An upper level disturbance dropping south through the Plains along with a weak cold front kicked off a round of showers and thunderstorms across North Texas the afternoon of July 17. A few storms produced microbursts and minor wind damage.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
An upper level disturbance dropping south through the Plains along with a weak cold front kicked off a round of showers and thunderstorms across North Texas the afternoon of July 17. A few storms produced microbursts and minor wind damage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 17, 2:05 PM CST, 7 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 305 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024 ...New Long Term... .SHORT TERM... /Issued 117 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024/ /Through Thursday Afternoon/ Quite the active day is in store for most of North and Central Texas, which started off with a relatively calm morning. Earlier today, a remnant outflow boundary started to push through portions of North Texas. Showers and isolated thunderstorms have developed along this boundary across the Metroplex, which will continue heading south ahead of a rather ill-defined cold front. Ahead of this front, temperatures will still be quick to rise, leading to another hot summer afternoon across much of our area. Afternoon highs will climb into the mid to upper 90s, with a few locations along the Red River staying in the low 90s. Areas under increased cloud cover that have already seen rain have remained a bit cooler. The aforementioned cold front will push through North Texas right around peak heating, resulting in scattered thunderstorms along and ahead of the front. Increasing rain chances will spread south with the progression of the cold front, eventually making its way through Central Texas later this evening. Overall, the severe weather threat remains low. That being said, we can't rule out a few stronger storms where gusty winds and lightning will be the main hazards. The most glaring limitation is the lack of shear, which should result in mostly beneficial rainfall for folks in the area. Confidence in the forecast decreases later this evening and tonight once the cold front pushes into Central Texas. Some of the hi-res model guidance has the front stalling out, while others are slower with the initial progression of the front. This could potentially lead to lingering thunderstorm chances across Central and East Texas through Thursday. This is important to note as this may have implications on a possible flooding threat across our southern and eastern counties, depending on storm evolution. Speaking of which, a conditional threat for heavy rainfall and potential flooding issues remains possible. Confidence on exact timing and area of impact remains a bit low, so for now we will hold on on issuing any flood products. There is a medium chance for flash flooding across our eastern zones where a bulls-eye 50-70% chance of at least 3 inches or more of rainfall exists for points east of the Metroplex into East Texas. This potential will linger through the overnight hours into early Thursday morning, with rain chances continuing across Central Texas through the afternoon hours once again. Reeves && .LONG TERM... /NEW/ /Thursday Night Onward/ North and Central Texas will continue to be situated between a longwave ridge to the west and a longwave trough to the east. This mid-level pattern will keep northerly flow aloft in place and persist with on and off rain chances through the end of the week as impulses move around the base of the trough. Isolated to scattered showers and storms are expected through Friday afternoon across Central Texas, closer to the axis of higher moisture and lift. We'll see an overall lull in precipitation over most of Saturday in between the movement of small disturbances, though low chances for isolated storms are possible Saturday afternoon for portions of the Big Country and eastern Central Texas as one of those disturbances moves overhead. More sunshine and the aforementioned drier conditions will allow Saturday afternoon temperatures to peak in the upper 80s to mid 90s, the warmest day for the rest of the forecast period. By the end of the weekend, a shortwave will dig south as it moves along the periphery of the main longwave trough. The ridge will be pushed even further west and the region will be enveloped within the influence of the trough. Located just upstream of the trough base, North and Central Texas will continue to observe unsettled weather throughout the rest of the long term forecast period. In response, on and off showers and storms will gradually increase in coverage as we go into the first days of next week. Additionally, PWATs will also surge to near 2" across the region. Best chances for precipitation will once again be located across Central and East Texas where the best moisture will be found. Most likely total precipitation at any one place between Sunday and Wednesday is 0.5-1.5" with isolated higher amounts of 1.5"-3". While our recent dry spell has allowed soils to dry from our fairly wet spring season, multiple