Utah, 2024

Avalanche in Utah, December 28 to 31, 2024

December 28 to 31, 2024 · NWS SLC · 2 events in 1 county or zone

Snowboarders died in avalanches in Millcreek Canyon and Big Cottonwood Canyon.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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The toll

Deaths
2
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SLC wrote it up.

Snowboarders died in avalanches in Millcreek Canyon and Big Cottonwood Canyon.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Salt Lake City, UT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 28, 3:55 AM MST, 8 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 28, 3:55 AM MST, 8 hours 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
355 AM MST Sat Dec 28 2024

.SYNOPSIS...An active weather pattern will bring periods of
precipitation to the region through New Years Day, with
substantial mountain snow accumulations for the northern and
central mountains.

&&

.SHORT TERM (Through 12Z Monday)...The active pattern continues
with another round of heavy mountain snow expected from the
Wasatch Plateau northward. Early morning upper air and satellite
analysis indicates a landfalling atmospheric river event
continues across the PACNW into the Great Basin. IVT anomalies
near the 90th percentile will transition to the maximum in the
climatology period with the NAEFS by this evening across portions
of northern Utah. Several shortwave troughs continue to ripple
through this westerly flow and will bring periods of moderate to
heavy mountain snow and valley rain through at least Sunday
morning across mainly northern Utah.

Expect precipitation to continue increase in coverage/intensity
through 5 to 6 AM as better forcing builds into the area. With
modest warm air advection ongoing, expect snow levels to gradually
rise through the day...starting around 5000-5500 feet around 6 AM,
reaching 7000-7500 feet by early evening. While most mountain
areas will remain snow, this snow will be heavy and dense compared
to the typical Utah powder. If your plans take you into the
northern Utah mountain backcountry, please continue to monitor
avalanche forecasts and warnings from the Utah Avalanche Center.

Heavy mountain snow will continue through the evening in a modest
warm air advection regime, gradually decreasing in intensity
after midnight. With impressive IVT anomalies, strong forcing and
orographic enhancement, guidance trended upwards with snow totals
for the northern mountains. Note that there is a wider range of
potential values than normal in snow totals and snow water
equivalent. A portion of the ensemble envelope can struggle in
these type of events, for example overconvecting (HRW, typically)
or underdoing the orographic component.

Some members of the HREF came in quite hot, with snow water
equivalent in excess of 3 inches for portions of the Wasatch. For
now, the most likely range of snow totals (25th to 75th
percentile) is 8 to 16 inches additional accumulation, with
locally higher amounts approaching 2 feet for the upper
Cottonwoods. It should be noted that guidance also has a
relatively wide range of snow ratios, anywhere from 3:1 (more like
New England numbers) to 7:1 or 9:1 in the warmest part of the
system tonight into Sunday morning. Thus, the current snow totals
represent the most likely snow ratios, but represent a potential
scenario where snow water amounts are on track, but snow totals
are lower than forecast.

By Sunday morning, precipitation will be ending...for a brief
period. Another shortwave trough will cross northern Utah later
Sunday into Monday. This system will have a stronger cold front
cross the area Sunday night/early Monday, bringing crashing snow
levels to near 4500 feet by Monday morning. Current forecast keeps
snow totals for the northern mountains below advisory amounts, but
will need to continue to monitor trends.

Continued the winter storm warnings as is, but did adjust snow
totals higher.

.LONG TERM (After 12Z Monday)...A cold frontal boundary will be
exiting the region around the start of the long term period.
Locally, the forecast region will remain in cold unsettled deep
northwesterly flow. In addition to resulting in much colder
temperatures, what limited lingering moisture remains will yield
some snow showers, particularly for the high terrain. Overall
though will see chances diminish through the day, and any
accumulations are likely to be quite light.

On Tuesday a weak reinforcing shortwave impulse moves through
within the maintained northwesterly flow. While a few ensemble
members carry a bit more moisture with this feature (and higher
precipitation chances accordingly), most guidance sources suggest
very little in the way of available moisture. As a result, only
see a modest uptick in snow shower chances for the high northern
terrain.

Outside of moisture, this shortwave also looks to provide an
extra shot of reinforcing cold air. Temperatures Tuesday morning
already will start quite low, with the forecast carrying teens to
low 20s across the Cache Valley and Wasatch front, and even
subfreezing temperatures to Lower Washington County. These dip
even further for Wednesday morning, with more widespread teens
across the Wasatch Front and even 20s for portions of Lower
Washington County. These cold temperatures will be more realized
in spots where skies clear sufficiently overnight to enhance
radiational cooling.

A couple more fairly weak embedded impulses brush by the region
for the back half of the work week, though ridging will gradually
be amplifying across the W CONUS. Once again these impulses only
result in a very minor uptick in precipitation chances, most
pronounced across high northern terrain, though expect if the
ridge trends stronger these numbers will decrease. To that end,
GEFS members for Alta overwhelmingly carry little to no water,
while a little over half of ECM members carry some light amounts.
Even then, far far below anything like that of the prior weekend's
activity. Otherwise, with the increasing influence of the ridge,
will see temperatures rebound upwards areawide and return to above
climatological normal values. Some guidance shows a quick
shortwave pushing through the region by Saturday, but given a good
bit of differences between models and it being a week out in
time, confidence and certainty in any details is quite low at this
time.

&&

.AVIATION...KSLC...Active pattern continues, resulting in
numerous periods of precipitation through the TAF period. Thermal
profile gradually warms through the period, so anticipate any
frozen mix to favor rain by late Saturday morning. IFR conds more
likely in mixed precip, with MVFR more favored during rain. Even
during periods of VFR, CIGS likely to result in full or partial
mountain obscuration. A brief quieter period with some amount of
clearing expected Saturday night into Sunday morning. Winds
anticipated to maintain southerly direction component, with some
gusts during the daytime.

.REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING...Southern terminals expected
to see fairly quiet weather, with mostly diurnally normal winds
and a mix of mid/high cloud cover. Northern terminals to see a
more active cycle, with periods of precipitation anticipated at
most. Thermal profile gradually warms, with many areas seeing
initial snow levels ~5000 ft MSL rising to 6000-6500 ft MSL or
higher by late Saturday morning. Resulting p-types then largely
elevation dependent, with more rain mixing in at most by late
Saturday morning. IFR or lower conds likely in periods dominated
by snow, with MVFR more likely with rain. Even if VFR, many
terminals near terrain will maintain some amount of mountain
obscuration. Winds at northern terminals generally favor southerly
direction component, with many seeing some gusts during the
daytime.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...Winter Storm Warning until 11 PM MST this evening for UTZ110>113.

WY...None.
&&

Kruse/Warthen

For more information from NOAA's National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 avalanche. Local standard time, as filed.

Avalanche, Wasatch Mountains South of I-80

When
December 28, 12:00 PM MST
Where
Wasatch Mountains South of I-80 forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
40.338, -111.701 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A man was snowboarding in the Porter Fork area of Millcreek Canyon when he was caught by an avalanche. He was dug from the snow several days later.

Avalanche, Wasatch Mountains South of I-80

When
December 31, 12:00 PM MST
Where
Wasatch Mountains South of I-80 forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
40.338, -111.701 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A snowboarder died in an avalanche in Silver Fork of Big Cottonwood Canyon.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Avalanche, Wasatch Mountains South of I-802024-12-2838MaleOutside/Open AreasDirect
Avalanche, Wasatch Mountains South of I-802024-12-311MaleOutside/Open AreasDirect

What these are

Avalanche
A mass of snow sliding down a mountainside that caused a death, an injury or damage.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Utah in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Utah, December 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1224975, 1224980.