New Mexico, 2024

Drought in New Mexico, May 1 to 31, 2024

May 1 to 31, 2024 · NWS ABQ · 19 events in 19 counties and zones

The month of May saw overall near normal precipitation for the state as a whole. However, slightly drier than normal precipitation was observed over the western and southern halves of the state with slightly above normal precipitation over parts of east-central and northeastern NM.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 19 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
19

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.

The month of May saw overall near normal precipitation for the state as a whole. However, slightly drier than normal precipitation was observed over the western and southern halves of the state with slightly above normal precipitation over parts of east-central and northeastern NM. Drought conditions remained very consistent across the state as a whole, with only localized changes observed in San Miguel and eastern Chaves Counties.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 30, 10:23 PM MST, 1 hour 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 10:23 PM MST, 1 hour 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1123 PM MDT Tue Apr 30 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 1255 PM MDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Picture perfect Spring weather today gives way to increasing
winds and very dry conditions Wednesday. Critical fire weather
will result, focused through the eastern plains and Upper Rio
Grande Valley. Temperatures cool a tad Thursday, and moreso across
eastern NM by Friday. Friday morning lows dip to near or below
freezing for many western and northern locations. This could
include Farmington which will be past its average last freeze
date. Additional moisture entering eastern NM will increase the
chances for afternoon thunderstorms across east-central NM by
Saturday. Some of this convection could become severe late
Saturday. Dry and windier weather is favored Sunday and into early
next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1255 PM MDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Very pleasant weather in place today, highlighted by not a cloud
in the sky, will give way to a more typical New Mexico Spring time
setup Wednesday. Increasing southwesterly flow aloft will be
realized as breezy to windy conditions gusting 25 to 35 mph
Wednesday afternoon. Critical fire weather results from the
combination of these winds with dry, warm and unstable conditions.
Daytime highs will be 5F to 15F above normal, with 60s and 70s in
the mountains, 80s in valley locations, and 90+ at Tucumcari and
Roswell.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 1255 PM MDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Thursday begins the long term period with a decrease in wind
speeds and a notable cool down entering northeastern and east-
central NM from a cold front backing into the state from CO. This
front advances further south and west to the east slopes of the
central mountain chain. Low clouds and isolated fog will be
possible in portions of the northeast highlands Friday morning.
Meanwhile, forecast low temperatures have trended a bit warmer and
with mid to upper 30s now forecast at Farmington. The
aforementioned frontal boundary across eastern NM gets pushed back
east toward TX Friday afternoon, but only briefly. Another
backdoor front brings a secondary surge of moisture down from CO
into northeastern NM, while southerly return flow brings
increasing Gulf moisture from western TX into southeastern NM.
Numerical model guidance continues to advertise these two
airmasses meeting with a convergent surface boundary setting up
near the I-40 corridor. Convective initiation will favor this
convergent boundary Saturday afternoon with an initial singular
storm mode tracking east toward the TX line by the evening hours.
There is notable uncertainty regarding the potential for severe
weather from these storms however. Ensemble model guidance from
the GFS favors a deepening upper low entering the PacNW that would
in turn favor a westward placement of the dryline over NM,
whereas the ensemble suite from the ECMWF favors a eastward
placement of the dryline toward TX that would lower the risk of
severe weather in NM. Interested parties in east-central NM should
stay apprised of the latest forecast thinking regarding the
potential for severe weather Saturday afternoon and evening as a
result. Late evening and overnight convection could also be
possible in eastern NM Saturday night from outflow boundaries
kicking back west.

