S. followed by a backdoor front entering eastern New Mexico in the middle of the week increased monsoon moisture and shower and thunderstorm coverage across the state.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.
A disturbance rotating north around the upper high circulation centered over south central U.S. followed by a backdoor front entering eastern New Mexico in the middle of the week increased monsoon moisture and shower and thunderstorm coverage across the state. Daily slow moving thunderstorms on the Ruidoso burn scars during the afternoon hours resulted in several occurrences flash flooding on and downstream of the burn scars. Slow moving thunderstorms also resulted in flash flooding on the White Sands Missile Range in eastern Lincoln County, near Elk in southwest Lincoln County on July 30th, and in Santa Fe during the evening hours of July 31st with debris flow closing Highway 38 a few miles west of Red River for several hours late on July 31st. Nearby storms also caused a landspout on the West Mesa of Albuquerque and a 73 mph wind gust at Gallup Municipal Airport on July 30th.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 27, 4:30 PM MST, 15 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 530 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 522 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025 - Moderate heat risk will impact the lower elevations of western New Mexico Monday. Cooler temperatures are forecast Tuesday through Friday. - Monsoon moisture will continue spreading northward into New Mexico through Monday. Then, a monsoon burst pattern will develop Tuesday through Thursday with locally heavy rainfall and flash flooding possible, especially around burn scars, urban areas, and poorly drained areas. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Monday night) Issued at 1221 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025 Dry air is still firmly in place across the northwest half of NM where PWATs have fallen below 0.4" with surface dewpoints in the 20s. Meanwhile, the latest water vapor imagery and GOES derived motion winds show an easterly wave/inverted trough progressing westward from Coahuila toward Chihuahua this afternoon. Surface dewpoints have held in the low 60s across southeast NM while southeast winds gust to between 15 and 25 mph. Storms today have fired up along the deformation zone btwn deepening southeast flow and a 596dm H5 high center over north-central NM. This activity will persist in the area from Socorro and Lincoln counties northeastward across east-central NM thru sunset. Hi-res models show outflow surging northwest this evening with dewpoints increasing into the low 50s within the RGV before midnight. Moist southeast flow across eastern NM may lead to patchy low clouds along the east slopes of the Sacramentos/Sandias and parts of Chaves County. Moisture will continue deepening northwestward toward the Cont Divide Monday while the inverted trough axis stands up from south to north across central NM. PWATs increase to near 1" at KABQ and near 1.4" at Roswell Monday. All the ingredients will be in place for scattered to numerous showers and storms with locally heavy rainfall between the Cont Divide and the high plains of eastern NM thru Monday evening. NAM/GFS surface-based CAPE values increase to between 1000 and 2000 J/kg with 20kt bulk shear in the stretch zone and strengthening theta-e ridge axis. Storm motions appear erratic with a slow drift toward the south and west on convective outflows. The 12Z HREF 50th percentile QPF supports storms with >0.25" rainfall along the central mt chain and 90th percentiles indicating potential for localized areas >1" along and south of U.S. 60, including the Ruidoso area. Storm motions around Lincoln County may be more defined toward the west which may allow storms that form in the higher terrain to move away from burn scars. Redevelopment into the more unstable southeast low level inflow may be the trigger for flash flooding if storms train over the same areas. A Flood Watch may be warranted but will await another model cycle to improve confidence. Late Monday afternoon and evening may be active within the RGV as storm outflows converge in the lower terrain and elevate chances for locally heavy rainfall. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 1221 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025 Tuesday through Thursday still look like very active days with increasing potential for locally heavy rainfall and flash flooding over the northern, central, and western NM. This may be the first consistent shot of showers and storms with heavy rainfall along and west of the Cont Divide in nearly two months. However, there are still important model trends and differences that are raising questions on exactly where the inverted trough axis will take shape and how it evolves over northern and western NM. The latest NBM has trended the higher QPF farther southeast into central NM with the higher percentile values >1.5" more into central NM thru Wednesday. The NAM has actually trended farther northwest toward the Four Corners Tuesday while the GFS and EC are more consistent with the higher QPF axis between the Cont Divide and central mt chain. The key message however remains with slow-moving storms capable of producing very heavy rainfall with more burn scar flash flooding possible Tuesday thru Wednesday. Urban and poorly drained areas may also see an elevated flood threat. Temps during this time frame will be near to slightly below normal for late July. By Thursday, a strong H5 ridge is still shown nosing westward into southeast NM and forcing the plume to tilt even more west/southwest to east/northeast across northern and western NM. Slightly stronger northwest flow in this regime may allow heavier storms to move across northeast NM as well. Friday and Saturday may feature an overall downtick in storm coverage with warming temps depending on the trajectory of the upper ridge. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 522 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025 Thunderstorms ongoing over eastern NM could still produce some gusty outflow winds or even a brief storm at KTCC, so have retained the PROB30 group through 02Z. Other terminals unlikely to be impacted this evening, with moderate-to-high confidence, so VFR prevails through the night and into mid-day Monday. Stead S/SE winds will continue to advect in low-level moisture, setting the stage for a widespread thunderstorm activity on Monday. Moist plume is modeled to set up mainly over the central portion of NM, with KABQ/KAEG/KSAF having relatively highest confidence with TEMPO's inserted already...slightly lower confidence at KLVS. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1221 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025 Very dry conditions in place over northwest NM today will give way to improving humidity recoveries tonight as southeast winds usher in better low level moisture. Meanwhile, an easterly wave moving into northern Mexico will help to spread deeper moisture northward into NM thru Monday. Greater storm coverage is likely with larger footprints of wetting rainfall across the southeast half of NM. Areas along the moisture gradient near the Cont Divide may see drier type storms with downburst winds likely. Moisture will continue deepening over the region Tuesday thru Thursday with much higher chances for wetting rainfall along the Cont Divide and the northern high terrain. The threat for burn scar flash flooding will remain moderate to high the entire week. A strong area of high pressure may build westward into southern NM toward late week with warmer temps and lower storm chances. Far western and northern NM may remain active in this pattern with slow moving storms capable of producing smaller footprints heavy rainfall beyond Thursday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Farmington...................... 62 96 66 94 / 0 5 5 5 Dulce........................... 49 92 51 89 / 0 20 20 50 Cuba............................ 59 89 58 86 / 0 20 30 50 Gallup.......................... 54 93 55 90 / 0 10 10 20 El Morro........................ 57 88 57 83 / 5 20 30 50 Grants.......................... 57 91 58 86 / 5 30 30 50 Quemado......................... 60 89 60 84 / 10 40 40 70 Magdalena....................... 64 86 63 83 / 5 40 50 70 Datil........................... 58 85 56 80 / 10 50 40 70 Reserve......................... 57 93 57 88 / 5 70 40 80 Glenwood........................ 62 96 60 91 / 10 70 50 80 Chama........................... 51 85 52 82 / 0 30 20 60 Los Alamos...................... 62 86 60 83 / 0 60 30 70 Pecos........................... 58 85 57 83 / 5 60 50 70 Cerro/Questa.................... 57 85 55 83 / 0 40 20 60 Red River....................... 48 76 47 74 / 0 40 20 70 Angel Fire...................... 42 78 42 76 / 0 50 10 70 Taos............................ 54 87 54 85 / 0 30 20 50 Mora............................ 52 83 52 81 / 5 50 20 70 Espanola........................ 62 93 61 90 / 0 40 30 50 Santa Fe........................ 62 87 60 84 / 5 50 50 60 Santa Fe Airport................ 61 90 60 88 / 5 50 50 50 Albuquerque Foothills........... 70 93 68 89 / 5 50 50 60 Albuquerque Heights............. 69 94 67 91 / 5 50 50 40 Albuquerque Valley.............. 67 97 66 93 / 5 50 50 30 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 69 95 67 91 / 5 50 50 30 Belen........................... 65 95 65 92 / 5 40 50 30 Bernalillo...................... 67 95 65 92 / 5 50 50 40 Bosque Farms.................... 65 96 64 92 / 5 40 50 30 Corrales........................ 68 97 67 93 / 5 50 50 40 Los Lunas....................... 66 95 65 92 / 5 40 50 20 Placitas........................ 65 91 64 88 / 5 50 50 50 Rio Rancho...................... 67 95 66 91 / 5 50 50 40 Socorro......................... 68 96 68 92 / 5 30 50 40 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 61 86 60 82 / 5 50 50 60 Tijeras......................... 63 90 61 87 / 5 50 50 60 Edgewood........................ 57 89 57 86 / 5 50 50 50 Moriarty/Estancia............... 55 90 55 86 / 5 50 50 50 Clines Corners.................. 57 83 58 80 / 10 40 50 50 Mountainair..................... 59 87 58 83 / 10 50 50 60 Gran Quivira.................... 58 85 58 82 / 10 50 50 60 Carrizozo....................... 62 88 63 84 / 20 40 40 60 Ruidoso......................... 56 80 57 77 / 20 50 30 70 Capulin......................... 57 85 57 83 / 5 20 10 30 Raton........................... 55 89 55 87 / 0 30 10 40 Springer........................ 56 90 56 89 / 5 20 10 30 Las Vegas....................... 56 85 55 83 / 5 40 20 60 Clayton......................... 65 90 65 89 / 5 5 5 5 Roy............................. 61 86 60 86 / 5 10 10 20 Conchas......................... 66 93 67 93 / 5 10 10 10 Santa Rosa...................... 63 89 64 89 / 10 10 20 20 Tucumcari....................... 65 90 65 90 / 5 5 5 5 Clovis.......................... 66 93 67 93 / 5 5 5 5 Portales........................ 67 93 67 94 / 5 5 5 5 Fort Sumner..................... 67 92 67 93 / 5 5 10 10 Roswell......................... 70 93 70 94 / 5 10 10 10 Picacho......................... 61 88 63 88 / 10 20 20 40 Elk............................. 58 85 60 85 / 10 40 30 50 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...42 LONG TERM....42 AVIATION...53-Schroeder
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
438 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025
NMZ226-272315-
South Central Mountains NM-
438 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY
UNTIL 515 PM MDT...
