A favorable placement of the monsoon high over NM and then shifting to the west allowed for an influx of moisture and instability over the state of NM. Daily rounds of of showers and storms starting over the higher terrain midday spreading to lower elevation in the evening before slowly dissipating overnight each day.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.
A favorable placement of the monsoon high over NM and then shifting to the west allowed for an influx of moisture and instability over the state of NM. Daily rounds of of showers and storms starting over the higher terrain midday spreading to lower elevation in the evening before slowly dissipating overnight each day. There were several reports of flash flooding over portions of central NM and a few severe thunderstorm wind gusts.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 17, 10:53 AM MST, 2 hours 27 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 1153 AM MDT Wed Jul 17 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 146 AM MDT Wed Jul 17 2024 Moisture is increasing across much of northern and central New Mexico as a moist front works southwestward into the state early this morning. This will set the stage for a more active shower and thunderstorm pattern for the rest of the week. Storms today will first form over the northern and western mountains before drifting south southeastward and filling into many central valley and eastern plains locations. Storms will be capable of turning strong with hail, gusty winds and heavy downpours, and a Flash Flood Watch is in effect for many central and eastern areas of New Mexico. A similar weather pattern will continue on Thursday and each day into the weekend and early next week with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms capable of locally heavy rainfall which may lead to flash flooding. Temperatures will still be warm to hot in many locations, but not as hot as earlier in the week. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday) Issued at 146 AM MDT Wed Jul 17 2024 The 592dm H5 monsoon high remains centered over west-central NM this morning and is expected to continue shifting over Four Corners region later today. Outflow from yesterday evening's MCS over the high plains pushed south and westward to the gaps of the central mountain chain, producing gusty east canyon winds in Albuquerque. These gusty winds will continue well into morning hours before tapering off mid-to-late morning. The additional moisture and lowering pressure heights will result in lower high temperatures forecast today, and no Heat Advisory is on tap today as a result. A considerable uptick in thunderstorm activity is still forecast today given the influx of 50s Td's through the eastern half of the state. Easterly upslope flow riding up the eastern slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mts will make this area the most favored area for thunderstorm initiation near noon to 1pm MDT this afternoon. CI will also favor the rest of the western and northern mountains with considerably less initiation over the south-central mountains near Ruidoso. Numerical model guidance has backed off an upper level perturbation moving down the Rockies into north-central NM helping enhance thunderstorm activity. Nevertheless, still maintained high PoPs and the threat of flash flooding from these storms over the Sangre de Cristo's and the Hermit's Peak/Calf Canyon burn scar early afternoon. Steering flow takes storms south-southeastward over the adjacent high plains where a few storms could become severe as they encounter higher instability (SBCAPE 1000-1800 J/kg) and bulk shear of 20-30kts. A juicy atmosphere will continue the threat of locally heavy rainfall as these cells move further out over the eastern plains toward the TX border. Global models and hi-res CAMs are all honing in on a heavy rainfall threat moving over Quay, Curry and Roosevelt Counties. Have gone ahead and expanded the Flood Watch to these counties as a result. Meanwhile, a few storms look to get going over the Sandia/Manzano Mts that then push over the Estancia Basin with outflow pushing westward and colliding with other outflow boundaries to develop a secondary round of showers and thunderstorms over the Santa Fe and Albuquerque metro areas favoring the evening hours of 6p to 10p MDT. Elsewhere, some of these thunderstorms look to make it as far as Ruidoso during the evening, and have maintained the Flood Watch in these areas. Shower and thunderstorm activity steadily tapers off Thursday morning. The monsoon high builds back to 596dm and will be centered over southeastern UT with continued NNW flow over a majority of the forecast area. Thursday's afternoon crop of storms will favor a similar pattern as Wednesday, except with initiation favored for all high terrain mountain areas between the 12p to 2p MDT timeframe. Storms will generally track southward and spread over adjacent lower elevation areas. Flash flooding will again be a main concern over recent burn scars, urban areas and already rain soaked locations. