Long-lingering flooding from the major flood event in April resulted in minor flooding at Carmi to start May. River levels briefly dropped below flood stage May 3rd; however, heavy rainfall the night of May 3rd into early morning the 4th pushed water levels back into minor flood for another week.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Long-lingering flooding from the major flood event in April resulted in minor flooding at Carmi to start May. River levels briefly dropped below flood stage May 3rd; however, heavy rainfall the night of May 3rd into early morning the 4th pushed water levels back into minor flood for another week.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 30, 5:03 PM CST, 6 hours 57 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 603 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Slight risk of severe storms this afternoon over portions of southern Illinois and southwest Indiana. Another risk of severe weather for Thursday. - Cooler temperatures Saturday and Sunday with moderating temperatures next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 202 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 A front is lifting north this afternoon. Visible imagery shows a cu field has developed over the past 1-2 hours. Surface dewpoints are in the mid to upper 60's while temperatures warm into the upper 70's to lower 80's. Modest lapse rates aloft atop a warming boundary layer is producing an increasingly unstable airmass. The expectation is that isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon into early evening hours near the boundary. At least modest mid level flow aloft is resulting in 30-40 kts of effective bulk shear which would be sufficient for organized updrafts. The main hazards this afternoon are expected to be large hail and damaging winds. Sufficient low level shear would be in place for a tornado threat as well especially later this afternoon when low level flow ramps up. Main focus areas for severe storms this afternoon are in portions of southern Illinois and southwest Indiana. A shortwave makes its passage through the region on Thursday. Plenty of low level moisture will still be in place as this wave moves through supporting scattered showers and storms. The current thinking is that there should be enough instability along with sufficient shear for isolated to scattered strong to severe storms. Lingering PoPs remain going into Friday as another upper disturbance and associated height falls overspread the region. Uncertainty in the ridge/low position over the weekend leads to a low confidence forecast for this period. The NBM now has chance PoPs for much of the period. Highs Saturday and Sunday will only top out in the lower 70's. Moderating temperatures are expected next week as highs rise back into the upper 70's to lower 80's. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 604 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 There will still be some risk of convection over the next few hours invof MVN and northwest of CGI. A better chance picks up by 04-05z through 08-09z or so. MVFR cigs will likely develop during the overnight with the shower threat and slight wind shift to the west southwest. VFR conditions should then emerge during the day Thursday. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && DISCUSSION...AD AVIATION...JGG
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY 248 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-012000- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 248 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025 /348 PM EDT Wed Apr 30 2025/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Strong to severe storms are possible this afternoon and tonight, with primary hazards being large hail and damaging winds although a tornado or two is possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday A slight risk of severe storms exists Thursday until a cold front completes its passage. Damaging winds is the primary severe hazard but hail and isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out. Locally heavy rain and lightning will also be potential storm hazards. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is requested for this afternoon across southern Illinois and southwest Indiana for the anticipation of severe weather.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding on the Little Wabash River continued into May following the major flood crest on April 11th. River levels dropped just below flood stage on the 3rd. Flood impacts in early May near Carmi were limited to flooding of low-lying areas and a few county roads.
River levels returned to minor flood at Carmi on the 4th, cresting on the 5th less than a foot above flood stage, with minor flooding lingering until the 11th. Impacts were limited to low-lying areas including a few county roads.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Illinois in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, May 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1267091, 1267092.