At 438 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Ruidoso Downs, or 5 miles southeast of Ruidoso, moving northwest at
20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Ruidoso, Lincoln, Ruidoso Downs, Capitan, Fort Stanton, Glencoe,
Smokey Bear Historical Park, Alto, Lincoln State Monument and
Angus.
This includes Highway 380 between Mile Markers 81 and 98.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.
Motorists can expect brief but sudden changes in visibility and
ponding of water on roadways as storms move through the area.
&&
LAT...LON 3338 10535 3331 10545 3330 10571 3331 10573
3339 10573 3339 10576 3361 10561 3358 10538
TIME...MOT...LOC 2238Z 122DEG 15KT 3331 10558
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
24Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
444 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025
NMZ237-238-272315-
Chaves County Plains NM-De Baca County NM-
444 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL DE BACA AND NORTH
CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM MDT...
At 444 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 18
miles east of Mesa, or 33 miles south of Fort Sumner, moving
northwest at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Mainly rural areas of South Central De Baca and North Central
Chaves Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead
to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3400 10455 3403 10461 3421 10441 3402 10424
3389 10436
TIME...MOT...LOC 2243Z 133DEG 12KT 3401 10437
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 TO 55 MPH
77/53Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
539 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025
NMZ234-280030-
Quay County NM-
539 PM MDT Sun Jul 27 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL QUAY COUNTY UNTIL
630 PM MDT...
At 539 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Montoya, or 19 miles southwest of Tucumcari, moving northeast at 5
mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Montoya.
This includes Interstate 40 between Mile Markers 309 and 324.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead
to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3490 10392 3493 10413 3512 10413 3514 10412
3519 10402 3511 10382
TIME...MOT...LOC 2339Z 207DEG 6KT 3504 10403
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
53-SchroederThe Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 51 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:47 UTC.
8 flash flood, 1 tornado, 1 thunderstorm wind, 1 debris flow. Local standard time, as filed.
Flash flooding was observed off the Salt burn scar out of Bear Canyon to areas near Elk Lodge along U.S. Highway 70.
A washed-out road stranded some personnel just west of Phillips Hill mesonet site (WSM30). It is unclear if folks were stranded all night or at the exact location of wash out.
Flash flooding over U.S. Highway 82 near Jay Powell Ranch with high flows out of banks along the Rio Penasco.
Local news media shared a video from a viewer of a landspout just north of Rio Bravo Blvd. west of the Rio Grande. The time and location estimated based on video and radar.
Emergency Management reported 6 inches of moving water over U.S. Highway 54 south of Carrizozo.
A likely virga induced thunderstorm wind gust of 73 mph was observed at the Gallup Airport.
Heavy rains over the South Fork and Salt burn scars in and around Ruidoso resulted in burn scar flash flooding. Flash flooding was reported along multiple portions of Cedar Creek and the Rio Ruidoso, including at Mechem Dr., Brady and Porr Roads, Country Club Road, Robin Road and River Trail, a bridge at Eagle Road, Gavilan Canyon Road, and along U.S. Highway 70 in Hollywood. Spring Canyon Road was washed out and made impassable. Fast moving water was reported over all roads in the Cherokee Village Mobile Home park where a confirmed gas leak was reported alongside a successful swift water rescue of an adult woman. An unknown number of other swift water rescues were conducted in Hollywood. Flash flooding overtopped the bridge on the access road to the Ruidoso Downs racetrack, and flooded the horse tunnel and Spaghetti Flats north and east of the racetrack. Damage is an estimate.
Heavy rains over the South Fork and Salt burn scars resulted in burn scar flash flooding in the Ruidoso area, including near schools. Flash flooding was reported in multiple areas along roads and highways including White Mountain Dr., Hull Rd., Mechem Dr., Paradise Canyon Dr. just north of Sudderth Dr., Perk Canyon Dr., and along Main Road. The access road to the Ruidoso Downs racetrack was once again overtopped. The Fire Department assisted in a swift water rescue of an occupied vehicle being pushed by flood waters. Damage is an estimate, and there are no reports of injuries or fatalities.
Heavy rains resulted in high water levels along the Rio Bonito and along Sandesta Dr., entering homes in the area. Damage is an estimate.
Monsoon rains resulted in a mudslide along NM Highway 38 at mile marker 9 approximately 3 miles west of Red River. Both lanes were closed with no estimated time of return to service. Rainfall over a period of time this summer resulting in a gradual loosening of the hillside is the likely culprit of this mudslide. Damage cost is an estimate of cleanup.
Deputy City Manager reported a collapsed sidewalk at the intersection of Corte de Princesa and Camino Consuela along the Arroyo de los Pinos in Sante Fe. Damage is an estimate.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for New Mexico, 2025Warnings in New Mexico, July 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1267686, 1268086, 1269358, 1269371, 1269359, 1269360, 1269366, 1269368, 1269369, 1269361, 1269370.