Tennessee, 2024

Drought in Tennessee, February 1 to 29, 2024

February 1 to 29, 2024 · NWS OHX · 8 events in 8 counties and zones

Beneficial moisture across Middle Tennessee continued to lead to significant drought improvement in February 2024. By the end of February, only about 10 percent of the area was in severe drought which was an improvement from the 34 percent in January.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 8 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
8

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS OHX wrote it up.

Beneficial moisture across Middle Tennessee continued to lead to significant drought improvement in February 2024. By the end of February, only about 10 percent of the area was in severe drought which was an improvement from the 34 percent in January. By the end of February, Nashville's official climate site had measured 9.21 inches of rain so far this year which is above normal for the end of February.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 10:51 PM CST, 1 hour 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 10:51 PM CST, 1 hour 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1051 PM CST Wed Jan 31 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 803 PM CST Wed Jan 31 2024

All is quiet across the area this evening as cloud cover clears.
Biggest change with this forecast update was just updating the sky
cover to reflect the clear skies. Otherwise, the forecast is on
track. Some patchy fog is possible overnight with best chances
for locations south of I-40 and across the Plateau.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday Night)
Issued at 106 PM CST Wed Jan 31 2024

Any way you slice it, dry conditions expected through Thursday
Night per ridging influences surface and aloft. Lows tonight will
once again be below freezing, ranging around 30 degrees TN River
Valley Region to mid 20s Upper Cumberland Region. A nice warmup
to high temperatures in mid to upper 50s is expected on Thursday
as surface high pressure influences become more southerly based.
Those building upper level ridging influences will keep lows on
Thursday night above the freezing mark, mainly mid to upper 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 106 PM CST Wed Jan 31 2024

Dry conditions will persist through Saturday afternoon as upper
level ridging influences continue to prevail across our area and
surface ridging influences to our northeast keep any precipitation
at bay. If you thought Thursday afternoon temperatures were nice,
let me introduce you to afternoon high temperatures on Friday and
especially Saturday, when highs will mainly range upper 50s to
lower 60s! Lows by Saturday night will be in low to mid 40s, upper
30s to around 40 Cumberland Plateau Region. Although majority of
moisture, surface frontal system, and broad upper level low
circulation will move south of mid state region, enough moisture
should spread across our area to supporting initial development
of showers across western portions after midnight Saturday night,
with showers spreading eastward as Sunday into Monday progresses.
Showers are expected to taper off across locations mainly east of
I-65 Corridor Monday Evening. However, total rainfall amounts
should remain only between around 0.25" to 0.50." Ridging
influences surface and aloft will build across our area Tuesday
into Wednesday. Lows Tuesday Night will range in low to mid 30s
with highs on Wednesday mainly in mid 50s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1050 PM CST Wed Jan 31 2024

Quiet weather is expected into tomorrow. There is a slight chance
for some patchy fog in fog prone areas towards daybreak but
overall fog chances look very low. Light winds under 5 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      29  58  40  61 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    30  58  40  60 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     26  53  35  57 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       28  58  38  63 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     28  53  37  58 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      26  53  35  55 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   28  57  37  63 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   26  58  36  62 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        29  56  40  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

UPDATE.......Clements
SHORT TERM...JB Wright
LONG TERM....JB Wright
AVIATION.....Mueller

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

8 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Wayne

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 29, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Wayne forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.240, -87.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from January 2024 continued in February although southern portions of Wayne County improved to moderate drought.

Drought, Lawrence

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 29, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Lawrence forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.217, -87.396 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from January 2024 continued in February although southern portions of Lawrence County improved to moderate drought.

Drought, Giles

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 29, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Giles forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.202, -87.035 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from January 2024 improved in February with just the northwest portion of Giles County still in severe drought.

Drought, Lewis

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 29, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Lewis forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.527, -87.493 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from January 2024 continued in February.

Drought, Maury

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 29, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Maury forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.617, -87.077 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from January 2024 improved in February with just the southern portion of Maury County still in severe drought.

Drought, Perry

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 29, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Perry forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.643, -87.859 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from January 2024 improved in February with just the southern portion of Perry County still in severe drought.

Drought, Hickman

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 29, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Hickman forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.803, -87.473 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from January 2024 improved to moderate drought in February.

Drought, Humphreys

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 29, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Humphreys forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.041, -87.776 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions from January 2024 improved to moderate drought in February.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Tennessee in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, February 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1154664, 1154665, 1154666, 1154667, 1154668, 1154669, 1154670, 1154671.