 15
percent. Recent and expected rainfall the next few days will drop
ERCs and increase fuel moisture so that there will not be any
concerns. Heavy rainfall over the region will be a concern for
area burn scars and flash flooding like the Trout fire burn area
and Seven Springs burn area.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso 85 69 88 71 / 80 60 60 50
Sierra Blanca 82 64 82 64 / 80 70 80 50
Las Cruces 83 64 85 65 / 80 60 50 50
Alamogordo 82 62 85 64 / 80 50 70 40
Cloudcroft 62 47 64 48 / 90 50 80 30
Truth or Consequences 83 65 86 66 / 80 50 50 30
Silver City 82 59 83 60 / 60 50 60 40
Deming 88 65 89 65 / 80 70 60 50
Lordsburg 89 65 90 64 / 50 40 60 40
West El Paso Metro 83 70 85 71 / 70 60 60 60
Dell City 80 66 83 66 / 80 50 70 40
Fort Hancock 86 70 88 70 / 80 70 70 50
Loma Linda 77 63 78 64 / 80 50 70 50
Fabens 85 67 87 69 / 80 60 70 50
Santa Teresa 83 67 85 68 / 80 60 60 60
White Sands HQ 82 69 86 70 / 80 60 70 50
Jornada Range 83 62 85 64 / 80 60 60 40
Hatch 86 64 88 65 / 80 70 60 40
Columbus 88 67 88 68 / 80 70 50 60
Orogrande 80 64 83 65 / 80 60 70 50
Mayhill 71 53 73 53 / 90 50 90 30
Mescalero 73 51 75 52 / 90 50 80 30
Timberon 67 49 70 50 / 90 50 80 40
Winston 76 52 80 52 / 80 40 60 20
Hillsboro 83 59 85 60 / 90 60 60 40
Spaceport 83 61 84 61 / 90 60 60 30
Lake Roberts 83 55 85 55 / 70 40 60 30
Hurley 83 60 85 60 / 70 50 60 40
Cliff 91 61 91 61 / 40 30 40 30
Mule Creek 88 58 89 59 / 20 10 30 20
Faywood 83 62 83 62 / 80 60 60 40
Animas 89 64 91 64 / 40 40 60 40
Hachita 86 63 87 63 / 60 60 60 50
Antelope Wells 87 63 88 64 / 70 50 60 60
Cloverdale 84 63 86 63 / 60 40 50 40
&&
.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Flood Watch through this evening for Eastern/Central El Paso
County-Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Rio
Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-Western El Paso County.
NM...Flood Watch through this evening for Central Grant County/Silver
City Area-East Central Tularosa Basin/Alamogordo-East
Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Eastern Black
Range Foothills-Lowlands of the Bootheel-Northern Dona Ana
County-Otero Mesa-Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
Sierra County Lakes-Southeast Tularosa Basin-Southern Dona
Ana County/Mesilla Valley-Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres
Valley-Southern Gila Region Highlands/Black Range-Southwest
Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Southwest Desert/Mimbres
Basin-Uplands of the Bootheel-Upper Gila River Valley-West
Central Tularosa Basin/White Sands-West Slopes Sacramento
Mountains Below 7500 Feet.
&&
FORECASTER...15-BricePreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
619 AM MDT Wed Jun 25 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 AM Flash Flood 7 NNE El Paso 31.94N 106.41W
06/25/2025 El Paso TX Dept of Highways
Heavy rain over NE El Paso caused road
flooding at McCombs St and US-54. Several
vehicles stranded/stuck on the medium as
they attempted to avoid the flooded road.
&&
LPRThe Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 13 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 12:23 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
White Sands Missile Range personnel reported flooding around the intersection of Range Route 6 and 9 with roads impassable in places.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, June 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1272470.