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 146 AM MDT Wed Jul 17 2024 The upper high is still modeled to start shifting northwestward on Friday, putting the centroid northwest of the Four Corners. This will establish a more direct north wind aloft over NM with light speeds continuing to make for sluggish storm motions. Surface winds would tend to stay out of the south for most areas outside of the northwest plateau area, and while some slightly drier air will sag over the Sangre de Cristos, the moisture will by-and- large remain in place and intact with above average PWATs of 1.0 to near 1.3 inches stretching from the Rio Grande valley to the eastern plains. This will keep the numerous storm coverage continuing in the forecast with lots of directional shear available to strengthen several cells while a locally heavy downpour threat will exist with most storms as well. Into Saturday, much more of the same is expected with the monsoon high inching a bit closer to the Great Basin. A weak shortwave trough continues to be modeled with better consensus now, dropping into midwestern states near KS/IA/MO, and this will help spread a surface boundary southwestward into NM. While moisture advection will be a bit more subtle given our already high dewpoints/PWATs, the synoptic scale easterly surface flow will be a enhancing feature for convective initiation on the east slopes of the central mountain chain and secondarily on the Continental Divide. Storms would blanket much of the high terrain zones in the afternoon before cold pools migrate to lower elevations and trigger more storms through much of the evening. The east wind is projected to spill into the middle Rio Grande valley around midday Saturday, and may get an extra push with outflows causing it to accelerate through the gaps and canyons within the central mountain chain more Saturday evening. Very similar conditions will persist into Sunday and Monday with the high remaining established over the Great Basin, only weakening slightly into Monday and Tuesday while the aforementioned shortwave over the central plains pivots very slowly toward KS/OK/MO/AR. This will keep the easterly wind going trough Sunday, Monday, only slowly veering more southerly into Tuesday. Coverage of numerous thunderstorms will persist each day with localized heavy rainfall and flash flooding recurring each afternoon and evening. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1135 AM MDT Wed Jul 17 2024 Scattered convection will develop over the high terrain around 18Z, becoming widespread to numerous around 21Z, particularly along and east of the central mtn chain. Gusty outflow winds up 40KT will accompany many storms, with a few stronger cells producing gusts to 55KT. Small hail and torrential rainfall rates may help to create brief MVFR to IFR conditions at several sites, with the highest confidence for those along and east of the central mtn chain. Storm coverage will remain widespread to numerous through 06Z, eventually becoming limited to areas south of I-40 between 06Z and 12Z. Gusty east winds are expected this afternoon and evening at KABQ as outflow boundaries from storms in eastern NM surge through the gaps of the central mtn chain. Winds are likely to exceed 35KT between 00Z and 06Z, but should be associated with convection so an AWW will likely not be issued unless the vicinity is drier than expected. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 146 AM MDT Wed Jul 17 2024 No fire weather concerns through the forecast period. East canyon winds pushing through Santa Fe and Albuquerque will steadily taper off this morning. Daily rounds of afternoon storms favoring development over the high terrain near noon to 2pm can be expected. Storms will generally track south to southeast, spreading over surrounding highlands and lower elevations late day and evening. Flash flooding will be at a high risk over recent burn scar areas. The Northwest Plateau near Farmington and the Four Corners will be the driest portion of the forecast area being closest to the center of the monsoon high. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Farmington...................... 96 66 94 64 / 20 30 10 30 Dulce........................... 91 52 89 50 / 60 40 50 50 Cuba............................ 89 57 87 56 / 70 80 50 60 Gallup.......................... 91 58 90 56 / 50 40 50 60 El Morro........................ 87 58 84 54 / 80 50 80 70 Grants.......................... 89 58 87 58 / 60 60 70 60 Quemado......................... 90 60 86 55 / 70 60 80 70 Magdalena....................... 91 62 86 61 / 50 60 70 60 Datil........................... 88 59 83 55 / 70 60 80 60 Reserve......................... 95 60 91 55 / 60 60 80 70 Glenwood........................ 99 68 96 65 / 60 50 70 70 Chama........................... 81 50 80 49 / 80 60 70 50 Los Alamos...................... 83 59 82 60 / 80 80 70 60 Pecos........................... 82 56 81 57 / 90 70 70 60 Cerro/Questa.................... 81 48 81 47 / 90 60 80 50 Red River....................... 71 46 72 46 / 100 60 80 40 Angel Fire...................... 73 45 75 43 / 90 70 80 40 Taos............................ 85 52 85 52 / 90 70 60 40 Mora............................ 78 51 78 51 / 100 70 70 50 Espanola........................ 91 59 90 60 / 80 70 40 50 Santa Fe........................ 85 59 83 61 / 80 80 60 60 Santa Fe Airport................ 89 59 86 59 / 60 80 40 60 Albuquerque Foothills........... 94 65 90 65 / 50 80 50 60 Albuquerque Heights............. 96 66 92 67 / 40 70 30 60 Albuquerque Valley.............. 97 67 94 60 / 30 70 20 60 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 96 66 92 66 / 30 70 20 60 Belen........................... 98 65 94 63 / 30 50 20 60 Bernalillo...................... 