Southwest flow over a moist and diurnally unstable airmass triggered isolated strong to severe storms along sea breeze and boundary mergers toward the I-95 corridor in the mid-afternoon.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
Southwest flow over a moist and diurnally unstable airmass triggered isolated strong to severe storms along sea breeze and boundary mergers toward the I-95 corridor in the mid-afternoon.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 28, 12:14 PM EST, 2 hours 56 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 114 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025 ...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE... .NEAR TERM... (Tonight and Sunday) Issued at 112 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025 For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf Tonight: Scattered to numerous storms still on track to develop later this afternoon as the Gulf Coast sea breeze meets with the Atlantic Coast sea breeze along the US-17/I-95 corridors, with a few strong storms with gusty winds and heavy rainfall expected, before activity pushes offshore this evening around sunset. Steering flow becomes a bit more West to Southwest during the overnight hours and with PWATs pushing close to 2 inches, an overnight shower anywhere cannot be ruled out, but will most likely re-develop along the NE Gulf Coast/Big Bend area in the low level convergence due to the W-SW flow, similar to this morning, with another round of potential showers/isolated storms pushing into the I-75 corridor of inland NE FL around sunrise. Otherwise expect fair skies due to plentiful convective debris clouds as low temps fall into the lower/middle 70s inland and upper 70s along the Atlantic Coastal/beach locations. Sunday: Moist West-Southwest steering flow with PWATs continuing around 2 inches or more aloft will lead to another wetter than normal day with scattered to numerous storms area-wide as the Gulf coast sea breeze pushes inland once again and meets the East Coast sea breeze close to the US-17/I-95 corridors by the afternoon hours, along with a few strong storms due to the merger with main threats still on track to be heavy rainfall and gusty winds. Slightly higher coverage of storms and cloud cover will lead to Max Temps around 90F area-wide with heat indices still topping out around 100F. Early morning convection along the I-75 corridor will fade slightly before perking back up by the late morning hours as the Gulf Coast sea breeze develops and begins to push E-NE in the steering flow pattern in place. && .SHORT TERM... (Sunday night through Monday night) Issued at 112 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025 Lingering showers and thunderstorms will begin to move off the Atlantic coast by early evening hours on Sunday. The overall steering flow will again be from the southwest on Monday, which will again allow for the Gulf breeze to make its way well inland and eventually towards the Atlantic coast. Similar to the past weekend, showers and storms will begin to develop during the mid- afternoon as the Gulf breeze moves inland, and along the I-95 corridor as the Gulf and Atlantic sea breeze meet, with activity expected to continue into the early evening hours. Overnight lows in to lower 70s for inland locations and mid to upper 70s for coastal locations on Sunday and Monday night. Daytime highs will in the lower 90s along the Altamaha River Basin and the mid to upper 80s for inland locations, with the "coolest" temps expected for inland locations of northeast Florida. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 112 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025 Continued moisture advection from the Gulf as southwesterly flow continues through much of the upcoming week as a trough looks to dig south towards the SE CONUS during the later half of the week. If this holds true, we will likely see PWATs push to sit in the 1.8" to 2.25" range. With all this moisture sitting overhead, heavy downpours will be likely for any showers/storms that develop as the Gulf breeze moves inland and towards the Atlantic coast as it meets up with the Atlantic breeze during the afternoon to evening hours each day. With the heavy downpours, localized flooding will be a concern with any slow moving showers/storms and for those locations that see repeated days of showers/storms. Drier air may be able to reach the local area by the end of the week and into the weekend as the trough digs southward. Temps will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s each day through midweek. By the end of the week, temps look to be in the lower 90s area wide. Increase in moisture will likely push heat index values toward the lower triple digits by the end of the week. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1228 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025 Increased mid/high clouds early this afternoon from decaying convection over the FL Big Bend/NE Gulf region is delaying the onset of deeper convection with sea breeze activity and will need to push TEMPO groups back a few hours for the NE FL TAF sites and keep just a PROB30 group at SSI, mainly in the 21-01Z time frame with convection pushing offshore after 01-02Z time frame with just lingering VFR mid/high clouds through the overnight hours, except for some patchy MVFR fog at VQQ from 07-11Z time frame. Expect some early morning VCSH chances at GNV by 12-14Z, but not at the coastal TAF sites until the 15-17Z time frame on Sunday morning. && .MARINE... Issued at 112 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025 Atlantic high pressure ridge axis will remain across the Florida peninsula through early next week as surface troughing gradually sharpens over the southeastern states, creating a prevailing offshore wind flow. Afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms will likely push eastward across our local waters each day, with daily strong storm potential. Daily afternoon into evening south-southeasterly wind surges expected along the nearshore waters as the Atlantic sea breeze shifts inland. Winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA criteria through this weekend and into early next week. Rip Currents: Low to Moderate Rip Current Risk will continue through the upcoming weekend with surf/breakers around 2 feet, as a general southwest flow is expected, along with daily sea breeze in the surf zone during the afternoon/evening hours. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 71 92 71 89 / 30 70 30 80 SSI 75 88 75 88 / 40 60 40 60 JAX 73 92 72 89 / 50 70 50 80 SGJ 73 90 72 88 / 40 80 60 80 GNV 71 91 70 88 / 40 80 60 90 OCF 72 91 72 87 / 30 80 60 90 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AM...None. &&
