Tennessee, 2024

Drought in Tennessee, August 20 to 31, 2024

August 20 to 31, 2024 · NWS OHX · 5 events in 5 counties and zones

An abnormally dry August led to worsening drought conditions, especially across southwest Middle Tennessee. 50 inches to nearly 3 inches for the month.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS OHX wrote it up.

An abnormally dry August led to worsening drought conditions, especially across southwest Middle Tennessee. Precipitation totals were below average across the area with Middle Tennessee's climate stations reporting rainfall deficits of around 1.50 inches to nearly 3 inches for the month. For the Nashville area, August 2024 was the 11th driest August on record, and the summer of 2024 was the 17th driest summer on record. By the end of the month, about 40 percent of Middle Tennessee was in at least moderate drought conditions. Of this, about 18 percent was in at least severe drought status with about 8 percent in extreme drought.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 19, 11:12 PM CST, 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 19, 11:12 PM CST, 48 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1212 AM CDT Tue Aug 20 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 807 PM CDT Mon Aug 19 2024

High pressure extending all the way from Canada is continuing to
bring gradually drier and cooler air into the region. Tonight will
be mainly clear with lows in the pleasant 50s to lower 60s.
Although the air is drying, there will be a few pockets of fog
late tonight, mainly Plateau valleys.

Forecast trends were freshened but no major changes this evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1204 PM CDT Mon Aug 19 2024

As of 11 AM CDT...skies across Middle Tennessee were partly to
mostly cloudy as a wide swath of stratocumulus moves through the
region. Temperatures were in the 70s although some recent 80s have
popped up in Wayne, Lawrence, and Giles Counties. Winds were from
the north at 5 to 10 mph with some gusts as high as 20 mph. At the
surface, high pressure, centered in the northern United States,
was building into the region. This weekend's cold front was now
south, all the way to the Gulf of Mexico. Aloft, a northwest flow
regime has set up on the back of a trough of low pressure located
over the eastern United States. Other than the low clouds,
satellite shows clear skies overhead as a result of a large area
of subsidence noted on water vapor imagery.

For the rest of today through Tuesday, quiet weather should be
anticipated. A few brief sprinkles/showers may be observed over
the Cumberland Plateau region where 20 pops have been placed. The
stratocumulus will remain stubborn and maintain itself a while
longer, so we're likely on track for cooler temperatures than what
were advertised in previous forecasts. We're still in the time of
year where it doesn't take much sun to have a quick rise in
temperatures, so only trimmed a degree or two where cloud cover
should persist longer. Outside of that shower chance mentioned
above, a dry forecast has been issued...and this extends through
the next 7 days.

When it comes to temperatures, we are expecting some drier air,
currently observed in the Midwest, to filter south into our region
through the next 24-36 hours. In addition, very dry air aloft
should mix down with daytime heating, leading to a noticeable drop
in humidity. Afternoon high temperatures today will be in the 70s
and 80, and slightly cooler Tuesday with highs projected to climb
only into the mid 70s to mid 80s, warmest in our southwestern
forecast area. Overnight low temperatures range from the mid 50s
to low 60s. If you're needing a reason to take off from work and
enjoy a nice day outside, tomorrow is the day to do just that!

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through next Monday)
Issued at 1204 PM CDT Mon Aug 19 2024

The forecast through next Monday brings a lot of the same...dry
weather. This is not good for the ongoing drought conditions
across Tennessee, especially when temperatures ramp up once again
Thursday and into the weekend.

Tuesday night will bring some of the coolest temperatures we've
seen in a while, with lows currently forecast in the low to upper
50s. Yes, you read that right...50s. Quite the change. Wednesday
will once again bring below normal temperatures, around 8-10
degrees below normal for this time of year.

Unfortunately, all good things must come to an end...and the
cooldown will evaporate with the return of southerly flow near the
surface. Warm Gulf air returns Thursday and you'll notice the
difference quite easily. Dewpoints return to the 60s, and
afternoon high temperatures Thursday return to normal levels, 80s
to approaching 90 in some locations along the Tennessee River.
High pressure will maintain it's grip on Middle Tennessee through
the weekend, and temperatures will get quite hot once again
unfortunately. We should be into the 90s region-wide by Monday,
so enjoy the cooldown while you can!

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1211 AM CDT Tue Aug 20 2024

VFR conditions are forecasted through the TAF period. We will see
quiet conditions with mostly clear skies. Northerly winds under 10
knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      83  58  82  60 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    81  56  80  55 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     76  49  77  53 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       84  56  83  58 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     76  52  77  55 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      75  51  76  52 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   82  54  82  58 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   83  56  83  58 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        83  56  81  56 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

UPDATE.......13
SHORT TERM...Husted
LONG TERM....Husted
AVIATION.....Mueller

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

5 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Wayne

When
August 20, 12:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Wayne forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.240, -87.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Abnormally dry conditions across Wayne County at the end of July 2024 worsened throughout August. By August 20, northern portions of Wayne County had deteriorated to severe drought conditions. By August 27, the same areas degraded to extreme drought conditions.

Drought, Perry

When
August 20, 12:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Perry forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.643, -87.859 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions across Perry County at the end of July 2024 worsened throughout August. By August 20, most of Perry County had deteriorated to severe drought conditions. By August 27, all of the county was in either severe or extreme drought.

Drought, Lewis

When
August 20, 12:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Lewis forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.527, -87.493 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Abnormally dry conditions across Lewis County at the end of July 2024 worsened throughout August. By August 20, all of Lewis County had deteriorated to severe drought conditions. By August 27, all of the county was in extreme drought.

Drought, Maury

When
August 20, 12:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Maury forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.617, -87.077 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions across Maury County at the end of July 2024 worsened throughout August. By August 20, the western half of Maury County had deteriorated to severe drought conditions. By August 27, western Maury County was in severe to extreme drought.

Drought, Hickman

When
August 20, 12:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Hickman forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.803, -87.473 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions across Hickman County at the end of July 2024 worsened throughout August. By August 20, most of Hickman County had deteriorated to severe drought conditions. By August 27, the majority of Hickman County was in severe to extreme drought.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Tennessee in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, August 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1199254, 1199255, 1199258, 1199259, 1199261.