New Mexico, 2024Drought in New Mexico, September 1 to 30, 2024
September 1 to 30, 2024 · NWS ABQ · 8 events in 8 counties and zones
Drought conditions across north central and southeastern areas continued to improve due to a couple of storm systems moving through the state during the beginning and middle part of the month. The heaviest precipitation fell across northeastern NM where drought conditions were already very limited.
Every event with a place to put it; 8 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 8
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Drought conditions across north central and southeastern areas continued to improve due to a couple of storm systems moving through the state during the beginning and middle part of the month. The heaviest precipitation fell across northeastern NM where drought conditions were already very limited.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 10:26 PM MST, 1 hour 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 31, 10:26 PM MST, 1 hour 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1126 PM MDT Sat Aug 31 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 241 PM MDT Sat Aug 31 2024
Isolated showers and storms are possible over the high terrain this
weekend, resulting in a low risk for burn scar flash flooding.
Precipitation chances increase in the southeast plains Monday and
linger through Tuesday. Temperatures will be below average in most
areas through Tuesday, particularly in the southeast plains where
highs will be as much as 15 degrees below average Monday. Isolated
to scattered showers and storms are likely over the high terrain
Thursday through next weekend as temps come back up to near seasonal
averages.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 241 PM MDT Sat Aug 31 2024
Center of the monsoon high over southwest WY this afternoon and with
clockwise flow around the high, northeast steering flow over NM
continues to gradually bring in very dry air from the northeast at
around 550 mb. Isolated thunderstorms over the Sangre de Cristo,
Jemez, Tusas and Zuni mountains this afternoon continue to drift
west-southwest around 5 to 10 mph. This gradual drift will likely
send at least a couple of outflow boundaries into the middle Rio
Grande Valley late this afternoon into early evening, possibly
generating a few more showers or storms for the Santa Fe and ABQ
metro areas. Strong wind gusts along with very brief moderate rain
are forecast to be the main impacts. Monsoon high center begins
shifting slowly southeastward to over north central CO by Sunday
morning. Steering flow over NM turn more east-southeast Sunday,
advecting in single digit relative humidity air at and near 500 mb.
Other than a couple of showers or storms west of the Continental
Divide Sunday afternoon, much of the forecast area will be dry. High
temperatures are forecast to remain slightly below to below average
fort early September.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 241 PM MDT Sat Aug 31 2024
A weak Low over Sonora combined with an elongated ridge over
Colorado/Utah will advect moisture into eastern NM on Monday,
creating showery precipitation for the eastern half of the state
south of I-40. Upslope flow will enhance precipitation in eastern
Lincoln county, but heavy rainfall rates don't appear likely over
the Sacramento complex of scars due to the lack of instability.
Heavier rainfall is expected south and east in west Texas so a shift
in the track of the low could bring heavier rainfall into the
southeast plains of New Mexico. The Low will continue to progress
eastward Tuesday, leaving only a few lingering showers and clouds in
the southeast plains. The cloud coverage will keep temps well-below
seasonal averages Monday and Tuesday across eastern NM, particularly
the southeast plains. Even Roswell will struggle to reach 80F both
Monday and Tuesday.
High pressure is forecast to build over Arizona mid-week, forcing a
shortwave up and around it. This feature will eventually move into
the plains by Thursday, sending a backdoor cold front into New
Mexico from the northeast. If the front makes it to the central
mountain chain by the afternoon, this could create a quick burst in
rainfall over the Sangre de Cristo mountains. The convection will
help to drive the backdoor front south and west through the gaps of
the central mountain chain. The most likely outcome is a weak to
moderate east wind, but a briefly strong east wind cannot be ruled
out if the front arrives earlier than forecast, creating more robust
convection along the central mountain chain. The moisture in the
wake of the front will provide the fuel for isolated showers and
storms Friday afternoon over the high terrain. Moisture recycles
Saturday and Sunday as the ridging elongates over the desert
southwest. Temps will generally remain within 5 degrees of seasonal
averages mid week through the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1106 PM MDT Sat Aug 31 2024
VFR prevails with skies continuing to clear overnight. Winds will
be calm until prevailing easterlies pick up areawide Sunday
morning. Cloud cover will also begin to increase again mainly
over southeastern NM, to include KROW. The main aviation concern
will be the strength of easterly winds funneling through the
Tijeras Canyon into KABQ Sunday afternoon. Winds 15 to 20kts
gusting 25 to 30kts will be possible. Otherwise, only a few stray
showers and an isolated thunderstorm are possible.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 241 PM MDT Sat Aug 31 2024
Below average high temperatures along with good to very good
overnight relative humidity recoveries will keep critical fire
weather conditions under wraps during the next week. Afternoon
thunderstorm activity will trend down Sunday through Tuesday,
trending back up Wednesday and Thursday in conjuction with a
backdoor front. Despite the increase in clouds and storm chances
Wednesday and Thursday, temperatures trend back up as the monsoon
