On September 14th, a few upper level weather disturbances combined with moisture and daytime heating to develop thunderstorms across the combined Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles. Due to a drier air near the surface, these storms that developed were easily able to produce severe wind gusts.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AMA wrote it up.
On September 14th, a few upper level weather disturbances combined with moisture and daytime heating to develop thunderstorms across the combined Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles. Due to a drier air near the surface, these storms that developed were easily able to produce severe wind gusts. A possible dry microburst caused a gust of 64 mph to be measured at the Dalhart ASOS with very weak echoes present on radar due to the unique environment.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Amarillo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 14, 1:42 PM CST, 12 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 242 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024 ...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 237 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024 Hot temperatures in the 90's and 100's linger for today and tomorrow. Thunderstorms are possible each day for the next 7 days of the forecast. The coverage areas and rain chances will alter from day to day. && .SHORT TERM ... (This evening through Sunday night) Issued at 237 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024 Thunderstorms have begun this afternoon and this activity is expected to linger into the evening. Current mesoanalysis shows instability between 1,000-2,000 J/kg from the surface, while 500-1,000 J/kg is present in the mixed layer. Inverted V profiles this afternoon suggest that strong winds could spawn from these developing storms. And if one creates a strong enough updraft the result could be damaging winds from thunderstorm outflow. Hot temperatures also continue this afternoon, with a handful of sites already meeting or exceeding 100 degrees. Cloud coverage was expected to limit the amount of areas that would see 100, but the overall coverage was not expansive enough for the slightly cooler outcome to occur. Tomorrow, highs will range in the 90's once again but there are concerns that the models are not handling the late season heat as well as previously thought. That said, more locations could see temperatures over 100 degrees and we will still monitor the potential for the Palo Duro Canyon to see 105 tomorrow. For now, no heat related products are being issued. Rangel && .LONG TERM ... (Monday through next Friday) Issued at 237 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024 Long range models agree on the general upper level pattern change being introduced this week. A large scale upper trough is advancing from the Pacific Northwest and should exit off of the Rockies in the next few days. The remaining ridge of high pressure will get displaced to the east. With the return of upper level forcing and favorable moisture profiles, daily precipitation chances remain in the CWA through the entire duration of the extended period. The main concerns heading forward still consist of the days with relative maximums for QPF and conversely the relative minimums. The timing of each wave we receive this week will dictate which days the highest coverage of POPs and QPF will occur. Mid to long range guidance continues to diverge when it comes to these prospects, as it is still difficult to discern the small scale features necessary to effectively forecast the precipitation expected to generate from the oncoming system. NBM POPs were left alone for now since they are still reasonable for the coming days. High temperatures this week will see some small, but steady degradation throughout the week. Upper 80's and 90's look to be the current range for the CWA; but by next weekend, long range guidance suggest that we could exit the 90's and transition to 70's and 80's for highs instead. Rangel && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1229 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024 Breezy, northerly winds continue for the next few hours at GUY. Otherwise, light and variable winds exist and the remaining two TAF sites. Later this evening winds will return to a more southerly flow, but they will still be light at all sites. Thunderstorms may generate near the AMA terminal this afternoon, but confidence is low for direct impacts to the airport. Storms should stay outside the 5 mile radius of the terminal, so mentions of showers and thunder have been omitted from the TAF. If the situation changes and thunderstorm coverage expands on top of AMA, amendments will become necessary down the line. No thunderstorm activity is expected at the other two sites today. Rangel && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Amarillo TX 66 95 65 93 / 10 10 10 10 Beaver OK 60 96 64 93 / 10 10 10 20 Boise City OK 57 93 60 89 / 10 10 10 10 Borger TX 65 99 67 97 / 10 10 10 10 Boys Ranch TX 64 96 64 94 / 0 10 20 10 Canyon TX 65 94 63 92 / 10 10 10 10 Clarendon TX 64 96 64 93 / 20 10 10 10 Dalhart TX 58 92 59 89 / 0 10 20 10 Guymon OK 58 95 62 93 / 0 10 10 10 Hereford TX 64 95 63 93 / 10 10 10 10 Lipscomb TX 63 96 65 93 / 20 10 10 10 Pampa TX 64 95 64 92 / 10 10 10 10 Shamrock TX 65 96 64 93 / 20 10 10 10 Wellington TX 67 97 66 95 / 20 10 10 10 && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. OK...None. && SHORT TERM...55 LONG TERM....55 AVIATION...55
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Amarillo TX 251 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024 OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-150800- Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb- Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson- Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth- Palo Duro Canyon- 251 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Unusually warm temperatures linger through the afternoon. Thunderstorms are expected to continue through this evening. Strong thunderstorms will be capable of producing gusty winds. The chances for severe wind gusts are low, but not improbable. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Thunderstorms will be possible across portions of the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles tomorrow through Friday. Any storms that develop are expected to remain below severe levels at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 38 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:55 UTC.
3 thunderstorm wind, 2 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A photo of a land spout was submitted via | social media. No damage was reported.
A landspout occurred in Armstrong County. Location: 34.98N/101.43W. No damage occurred with this landspout.
A landspout occurred in Randall County about six miles northeast of Lake Tanglewood. Location: 35.12N/101.72W. No damage occurred with this landspout.
A severe wind gust occurred from a possible dry microburst. There was little evidence of a strong storm on radar but there was a cloud deck around 9,000 feet. No known damage occurred from this severe wind gust.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1211898, 1217471, 1217474, 1211895, 1211896.