Most of west central Texas was not in drought conditions during the month of May.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.
Most of west central Texas was not in drought conditions during the month of May.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 30, 11:46 PM CST, 14 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1246 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Wednesday) Issued at 218 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024 A little bit of an all or nothing forecast for later this afternoon and evening across West Central Texas. Unstable air mass with CAPE values climbing above 2500 J/KG, but a weak cap still in place. Not much of a convective focus other than relatively weak convergence along a developing dryline. And not a lot of upper level support with weak ridging in the mid and upper levels. All this means is that storm initiation is a question, but if a storm can develop that storm may be enough to weaken the cap and allow for storms to develop in a small convective cluster. Which is exactly what several of the high resolution CAMs are showing, while other models are showing little convection and isolated storms at best. Will go with a little bit of a consensus and expand the area of storms to cover more of the Concho Valley and Heartland, with a little higher POPs across the Big Country where CAMs are showing a little more possibility of one of those convective clusters. Given the instability, there is a potential for a few of these storms to reach severe levels, although only very modest shear values may make it more difficult for these storms to not outflow themselves and may put a limit on just how severe the storms may be. SPC has a marginal risk and that seems like a perfectly good forecast. Not going to talk a lot about the severe weather potential for tomorrow. Will let the long term AFD handle it since most of it will be after 00Z. But will say that the air mass doesn't change very much, but given a much better defines shortwave approaching to provide better shear and a sharper boundary, storms look more likely. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 212 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024 The dryline is forecast to remain well west of our area on Wednesday, only advancing east into the Trans-Pecos region and Permian Basin. East of the dryline, good instability will develop, with SBCAPE values of 3K to 4K J/KG. Shear will be modest, with 0-6 KM Bulk Shear values of 30 to 35 knots. A weak upper level shortwave trough is forecast to track across the region late Wednesday, which should result in the development of showers and thunderstorms along the dryline to our west. This activity will then track east across much of the forecast area through the evening hours. A few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible, with large hail and damaging winds being the main hazards, although a tornado is also possible. Initially storms should be discrete with supercells most likely, but as the activity advances east, the cells might merge in to one or more linear complexes. Rainfall amounts will likely range between 1/4 and 1/2 inch of rainfall, but amounts over 1 inch are possible in any of the more intense storms. At this point, the highest rain chances look to be across our eastern counties, where a more linear mode in convection is expected versus our western counties where more discrete cells are likely. On Thursday, a dryline is forecast to advance east into our central counties by mid to late afternoon. Meanwhile, a cold front will move into the Big Country during the morning hours, then approach central portions of the area by mid to late afternoon. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible during the afternoon and evening hours, for those areas south of the front and east of the dryline. This will confine PoPs to mainly our eastern counties. Cooler temperatures and gusty north winds will filter in behind the front. Expect overnight lows in the 60s. Highs on Friday will be a few degrees cooler, in the upper 70s to mid 80s across the Big Country to the mid to upper 80s elsewhere. Slightly cooler temperatures are expected this Friday into the weekend, with highs mainly in the 80s. PoPs this weekend continue to be somewhat uncertain and will depend on exactly where the front stalls and eventually how far north it lifts. At this point, PoPs were kept mainly in the chance category, with the higher PoPs across the Big Country. These may need to be adjusted on future shifts once higher confidence is reached. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1245 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024 Storms have moved out of the area late tonight. Expecting another round of MVFR CIGs across much of the area, with some reductions in visibility as well as KSOA and KJCT. Have also kept a mention of IFR ceilings for a few hours at KSOA. These low clouds may be a little slower to scatter out tomorrow than yesterday. MVFR ceilings may affect KJCT into the early afternoon hours, but most other locations should improve to VFR by 17Z. Winds will remain southerly and gusty. Have not included a mention of TSRA with this set of TAFs, but TSRA could be introduced in the 12Z TAFs for most sites after 00Z tomorrow. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 86 65 90 63 / 30 70 20 10 San Angelo 89 67 93 64 / 40 60 10 0 Junction 87 69 90 68 / 30 60 20 10 Brownwood 84 67 86 66 / 30 80 30 20 Sweetwater 87 65 91 61 / 40 50 10 10 Ozona 82 67 92 65 / 30 40 10 0 Brady 84 67 86 67 / 30 80 30 10 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...07 LONG TERM....Daniels AVIATION...20
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service San Angelo TX 200 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024 TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139- 140-154-155-168>170-011900- Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho- Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford- Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble- Mason- 200 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Scattered thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and evening across portions of West Central Texas, most likely northwest of a Brownwood to San Angelo to Ozona line. Any storm that does develop will have the potential of approaching severe levels with large hail and damaging winds the primary concerns. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday Thunderstorm chances increase across the area for Wednesday afternoon and evening. Some of these storms will reach severe limits, with very large hail and damaging winds possible. An isolated tornado and even locally heavy rainfall will also be possible. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will also be possible across much of the area Thursday into the weekend. Right now dangerous lightning looks to the main concern but the potential for storms reaching severe levels will need to be monitored. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be requested this afternoon or evening, and then again over much of the area Wednesday afternoon and evening.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
806 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024
TXZ049-113-010130-
Fisher TX-Jones TX-
806 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN JONES AND EAST
CENTRAL FISHER COUNTIES THROUGH 830 PM CDT...
At 806 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Mccaulley, moving northeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Anson, Hamlin, Mccaulley, Sylvester, Neinda, and The Intersection Of
Us-180 And Ranch Road 126.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in San Angelo.
&&
LAT...LON 3276 9989 3269 10024 3280 10031 3296 10012
3296 10005
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 236DEG 27KT 3280 10021
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
TPSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
845 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024
TXZ076-010230-
Crockett TX-
845 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN CROCKETT COUNTY
THROUGH 930 PM CDT...
At 843 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles northwest of Iraan, or 12 miles southeast of McCamey, moving
east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of north central
Crockett County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3108 10172 3089 10172 3091 10187 3093 10189
3093 10191 3099 10199 3098 10201 3100 10204
3099 10207 3100 10211 3109 10211
TIME...MOT...LOC 0143Z 270DEG 22KT 3104 10203
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPHThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across southeast portions of Kimble County during the month of May.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, May 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1187527.