Tennessee, 2024Drought in Tennessee, February 1 to 29, 2024
February 1 to 29, 2024 · NWS MEG · 10 events in 10 counties and zones
Extreme (D3) Drought Conditions improved to Severe (D2) Drought Conditions along and south of Interstate 40 across West Tennessee. Severe (D2) Drought and Moderate (D1) Drought conditions continued to improve as precipitation across Tennessee was near or above normal and temperatures were below normal.
Every event with a place to put it; 10 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 10
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Extreme (D3) Drought Conditions improved to Severe (D2) Drought Conditions along and south of Interstate 40 across West Tennessee. Severe (D2) Drought and Moderate (D1) Drought conditions continued to improve as precipitation across Tennessee was near or above normal and temperatures were below normal. Lake and river levels had increased flow to near and above normal due to upstream snowmelt.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 11:36 PM CST, 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 11:36 PM CST, 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1136 PM CST Wed Jan 31 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 250 PM CST Wed Jan 31 2024
Calm and dry conditions will remain across the Mid-South through the
end of the work week. Temperatures will be near to slightly above
normal with highs in the 50s and 60s and lows in the 30s and 40s
areawide. An upper level disturbance will bring showers back into
the forecast Saturday afternoon through Monday morning. Dry and calm
conditions will move back across our CWA Tuesday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Tuesday)
Issued at 250 PM CST Wed Jan 31 2024
A surface high pressure currently centered over the lower
Mississippi Valley and northwest flow aloft will keep skies clear
and light winds through the remainder of today. Upper level ridging
will quickly build across the Mid-South beginning late this evening.
Clear skies, calm winds, and ample radiational cooling will create a
great environment for fog development overnight tonight and into the
early morning hours. Patchy fog formation and reduced
visibilities is likely areawide with some local areas of dense
fog possible.
The aforementioned upper level ridging will keep benign weather
across our CWA through the end of the work week. Upper level ridging
will begin pushing east as quasi-zonal flow aloft moves over the
area Thursday night. A makeshift Rex Block will set up over the
CONUS Friday evening. The associated upper level trough and upper
level low pressure system will set up over the four corners region
and track showers west to east across the Mid-South Saturday
afternoon through Monday afternoon. Current forecast QPF values
are around .25- 1.5 inches areawide, greatest amounts over
Northeast Central Arkansas and Northwest Mississippi. Forecast
dewpoints and sounding do not currently support thunderstorm
development with this system. The aforementioned low will
retrograde southeast as a surface high pressure and northwest flow
builds back over the region Tuesday bringing dry conditions back
over the Mid-South Tuesday.
As far as temperatures are concerned, we will stay around normal to
slightly above normal with highs in the 50s and 60s and lows in the
30s and 40s for the foreseeable future. The latest CPC 8-14 day
outlook has our temperatures staying above normal, resulting in a
pretty pleasant start to our February.
AEH
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1136 PM CST Wed Jan 31 2024
No significant aviation weather impacts expected at Midsouth TAF
sites over the next 24 to 30 hours.
04Z HRRR and the 00Z HREF Grand Ensemble have backed off radiation
fog potential over the delta toward sunrise. This may be due to
slightly stronger southerly return flow just off the deck. KLZK
VAD wind profiler from 0520Z showed FL010 winds of 18011KT. To the
east of the MS River, dewpoints have cooled as much as 5 degrees
F since 21Z, limiting fog potential.
PWB
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for MSZ007-011-020.
TN...None.
&&
PUBLIC FORECAST...AEH
AVIATION...PWB
Drought, Benton
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 6, 6:00 AM CST
- Where
- Benton forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 36.070, -88.068 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) conditions improved in early February.
Drought, Carroll
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 6, 6:00 AM CST
- Where
- Carroll forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 35.973, -88.450 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) conditions improved in early February.
Drought, Haywood
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 6, 6:00 AM CST
- Where
- Haywood forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 35.583, -89.284 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) conditions improved in early February.
Drought, Hardeman
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 6, 6:00 AM CST
- Where
- Hardeman forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 35.207, -88.993 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) conditions improved in early February.
Drought, Madison
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 13, 6:00 AM CST
- Where
- Madison forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 35.608, -88.838 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) conditions improved by mid-February.
Drought, Henderson
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 13, 6:00 AM CST
- Where
- Henderson forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 35.654, -88.388 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) conditions improved by mid-February.
Drought, Decatur
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 13, 6:00 AM CST
- Where
- Decatur forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 35.603, -88.109 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) conditions improved by mid-February.
Drought, Chester
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 13, 6:00 AM CST
- Where
- Chester forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 35.422, -88.613 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) conditions improved by mid-February.
Drought, McNairy
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 13, 6:00 AM CST
- Where
- McNairy forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 35.175, -88.564 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Extreme (D3) conditions improved by mid-February.
Drought, Hardin
- When
- February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 29, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Hardin forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 35.199, -88.184 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Extreme drought (D3) conditions improved to Severe drought (D2) conditions by mid-February.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flooding and Heavy Snow in California, February 1 to 2, 202465 kt wind · 48 events
- Drought in Iowa, February 1 to 29, 202444 events
- Heavy Snow in Colorado, February 1 to 4, 202437 events
- Drought in New Mexico, February 1 to 29, 202436 events
- Drought in Mississippi, February 1 to 29, 202421 events
- Drought in New Mexico, February 1 to 29, 202417 events
- Drought in Nebraska, February 1 to 29, 202416 events
- Winter Storm and Heavy Snow in Colorado, February 1 to 4, 202412 events
- Drought in Kansas, February 1 to 29, 20249 events
- Drought in Iowa, February 1 to 29, 20248 events
- Drought in Tennessee, February 1 to 29, 20248 events
- Drought in Louisiana, February 1 to 7, 20248 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1163383, 1163384, 1163385, 1163386, 1163387, 1163388, 1163389, 1163390, 1163391, 1163392.