After one more morning of the moisture boundary swashing back up
to the east slopes of the central mountain chain Sunday morning,
increasing dry, warm and windy southwesterly flow will push this
boundary back toward TX Sunday afternoon. Forecast certainty
plummets by this point and beyond. The GFS suite is more amplified
with the development and deepening of an upper low diving down
into the Great Basin and desert southwest from the PacNW by this
time, compared to the less amplified and more progressive ECMWF
suite. The GFS scenario would favor dry, warm and strong
southwesterly winds filling in across NM with less wind potential
in the ECMWF scenario. Which scenario wins out will depend on the
strength and progression of the East Asian Jet crossing the
northern Pacific in the coming days.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1110 PM MDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Southwest flow aloft will increase overnight through Wednesday and
result in gusty southwest winds at the surface. Gusts to between
30-35kts will be common across much of northeast NM Wednesday
afternoon and will impact KLVS. Otherwise, VFR conditions prevail
and are forecast to persist.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1255 PM MDT Tue Apr 30 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

Pleasant weather today gives way to widespread critical fire
weather across eastern NM and the Upper Rio Grande Valley
Wednesday. An approaching upper level storm system will bring
increasing dry, warm and windy southwesterly flow. Peak gusts of
35 to 40 mph will be possible, especially across the eastern
plains. Most locations in the forecast area will see relative
humidity fall to the low teens and single digits, but the stronger
winds reaching critical thresholds will focus in eastern NM and
the Upper Rio Grande Valley. Elevated to locally critical fire
weather will be possible elsewhere in central and western NM. These
winds subside during the evening as humidity recovers some,
bringing an end to the critical fire weather. The Fire Weather
Watch has been upgraded to a Red Flag Warning as a result.

Thursday sees slightly lower temperatures and wind speeds, but
locally critical fire weather conditions will be possible in the
Upper Rio Grande Valley again where the winds are strongest. A
cold front stalled across northeastern NM Thursday spreads through
all of eastern NM Friday bringing cooler temperatures, increased
humidity and a northeasterly wind shift that brings an end to
critical fire weather concerns across eastern NM. It also brings
poor ventilation Friday for eastern NM. While drier and relatively
warmer weather remains across central and western NM, the
additional moisture will allow for afternoon and evening
thunderstorm activity through east-central NM Saturday. Another
round of critical fire weather will be possible across western and
central NM Sunday and into early next week with dry, warm and
windy southwesterly flow returning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  42  76  40  69 /   0   0   0   0
Dulce...........................  32  72  33  67 /   0   0   0   0
Cuba............................  40  72  37  66 /   0   0   0   0
Gallup..........................  35  73  33  71 /   0   0   0   0
El Morro........................  38  69  37  67 /   0   0   0   0
Grants..........................  36  75  35  71 /   0   0   0   0
Quemado.........................  39  73  38  69 /   0   0   0   0
Magdalena.......................  47  77  45  73 /   0   0   0   0
Datil...........................  42  72  41  69 /   0   0   0   0
Reserve.........................  35  77  34  76 /   0   0   0   0
Glenwood........................  46  80  46  80 /   0   0   0   0
Chama...........................  34  66  32  61 /   0   0   0   0
Los Alamos......................  47  72  46  68 /   0   0   0   0
Pecos...........................  45  72  42  68 /   0   0   0   0
Cerro/Questa....................  45  66  41  63 /   0   0   0   0
Red River.......................  35  63  33  60 /   0   0   0   5
Angel Fire......................  32  66  30  61 /   0   0   0   5
Taos............................  36  73  35  69 /   0   0   0   0
Mora............................  40  72  39  67 /   0   0   0   0
Espanola........................  42  80  43  76 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe........................  47  74  45  71 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe Airport................  44  77  43  73 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Foothills...........  53  81  51  76 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Heights.............  49  82  49  77 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Valley..............  44  84  45  79 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  50  82  50  77 /   0   0   0   0
Belen...........................  41  85  41  80 /   0   0   0   0
Bernalillo......................  48  83  47  78 /   0   0   0   0
Bosque Farms....................  40  84  41  79 /   0   0   0   0
Corrales........................  49  84  49  79 /   0   0   0   0
Los Lunas.......................  40  84  41  79 /   0   0   0   0
Placitas........................  50  78  48  73 /   0   0   0   0
Rio Rancho......................  50  82  49  77 /   0   0   0   0
Socorro.........................  50  87  51  83 /   0   0   0   0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  49  72  46  68 /   0   0   0   0
Tijeras.........................  47  76  46  71 /   0   0   0   0
Edgewood........................  43  77  43  72 /   0   0   0   0
Moriarty/Estancia...............  37  78  40  73 /   0   0   0   0
Clines Corners..................  42  75  40  69 /   0   0   0   0
Mountainair.....................  44  76  43  71 /   0   0   0   0
Gran Quivira....................  45  77  43  72 /   0   0   0   0
Carrizozo.......................  51  81  49  77 /   0   0   0   0
Ruidoso.........................  46  73  44  70 /   0   0   0   0
Capulin.........................  39  77  38  67 /   0   0   0   5
Raton...........................  38  79  38  72 /   0   0   0   5
Springer........................  38  81  39  74 /   0   0   0   0
Las Vegas.......................  42  76  41  71 /   0   0   0   0
Clayton.........................  45  82  46  71 /   0   0   0   0
Roy.............................  43  81  43  73 /   0   0   0   0
Conchas.........................  45  89  46  81 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Rosa......................  45  87  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
Tucumcari.......................  47  90  48  79 /   0   0   0   0
Clovis..........................  51  88  52  80 /   0   0   0   0
Portales........................  48  90  52  82 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Sumner.....................  47  91  51  83 /   0   0   0   0
Roswell.........................  54  94  56  88 /   0   0   0   0
Picacho.........................  50  86  51  81 /   0   0   0   0
Elk.............................  48  82  48  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Wednesday for NMZ104-121-
123-125-126.

