Texas, 2024Drought in Texas, June 11 to 19, 2024
June 11 to 19, 2024 · NWS CRP · 4 events in 4 counties and zones
Prolonged dry spell led to drought conditions to become severe in a small area covering southern Refugio County and small portions of northern San Patricio County and western Aransas County.
Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 4
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Prolonged dry spell led to drought conditions to become severe in a small area covering southern Refugio County and small portions of northern San Patricio County and western Aransas County.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 10, 10:46 PM CST, 1 hour 14 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 10, 10:46 PM CST, 1 hour 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1146 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024
Key Messages:
- Minor to Moderate heat risk expected for south Texas Tuesday
- Chance (30-40%) Thunderstorms in the Victoria Crossroads this
evening
A weak 500 mb shortwave is moving through South Texas this afternoon
which kicked off this morning/afternoon's convection, and small
500mb cut off low in eastern New Mexico as well. The troughs are
squashing the ridge that was to build into the region this week, and
has kept the temperatures lower the last two days, and even kept the
humidity down a bit.
The earlier convection helped to over turn the lower atmosphere in
most of the forecast area. However, the outflow boundary from the
convection stalled as it moved into the Refugio and Victoria
Counties. With the stalled boundary there, isolated showers have
started to fire in Refugio and Calhoun counties, so have low chance
pops (20-40%) for the next couple hours as the sea breeze begins to
move into the region. However, as the sun sets, and we lose peak
heating, will expect the convection to diminish.
Th rest of the night will follow the pattern of the last few nights
with some lower clouds/fog that develops in the band of the Brush
Country around Alice, to Victoria Crossroads. Otherwise partly
cloudy skies.
Tuesday, the bulk of the day looks dry with the models showing
convection starting in the Hill Country and going southeast into the
Victoria Crossroads during Tuesday evening. The rain looks to end
overnight.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024
Key Messages:
- Low chances for rain Wednesday, then again next week
After a shortwave moves through the region in the short term, a mid-
level trough will develop in it's wake extending from the Mid-
Atlantic into the Southern Plains. This will maintain northeasterly
flow aloft for much of the week which in turn will help keep out
temperatures and heat indices in check. Towards the end of the
extended forecast, global models are showing an area of tropical
moisture moving northward into the Gulf. With sufficient moisture and
lingering vorticity from the shortwave in the short term, have
maintained low chances (20-35%) for rain Wednesday. Due to
uncertainty on where the tropical moisture towards the end of the
forecast might end up going, introduced low end rain chances (20-
35%) late next weekend into early next week.
Near normal to slightly above normal temperatures will keep heat
indices tolerable for the month of June. Daily maximum temperatures
are expected to remain under 100 degrees for much of the CWA
Wednesday through Saturday, even for Laredo and Cotulla! Therefore,
probabilities of heat indices exceeding 110 degrees will remain low
between 10-25% through Saturday before increasing to 40-55% late
this weekend into early next week. Probabilities for heat indices
above 115 degrees are much lower with a less than 10% chance through
Saturday and a 20-40% chance late this weekend into early next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024
Clear skies and a few lingering mid-level clouds over the eastern
portions of our area are currently in place. VFR CIGs are expected
to continue over all terminals with brief MVFR VSBYs early Tuesday
morning for ALI, CRP, and VCT. Conditions should clear around
14Z/15Z. Winds will generally remain light and variable through the
overnight hours and into tomorrow morning, increasing to be 10-15
kts by afternoon.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 345 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024
Weak to moderate onshore flow is expected each afternoon with winds
decreasing to weaker levels overnight. Low to medium chances for
showers and storms will be present each afternoon, mainly over the
Gulf waters.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi 78 95 78 94 / 10 10 10 20
Victoria 74 94 75 93 / 20 20 30 40
Laredo 78 101 78 100 / 10 0 10 10
Alice 75 98 76 97 / 10 0 10 20
Rockport 80 92 81 89 / 10 10 10 30
Cotulla 78 101 78 99 / 10 0 20 10
Kingsville 76 97 77 95 / 10 10 10 20
Navy Corpus 81 91 82 91 / 10 10 10 30
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
SHORT TERM...JSL
LONG TERM....JCP
AVIATION...KRS/98
Drought, Inland Refugio County
- When
- June 11, 12:00 AM CST to June 19, 12:00 AM CST
- Where
- Inland Refugio County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 28.322, -97.159 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought developed on June 11th over the southern half of Refugio, this was short-lived as Tropical Storm Alberto brought 4-7 of rainfall in the area and improved drought conditions to none.
Drought, Coastal Refugio County
- When
- June 11, 12:00 AM CST to June 19, 12:00 AM CST
- Where
- Coastal Refugio County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 28.322, -97.159 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought developed on June 11th over the southern half of Refugio, this was short-lived as Tropical Storm Alberto brought 4-7 of rainfall in the area and improved drought conditions to none.
Drought, Inland San Patricio County
- When
- June 11, 12:00 AM CST to June 19, 12:00 AM CST
- Where
- Inland San Patricio County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 28.009, -97.518 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought developed on June 11th over the northeast portion of San Patricio, generally northeast of Sinton, TX. This was short-lived as Tropical Storm Alberto brought 4-7 of rainfall in the area and improved drought conditions to none.
Drought, Coastal Aransas County
- When
- June 11, 12:00 AM CST to June 19, 12:00 AM CST
- Where
- Coastal Aransas County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 28.015, -97.074 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought developed on June 11th on the extreme northwest tip of Aransas County, north-northwest of Lamar, TX. This was short-lived as Tropical Storm Alberto brought 4-7 of rainfall in the area and improved drought conditions to none.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Excessive Heat in Nevada, June 11 to 12, 202410 deaths · 4 events
- Flooding in Florida, June 11, 2024$11 million · 3 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Florida, June 11 to 16, 2024$7.1 million · 52 kt wind · 11 events
- Wildfire in Colorado, June 11 to 21, 2024$1.0 million · 1 event
- Damaging Winds in Texas, June 11, 2024$68,000 · 87 kt wind · 5 events
- Heat in California, June 11, 20245 injured · 1 event
- Excessive Heat in Puerto Rico, June 11 to 15, 202424 events
- Heat in California, June 11 to 12, 202416 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Gulf of Mexico, June 11 to 12, 202413 events
- Heat in Texas, June 11 to 14, 202410 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in South Atlantic Coastal Waters, June 11 to 12, 20245 events
- Flood and Damaging Winds in Florida, June 11, 2024$5,000 · 50 kt wind · 5 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1196448, 1196449, 1196450, 1196451.