An upper level system moved into a hot and humid airmass, sparking off several showers and thunderstorms. A few storms produced damaging wind gusts across portions of eastern Pennsylvania.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PHI wrote it up.
An upper level system moved into a hot and humid airmass, sparking off several showers and thunderstorms. A few storms produced damaging wind gusts across portions of eastern Pennsylvania.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 3, 2:15 PM EST, 20 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
315 PM EDT Sat Aug 3 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
A disturbance will pass through the region tonight, before a
cold front crosses through the area on Sunday. High pressure
builds back into the region on Sunday night into Monday, ahead
of another cold front that crosses through the region on Tuesday
before stalling to our south. Whatever is left of what is currently
Tropical Depression Four, may impact the Mid-Atlantic states for
the middle to end of next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Flood watch and severe thunderstorm watch have been issued for this
afternoon into this evening.
As storms have progressed into our region, they continue to be
prolific heavy rain producers, and training of storms has been a
concern. Thus, continue to have a concern for flash flooding,
primarily along and northwest of the I-95 corridor. In SE NJ and for
much of Delmarva, storms may not be as organized/long lived,
combined with the fact that our flash flood guidance is higher, so
that should limit the flooding threat in that area. That being said,
given the precipitable water values, can't rule out the flooding
threat anywhere.
As for the severe hazards, primary concern remains damaging winds
primarily in the mode of wet downbursts. That being said, despite
the very hot conditions at the boundary layer, there is substantial
instability in the hail growth layer and some storms have already
been tall enough to pose a severe hail threat as well. Low level
directional shear is minimal, so tornado threat also appears low.
No changes with the heat advisory. A few more hours of heating are
possible, but the threat should wane as storms approach and
certainly as we get closer to sunset.
Overnight lows mainly in the 70s. Some patchy fog may develop again
during the overnight hours, especially for areas that see rainfall
earlier from showers and thunderstorms.
On Sunday, the surface cold front and the mid and upper level trough
slowly progress eastward through the region. This will once again
result in showers and storms across the region. Unlike Friday and
Saturday though, the timing of these storms should be earlier in the
day. This will have a few implications. First, it appears that
excessive heat won't be a significant concern. Second, this could
help limit the severe risk. Heavy rain and flash flooding could
still be a concern as the dry air advection looks like it will lag
behind the front. Additionally, some areas may be primed from any
heavy rain today. For now though, will hold off on extending the
flood watch (or issuing a new watch) until we see how the antecedent
conditions play out today.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
By Sunday night, the cold front will be making its way through the
area, with any leftover showers and thunderstorms during the day
working their way toward the coast. All convective should be
offshore by midnight. Development of patchy fog is possible,
especially in areas that received rainfall during the day. Lows in
the upper 60s to mid 70s.
Afterward, high pressure will begin to nose in from the west and
settle near the area on Monday. This will yield mostly sunny skies
with high temps rebounding back into the low to mid 90s. Dew points
will be a bit lower compared to Sunday, mostly in the upper 60s.
Heat indicies will mostly range in the mid to upper 90s, so we'll
likely fall short of needing any heat headlines to start the
workweek. A slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm cannot be
ruled out, especially over the southern Poconos and northern New
Jersey as a weak disturbance crosses New York State during the
afternoon and evening hours. High pressure will only be temporary
and begin to depart on Monday night, giving way to increasing clouds
and the return to higher humidity levels with lows in the upper 60s
to mid 70s. Thus, it will feel quite warm and muggy on Monday
night.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The long term period looks to be quite active and strictly depends
on the evolution of high pressure to the north and what is currently
Tropical Depression Four to the south.
To start, low pressure will track north of the region on Tuesday
with a trailing cold front working its way through the area on
Tuesday night. This will likely bring another round of scattered
thunderstorms during the late afternoon to early evening hours from
north to south across the region. The front should clear the region
by Wednesday and stall nearby as high pressure builds to the north.
Thereafter, our attention turns to the tropical system over the
southeastern US. At this point, the forecast is highly dependent on
how the high pressure to the north and the tropical system interact.
Model to model run consistency has been persistent over the past few
days that the high to the north will essentially block TD4 from
heading out to sea, due to the lack of any upper level steering
current. So, while it is not certain there will be direct impacts
from the system itself at this time, there will definitely be at
least some tropical related moisture and potentially several rounds
of precipitation through the long term period. For this reason, have
included a chance for showers and storms (30-50%) areawide for
Wednesday through Saturday. A better indication on specific impacts
and the evolution is likely to occur early next week once more
information becomes available.
Temperatures during this period look to be near-normal on Tuesday
before becoming below-normal through the end of the week.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Through late this evening...Mainly VFR. Showers and thunderstorms
developing in the afternoon causing some sub-VFR conditions. Storms
will be moving SW to NE, but the complex of storms will slowly shift
eastward with time. Therefore, expect TSRA impacts at KRDG and KABE
first, lingering the latest at KACY. SW winds 5-10 kts, except near
storms where variable and gusty winds will be possible. Moderate
confidence.
