New Mexico, 2025Wildfire and Dust Storm in New Mexico, April 27 to 29, 2025
April 27 to 29, 2025 · NWS ABQ · 14 events in 12 counties and zones
The combination of very dry antecedent ground conditions and very dry and strong southwesterly flow ahead of a closed upper low over the Great Basin region brought widespread high wind gusts and blowing dust across mainly central and eastern NM during the afternoon and early evening of April 27th. Peak wind gusts of 58 to 80 mph were observed across the area.
Every event with a place to put it; 14 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 2
- Property damage
- $500,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 14
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The combination of very dry antecedent ground conditions and very dry and strong southwesterly flow ahead of a closed upper low over the Great Basin region brought widespread high wind gusts and blowing dust across mainly central and eastern NM during the afternoon and early evening of April 27th. Peak wind gusts of 58 to 80 mph were observed across the area. Blowing dust causing near zero visibility resulted in the closure of the Roswell Relief Route, as well as the closure of NM Highway 2 at Hagerman, NM. The high winds and low humidity resulted in extreme critical fire weather conditions. Unfortunately two fires broke out, the Otero and Balsam Fires near Socorro and Grants, NM respectively. The Balsam Fire destroyed 6 structures and 8 outbuildings. Conditions improved during the evening as winds began to subside.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 27, 10:11 AM MST, 1 hour 4 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 1107 AM MDT Sun Apr 27 2025
- Critical to extreme fire weather today will increase the risk of rapid fire spread across much of northern, central, and western NM. Any fires that will develop will be hard to control.
- Strong southwest winds today will create widespread blowing dust with low visibility, hazardous travel, and worsening air quality. Damage may occur to tree limbs, power lines, and light weight objects across central and eastern New Mexico.
- Unsettled weather will continue by the middle to latter half of next week with increasing chances for showers and storms, cooler temperatures, and perhaps some higher mountain snow across northern NM.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 27, 10:11 AM MST, 1 hour 4 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1111 AM MDT Sun Apr 27 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1107 AM MDT Sun Apr 27 2025
- Critical to extreme fire weather today will increase the risk
of rapid fire spread across much of northern, central, and
western NM. Any fires that will develop will be hard to control.
- Strong southwest winds today will create widespread blowing
dust with low visibility, hazardous travel, and worsening air
quality. Damage may occur to tree limbs, power lines, and light
weight objects across central and eastern New Mexico.
- Unsettled weather will continue by the middle to latter half of
next week with increasing chances for showers and storms, cooler
temperatures, and perhaps some higher mountain snow across
northern NM.
&&
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 303 AM MDT Sun Apr 27 2025
Drier conditions and strong winds throughout the state will lead to
widespread critical fire weather for most areas outside of the
eastern plains. During the afternoon, strong winds could create
damaging gusts, blowing dust, and rapid fire spread. A storm system
in the middle of the week will bring increased precipitation chances
for northern and eastern areas and a backdoor front through
northeast New Mexico. At the end of the week, another backdoor front
will push through into central New Mexico. The return of moist
southerly flow looks to bring back chances for thunderstorms for the
eastern plains next weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 303 AM MDT Sun Apr 27 2025
There were only minor changes to the ongoing forecast for strong
winds and high fire danger today. Low clouds, patchy fog, and very
light showers over eastern NM early this morning will clear from
west to east thru mid morning as winds veer around to the south and
southwest. An unseasonably deep H5 low over SoCal will spread much
stronger southwest flow aloft over NM. 700-500mb layer winds will
increase to between 50 and 60kt directly over central NM while a
potent dry slot moves overhead. Forecast confidence is high that
southwest winds will increase thru late morning with peak gusts from
55 to 65 mph along and east of the Continental Divide. The highest
wind gusts will impact the area between Socorro, Ruidoso, and Vaughn
where peak gusts may reach 70 mph. Widespread blowing dust is likely
again given these winds will occur with very deep mixing, temps in
the 80s, humidity near 5%, and very dry soils (NASA SPoRT LIS).
A dry Pacific cold front will move thru the area this evening with
decreasing westerly winds overnight. Low temps will be chilly behind
the front with subfreezing lows for northern and western NM Monday
morning. Areas from near Santa Fe to ABQ and Socorro will see lows
in the 30s and 40s. West-southwest winds will increase again late
Monday morning with gusts of 25 to 35 mph common across the region.
