A strong cold front and associated low pressure system tracking into the Great Lakes brought a line of strong to severe storms across the central North Carolina region in the morning and early afternoon hours. Several trees and power lines were reported down across Anson, Davidson, Hoke, and Moore Counties.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RAH wrote it up.
A strong cold front and associated low pressure system tracking into the Great Lakes brought a line of strong to severe storms across the central North Carolina region in the morning and early afternoon hours. Several trees and power lines were reported down across Anson, Davidson, Hoke, and Moore Counties.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 29, 9:55 AM EST, 25 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 955 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2024 .SYNOPSIS... Low pressure will deepen as it moves northeast through the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes through tonight. A trailing cold front will move east across our region tonight. Mild high pressure will move over the Carolinas then push offshore Monday through Monday night. Another low pressure area will track northeastward over the Great Lakes Tuesday and Tuesday night, dragging another cold front through our area. Colder and drier air will spread into the area Wednesday through next weekend. && .NEAR TERM /TODAY AND TONIGHT/... As of 955 AM SUNDAY... * Slight Risk for severe storms for most of central NC today * Forecast is still pretty much on track, as we're expecting a strong system to cross the region, manifesting in a QLCS with embedded bowing segments producing strong straight line winds. Confidence is high in strong kinematics through the troposphere over our area and points south today, including both vigorous upper divergence and a 40-50 kt low level jet, both between 15z and 00z. The wind profile will result in looping and fairly long hodographs generating SRH of 250-300 m2/s2, so isolated tornadoes embedded within the bowing line segments remains possible. As the low levels begin to mix in earnest with the steady WAA and modest heating (curbed by cloud cover), these winds just aloft will mix to the surface, even outside of convection, and we're already seeing this in the W Piedmont with 15- 28 kt gusts. The biggest question mark and possible impediment to severe weather is the cloudiness and how much CAPE we'll be able to achieve. At least some daytime heating combined with the influx of higher dewpoints should help push SBCAPE to 250-500 J/kg this afternoon, however this is based on recent CAM runs which are a bit slower with the convective line as compared to reality. With the strengthening winds just off the ground, we may be able to reach the lower reaches of damaging wind threshold irrespective of CAPE, though, so the severe risk persists, and we've just issued a SVR watch for all but our NE to account for this. Still expect highs in the 60s W and low-mid 70s E. -GIH Earlier discussion from 405 AM: Aloft, a potent s/w over the mid-MS Valley will lift nnewd through the OH Valley today, with its trough becoming negatively tilted over the Carolinas and mid-Atlantic this aft/eve. The trough should continue newd and out of the area tonight as the s/w low moves into the Great Lakes. At the surface, the warm front has progressed westward through the Triad as of 08Z, while the primary low was located near the Bootheel of MO. The low should deepen as it lifts nnewd through the OH Valley today and with high pressure situated between the NC coast and Bermuda, the pressure gradient will increase significantly over central NC. The cold front should move into the area from the west after 00Z Mon, and should largely be through the area by 12Z Mon. Temperatures: With all of central NC now in the warm sector, but with extensive cloud cover expected to persist, highs should top out in the mid 60s NW to low/mid 70s SE. Lows Sun night will depend on fropa timing, but for now expect mid 40s west to low/mid 50s east. Convection: The 925mb LLJ will peak around 50 kts, while the 850mb jet should peak around 65 kts. PWATs are expected to be in the 1.3 to 1.5 inch range. The trough and front should provide forcing for ascent, and the vertical shear is strong. The big question remains, how much, if any, instability will be realized. The model guidance varies wrt available instability, ranging from 100 J/kg to around 800 J/Kg of SBCAPE, with 1-Km bulk shear values of 30-40 kts. Expect the greatest instability over the south and east. Models continue to show a line of showers/storms progressing through central NC between 10A and 8 PM, however there may be a secondary line of showers and possible storms with the cold front as it moves through between 6 PM and midnight. Greatest severe threats still appears to be with the initial line, with the primary threat expected to be damaging winds. However, an isolated tornado or two will also be possible. With the potent LLJ, any downward momentum transfer along and ahead of the convection could produce wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph. Latest rainfall forecast from the WPC ranges from roughly half an inch to an inch. && .