Thunderstorms developed along a dryline the evening of May 1 as an upper level disturbance swept across the forecast area. Some storms became severe as they moved across mainly Central Texas Wednesday night into Thursday morning.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Thunderstorms developed along a dryline the evening of May 1 as an upper level disturbance swept across the forecast area. Some storms became severe as they moved across mainly Central Texas Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Additional storms developed Thursday night into Friday as a cold front moved through the area. Heavy rain causing flooding in Central Texas were the main impacts during this time period.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 1, 1:29 PM CST, 3 hours 32 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 229 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024 ...New Long Term... .SHORT TERM... /Issued 207 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024/ /Through Thursday/ After our brief break, another period of unsettled weather begins later today. The 70F isodrosotherm is already within our CWA, with even richer boundary-layer moisture approaching Central Texas. It's within this deeper moisture that bubbles on visible satellite and weak echoes on radar are foreshadowing the convective potential later this afternoon. Just south of our southern boundary, MLCAPE values exceed 2000 J/kg and MUCAPE values top 3000 J/kg owing to steep mid-level lapse rates. Although these initial convective attempts are separated from the boundary layer, effective erosion of the remaining inhibition should allow for updrafts to be rooted in the rich surface layer. Deep-layer shear and classically veered profiles will favor supercells. These storms would have a tendency to move north faster than the buoyant boundary layer can advect, and they may weaken as they ingest the somewhat cooler, cloud- stifled parcels within our CWA. Nonetheless, the more enduring cells could still pose a wind/hail threat, and low LCLs and adequate 0-1km shear will maintain a tornado threat. Some of these storms may survive as far north as the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex after dark. A West Texas dryline will come alive late this afternoon. The mid-level impulse responsible for the initiation will be further enhanced by the convection as it approaches North and Central Texas this evening. There may be little separation in space and time between the activity mentioned in the paragraph above and the subsequent round that will arrive later in the evening and through the overnight hours. Discrete hail cores will eventually give way to a more linear complex that will primarily pose a wind threat. While wetting rainfall is anticipated for much if not all of the region, our main focus for flooding remains within the ongoing Flood Watch where positive soil moisture anomalies from recent rainfall coincide with the greatest QPF from tonight's event. However, heavy rainfall outside of the watch area could also reaggravate flooding issues elsewhere. Some showers or storms may linger in its wake, but the main MCS should exit into East Texas around daybreak Thursday morning. A lull in convective activity should follow on Thursday, but the atmosphere may be able to recharge by afternoon. Another round of warm-advection showers and storms could spread north across the region by late Thursday afternoon. While these cells would likely be less organized and generally less robust than their predecessors 24 hours earlier, they could still pose a wind/hail threat. However, the more significant storm potential will accompany a cold front that will approach our northwestern frontier Thursday evening. 25 && .LONG TERM... /NEW/ /Thursday Night and Beyond/ This unsettled weather pattern will continue into the weekend with periodic chances for showers and thunderstorms expected through at least late Sunday. A cold front will sag south toward the Red River Valley Thursday evening with a dryline extending south out of southwestern Oklahoma toward the Texas Big Bend region. Convection initiation will likely take place near the triple point and along the dryline well west of our forecast area as surface dewpoints in the upper 60s/low 70s and 3000-3500 J/kg MLCAPE pool ahead of these features. Initial storm mode will likely begin as discrete/semi- discrete supercells, but transition to clusters of cells and possibly an MCS Thursday night as this activity shifts into our forecast area. Sporadic hail and a few strong to severe wind gusts will be the primary hazards. This activity should be progressive enough to preclude any widespread flooding concerns, but with the recent rainfall and saturated soils, a localized threat for flash flooding may develop late Thursday night into Friday morning, especially east of I-35. Much of the region will likely remain dry through the remainder of Friday, although isolated to scattered convection will be possible in the vicinity of the frontal boundary meandering near the Red River Valley and along any lingering outflow boundaries from the morning activity, primarily east of I-35. Additional development may occur across portions of West Texas along a dryline late Friday afternoon and push toward our western zones late Friday evening/night. Isolated severe hail and damaging wind gusts would be possible if this activity is able to maintain into our western zones. More widespread rainfall is expected once again Saturday as another cold front is progged to shift into North Texas. Especially Saturday night into Sunday morning as guidance continues to suggest a more potent shortwave trough will move overhead this frontal boundary. By late Sunday into early Monday, the front will lift north, leaving our area mostly precip-free into early next week. Ensemble guidance continues to highlight the strengthening of a mid-level ridge over portions of the Gulf Coast and northern Mexico by midweek next week. Rising mid-level heights and increasing south-southwesterly low-level flow will push temperatures into the mid/upper 80s, possibly lower 90s, by the middle portions of next week. With a humid airmass remaining overhead, heat index values could rise into the mid/upper 90s, possibly nearing 100 degrees across portions of Central Texas, by Wednesday/Thursday of next week. Summer is coming. I hope y'all are ready, because I'm not :( Langfeld && .AVIATION... /Issued 207 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024/ /18Z TAFs/ Concerns include thunder potential and IFR ceilings Thursday. MVFR ceilings will eventually climb above 3kft AGL this afternoon though this process will be slower across Central Texas. These clouds have slowed the warming of the surface layer, which is still separated from the stronger momentum air within the cloud- bearing layer. The 18Z TAF tempers wind speeds, but somewhat stronger sustained speeds with higher gusts may still occur later this afternoon. Convective attempts continue to struggle across Central Texas, but guidance maintains the potential for storms to impact the Waco terminal late this afternoon. The introduction of VCTS is the same warm-advection activity that may trek as far north as the Dallas/ Fort Worth for the initial TEMPO group in the Metroplex (02-04Z). The main MCS with wind potential will be after midnight along the I-35 corridor, thankfully during the nocturnal minimum for aviation operations. Some showers/storms may trail behind the MCS, but the TAFs endeavor to limit the duration of TS. After the thunderstorm winds subside, a period of low-level wind shear may follow (not currently included). IFR ceilings will then follow and persist throughout the daylight hours of Thursday morning. Reductions in visibility are likely above the rain-soaked ground, but the ceilings will determine the flight category. 25 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 68 81 68 83 68 / 70 70 50 20 30 Waco 67 80 69 82 68 / 80 70 30 20 20 Paris 66 76 66 80 65 / 60 90 70 40 20 Denton 66 81 66 83 67 / 70 60 50 20 30 McKinney 67 79 67 83 67 / 70 70 60 30 30 Dallas 68 81 69 83 69 / 70 70 50 30 30 Terrell 67 79 67 82 67 / 80 80 50 30 20 Corsicana 68 81 70 83 68 / 80 90 40 30 20 Temple 67 81 70 83 68 / 80 50 30 20 20 Mineral Wells 67 84 66 84 66 / 70 30 40 20 30 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through Thursday afternoon for TXZ121-122-134-135-142>148-156>162-174-175. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 248 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-021200- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 248 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Scattered thunderstorms are possible this afternoon, mainly across Central Texas. Widespread thunderstorms are then expected tonight across all of North and Central Texas. Damaging wind gusts and flash flooding are the main threats, with a lower threat of large hail and tornadoes. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Daily storm chances will continue through the weekend. The highest severe threat during this timeframe will be Thursday evening into Thursday night across Western North Texas. Heavy rainfall will likely accompany this activity and could lead to localized flash flooding concerns, especially over areas that are saturated from recent rainfall. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Timely reports of severe weather and flooding today and tonight will be greatly appreciated.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
436 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
TXZ146-161-012200-
Limestone TX-Navarro TX-
436 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Limestone and south central Navarro Counties through 500 PM CDT...
At 436 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Coolidge, or 11 miles west of Mexia, moving northeast at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Coolidge and Lake Mexia around 440 PM CDT.
Other locations impacted by this storm include Tehuacana and Purdon.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3156 9667 3170 9681 3181 9673 3182 9672
3183 9672 3196 9663 3177 9647 3170 9643
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 227DEG 9KT 3169 9668
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
79Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
553 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
TXZ144-012330-
Bosque TX-
553 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central Bosque
County through 630 PM CDT...
At 553 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Meridian State Park, or 13 miles northwest of Clifton, moving north
at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Meridian, Meridian State Park, Walnut Springs, and Morgan.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3211 9781 3216 9772 3215 9754 3213 9752
3214 9751 3214 9749 3213 9749 3184 9763
3188 9783
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 192DEG 27KT 3194 9772
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
LangfeldThe Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 120 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:59 UTC.
8 flash flood, 4 thunderstorm wind, 3 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Emergency management reported a large tree down across power lines.
Emergency management reported multiple roads flooded in Mexia with one water rescue at 800 East Commerce Street.
Emergency management reported multiple trees down and some tree blocking roads in the Shiloh area.
Emergency management reported a large tree down on County Road 444.
Multiple bridges along US 84 were reported with high water, including US 84 and the Lake Mexia Bridge. Multiple areas of flooding were also reported in Mexia including a stranded motorist at HWYs 14 and 171 in Mexia.
A train derailment of 5 sand hauler cars occurred due to high water near CR 456 and CR 406.
Emergency management reported at least 16 roads closed with some wash-outs. Five road closures isolated residents.
TxDOT reported a road closure on Laney Street 2 miles north of Buffalo due to flooding of Buffalo Creek from heavy rainfall Wednesday night into Thursday morning.
Emergency management reported a washed out culvert/road on Dowell Road near Big Elm Creek 3 miles SSE of Moody due to heavy rainfall and flooding Thursday morning.
Emergency management reported a portion of Bullhide Creek Rd in McClennan County was washed out due to heavy rainfall and flooding Thursday morning.
Emergency management reported several washed out roads/culverts across Central McLennan County due to heavy rainfall and flooding Thursday morning.
A 60 MPH wind gust was measured at Temple / Central Texas Regional Airport.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, May 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1178648, 1178654, 1178649, 1178651, 1178643, 1178645, 1178470, 1178474, 1178656, 1180647, 1180648, 1180650, 1180651, 1178652, 1178646.