It will be very dry again with humidity falling to near 10% in many
areas. The highest fire danger will be relegated to the I-25
corridor from near Raton to Las Vegas. High temps will actually be
below normal for much of northern and western NM.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 303 AM MDT Sun Apr 27 2025
A positively tilted trough will continue its journey eastward
through the intermountain west on Tuesday. A backdoor cold front
will begin to make its way through northeast New Mexico on Monday
night and push into to the Sangre de Cristo Mountains by Tuesday
morning. Confidence is still low on whether the front will make it
through the gaps of the central mountain chain, with guidance
indicating that Santa Fe is more likely to see a stronger easterly
wind shift than Albuquerque. Diurnal heating looks to mix down
stronger southwesterly flow aloft and limit the southward and
westward progression of the backdoor cold front. With a 100 kt upper
level jet overhead and 30 kt 700 mb winds, conditions look to get
breezy to gusty during the afternoon, particularly for areas around
the southern mountains. The digging trough will introduce increased
moisture and forcing, leading to the development of a few storms
ahead of the cold front and along the northern mountains,
potentially creating some snowfall for the peaks. Deeper moisture
and greater instability in southeastern areas could once again lead
to another round of thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall for
parts of the eastern plains.
Drier conditions expected for Wednesday as the trough axis crosses
New Mexico and the Pacific front pushes through the state. Moisture
will be limited to northern and eastern areas, with chances for rain
and high elevation snow for the northern mountains. As this system
exits the region, it will usher in a backdoor cold front through
eastern New Mexico, increasing chances for rain and pushing breezy
easterly winds through the gaps of the central mountain chain by
Friday morning. The upper level pattern will then shift to a more
weak zonal flow, allowing for the return of moisture-rich, Gulf
southerly flow at the surface for the eastern plains. Once again,
afternoon dryline thunderstorms will be a threat for both Friday and
Saturday afternoons. Attention then turns to a deepening Pacific low
that looks to bring a significant change to the weather for next
week. Details are still fuzzy for a system this far into the future,
but ensembles are in pretty good agreement for anomalously deep
troughing to bring cooler temperatures and increased precipitation.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1107 AM MDT Sun Apr 27 2025
Any IFR/MFVR ceilings have lifted over E NM this morning. Now it
becomes monitoring winds for increases. Winds have already gusted
to over 40kts at KLVS. Given another couple of hours winds should
be quite strong with a few gusts getting up to 40-50kts for KABQ,
KAEG, KSAF, KLVS. Blowing dust could be another issue reducing
visibility. Winds will be slow to decrease tonight with more winds
expected tomorrow but not as strong. KLVS might be the lone
exception there.
39
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 303 AM MDT Sun Apr 27 2025
Very dry and breezy conditions the past two days will lead into
extreme fire weather today with much stronger southwest winds and
more single digit humidity across central NM. Confidence is very
high for widespread critical to extreme fire weather. The latest
HREF combined probabilities for wind speed >20 mph and min RH <15%
is 100% for nearly the entire area along and east of the Cont Divide
with min RH <10% above 90% for the Rio Grande Valley and nearby high
terrain. The combination of single digit humidity with peak wind
gusts up to 65 mph and ERC values above the 90th percentile will
allow for rapid fire spread. Any fires that develop will be hard to
control. Much of eastern NM will see critical conditions however
recent rainfall and greenup trends from satellite-derived imagery
are likely to mitigate fire spread. A strong Pacific cold front will
move through the region by late this afternoon and shift winds out
of the west. Very dry air in the wake of the front will maintain
poor to fair recoveries tonight in many areas. West winds will be
strong again Monday but mainly across northeast NM from near Raton
to Las Vegas. The I-25 corridor was excluded from the bulk of the
rainfall the past 2 days so a Fire Weather Watch has been issued
given the duration of critical conditions expected.
