Dry fuels, low humidity, and elevated winds resulted in a wildfire in Lee County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
Dry fuels, low humidity, and elevated winds resulted in a wildfire in Lee County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 26, 11:36 AM CST, 1 hour 54 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 1136 AM CST Wed Feb 26 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1124 AM CST Wed Feb 26 2025 -Above normal temperatures will continue today with highs in the 70s. -A weak front will move through the Mid-South Wednesday night into Thursday. Rainfall totals with this system will remain below a tenth of an inch. Dry conditions and near normal temperatures will persist through the upcoming weekend. -A warm and unsettled weather pattern is likely next week. && .DISCUSSION... (Today through Tuesday) Issued at 321 AM CST Wed Feb 26 2025 Satellite imagery as of 3AM depicts a healthy stratus deck situated over the northern half of the forecast area. Guidance continues to struggle with initializing this feature, with the HRRR ceiling product having the best handle on current conditions. Depending on how these clouds behave through sunrise, temperatures may end up cooler than forecast. However, there remains a strong signal for these clouds to break up by mid-morning, leaving the area subject to ample sunshine and warmth. As a result, expect afternoon highs in the 70s. A barrage of upper level trough passages will begin tonight as a trough digs across central CONUS, ejecting a cold front to the Mid-South. For now, it appears the majority of the area will experience a dry FROPA with areas in northwest TN picking up less than a tenth of an inch of rain. Temperatures on Thursday will cool in response to tonight's front, resulting in highs around 65 degrees. Yet another trough will traverse the Great Lakes Region on Saturday, allowing a dry frontal passage into the Mid-South. Temperatures on Sunday will be slightly cooler with highs ranging from the upper 40s to upper 50s. Beyond Sunday, the forecast remains muddy. However, I will note that compared to last night, the GFS and ECMWF are in closer agreement synoptically for Saturday and Sunday. A compact, closed upper low will move onshore over California on Saturday. Both models now favor a northeast track of this feature, eventually reaching Kansas and Nebraska on Sunday. Differences in the GFS and ECMWF exist regarding the synoptic pattern on the backside of this upper low. Both models depict a trough developing over the Rockies on Monday. However, the GFS favors a murky upper level pattern comprised of a weak trough that gets embedded with a secondary shortwave. The ECMWF supports a more concerning evolution of the trough with a negative-tilt appearance evident by Tuesday evening. This solution would favor higher chances for severe weather. When consulting the LREF, there does exist a low (15%) chance of severe parameters overspreading the Mid-South during this time frame. In addition, there exists a small signal for severe weather on both the CIPS analogs and Machine Learning tools. It remains far too early to tell the exact impacts of this system. In fact, no severe weather may materialize if the ECMWF begins to favor the GFS. However, it is safe to say that the beginning of next week will be unsettled and wet. ANS && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1124 AM CST Wed Feb 26 2025 A few mid/high level clouds are scattered about the airspace this afternoon ahead of an approaching dry cold front. As this front moves closer tonight, some VFR ceilings may materialize but nothing impactful is expected. SW winds may gust up to 20 kts today before veering to the northwest and settling around 10 kts this evening through the rest of the period. CAD && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && PUBLIC FORECAST...ANS AVIATION...CAD
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
A 314 acre wildfire burned areas along county road 821 between Natchez Trace Parkway and Guntown-Fulton Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, February 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1238823.