A digging trough across the Central Rocky Mountains with an attendant jet streak rounding its base caused westerly high winds across the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.
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The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
A digging trough across the Central Rocky Mountains with an attendant jet streak rounding its base caused westerly high winds across the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 4, 5:53 PM CST, 1 hour 45 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 553 PM CST Thu Jan 4 2024 ...New UPDATE, AVIATION... .UPDATE... Issued at 545 PM CST Thu Jan 4 2024 Have updated the forecast to cancel the High Wind Warning for the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains. Wind speeds there have decreased below Warning criteria, and given the location and trajectory of the upper level low and trough moving across the region, winds will continue their downward trend through this evening. The remainder of the forecast is on track this evening. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Friday night) Issued at 137 PM CST Thu Jan 4 2024 Little change for the short term forecast from the previous package. Will leave the High Wind Warning for the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains unchanged. Upper level low will move across the area today and tonight moving the low clouds and light precipitation out of the area to the east by around midnight local time. Windy conditions across the higher elevations subside by early tomorrow morning. Drier air in combination with clearer skies allow Friday morning lows to dip closer to normal with near freezing temperatures over the Permian Basin and 20s across southeast New Mexico and the Marfa Plateau. Any precipitation that falls today and tonight will be minimal with no accumulations expected. The rest of the short term forecast is dry. Highs on Friday move closer to normal with clearer skies and westerly to northwesterly winds taking hold. Most areas reach into the 50s with 60s along the Rio Grande. Lows fall back into the upper 20s to low 30s Friday night and into Saturday morning. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 137 PM CST Thu Jan 4 2024 Models are consistent in the extended forecast period showing a zonal pattern sending several storm systems across the western United States and into the Great Plains. The next one is an open trough due to arrive on Saturday that will push a weak cold front into the Permian Basin. Temperatures will drop only a few degrees north of I-10 and hardly any effect will be seen south of I-10. Temperatures rebound Sunday before a stronger upper low reaches the South Plains on Monday. The track of the low center is expected to be too far north to bring any appreciable precipitation. There are slight chances of mixed precip in the far northern Permian Basin, Southeast New Mexico, as well as the higher elevations in the Big Bend...no accumulations are expected. The low pushes a cold front through on Monday with very windy conditions both ahead of and behind the front. The direction of these storms systems is from the west, off the Pacific, and not south out of Canada so despite the strong and windy storm system Monday temperatures will not drop too far below normal. No models are showing a high amplitude buckling of the upper jet that would unleash arctic air south into West Texas and eastern New Mexico. Temps warm the remainder of next week until the next modest front arrives around Thursday. Hennig && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 545 PM CST Thu Jan 4 2024 Conditions are improving rapidly from west to east, with precipitation having already ended at area terminals. While MAF is IFR at issuance, ceilings will quickly improve to VFR by around 01Z, with VFR conditions then prevailing areawide. Gusts will largely diminish within the first couple hours of the forecast period, though gusty southwest winds will continue into tonight for FST. Winds will gradually veer to the west and northwest, becoming gusty once again around 18Z, with gusts to 20-25kt common areawide Friday afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 33 56 29 52 / 40 0 0 0 Carlsbad 33 56 29 52 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 35 64 36 63 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 36 59 36 57 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 30 48 29 46 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 29 53 27 48 / 10 0 0 0 Marfa 24 51 23 50 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 33 56 30 52 / 20 0 0 0 Odessa 34 56 30 52 / 10 0 0 0 Wink 34 59 29 55 / 0 0 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && SHORT TERM...84 LONG TERM....10 AVIATION...84
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 554 PM CST Thu Jan 4 2024 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082- 270>282-060000- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler- Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- 554 PM CST Thu Jan 4 2024 /454 PM MST Thu Jan 4 2024/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. High winds are possible Saturday afternoon through Monday afternoon in the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains. Very strong winds possible nearly region-wide Monday afternoon. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, January 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1159152, 1159153.