The rest of this week will feature cooler temps, relatively light
winds, higher humidity, more cloud cover, and increasing chances for
showers and storms, especially across northern and eastern NM.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington...................... 70 35 64 34 / 5 5 0 0
Dulce........................... 70 28 60 26 / 10 5 0 0
Cuba............................ 72 30 63 33 / 0 0 0 0
Gallup.......................... 66 25 63 25 / 0 0 0 0
El Morro........................ 66 27 61 31 / 0 0 0 0
Grants.......................... 72 27 66 26 / 0 0 0 0
Quemado......................... 67 28 66 29 / 0 0 0 0
Magdalena....................... 74 36 70 39 / 0 0 0 0
Datil........................... 68 30 66 32 / 0 0 0 0
Reserve......................... 71 28 70 26 / 0 0 0 0
Glenwood........................ 77 34 73 33 / 0 0 0 0
Chama........................... 64 25 55 28 / 10 5 0 0
Los Alamos...................... 70 35 62 41 / 0 0 0 0
Pecos........................... 72 34 63 38 / 0 0 0 0
Cerro/Questa.................... 68 29 60 33 / 0 0 0 0
Red River....................... 64 25 53 26 / 0 0 0 0
Angel Fire...................... 65 27 56 16 / 0 0 0 0
Taos............................ 71 30 63 29 / 0 0 0 0
Mora............................ 70 32 62 33 / 0 0 0 0
Espanola........................ 78 36 70 36 / 0 0 0 0
Santa Fe........................ 73 33 62 40 / 0 0 0 0
Santa Fe Airport................ 77 35 66 36 / 0 0 0 0
Albuquerque Foothills........... 78 40 69 46 / 0 0 0 0
Albuquerque Heights............. 80 42 71 42 / 0 0 0 0
Albuquerque Valley.............. 82 41 73 38 / 0 0 0 0
Albuquerque West Mesa........... 81 41 72 43 / 0 0 0 0
Belen........................... 83 39 75 38 / 0 0 0 0
Bernalillo...................... 82 41 72 41 / 0 0 0 0
Bosque Farms.................... 82 39 73 37 / 0 0 0 0
Corrales........................ 82 41 72 42 / 0 0 0 0
Los Lunas....................... 82 40 74 39 / 0 0 0 0
Placitas........................ 78 39 68 43 / 0 0 0 0
Rio Rancho...................... 81 41 71 44 / 0 0 0 0
Socorro......................... 84 42 79 42 / 0 0 0 0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 72 35 64 40 / 0 0 0 0
Tijeras......................... 75 38 66 41 / 0 0 0 0
Edgewood........................ 75 35 66 36 / 0 0 0 0
Moriarty/Estancia............... 76 34 68 31 / 0 0 0 0
Clines Corners.................. 71 34 63 36 / 0 0 0 0
Mountainair..................... 74 36 68 37 / 0 0 0 0
Gran Quivira.................... 74 38 68 37 / 0 0 0 0
Carrizozo....................... 79 45 73 43 / 0 0 0 0
Ruidoso......................... 73 45 67 42 / 0 0 0 0
Capulin......................... 71 36 65 32 / 0 0 0 0
Raton........................... 76 34 69 33 / 0 0 0 0
Springer........................ 77 36 71 34 / 0 0 0 0
Las Vegas....................... 73 35 65 34 / 0 0 0 0
Clayton......................... 78 45 73 41 / 0 0 0 0
Roy............................. 76 39 69 38 / 0 0 0 0
Conchas......................... 84 46 77 42 / 10 0 0 0
Santa Rosa...................... 81 44 74 41 / 0 0 0 0
Tucumcari....................... 85 47 77 43 / 5 0 0 0
Clovis.......................... 87 51 80 49 / 5 10 0 10
Portales........................ 88 51 82 48 / 5 10 0 10
Fort Sumner..................... 86 47 79 44 / 5 0 0 0
Roswell......................... 94 53 87 51 / 5 0 0 0
Picacho......................... 86 49 79 44 / 0 0 0 0
Elk............................. 83 48 76 42 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for NMZ101-105-106-
109-120>125.
Wind Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for NMZ207-208-211-
216>218-230>233-238-241.
High Wind Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for NMZ212>215-
219>229-239-240.
Fire Weather Watch Monday afternoon for NMZ123.
&&
SHORT TERM...39
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...39
Please note: The SYNOPSIS section will be terminated by the end of April.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Apr 27, 10:19 AM MST, 56 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1119 AM MDT Sun Apr 27 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0735 PM Hail 5 E Puerto De Luna 34.82N 104.54W
04/26/2025 E1.00 Inch Guadalupe NM Trained Spotter
&&
CGEvent by event
11 high wind, 2 wildfire, 1 dust storm. Local standard time, as filed.
High Wind, South Central Mountains
- When
- April 27, 11:15 AM MST to 4:35 PM MST
- Where
- South Central Mountains forecast zone
- Measured
- 68 kt (78 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- AWOS
- Coordinates
- 33.745, -105.459 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Sierra Blanca Regional Airport measured peak wind gusts of 78 mph and peak sustained winds of 56 mph. Additionally, a mesonet station Nogal measured a 59 mph wind gust and a public station near Carrizozo measured a 58 mph wind gust.
Dust Storm, Chaves County Plains
- When
- April 27, 12:30 PM MST to 6:25 PM MST
- Where
- Chaves County Plains forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Near zero visibility from blowing dust resulted in the closure of the Roswell Relief Route on the southwest side of Roswell and the closure of State Highway 2 from mile marker 17, Hagerman to mile marker 21, 1 mile north of Greenfield.
High Wind, Southwest Chaves County
- When
- April 27, 12:36 PM MST to 12:40 PM MST
- Where
- Southwest Chaves County forecast zone
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- RAWS
- Coordinates
- 33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Dunken RAWS measured a peak wind gust of 61 mph.