&&

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...11

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

19 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Northwest Highlands

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Northwest Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.072, -107.535 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought persisted over the northern portion of the zone.

Drought, Tusas Mountains Including Chama

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Tusas Mountains Including Chama forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.544, -106.162 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought persisted over the southern portion of the zone.

Drought, Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.494, -105.396 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought remained across all of the zone.

Drought, Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.115, -105.451 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought remained across nearly all of the zone.

Drought, Upper Rio Grande Valley

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Upper Rio Grande Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.544, -106.162 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought remained across the southern portion of the zone.

Drought, Espanola Valley

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Espanola Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.198, -106.100 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought remained across the vast majority of the zone.

Drought, Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.002, -106.839 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought remained across the northern half of the zone.

Drought, Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.121, -106.434 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought remained across the northern half of the zone.

Drought, Estancia Valley

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Estancia Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.066, -106.166 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought remained across the northern half of the zone.

Drought, Central Highlands

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Central Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.209, -105.548 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought remained across the northern half of the zone.

Drought, Far Northeast Highlands

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Far Northeast Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.308, -104.796 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought remained across the southern quarter of the zone.

Drought, Northeast Highlands

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Northeast Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.480, -104.816 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought remained across the western and northern portions of the zone.

Drought, Harding County

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Harding County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.858, -103.820 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought remained across the western portions of the zone.

Drought, Guadalupe County

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Guadalupe County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.863, -104.791 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought was removed from the vast majority of the zone.

Drought, Quay County

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Quay County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.104, -103.550 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought was removed from the vast majority of the zone.

Drought, Chaves County Plains

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Chaves County Plains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe to extreme drought remained across the zone with exceptional drought continuing over the south-central portion of the zone.

Drought, Eastern Lincoln County

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Eastern Lincoln County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.745, -105.459 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe to extreme drought remained across the southern half of the zone.

Drought, Southwest Chaves County

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Southwest Chaves County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought remained across the zone.

Drought, South Central Mountains

When
May 1, 12:00 AM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
South Central Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.745, -105.459 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought remained across the eastern portion of the zone.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Mexico in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, May 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1172398, 1172400, 1172401, 1172403, 1172405, 1172406, 1172407, 1172409, 1172410, 1172412, 1172413, 1172415, 1172416, 1172417, 1172418, 1172419, 1172420, 1172421, 1183149.