On November 25, 2025, an upper-level wave moving across the northern Plains led to the development of a broad surface low that tracked eastward across the region. A strong pressure gradient on the backside of the low resulted in widespread strong winds.
Every event with a place to put it; 22 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OAX wrote it up.
On November 25, 2025, an upper-level wave moving across the northern Plains led to the development of a broad surface low that tracked eastward across the region. A strong pressure gradient on the backside of the low resulted in widespread strong winds. Winds increased through the morning, peaked during the afternoon for most locations, and gradually diminished into the late evening. Maximum measured wind gusts ranged from 58 to 63 mph, with notable reports including 63 mph from a personal weather station near Pender, NE; 61 mph at the KOFK ASOS; 62 mph from a personal weather station near Lincoln, NE; and 60 mph near Offutt Air Force Base.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Omaha, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 25, 5:44 AM CST, 3 hours 16 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
544 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Patchy dense fog and drizzle will linger this morning near and
east of the Missouri River.
- Windy today with gusts of 35 to 50 mph across much of the
areas. Portions of northeast Nebraska could see occasional
gusts near 60 mph, where a High Wind Warning is in effect.
- A band of snow is expected to bring travel impacts to parts
of the area Friday into Friday night, with the highest chances
(40-60%) in northeast Nebraska into west-central Iowa.
Questions remain on exact location and snow amounts at this
time.
- Winter weather may continue to impact travel Saturday into
Monday though confidence in details remains low. Keep up to
date on the forecast as we go through the week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 408 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025
Early morning analysis showed a shortwave trough just starting
to push into the Dakotas with an area of surface low pressure in
northeast NE/southeast SD. A cold front stretched southwestward
from the low and was just about to enter Knox county. Ahead of
the front, there was widespread low clouds and some patchy dense
fog. Behind the front, winds were starting to pick up, with
30-45+ mph wind gusts in portions of central and western NE, and
even a few 55+ gusts as you move toward the panhandle. These
winds will continue eastward through the day with fog clearing
out as they move in. 40+ mph gusts are expected across much of
the forecast area through at least the afternoon, with some
locations in northeast NE into west- central IA expected to see
continued gusts into this evening. In addition, expect some
enhanced gusts across northeast NE where model soundings show
55-60+ kt winds at the top of the mixed layer this afternoon,
with 50+ kts through a good chunk of the layer. Combined with
fairly strong subsidence and cold air advection, these stronger
winds should reach the surface at times with a few 50-60 mph
gusts at times. Furthermore, EPS mean wind gusts in portions of
northeast NE top 60 mph, so ended up having the confidence to
issue a High Wind Warning for these areas. Farther southeast,
winds aloft won't be quite as strong this afternoon, so kept as
a Wind Advisory and added roughly a row of counties on the
southeast edge. One thing to watch will be potential for the
strong winds to last longer into the evening than currently
forecast, as winds aloft will remain strong and model soundings
show us staying fairly mixed. However, raw wind gust guidance
does taper speeds off a bit this evening.
Along with the wind, we could see some light snow wrap around
the back side of the low and clip far northeast NE (15-30%
chance in Knox and Cedar counties). If we do manage to get a
stray heavier shower, visibility could briefly become poor due
to the wind, but latest short term guidance is in fairly good
agreement that most of this will stay about a county to our
north. Otherwise, temperatures today should top out mostly in
the 40s, though it can always be tricky with strong cold air
advection.
The surface low will push east and deepen across MN/WI this
evening and overnight with surface high pressure building in for
Wednesday and Thursday. This should lead to quiet weather both
days, but we'll stay cool with highs in the mid 30s to lower
40s. Guidance is in good agreement that some weak shortwave
energy will slide southeast through NE Wednesday night,
potentially bringing a quick dusting of snow to some locations.
However, a vast majority of solutions keep this to our
southwest.
Attention then turns to snow chances for Friday and Friday
night as additional shortwave energy approaches with a decent
band of frontogenesis setting up somewhere across SD into NE
and/or IA. Still questions on how far north/south the band will
be and how much snow it will bring. In general EPS/ECMWF
solutions are farther north than GEFS/GFS/GEPS. GEFS suggests a
50% chance of at least 1" along and northeast of a line from
Norfolk to Omaha, while the EPS has that line more through
Yankton, Sioux City, and a county or so south of Des Moines (the
same Norfolk to Omaha line would be about 20% in this case).
For what it's worth, model consensus suggests roughly 3- 5" in
the very center of that band (2-3 counties wide) wherever it
sets up, but there are certainly some outliers as is
typical of these frontogenesis-driven bands.
Following the band Friday, there's starting to be a little bit
better agreement that precipitation becomes more widespread in
the area Saturday as the actual shortwave gets here and a
surface low spins up over eastern CO. There will be some dry air
to overcome on the southwest side of the Friday/Friday night
band leading to questions on precip amounts, but guidance
suggests it should fill in eventually. Precip type also remains
uncertain and will depend at least on track of the surface low
and resulting temperatures Saturday. Solutions range from
mostly snow (southern track) to snow in the north, rain in the
south, and a mix in between (northern track).
Beyond Saturday, forecast confidence really decreases with
guidance kind of split between two camps. One suggests strong
amplification of a longwave trough over the eastern CONUS with a
cutoff low developing over the Desert Southwest, keeping us in
southwest flow while additional shortwave energy slides through
and gives us continued snow chances Sunday into Monday (e.g.
