Drier air had started to push into southwestern New Mexico and outflow winds from storms further east brought wind gusts near 50 mph to the Lordsburg Playa creating areas of near zero visibility twice within a few hours.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
Drier air had started to push into southwestern New Mexico and outflow winds from storms further east brought wind gusts near 50 mph to the Lordsburg Playa creating areas of near zero visibility twice within a few hours.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 27, 4:32 PM MST, 2 hours 33 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 532 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 528 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025 - Moisture increases through Tuesday with the most widespread thunderstorm activity being Monday and Tuesday. - The flash flooding threat returns Monday and Tuesday, favoring western areas, as a monsoonal plume sets up. - After a cool down earlier in the week, temperatures rebound by next weekend as storm chances diminish. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1116 AM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025 Looks like an uptick in thunderstorm activity across the area starting this afternoon, maxing out Mon/Tue then a gradual decrease towards the end of the week. This is due to an inverted trough approaching from the east which will slowly move toward the AZ/NM border region by midweek. All models depict this scenario, but do differ on the timing. The EC is slower than the GFS and each ensemble mean supports it's deterministic run. Through this evening, we will see some development by mid afternoon along and east of the Rio Grande where isolated to low end scattered coverage is likely. As outflows move west, would not be surprised to see isolated activity out towards the Continental Divide before dying after sunset. Moisture really increases along this inverted trough with PW's up to 1.4-1.5" out west by Tue. All areas Mon and Tue will see thunderstorms each afternoon and continuing through the night, mainly west of the Divide where the trough stalls out. There is some concern for some flash flooding out west with this kind of moisture in place and a stationary feature. 95th percentiles out west for QPF is upwards of 1.25-1.5" and this may be low, would not be surprised to see areas well over 2" Mon/Tue. There is still a little uncertainty with how far west it moves, but may need a Flood Watch out west for later Monday and Tue at least along the AZ border. Temperatures will be cooling down with this increase in moisture and most areas will remain in the lower to mid 90s, could even stay in the M/U 80s out west where cloud cover may linger through the day. Going into the end of the week, the upper high that will bring very hot temperatures to the Southern Plains will be retrograding west into the Borderland. This pushes moisture plume mainly into AZ with just some areas along the AZ border keeping a chance for afternoon/evening thunderstorms. Temperatures will start warming, especially out east back to 100+ degrees. By the weekend, the upper high elongates across most of the southern US with some mid level moisture moving around and back into the area from the west and north. Surface dew points don't get much above the 50 degree mark and any storms that develop will be high based and likely be more of a wind than rain producer. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 528 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025 ISO to SCT SHRA/TSRA are ongoing across the area though mainly east of the Rio Grande. VCTS is noted for LRU and ELP. Convection is expected to gradually decrease/clear terminals by 02z. +TSRA and gusty winds will be the main impacts. There is no mention of the thunder for TCS or DMN, but it cannot be ruled out. After 2z, convection should wane, but more TSRA/SHRA are expected for tomorrow during the late afternoon and evening hours. Winds will mainly be light with speeds under 10 knots along with a few gusts to 20 knots except where impacted by storm outflows. Direction will favor the East (070-120) at most sites. Skies will be variable with bases as low as 100. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1116 AM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025 Moisture is returning to the area with thunderstorm activity starting mainly east of the RGV through this evening then spreading areawide for Mon/Tue. Some areas, especially west of the Continental Divide may see some heavy rain and flooding early this week. RH's will fall into the 20s/30s through midweek before drier air moves into the east with high temperatures returning to 100+. Min RH's even with this drier air look to remain in the mid to upper teens. Rain chances will continue at least along the AZ border and Gila region through the work week. Winds will generally be light except near thunderstorms. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 75 95 72 93 / 20 40 50 40 Sierra Blanca 67 88 68 88 / 10 60 40 20 Las Cruces 70 92 68 88 / 30 30 60 40 Alamogordo 67 91 69 89 / 20 30 40 50 Cloudcroft 49 68 50 66 / 20 50 30 70 Truth or Consequences 70 92 68 87 / 10 30 50 50 Silver City 63 88 61 83 / 20 60 60 80 Deming 71 95 70 91 / 20 30 60 60 Lordsburg 70 92 67 89 / 20 60 60 60 West El Paso Metro 74 93 73 90 / 20 40 50 40 Dell City 71 92 71 92 / 10 40 20 20 Fort Hancock 75 95 74 94 / 20 60 50 40 Loma Linda 67 86 67 85 / 10 50 40 40 Fabens 72 94 73 92 / 20 40 40 30 Santa Teresa 71 92 71 90 / 30 30 60 40 White Sands HQ 72 93 72 90 / 20 30 60 50 Jornada Range 68 92 68 88 / 20 30 60 50 Hatch 70 95 70 90 / 20 30 60 50 Columbus 73 95 71 90 / 30 30 70 50 Orogrande 70 90 69 88 / 20 40 40 40 Mayhill 54 80 56 77 / 20 60 30 60 Mescalero 54 81 55 77 / 20 50 30 70 Timberon 52 77 55 75 / 20 50 30 60 Winston 59 85 58 78 / 10 50 50 70 Hillsboro 65 91 64 86 / 20 40 60 60 Spaceport 67 92 67 88 / 20 30 60 50 Lake Roberts 53 87 58 83 / 20 70 60 90 Hurley 65 90 64 84 / 20 60 60 80 Cliff 63 91 65 87 / 20 70 60 80 Mule Creek 56 89 62 85 / 10 70 50 70 Faywood 66 89 65 84 / 20 50 60 70 Animas 70 92 67 89 / 20 50 70 70 Hachita 69 93 67 88 / 20 40 70 60 Antelope Wells 68 93 67 88 / 30 40 70 70 Cloverdale 67 89 64 84 / 30 50 70 70 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && FORECASTER...34-Brown
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service El Paso TX
419 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025
NMZ411-427-429-272245-
Southeast Tularosa Basin NM-
West Central Tularosa Basin/White Sands NM-
Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley NM-
419 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WESTERN OTERO AND EAST CENTRAL
DONA ANA COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM MDT...
At 419 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southeast of White Sands Missile Range Main Post, moving west
at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
White Sands Missile Range Main Post, Dona Ana Range Complex, Dripping
Springs, Aguirre Springs, and Portions of Organ Mountains Desert
Peaks National Monument.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3238 10633 3229 10630 3214 10652 3242 10660
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 075DEG 13KT 3231 10640
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
ZAPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
610 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0545 PM Flash Flood 14 NE Mescalero 33.30N 105.65W
07/27/2025 Otero NM Emergency Mngr
Relayed by ABQ. Flash flooding observed from
the Salt Fire Burn Scar stemming from Bear
Canyon. See LSR issued by ABQ.
&&
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</html>The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 dust storm. Local standard time, as filed.
Wind gusts up to 45 mph created areas of near zero visibility around mile marker 12 on Interstate 10.
NMDOT visibility sensor at mile marker 12 on Interstate 10 reported visibilities down to 0.13 miles due to outflow winds of 50 mph creating areas of blowing dust.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, July 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1285739, 1285740.