High Wind, South Central Highlands
- When
- April 27, 2:10 PM MST to 2:12 PM MST
- Where
- South Central Highlands forecast zone
- Measured
- 55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 34.277, -106.262 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Little Burro mesonet on White Sands Missile Range measured a peak wind gust of 63 mph.
High Wind, Chaves County Plains
- When
- April 27, 2:14 PM MST to 2:25 PM MST
- Where
- Chaves County Plains forecast zone
- Measured
- 59 kt (68 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Roswell Air Center measured a peak wind gust of 68 mph.
High Wind, Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass
- When
- April 27, 2:15 PM MST to 3:15 PM MST
- Where
- Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass forecast zone
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 36.544, -104.059 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The NM DOT station on I-25 at Raton Pass measured peak wind gusts of 60 mph.
High Wind, Far Northeast Highlands
- When
- April 27, 2:15 PM MST to 4:03 PM MST
- Where
- Far Northeast Highlands forecast zone
- Measured
- 54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 36.308, -104.796 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Raton Crews Municipal Airport measured a peak wind gust of 62 mph.
High Wind, Estancia Valley
- When
- April 27, 3:45 PM MST to 3:47 PM MST
- Where
- Estancia Valley forecast zone
- Measured
- 51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 35.066, -106.166 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A public weather station in Estancia measured a 59 mph wind gust.
High Wind, Central Highlands
- When
- April 27, 3:53 PM MST to 5:28 PM MST
- Where
- Central Highlands forecast zone
- Measured
- 54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 35.209, -105.548 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Clines Corners ASOS measured a peak wind gust of 62 mph.
Wildfire, Lower Rio Grande Valley
- When
- April 27, 4:00 PM MST to April 29, 4:00 PM MST
- Where
- Lower Rio Grande Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 34.007, -106.930 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Otero Wildfire was discovered in the late afternoon of April 27th just east of Socorro in the bosque along the Rio Grande River. As of April 29th, it had burned 405 acres, threatening no structures.
High Wind, Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains
- When
- April 27, 4:00 PM MST to 7:00 PM MST
- Where
- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains forecast zone
- Measured
- 70 kt (81 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 36.592, -105.139 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A weather station at Kachina Peak in Taos Ski Valley measured peak wind gusts of 81 mph.
High Wind, Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area
- When
- April 27, 4:00 PM MST to 4:05 PM MST
- Where
- Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area forecast zone
- Measured
- 51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 35.002, -106.839 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A public weather station at Placitas measured a 59 mph wind gust. Additionally, a public weather station 8 miles southwest of Cedro measured a 58 mph wind gust.
High Wind, Lower Rio Grande Valley
- When
- April 27, 4:00 PM MST to 4:50 PM MST
- Where
- Lower Rio Grande Valley forecast zone
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 34.007, -106.930 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Stallion Wit and Zumwalt Track mesonet stations on White Sands Missile Range measured peak wind gusts of 60 mph. Additionally, the Sevilleta RAWS measured a 59 mph wind gust.
Wildfire, West Central Highlands
- When
- April 27, 7:21 PM MST to April 28, 1:00 PM MST
- Where
- West Central Highlands forecast zone
- Injuries
- 0 direct, 2 indirect
- Property damage
- $500,000
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 34.993, -107.256 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Balsam Wildfire was discovered during a very dry and critical fire weather event on the evening of April 27th, in Grants, NM. Fire crews were able to keep the fire to just 3 to 5 acres, but it unfortunately burned through a residential area. The Grants Fire Chief reported 7 structures were impacted with 2 firemen injured. Damage is an estimate.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
- Dust Storm
- Blowing dust that reduced visibility to a quarter mile or less.
- Wildfire
- A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornadoes and Hail in Nebraska, April 27 to 28, 2025$750,000 · EF2 · 19 events
- Tornadoes in South Dakota, April 27, 20256 injured · $1.0 million · EF1 · 2 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Mississippi, April 27, 2025$29,000 · 1.75 in hail · 12 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Mississippi, April 27 to 30, 2025$26,000 · 1.25 in hail · 5 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in South Dakota, April 27 to 28, 20252 in hail · 12 events
- Dust Storm and High Wind in New Mexico, April 27, 202577 kt wind · 8 events
- Flash Flooding and Flood in Missouri, April 27, 20257 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Texas, April 27, 20251.5 in hail · 6 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Montana, April 27, 20252 in hail · 6 events
- High Wind in Texas, April 27 to 28, 202553 kt wind · 4 events
- Winter Storm in Montana, April 27 to 28, 20253 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Nebraska, April 27, 20251 in hail · 2 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1238922, 1238933, 1238929, 1238920, 1238928, 1238924, 1238926, 1238917, 1238918, 1238904, 1238911, 1238912, 1238914, 1238905.