During the late afternoon and early evening hours of the 6th a couple of supercells formed over the south-central Texas Panhandle. These thunderstorms generally moved from northwest to southeast and ended up producing winds up to 59 mph and hail up to the size of ping pong balls in parts of Carson and Armstrong County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AMA wrote it up.
During the late afternoon and early evening hours of the 6th a couple of supercells formed over the south-central Texas Panhandle. These thunderstorms generally moved from northwest to southeast and ended up producing winds up to 59 mph and hail up to the size of ping pong balls in parts of Carson and Armstrong County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Amarillo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 6, 1:54 PM CST, 3 hours 21 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 254 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM ... (This evening through Sunday night) Issued at 254 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024 Warmer temperatures are forecast across the area compared to yesterday. 80's and lower 90's can be expected as 850 mb reside in the upper 20's (degrees Celsius) and cloud coverage should not impose on day time heating this afternoon. Instead, coverage should steadily increase towards the evening hours. Tomorrow, a cold front will surge through the area from the north. Additional cloud coverage and perhaps some precipitation chances will restrict the northern Panhandles from warming up to the 90's. Instead, upper 70's and 80's are foreseen. Further south, 90 degree temperatures may still be met thanks to the timing of the front. It may not pass through the whole CWA until the night time hours; but of course, a faster frontal progression will lead to lower day time highs overall. A field of cumulus has generated over central portions of the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles. Tonight a disturbance from the Rocky Mountain range in Colorado will advance southeast into our area. The best environment and source of lift favors the Oklahoma Panhandle and far northern portions of the Texas Panhandle. So thunderstorm, some strong to severe, are possible ahead of the boundary in the late evening hours and overnight period today. Tomorrow, additional storms are expected to form in the eastern Panhandles ahead of the incoming cold front. Severe storms are possible again, with damaging winds, large hail, and a tornado or two are the primary hazards. If convection can become more widespread as opposed to isolated the tornado threat would decrease, but the flash flooding potential would raise instead. Finally, as Sunday night become Monday morning, another band of showers should develop behind the main cold front and showers with isolated storms will be possible for the central and eastern zones of the CWA and last through Monday morning. Rangel && .LONG TERM ... (Monday through next Friday) Issued at 254 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024 Residual showers and thunderstorms in the wake of the cold front should move south throughout the first half of Monday before H500 NW flow returns to the region at the base of the mid level trough as seen by the latest 06/12Z model and numerical guidance. The main trough axis should reach the Red River valley of north central Texas by Monday night. This should help to steer what is left of now Hurricane Beryl downstream of the trough axis and into northeast Texas. For the Panhandles, some high clouds from the remnant tropical system may reach our region, but thats about it. Tuesday through the remainder of the long term forecast period, the main H500 quasi-stationary high pressure system over the Great Basin in the western CONUS, NW flow with diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms are possible, favoring the central and western Panhandles each day. Towards the end of the forecast period, H500 flow should become quite anemic with the main high shifting NE of the Four Corners Region according to the latest guidance. This should limit our precipitation chances. High temperatures to start will be well below average and then rise back to above average by the end of the forecast period. Meccariello && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1232 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024 TAFs are VFR for the 18Z period. Confidence in thunderstorms at the GUY site has diminished some, so no mentions can be made at this time. However, if the situation changes, and the dynamics become more favorable for thunderstorms and the GUY and even AMA terminals, amendments could become necessary. Generally breezy winds from the southwest will be had at all sites for the next 24 hours. Rangel && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Amarillo TX 68 92 63 77 / 20 20 50 50 Beaver OK 62 79 60 79 / 40 30 50 30 Boise City OK 59 80 57 78 / 20 10 40 30 Borger TX 70 92 65 83 / 10 30 60 50 Boys Ranch TX 67 92 63 80 / 20 10 50 40 Canyon TX 66 94 61 76 / 20 10 50 60 Clarendon TX 67 97 63 77 / 20 40 60 60 Dalhart TX 62 85 58 79 / 10 10 40 30 Guymon OK 61 81 58 79 / 20 20 50 30 Hereford TX 67 94 63 77 / 20 10 40 50 Lipscomb TX 67 85 62 81 / 30 50 70 40 Pampa TX 67 91 62 78 / 10 40 60 60 Shamrock TX 69 96 63 80 / 10 50 70 60 Wellington TX 70 99 64 81 / 10 50 70 60 && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. OK...None. && SHORT TERM...55 LONG TERM....29 AVIATION...55
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Amarillo TX 314 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024 OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-070815- Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb- Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson- Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth- Palo Duro Canyon- 314 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon into this evening. Some storms could be strong to severe with the main risks being damaging wind gusts up to 70mph, hail to half dollar size and cloud to ground lightning. Locally heavy rain will also be a concern that could lead to minor flooding. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. More thunderstorms will develop tomorrow afternoon and evening, especially across the eastern Panhandles. Strong to severe thunderstorms are again possible with the main concerns being damaging winds to 70 mph, hail up to half dollar size and localized flooding. Another wave should ensue during the overnight hours. Storms may pulse up to become severe, but chances are lower compared to the day time hours. Additional showers and thunderstorms will be possible during the afternoon and evening hours through the rest of the week. None are forecast to be severe at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
445 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024
TXZ007-008-012-013-062230-
Hutchinson TX-Potter TX-Carson TX-Moore TX-
445 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN CARSON...
SOUTHWESTERN HUTCHINSON...NORTHEASTERN POTTER AND SOUTHEASTERN MOORE
COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM CDT...
At 445 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles southwest of Lake Meredith, or 18 miles north of Amarillo,
moving east at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Borger, Fritch, Sanford, and Lake Meredith.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3533 10182 3542 10192 3556 10193 3579 10154
3545 10131
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 249DEG 17KT 3546 10176
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
HarrelThe Amarillo radar (KAMA), 17 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:14 UTC.
3 hail, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Large hail started to fall around 1815CDT and lasted several minutes at the Pantex plant. Small dents were observed on vehicles in the parking lot after the storm passed.
A picture was received, from local law enforcement, of approximately half dollar sized hail. It was also reported that there was accumulating hail up to one foot deep near FM 2161 and County Road 7 in Carson County.
Large hail fell for about 15 minutes at an outdoor adventure park on the north rim of the canyon with the largest hail up to around ping pong size. At least 3 RVs were damaged and had skylights broken out. Porta potties were also blown about 40 feet from the thunderstorm winds.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1198352, 1198355, 1198353, 1198354.