Widespread heavy rains brought flooding to portions of the Ouachita, Saline, Fouche LaFave, Black, White, and Little Red Rivers during the middle of February.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.
Widespread heavy rains brought flooding to portions of the Ouachita, Saline, Fouche LaFave, Black, White, and Little Red Rivers during the middle of February.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 12, 3:37 AM CST, 1 hour 38 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 337 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday Night) Issued at 336 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Southwest flow will be over Arkansas to begin the long term period with an upper trough in the northwest U.S. This upper trough moves into the Plains tonight and into the Great Lakes Thursday. Zonal flow returns to Arkansas Thursday afternoon. Light to moderate rain continues this morning in southeast Arkansas north of the warm front in Louisiana. An inverted trough will move through Arkansas today and will keep low clouds and rain across the area. Some light freezing rain is expected in the higher elevations of northwest Arkansas this morning before warming above freezing. A Winter Weather Advisory continues for this area through noon. Rain chances will end west to east during the afternoon. High pressure moves into the area tonight and Thursday. This high will bring colder temperatures tonight. Lows tonight will be in the teens to mid 30s. Below normal temperatures continue on Thursday and Thursday night. && .LONG TERM... (Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 336 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 In the upper lvls, a digging trof will be positioned over the Western region of the CONUS and is progged to move into the Southern Plains region of the CONUS by Tuesday. In response, flow over Arkansas will begin out of the west-southwest before becoming southwesterly as the trof approaches the state. At the sfc, the combination of two different boundaries will be the harbinger of two different types of weather. A cold front will approach the state from the northwest and begin moving across the state on Sunday afternoon from northwest to southeast. In tandem, a sfc low pressure center will be positioned across far northeastern Texas with an attendant warm front extending eastward across southern Arkansas. The counter-clockwise flow around the sfc low pressure center will advect a plentiful amount of gulf moisture into the state. Expect rain and a few isolated thunderstorms to begin across the state on Friday afternoon into Friday night. On Saturday, rain will continue statewide and a conditional threat for a few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across the southern half of the state going into Saturday afternoon through Saturday night, especially locations along and south of the warm front as the boundary advances northward throughout the day. Into the early morning hours on Sunday (post midnight to near sunrise), a low end chance for a mixture of wintry precipitation will be possible as the colder airmass trailing the cold front moves into the state and some post-frontal moisture may lead to a brief period of light snow and light freezing rain across portions of northern, central, northeastern, and east-central Arkansas. Any accumulations that do occur will be a trace amount to as much as only a tenth of an inch in locations that do see any wintry precipitation as the atmosphere will be moisture-starved behind the cold front with a drier airmass beginning to overtake the state. SUNDAY/MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT: In the upper lvls, the trof progresses quickly east away from the state as flow over Arkansas becomes northwesterly to zonal over this period. At the sfc, a region of high pressure will be moving into the region ushering in a much colder and drier airmass into Arkansas. Expect fair weather conditions over this period with much colder temperatures overall moving into the state which will be around 10 degrees colder than average compared to normal values for mid February with respect to both low and high temperatures. TUESDAY: In the upper lvls, a positively tilted trof extending from the Four Corners region of the CONUS to over the Northern Plains region of the CONUS will be nearing the Natural State with flow over Arkansas remaining mostly zonal. At the sfc, a stationary boundary is progged to be located along the Arkansas/Missouri border with a sfc low pressure center in northern Texas that will allow for gulf moisture to be advected into the state. Expect during the day on Tuesday for rain to begin across western Arkansas and transition into snow as colder air begins to dive further into Arkansas. Snow will become the dominant precipitation type across the state beginning across the north portion of Arkansas and following the trend of a deep layer of colder air into the central region of Arkansas later into the day on Tuesday. At the current time, signals do exist for a shot a wintry precipitation and overall trends point to this period of above normal chances for colder air and precipitation chances. However, exact accumulations, placement, and timing remain to be nailed down as far as specifics which is common 6 to 7 days in advance of a target of opportunity pertaining to wintry weather or any weather conditions for that matter. Stay up to date to the latest forecast package and details will continue to be refined as become closer to the potential event in time. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1137 PM CST Tue Feb 11 2025 A warm front is across Louisiana at this time and a weak surface trough will move into Arkansas later tonight. As a result, low clouds and fog will be common across the area through much of the period. Some light freezing rain will be possible at HRO during the early morning hours. Rain in the south will move northward overnight. VFR to IFR conditions are expected. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 43 24 39 23 / 100 0 0 0 Camden AR 55 30 47 29 / 100 0 0 0 Harrison AR 39 16 35 21 / 100 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 48 26 44 27 / 100 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 47 28 42 27 / 100 0 0 0 Monticello AR 58 34 45 31 / 100 10 0 0 Mount Ida AR 49 23 45 26 / 100 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 39 19 35 20 / 100 0 0 0 Newport AR 42 26 39 24 / 100 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 51 30 43 28 / 100 0 0 0 Russellville AR 45 24 43 25 / 100 0 0 0 Searcy AR 45 26 40 24 / 100 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 48 30 41 28 / 100 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Winter Weather Advisory until noon CST today for ARZ112-203. && SHORT TERM...51 LONG TERM....74 AVIATION...51
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Little Rock AR 346 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069- 103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230- 237-238-240-241-313-340-341-131000- Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence- Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry- Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark- Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln- Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest- Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations- Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County- Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County- Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County- Polk County Lower Elevations- Central and Eastern Montgomery County- Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations- Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations- Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations- Van Buren County Higher Elevations- Southern and Eastern Logan County- Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest- Northern Polk County Higher Elevations- Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations- Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations- Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations- Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations- 346 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Some very light freezing rain will be possible this morning across the higher terrain areas of northern Arkansas. Temperatures will be near freezing and widespread impacts are not expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday A few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday, mainly across southeastern Arkansas. In addition to severe storms, heavy rain will be possible across the southeast half of the state which may lead to localized flash flooding and may contribute to continued or new river flooding. A much colder air-mass will move into the state on Saturday night in the wake of this strong storm system and may lead to a brief post- frontal period of light snow and light freezing rain across parts of northern, central, northeastern, and east-central Arkansas. Significant accumulations are not expected. On Tuesday, signals do continue to show the potential for rain to transition into snow across northern Arkansas and move into central Arkansas by Tuesday evening. However, confidence is low this far in advance pertaining to specific accumulations, placement, and exact timing. Ensemble members from guidance across the board continue to show many different solutions regarding this potential event. Details should become better refined in the coming days. .Spotter Information Statement... Spotter activation will not be needed. && Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk. 51/74
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
9 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding was observed along the Black River at Black Rock.
Minor flooding was observed at Camden along the Ouachita River.
Minor flooding was observed at Black Rock along the Black River.
Minor flooding was observed at Judsonia along the Little Red River.
Minor flooding was observed at Benton along the Saline River.
Minor flooding was observed along the Ouachita River at Arkadelphia.
Minor flooding was observed along the Fouche LaFave River at Houston.
Minor flooding was observed along the White River at Georgetown from the middle to late February.
Minor flooding was observed along the Black River at Pocahontas.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, February 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1249805, 1249811, 1249806, 1249803, 1249809, 1249810, 1249808, 1249804, 1249807.