rounds of showers over the next 7 days with some capable of heavy rain will bring back a concern for flooding. This will be especially true for those areas that see higher-end totals. Switching over temperatures, the on and off rain chances and persistent cloud cover will keep temperatures cooler than normal for this time of year. Expect high temperatures in the mid 80s to low 90s from Sunday through midweek of next week. Prater && .AVIATION... /Issued 117 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024/ /18z TAFs/ Concerns...Thunderstorm Potential Through Tomorrow Morning. VFR conditions should mostly prevail outside of any convection through the TAF period. Winds may be a bit all over the place as convective boundaries and an approaching front gradually sweep through North and Central Texas, but should mostly remain light from the north once the cold front pushes through this afternoon. Timing for convection remains reasonable with no changes necessary. It is possible that some lingering convection will continue through the morning on Thursday and will be worth watching for any changes in future TAF issuances. Reeves && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 74 90 73 91 73 / 50 40 10 10 0 Waco 74 92 72 92 71 / 40 60 20 20 5 Paris 72 84 69 86 67 / 70 40 10 5 0 Denton 72 91 69 92 69 / 50 30 5 10 0 McKinney 73 88 70 91 69 / 60 40 10 5 0 Dallas 75 91 73 91 72 / 50 40 10 10 0 Terrell 73 88 70 89 69 / 60 50 20 10 0 Corsicana 74 89 73 91 71 / 50 60 20 20 5 Temple 74 93 71 93 70 / 40 50 20 20 5 Mineral Wells 71 93 69 93 69 / 30 30 5 10 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 306 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-181215- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 306 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Thunderstorms are expected to continue ahead of a rare summer cold front with additional storms expected along the front later today. Severe weather is unlikely, but a few storms could contain frequent lightning and strong, gusty winds. Heavy rainfall may also lead to minor flooding issues in areas that receive multiple rounds of rain. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Thunderstorm chances will continue on Thursday, primarily south of the I-20 corridor. The severe threat will remain low, but a few strong storms will be possible. An unsettled pattern will maintain daily storm chances into next week. Severe weather is unlikely Friday through Tuesday, but heavy rainfall will be possible. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
213 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024
TXZ105>107-123-172000-
Hunt TX-Hopkins TX-Rains TX-Delta TX-
213 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southern Hunt,
Hopkins, Rains and southwestern Delta Counties through 300 PM CDT...
At 212 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 10 miles northeast of Sulphur Springs to near
Quinlan. Movement was east at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
These storms will remain over mainly rural areas of southern Hunt,
Hopkins, Rains and southwestern Delta Counties, including the
following locations... Martin Springs, Weaver, Tira, New Birthright,
Ridgeway, Cash, Pine Forest, Union Valley, Lone Oak, and Flora.
This includes Interstate 30 between mile markers 100 and 142.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3315 9531 3296 9555 3296 9566 3287 9566
3277 9578 3277 9585 3284 9593 3284 9630
3293 9630 3330 9580 3336 9531
TIME...MOT...LOC 1912Z 258DEG 34KT 3322 9545 3287 9615
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
HernandezSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
247 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024
TXZ121>123-172030-
Kaufman TX-Van Zandt TX-Rains TX-
247 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Kaufman, Van Zandt
and central Rains Counties through 330 PM CDT...
At 246 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Edgewood to near Cottonwood. Movement was
east at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Strong thunderstorms will be near...
Wills Point, Edgewood, Kemp, Fruitvale, Grays Prairie, and
Cottonwood around 250 PM CDT.
Canton and Cedar Creek Reservoir around 300 PM CDT.
Grand Saline and Mabank around 305 PM CDT.
Other locations impacted by these storms include Whitton, Ola, Alsa,
Elmo, Tolosa, Roddy, Jackson, Oakland, Jones, and Rosser.
This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 501 and 536.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3236 9593 3236 9645 3241 9644 3245 9650
3253 9651 3284 9608 3284 9593 3288 9598
3287 9566 3272 9564 3268 9559 3257 9560
TIME...MOT...LOC 1946Z 261DEG 31KT 3274 9591 3242 9645
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
HernandezThe Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 106 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:13 UTC.
2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A utility company reported 37 power poles down along FM 1836 in Kaufman County.
A 58 MPH wind gust was measured at Cleburne Municipal Airport.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1205916, 1205918.