high restrengthens over AZ.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington...................... 60 87 58 85 / 10 5 5 0
Dulce........................... 42 84 43 81 / 10 5 5 5
Cuba............................ 50 80 48 79 / 20 10 0 0
Gallup.......................... 48 83 50 83 / 20 20 0 0
El Morro........................ 50 78 50 77 / 20 20 5 0
Grants.......................... 46 81 48 80 / 20 10 0 0
Quemado......................... 48 78 48 77 / 20 20 5 5
Magdalena....................... 54 78 53 74 / 10 10 5 10
Datil........................... 48 76 48 74 / 10 10 5 10
Reserve......................... 49 83 47 83 / 20 30 10 5
Glenwood........................ 54 86 53 86 / 20 20 10 10
Chama........................... 44 77 42 75 / 10 10 5 10
Los Alamos...................... 54 78 52 77 / 20 10 0 5
Pecos........................... 50 76 49 74 / 20 0 0 5
Cerro/Questa.................... 45 77 44 76 / 10 5 0 0
Red River....................... 39 67 37 65 / 10 5 0 0
Angel Fire...................... 29 69 29 69 / 10 0 0 0
Taos............................ 40 81 41 79 / 10 0 0 0
Mora............................ 43 74 42 72 / 10 0 0 5
Espanola........................ 53 86 50 84 / 20 0 0 0
Santa Fe........................ 54 79 51 76 / 20 0 0 0
Santa Fe Airport................ 52 83 51 80 / 20 0 0 0
Albuquerque Foothills........... 58 85 55 81 / 20 0 0 5
Albuquerque Heights............. 59 86 57 83 / 20 0 0 0
Albuquerque Valley.............. 55 88 54 85 / 20 0 0 0
Albuquerque West Mesa........... 57 87 57 85 / 20 0 0 0
Belen........................... 53 87 55 83 / 10 0 0 0
Bernalillo...................... 56 88 55 85 / 20 0 0 0
Bosque Farms.................... 51 86 52 83 / 10 0 0 0
Corrales........................ 57 89 56 86 / 20 0 0 0
Los Lunas....................... 53 87 55 84 / 10 0 0 0
Placitas........................ 56 85 54 81 / 20 0 0 0
Rio Rancho...................... 58 88 57 85 / 20 0 0 0
Socorro......................... 59 88 60 85 / 10 5 5 5
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 51 78 49 75 / 20 0 0 5
Tijeras......................... 48 81 48 77 / 20 0 0 5
Edgewood........................ 45 80 44 76 / 10 0 0 5
Moriarty/Estancia............... 43 80 45 77 / 10 0 0 5
Clines Corners.................. 48 75 47 70 / 10 0 5 10
Mountainair..................... 47 78 48 74 / 10 0 5 10
Gran Quivira.................... 49 78 50 74 / 10 5 10 20
Carrizozo....................... 56 81 55 74 / 0 10 30 30
Ruidoso......................... 50 71 50 64 / 5 20 30 50
Capulin......................... 47 76 46 75 / 0 0 0 0
Raton........................... 49 81 47 79 / 0 0 0 0
Springer........................ 48 82 47 80 / 5 0 0 0
Las Vegas....................... 46 77 45 74 / 5 0 0 5
Clayton......................... 54 81 55 78 / 0 0 0 0
Roy............................. 51 79 50 76 / 5 0 5 5
Conchas......................... 56 85 56 81 / 0 0 10 10
Santa Rosa...................... 55 81 56 77 / 0 0 20 10
Tucumcari....................... 54 83 55 78 / 0 0 20 10
Clovis.......................... 58 86 60 76 / 0 5 30 30
Portales........................ 57 86 62 76 / 0 5 40 30
Fort Sumner..................... 57 85 60 79 / 0 0 30 20
Roswell......................... 63 88 65 76 / 5 10 50 50
Picacho......................... 57 81 58 70 / 5 10 40 40
Elk............................. 53 79 53 66 / 5 20 40 50
&&
.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
SHORT TERM...33
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...24
Drought, Tusas Mountains Including Chama
- When
- September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Tusas Mountains Including Chama forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 36.544, -106.162 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions were removed from the southern portion of the zone.
Drought, Espanola Valley
- When
- September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Espanola Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 36.198, -106.100 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions were removed from the far northwest portion of the zone.
Drought, Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area
- When
- September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 35.002, -106.839 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions were removed from the northern portion of the zone.
Drought, Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood
- When
- September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 35.121, -106.434 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions were removed from the northern portion of the zone.
Drought, South Central Mountains
- When
- September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- South Central Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 33.745, -105.459 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions were removed from the eastern portion of the zone.
Drought, Chaves County Plains
- When
- September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Chaves County Plains forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Extreme drought conditions in the far southern portion of the zone was removed with severe drought conditions persisting across the southern half of the zone.
Drought, Eastern Lincoln County
- When
- September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Eastern Lincoln County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 33.745, -105.459 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions were removed from the southern half of the zone.
Drought, Southwest Chaves County
- When
- September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Southwest Chaves County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Extreme drought conditions were removed across the far southwest portion of the zone. Additionally, severe drought conditions were removed from the far northwest portion of the zone but persisted across the rest of the zone.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
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