Near normal precipitation during February was enough to improve drought conditions in Guadalupe County from Severe (D2) Drought to Abnormally Dry (D0).
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.
Near normal precipitation during February was enough to improve drought conditions in Guadalupe County from Severe (D2) Drought to Abnormally Dry (D0).
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 10:37 PM CST, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 1037 PM CST Wed Jan 31 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Thursday night) Issued at 213 PM CST Wed Jan 31 2024 A pleasant last day of January is continuing across South-Central Texas this afternoon. Winds are light from a generally south/southeast direction with some passing high clouds overhead. This is leading to temperatures in the 60s to near 70 degrees this afternoon. Highs later today will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s. For tonight, persistence will win out with continued high level cloud cover and light winds in place. Lows tonight will be a few degrees warmer than last night as high level clouds help keep temperatures slightly warmer across the region. Will have to watch for some potential for fog in the south. HRRR soundings show some potential, but deterministic/mos guidance does not show much. HREF probabilities are showing about a 30 percent chance for half mile visibility and with that will put in a mention of patchy fog. For tomorrow, we should see high temperatures right at or just below today's values as some possible mid-cloud cover could help keep things slightly cooler. Wind speeds tomorrow night will be highest in the north, but in the central and southern counties, should be light enough to introduce the possibility of some patchy fog. Dewpoints should creep into the middle 50s, which should help aide in the development of some patchy fog. Lows tomorrow night will warm accordingly, and only reach into the lower to middle 50s. Otherwise, no major concerns are anticipated during the short-term portion of the forecast. && .LONG TERM... (Friday through Wednesday) Issued at 213 PM CST Wed Jan 31 2024 Southerly flow in the low-levels remains in place across all of south central Texas on Friday. Some patchy morning fog may develop from the coastal plains northward into the western Hill Country, I-35 corridor, then westward toward the Rio Grande plains. The SREF and several other hi-res members show fog development may extend farther north through the remainder of the Hill Country and southern Edwards Plateau. We will continue to monitor and expand the mention of fog as needed in subsequent forecasts. An active weather pattern is expected to develop beginning mid to late evening Friday across portions of the wester Hill Country and southern Edwards Plateau. A cold front approaching from the west along with a negative-tilt upper trough and strong jet will aid in the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms. A broken line of convection will likely form around Midnight just west of the I-35 corridor, then move eastward through the early morning hours. Some strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible across most of the region and a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for severe weather is in place Friday evening into early Saturday morning. Damaging winds and large hail remain the main severe weather concerns. We will also need to monitor for surface low development ahead of the front as this may provide some locally backed winds in the low-levels. As of now, it looks like any organized surface low development would be favored near the coast. WPC also maintains a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for locally heavy rainfall for the Hill Country eastward through the I-35 corridor and coastal plains. Average rainfall amounts of 0.5-0.75" are expected for the Hill Country, with amounts increasing into the 1.0-1.5" range from I-35 eastward. There will be some locally higher rainfall amounts and with the recent rains, some minor flooding may develop in areas that see the higher totals. Rain chances may linger a little longer than previously advertised into Saturday morning as the latest round of guidance has slowed the eastward progress of the upper trough axis. For the afternoon, rain chances decrease and shift to areas east of I-35. Out west across the Rio Grande, southern Edwards Plateau and Hill Country, breezy to windy conditions will develop behind the Pacific front Saturday afternoon. Fire weather concerns may develop near the Rio Grande on Saturday, especially in areas where little to no rain is observed. Dry weather is in store for all areas Sunday as gusty northwest winds develop behind the Pacific front. This will most likely result in a Wind Advisory across most of the region, with the stronger winds over the Hill Country westward to the Rio Grande. Fire weather concerns will also increase on Sunday as dry air and mild temperatures drop afternoon humidity levels into the teens to near 25% over the Rio Grande plains, southern Edwards Plateau and Hill Country. Breezy conditions continue into Monday with winds finally easing Monday night. Surface high pressure in place on Tuesday will bring a return of southerly winds to the Rio Grande, with northerly winds east of I-35. Return southerly flow develops across all areas on Wednesday as another upper level system begins to develop over the western U.S. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1037 PM CST Wed Jan 31 2024 VFR conditions will continue through much of the period, with the exception of KAUS/KSAT where IFR cigs and some visibility reductions due to BR is expected by the end of the 30-hour period (early Friday morning). There is a low chance (~15%) for some patchy, shallow fog at KSAT/KSSF during the early morning hours Thursday, which is too low to mention in the TAFs, but we will continue to monitor trends overnight. Otherwise, mid and upper level cloud cover will continue to stream overhead through Thursday morning before we begin to see an increase in lower level cloud cover around FL040 during the day. Better low level moisture will then move in Thursday night - Friday morning ahead of our next weather system, bringing an increase in cloud cover, lowering cigs, and eventually some areas of BR. Winds will be mainly light and variable tonight, increasing to around 10kts out of the S/SE during the day Thursday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 49 69 55 72 / 0 0 0 20 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 47 70 55 73 / 0 0 0 20 New Braunfels Muni Airport 47 71 55 75 / 0 0 0 20 Burnet Muni Airport 47 70 54 70 / 0 0 0 20 Del Rio Intl Airport 51 75 55 77 / 10 0 0 20 Georgetown Muni Airport 47 69 55 70 / 0 0 0 20 Hondo Muni Airport 47 71 53 75 / 0 0 0 20 San Marcos Muni Airport 47 70 55 74 / 0 0 0 20 La Grange - Fayette Regional 48 69 55 73 / 0 0 0 10 San Antonio Intl Airport 49 69 55 73 / 0 0 0 20 Stinson Muni Airport 49 71 56 76 / 0 0 0 20 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && Short-Term...29 Long-Term...Platt Aviation...Gale
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 251 AM CST Wed Jan 31 2024 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-011000- Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera- Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde- Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala- Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit- 251 AM CST Wed Jan 31 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas.. .DAY ONE...Today And Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. A weather system is expected to move across Texas Friday night into Saturday. There is a potential for locally heavy rainfall amounts to develop late Friday night or early Saturday. A marginal risk (Level 1 of 4) for excessive rain exists for this potential. A marginal risk (Level 1 of 5) for severe storms also exists across much of South Central Texas late Friday afternoon into Friday night. Large hail and damaging winds would be the main hazards. Gusty northwest wind is expected behind this system with elevated to near critical fire weather conditions possible in the western half of the area Saturday and Sunday. A Wind Advisory may also be needed, especially on Sunday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Near normal precipitation during February was enough to improve drought conditions in Guadalupe County from Severe (D2) Drought to Abnormally Dry (D0).
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1162514.