96 65 93 64 / 40 70 20 60 Bosque Farms.................... 97 65 93 59 / 30 60 20 60 Corrales........................ 96 65 93 64 / 40 70 20 60 Los Lunas....................... 97 66 93 61 / 30 50 20 60 Placitas........................ 91 63 89 63 / 50 70 40 60 Rio Rancho...................... 96 65 93 66 / 40 70 20 60 Socorro......................... 101 68 96 67 / 30 50 40 60 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 86 58 84 60 / 60 70 50 50 Tijeras......................... 89 60 86 61 / 60 70 50 60 Edgewood........................ 89 57 86 58 / 70 60 40 50 Moriarty/Estancia............... 89 57 87 55 / 60 60 40 50 Clines Corners.................. 82 56 82 55 / 70 70 50 50 Mountainair..................... 89 58 85 58 / 50 60 50 50 Gran Quivira.................... 90 60 86 58 / 50 70 60 60 Carrizozo....................... 94 65 89 64 / 30 50 60 50 Ruidoso......................... 85 58 80 53 / 30 50 70 50 Capulin......................... 76 54 78 53 / 90 60 50 20 Raton........................... 83 55 82 55 / 90 50 50 20 Springer........................ 84 57 83 56 / 90 70 50 30 Las Vegas....................... 78 54 78 55 / 90 60 60 50 Clayton......................... 84 61 83 61 / 60 80 30 20 Roy............................. 83 59 80 60 / 100 70 40 30 Conchas......................... 91 65 87 64 / 70 70 20 40 Santa Rosa...................... 89 63 84 63 / 70 70 20 50 Tucumcari....................... 90 63 87 64 / 50 70 20 30 Clovis.......................... 93 65 87 66 / 50 80 30 30 Portales........................ 94 65 87 66 / 40 80 20 30 Fort Sumner..................... 95 66 89 66 / 50 80 10 40 Roswell......................... 100 71 95 71 / 10 50 20 40 Picacho......................... 94 64 88 63 / 10 40 40 40 Elk............................. 91 60 85 59 / 20 40 60 40 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch through late tonight for NMZ211>215-218>224-226-229- 234>236. && SHORT TERM...24 LONG TERM....52 AVIATION...16
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
142 PM MDT Wed Jul 17 2024
NMZ212-214-172015-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta
Pass-
142 PM MDT Wed Jul 17 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL SAN MIGUEL AND EAST
CENTRAL SANTA FE COUNTIES THROUGH 215 PM MDT...
At 142 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Glorieta, or 13 miles southeast of Santa Fe. This storm was nearly
stationary.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Pecos, Upper Colonias, Rowe, Glorieta, and Lower Colonias.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 25 between Mile Markers 293 and 311.
State Road 63 between Mile Markers 0 and 10.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If threatening weather approaches your area, take shelter in a sturdy
building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3557 10555 3554 10557 3551 10557 3543 10566
3553 10585 3555 10586 3569 10578
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 319DEG 3KT 3558 10574
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
33The Albuquerque radar (KABX), 108 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:17 UTC.
4 flash flood, 4 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
NMDOT reported difficulty driving on NM Highway 50 between mile markers 1 and 3 due to standing water and debris over the roadway.
Trained spotter reported 3 inch tree limbs snapped from tree. No damage was reported.
A radio report of flash flooding was received from heavy rain on the Hermit's Peak/Calf Canyon burn scar along NM Highway 94 just north and west of Sapello, NM.
KOB relayed a viewer report of flash flooding on NM Highway 50 near exit 299 near Glorieta, NM. There was a foot of water over the roadway.
WSM40 Mine White Sands Missile Range recorded a 63mph thunderstorm wind gust.
The Tucumcari Airport recorded a 58mph thunderstorm wind gust.
A late evening batch of moderate to heavy showers passed over the complex of burn scars in and around Ruidoso producing a half inch to one inch of rainfall in the area. Catastrophic flash flooding occurred, focusing through Cedar Creek and the Rio Ruidoso after 11pm MDT. Flood waters overtopping bridges and roadways were reported in several areas including Mechem Dr. at Brady Canyon Dr., U.S. Highway 70 at Cedar Creek, and Paradise Canyon Road at Cedar Creek. Evacuations were ordered from the Upper Canyon area to areas along the Rio Ruidoso from west of town through to mobile home areas near Hollywood along U.S. Highway 70. Several swift water rescues were conducted, including for two vehicles trapped in water near Johnson Rd., an elderly resident who was unable to evacuate on Brady Canyon Dr., and one resident trapped on one side of a bridge at Paradise Rd. and Foothill Rd. that was overtopped by water. Cherokee Mobile Home Park sustained damage with water flowing beneath mobile homes. Home damage was reported along Brady Canyon Dr. from the elderly couple who needed assistance evacuating. A culvert on Cedar Creek above the ranger station was completely torn out and washed out onto the roadway. Rises on the Rio Ruidoso at the Hollywood gage spiked from 1.58 feet to 8.16 feet within 90 minutes before waters started to recede.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, July 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1184167, 1184203, 1184204, 1184201, 1184202, 1184205, 1184206, 1184214.