25.00Z GFS). The other would suggest the trough is not nearly as
amplified and we stay under zonal flow with surface high
pressure largely keeping us quiet (maybe a weak bit of shortwave
energy slides through and gives us flurries). So really the big
question is, do we see most of our snow and potential travel
impacts come to an end by Saturday evening, or do they continue
Sunday into early next week? For now, have 30-40% chances on
Sunday, but these will almost certainly change in the coming
days. If you have travel plans after Thanksgiving, make sure to
keep a close eye on the forecast. Otherwise, we do have a little
more confidence that even colder weather is on the way, with
weekend highs in the mid 20s to mid 30s and perhaps even some
highs in the teens by Monday.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 544 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025
MVFR to IFR ceilings and visibility will clear from west to
east early in the period, with patchy 1/4 to 1/2 SM visibility
in some spots. Once it clears, expect several hours of VFR
conditions before additional MVFR ceilings push in from the
north this afternoon/evening. Still questions on how far south
they'll reach, so kept mentions at OFK and OMA, but will need to
monitor potential at LNK. Otherwise, the main story is that
winds will quickly pick up out of the northwest this morning,
with gusts of around 35 to 45 kts at all TAF sites into this
evening. There is potential OFK could even see 50+ kt gusts at
times. Winds will gradually weaken overnight, but 20-30 kt gusts
are expected to linger into Wednesday morning.
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for NEZ015-018-
033-034-044-045-051>053-067-068-091-093.
Wind Advisory from 9 AM this morning to midnight CST tonight
for NEZ012-015-018-032>034.
High Wind Warning from 9 AM this morning to 6 PM CST this
evening for NEZ011-016-017-030-031-042.
Wind Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 6 PM CST this evening
for NEZ043>045-050>053-065>067-078.
IA...Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for IAZ043-055-
056-069-079-080-090-091.
Wind Advisory from 9 AM this morning to midnight CST tonight
for IAZ043-055-056-069.
&&
DISCUSSION...CA
AVIATION...CAHazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 454 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025 IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034- 042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-261200- Monona-Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-Page- Knox-Cedar-Thurston-Antelope-Pierce-Wayne-Boone-Madison-Stanton- Cuming-Burt-Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-Saunders-Douglas- Sarpy-Seward-Lancaster-Cass-Otoe-Saline-Jefferson-Gage-Johnson- Nemaha-Pawnee-Richardson- 454 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Iowa, west central Iowa, east central Nebraska, northeast Nebraska and southeast Nebraska. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Expect patchy dense fog across much of the area this morning with visibility under 1/4 mile in some locations. It will clear from west to east and should exit the area by around 9 AM. Northwest winds will gust 35-50 mph across much of the area today. Portions of northeast Nebraska could see occasional gusts near 60 mph, where a High Wind Warning is in effect. There is a 15-30% chance of snow showers clipping far northeast Nebraska this afternoon. While little to no accumulation is expected, the gusty winds could lead to poor visibility under any heavier showers. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. A band of snow is expected to bring travel impacts to parts of the area Friday into Friday night, with the highest chances (40-60%) in northeast Nebraska into west-central Iowa. Questions remain on exact location and snow amounts at this time. Winter weather may continue to impact travel Saturday into Monday though confidence in details remains low. Keep up to date on the forecast as we go through the week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
22 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
No observations within the county. Estimated maximum wind gusts of 55-65 mph based on surrounding observations.
K4V9 AWOS recorded a measured wind gust of 60 mph near Neligh, NE.
Personal weather station measured gust of 59 mph near Pierce, NE.
No observations within the county. Estimated maximum wind gusts of 55-60 mph based on surrounding observations.
KOFK ASOS measured wind gust of 61 mph. Personal weather station measured wind gust of 62 mph 2 miles northwest of Norfolk, NE. Personal weather station measured wind gust of 59 mph 1 mile east-northeast of Norfolk, NE.
Personal weather station measured wind gust of 62 mph near Monroe, NE. Personal weather station measured wind gust of 61 mph near Humphrey, NE.
No observations within the county. Estimated maximum wind gusts of 55-60 mph based on surrounding observations.
Personal weather station measured gust of 63 mph near Pender, NE.
Personal weather station measured gust of 63 mph near Hoskins, NE.
Personal weather station measured gust of 58 mph near Pilger, NE.
No observations within the county. Estimated maximum wind gusts of 55-65 mph based on surrounding observations.
KTQE ASOS measured wind gust of 59 mph near Tekamah, NE.
No observations within the county. Estimated maximum wind gusts of 55-60 mph based on surrounding observations.
Personal weather station measured wind gust of 61 mph near Nickerson, NE.
Personal weather station measured wind gust of 62 mph near Kennard, NE.
No observations within the county. Estimated maximum wind gusts of 55-60 mph based on surrounding observations.
Personal weather station measured wind gust of 60 mph near Ithaca, NE.
Personal weather station measured wind gust of 58 mph near Staplehurst, NE.
Personal weather station measured wind gust of 62 mph near Lincoln, NE and 60 mph near Greenwood, NE.
KOFF AWOS measured wind gust of 60 mph. Personal weather station measured wind gust of 61 mph near Papillion, NE and 58 mph near Chalco, NE.
KOMA ASOS measured wind gust of 59 mph near Omaha, NE. Personal weather station measured wind gust of 59 mph near Fort Calhoun, NE.
Personal weather station measured wind gust of 58 mph near Elmwood, NE.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Nebraska in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Nebraska, November 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1298454, 1298455, 1298456, 1298457, 1298458, 1298459, 1298460, 1298461, 1298463, 1298464, 1298465, 1298466, 1298467, 1298469, 1298470, 1298471, 1298472, 1298475, 1298477, 1298479, 1298478, 1298480.