Deep tropical moisture associated with a tropical disturbance centered just offshore Tampa Bay produces 5-8 inches of rain with locally higher amounts leading to flooding across parts of Sarasota County. 87 inches reported near Siesta Key along coastal Sarasota County represented the maximum observed total associated with the event.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TBW wrote it up.
Deep tropical moisture associated with a tropical disturbance centered just offshore Tampa Bay produces 5-8 inches of rain with locally higher amounts leading to flooding across parts of Sarasota County. An isolated multi-day total of 12.87 inches reported near Siesta Key along coastal Sarasota County represented the maximum observed total associated with the event.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 11, 1:59 PM EST, 3 hours 5 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
259 PM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024
...Flood Watch in Effect for Charlotte and Lee Counties through
Thursday Evening...
.DISCUSSION...
The pattern aloft over the region this afternoon features troughing
from the southeast extending over Florida and ridging centered to
the southeast of the state. Flow in between these features remains
out of the southwest, helping to transport a deep plume of tropical
moisture over the peninsula and generally keeping Florida within a
favorable region for divergence aloft. At the surface, a boundary
remains stalled across northern Florida, with a weak disturbance
trying to form along it. This whole setup has led to widespread
showers with embedded thunderstorms, mainly from just north of I-4
southward, with more scattered convection to the north. For the rest
of today, the highest rainfall totals should continue to be over
this same region and then for tonight, hi-res guidance continues to
show a period of lower coverage before picking back up again late
tonight into early tomorrow morning. Highest rainfall totals have so
far been mainly over Lee County (5 inches or so) with a few other
areas seeing 2-4 inches in some training and then 1-3 inches
elsewhere. The potential remains to see another 1 to 3 inches
through today, and this will likely continue to cause some localized
flooding in these areas. The rest of the region should be able to
handle the rain given how dry it has been, and if we do get a bit of
a break tonight, that will help even more. However, this is all
dependent on where the heaviest rain falls and in what timeframe, so
things could certainly change as far as the Flood Watch, which
remains in effect for Charlotte and Lee Counties through at least
Thursday evening.
The forecast does not change a whole lot through the rest of the
week and into the weekend, with the highest rain chances continuing
for the southern half of the area. Event rainfall totals could end
up being over a foot or higher for some locations over southwest
Florida and likely much closer toward the Nature Coast. This heavy
rainfall and possible flooding will continue to be the main issue
over the next several days, and conditions will have to be closely
monitored for possible watches or warnings, especially with multiple
rounds of heavy rainfall expected to impact the same locations over
the next few days.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Numerous showers with some embedded thunderstorms continue across
the region this afternoon, with some higher wind gusts along with
MVFR or lower conditions expected periodically. Model guidance
continues to suggest a short break in the heavier rainfall for part
of tonight, then additional widespread rainfall is expected for
Wednesday. Similar to today, cigs and vsbys will likely go VFR
outside of activity, but timing could still be rather tough to
pin down.
&&
.MARINE...
Tropical moisture will continue to lift north over the region, with
southwest to south winds continuing. Multiple rounds of showers with
embedded thunderstorms are expected through the end of the week,
with winds and seas higher near storms.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Numerous to widespread showers and some embedded thunderstorms will
continue through the next several days as deep tropical moisture
continues over the region. No fire weather concerns.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 78 87 78 87 / 70 80 80 80
FMY 76 85 76 86 / 90 100 90 100
GIF 76 87 75 88 / 60 80 70 80
SRQ 77 86 76 89 / 80 90 90 90
BKV 72 88 72 91 / 60 80 70 80
SPG 80 86 80 89 / 70 90 80 80
&&
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 5
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 4
For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Flood Watch through Thursday evening for Coastal Charlotte-
Coastal Lee-Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee.
Gulf waters...None.
&&
05/CarlisleThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Public video posted to social media depicted multiple areas of flooding across parts of Siesta Key.
Multiple public reports received of an unknown number of stranded vehicles in flooded streets near downtown Sarasota.
Sarasota County Emergency Management reported multiple cars partially inundated in flood waters with water also entering some business structures at the lowest levels in St Armands Circle. No injuries reported.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, June 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1188371, 1188372, 1188375.