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... As of 300 AM Sunday... With the cold front moving off shore by Monday morning, high pressure will build into the region with fair weather. A few clouds in the morning will give way to sunshine in the afternoon. Temperatures will be above average with highs in the low 60s north to mid 60s south. Light to calm winds overnight with temperatures in the low to mid 40s. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 300 AM Sunday... As the next low pressure system moves across the Ohio Valley and into the northern Mid-Atlantic, isolated to scattered showers will be possible New Year’s Eve Day. The models have been trending the center of the low a little more north with each run, and with that, our southern counties have been trending drier. No need to cancel plans quiet yet, as much of the precipitation is expected to move out of the area and to the north around midnight. However, there could be a few lingering light isolated showers across the northern Piedmont until just after midnight. Stay tuned for when more Hi-Res models come into the time frame for greater PoP confidence. For now, have the best chance Triangle north, in the afternoon and early evening hours. Overall, temperatures will be above average with highs in the upper 50s/low 60s north to mid 60s/low 70s south. Temperatures at midnight on NYE will range from upper 40s NW to low 50s SE. After the front passes the region, expect winds to pick up Wednesday afternoon with NW flow bringing in cooler and drier air. Gusts up to 25 mph are possible in the afternoon especially across the northern Piedmont and Coastal Plain. As high pressure builds in from the west, NW flow continues through the weekend with below average temperatures Thursday through Sunday. Highs will be generally in the 40s, with a few areas in the south around 50 degrees. Overnight lows will be chilly with temps each night in the mid/upper 20s and maybe a few warmer spots in the low 30s. && .AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 655 AM Sunday... 24 hour TAF period: A line of showers and storms will move through central NC late this morning/aft, with another area of showers along the front late aft/eve. Additionally. strong southerly winds, with gusts of 25-35 kts, are expected today. Cannot rule out some gusts around 40 kts with storms. Winds should increase after sunrise this morning, persist through the aft/eve, and decrease behind the front late this eve/tonight. Aviation conditions should improve to VFR in the wake of the front tonight, with winds becoming more swly and decreasing to around 6-10 kts. At KINT/KGSO, IFR/LIFR cigs should prevail through the day, with vsbys possibly dropping to MVFR/IFR with the showers/storms. There could also be lingering LLWS this morning. At KRDU and KFAY, with VFR conditions should prevail until the showers/storms move in late morn/early aft, when MVFR/IFR conditions are expected. Cigs may stay sub-VFR until the front moves through this eve. There could be a period of LLWS at KRDU this morning. At KRWI, VFR conditions are expected until the showers and storms this aft/eve, at which point they should drop to at least MVFR, if not IFR, and remain there until the front moves through tonight. Outlook: A weak, fast moving frontal system will favor a chance of a few showers/storms and brief restrictions again Tue/Tue night. Otherwise, VFR conditions should prevail. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SYNOPSIS...Hartfield NEAR TERM...Hartfield/KC SHORT TERM...CA LONG TERM...CA AVIATION...KC
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Raleigh NC 949 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2024 NCZ021>025-038>042-073>078-083>086-088-089-301130- Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Durham-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham- Wake-Johnston-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson- Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson- 949 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2024 ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 726 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Severe Thunderstorm Watch. Even outside of any storms, wind gusts between 30 and 45 mph will be possible through this afternoon. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. NCZ007>011-026>028-043-301130- Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Wilson- 949 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Wind gusts between 30 and 45 mph will be possible through this afternoon. Additionally, a band of showers and isolated storms, with strong to locally damaging wind gusts and a risk of an isolated tornado, will move east across central NC between 10 AM and 8 PM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.
The Columbia radar (KCAE), 149 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 15:21 UTC.
4 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Trees and power lines were reported down near the intersection of East US Highway 52 and Salisbury Street.
The Randolph County Emergency Manager reported 8 trees down across the county, especially in Asheboro, with no significant subsequent damage.
Power outages were reported along Army Rd southeast of Ashley Heights.
Over two hundred power outages were reported south of Whispering Pines, near the intersection of Airport Rd and Windsong Place.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, December 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1222806, 1222809, 1222810, 1222811.