Tonight...Starting VFR once storms dissipate, or at least decrease
in coverage. After 06Z, Fog and low stratus may develop across the
region. SW winds 5 kts or less, or light and variable. Low
confidence.
Sunday...MVFR or lower conditions will be possible with storms.
Unlike Saturday, the storms may develop earlier and affect TAF sites
earlier in the day. Winds prevailing out of the SW less than 10 KT.
Moderate confidence.
Outlook...
Sunday night through Monday night...Primarily VFR. No significant
weather expected other than some patchy fog possible on Sunday night.
Tuesday through Thursday...Sub-VFR conditions possible with several
rounds of rain and thunderstorms.
&&
.MARINE...
Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through 6 AM on the Atlantic
Coastal waters. Beyond that time period, seas may be close to the 5
ft mark, but low confidence, so have held off on issuing an SCA at
this time.
Outlook...
Sunday night through Tuesday...No marine headlines expected. There
will likely be periods of 5 foot seas further offshore Sunday night
and Monday night, but for the majority, conditions should remain
below SCA thresholds.
Tuesday night through Thursday...Small Craft Advisory conditions
possible mainly due to seas around 5 feet on the ocean waters.
Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms possible.
Rip Currents...
For today, south winds increase to 15 to 20 mph Saturday with
waves in the surf zone of 2-4 feet and a southeasterly swell
around 7 seconds. This will result in a MODERATE risk for the
development of dangerous and life threatening rip currents at
the Jersey Shore and at Delaware Beaches.
For Sunday, a new moon occurs. While south winds may not be as
strong on Sunday and the wave heights should be a touch lower,
will keep a MODERATE risk for the development of dangerous rip
currents for the Jersey Shore and the Delaware Beaches.
For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for PAZ054-055-060>062-
070-071-101>106.
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for PAZ070-071-102-
104-106.
NJ...Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for NJZ001-007>010-
012>020-026-027.
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NJZ010-012-013-
015-017>020-027.
DE...Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for DEZ001.
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for DEZ001.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ450>455.
&&
SYNOPSIS...DeSilva/MPS
NEAR TERM...Johnson
SHORT TERM...DeSilva
LONG TERM...DeSilva/MPS
AVIATION...DeSilva/Johnson
MARINE...DeSilva/JohnsonPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
232 PM EDT Sat Aug 3 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0133 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 WSW Blairstown Twp 40.98N 74.96W
08/03/2024 Warren NJ 911 Call Center
Several trees and wires down around
Blairstown. Time estimated from radar.
&&
HoeflichPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
233 PM EDT Sat Aug 3 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0135 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 NNE Hope 40.93N 74.96W
08/03/2024 Warren NJ 911 Call Center
Report of several trees and wires down
around Hope. Time estimated from radar.
&&
HoeflichPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
235 PM EDT Sat Aug 3 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0201 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 WSW Andover-Aeroflex 41.01N 74.75W
08/03/2024 Sussex NJ Dept of Highways
Downed tree on US 206 northbound South of CR
603/Brighton Rd in Andover Twp. Right
shoulder closed. Time estimated from radar.
&&
HoeflichPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
237 PM EDT Sat Aug 3 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0149 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 N Frelinghuysen Twp 40.99N 74.87W
08/03/2024 Warren NJ Dept of Highways
Downed tree on NJ 94 in both directions
North of CR 661/Ramsey Rd in Fredon Twp.
Time estimated from radar.
&&
HoeflichPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
307 PM EDT Sat Aug 3 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0154 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 S Fredon Twp 41.03N 74.81W
08/03/2024 Sussex NJ 911 Call Center
Several trees and wires down around Fredon
Township. Time estimated from radar.
&&
HoeflichPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
308 PM EDT Sat Aug 3 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0207 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Hampton Twp 41.11N 74.77W
08/03/2024 Sussex NJ 911 Call Center
Trees and wires down in Hampton Township.
Time estimated from radar.
&&
HoeflichThe Binghamton radar (KBGM), 137 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:33 UTC.
13 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Trees down on wires along Lakeview Drive. Time estimated from radar.
Trees and wires down across Hamilton Township. Time estimated from radar.
Several trees and wires down across Barrett Township. Time estimated from radar.
Several trees and wires down around Middle Smithfield Township, PA. Time estimated from radar.
Report of a tree down into house along Mount Laurel Road in Muhlenberg Township. Time estimated from radar.
Trees down along Moselem Springs Road in Richmond Township. Time estimated from radar.
Several trees and wires down around Ruscombmanor Township, PA. Time estimated from radar.
Trees and wires down along East Vine Street and North Franklin Street. Time estimated from radar.
Trees down on wires which fell on top of a car along Locust Street. Time estimated from radar.
Several trees and wires down in Richmond Township. Time estimated from radar.
Trees down on wires along Five Points Road in Rockland Township. Time estimated from radar.
Multiple calls for trees and wires down in West Brandywine Township. Time estimated from radar.
Multiple calls for trees and wires down in Caln. Time estimated from radar.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Pennsylvania in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Pennsylvania, August 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1208793, 1208795, 1208797, 1208798, 1208799, 1208802, 1208803, 1208804, 1208805, 1208806, 1208807, 1208808, 1208809.