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
343 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025
FLZ232-282015-
Western Clay FL-
343 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL CLAY COUNTY THROUGH
415 PM EDT...
At 343 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Kingsley, or 7 miles east of Starke, moving northeast at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts around 40 mph and minor flooding due to heavy
rainfall.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor flooding due to heavy rainfall is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Kingsley and Camp Blanding.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 2986 8198 2990 8205 2994 8205 3007 8196
2998 8184
TIME...MOT...LOC 1943Z 210DEG 13KT 2993 8199
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
ENYEDISpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
344 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025
FLZ125-233-325-433-633-282015-
Northern Inland St. Johns FL-Western St. Johns FL-
South Central Duval FL-Northeast Coastal St. Johns FL-
Coastal Duval FL-
344 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL ST. JOHNS AND
SOUTHEASTERN DUVAL COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM EDT...
At 344 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Bayard, or 7 miles east of Fruit Cove, moving northeast at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts around 40 mph and minor flooding due to heavy
rainfall.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor flooding due to heavy rainfall is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Durbin, Nocatee, and Bayard.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3006 8147 3010 8156 3022 8148 3016 8137
TIME...MOT...LOC 1944Z 214DEG 8KT 3012 8149
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
ENYEDISpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
346 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025
FLZ038-138-282030-
Coastal Flagler FL-Inland Flagler FL-
346 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN FLAGLER COUNTY
THROUGH 430 PM EDT...
At 346 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles south of Bunnell. A strong thunderstorm was nearly stationary.
HAZARD...Wind gusts around 40 mph and minor flooding due to heavy
rainfall.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor flooding due to heavy rainfall is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Flagler Beach.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 2947 8108 2946 8112 2943 8110 2942 8114
2941 8115 2932 8115 2928 8129 2940 8133
2953 8111
TIME...MOT...LOC 1946Z 241DEG 4KT 2937 8125
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
ENYEDISpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
347 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025
FLZ125-282030-
Coastal Duval FL-
347 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL DUVAL COUNTY
THROUGH 430 PM EDT...
At 347 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Fort Caroline, or near Arlington. A strong thunderstorm was nearly
stationary.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and minor flooding due to heavy
rainfall.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor flooding due to heavy rainfall is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Atlantic Beach, Little Talbot Island, Mayport, Fort Caroline, and
Talbot Island.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3034 8156 3043 8158 3053 8138 3033 8134
TIME...MOT...LOC 1947Z 264DEG 4KT 3038 8150
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
ENYEDIPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
358 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0353 PM Tstm Wnd Gst 4 SSW Fort Caroline 30.33N 81.52W
06/28/2025 M45 MPH Duval FL ASOS
ASOS station KCRG Jacksonvil Craig.
&&
PKSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
405 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025
FLZ125-233-282030-
Northeast Coastal St. Johns FL-Coastal Duval FL-
405 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN ST. JOHNS AND
SOUTHEASTERN DUVAL COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM EDT...
At 405 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Craig Field to Palm Valley. Movement was
northeast at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and minor flooding due to heavy
rainfall.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor flooding due to heavy rainfall is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Unf, Ponte Vedra Beach, Jacksonville Beach, Atlantic Beach, Neptune
Beach, Palm Valley, Sawgrass, and San Pablo.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3011 8145 3030 8153 3035 8135 3013 8130
3012 8131
TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 227DEG 16KT 3034 8149 3019 8143
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
ENYEDIThe Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 31 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:08 UTC.
3 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
JEA reported equipment damage from a severe thunderstorm just south of Atlantic Blvd between Sunnyside Ave and Riverview Drive. The time of damage was based on radar.
Severe thunderstorm damage occurred to utility equipment in Neptune Beach between First and 2nd Street, just north of 3rd Street. The time of damage was based on radar.
Broadcast Media relayed report of a tree down in the Osprey Point neighborhood between San Pablo Road and Hodges Blvd.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, June 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1270201, 1270199, 1270203.