New Mexico, 2024

High Wind in New Mexico, March 31, 2024

March 31, 2024 · NWS ABQ · 7 events in 7 counties and zones

Strong southwest winds ahead of a weakening Pacific upper low moved over New Mexico during the day Easter Sunday. Deep boundary layer mixing across the highlands and plains of eastern New Mexico allowed these strong winds aloft to mix down to the surface resulting in high sustained winds above 40 mph and gusts as high as 65 mph.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 7 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
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  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
7

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.

Strong southwest winds ahead of a weakening Pacific upper low moved over New Mexico during the day Easter Sunday. Deep boundary layer mixing across the highlands and plains of eastern New Mexico allowed these strong winds aloft to mix down to the surface resulting in high sustained winds above 40 mph and gusts as high as 65 mph. Roswell observed a high wind gust of 63 mph resulting in blowing dust that reduced visibility to 6 miles. Winds tapered off just after sunset as the boundary layer decoupled.

Keywords: High Wind.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 31, 4:49 AM MST, 5 hours 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 4:49 AM MST, 5 hours 46 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
549 AM MDT Sun Mar 31 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 259 AM MDT Sun Mar 31 2024

The strongest winds of the week are expected areawide today, with
the highest gusts expected across the central mountain chain and
adjacent highlands. Critical fire weather is expected once again
across eastern New Mexico this afternoon. Showers enter western New
Mexico this afternoon spreading east to the central mountains
tonight. Monday will be a cooler and wetter day behind the frontal
passage with dry and windy conditions across east central and
southeast New Mexico. Snowfall will be limited to the northern
mountains and Raton Pass area. Showers will taper off Monday night
lingering longest across northeast New Mexico. Some showers will
still be possible across central and southwest areas Tuesday. Warmer
and dry conditions return Wednesday and Thursday. Strong winds and
cooler temperatures return at the end of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 259 AM MDT Sun Mar 31 2024

Potent cutoff low touring the CA coast tonight is allowing H5
pressure gradient across the Desert Southwest to tighten and flow to
strengthen across northern and central NM. Increasing upper level
flow and easy downward momentum transfer will translate to strong
southwest winds today areawide. As the low splits and cruises inland
this morning, H7 winds will strengthen in broad swaths to 50 to 60
kts. This will result in widespread strong wind gusts in the
afternoon, particularly across the highlands of the central mts.
Given the placement of these amplified H7 winds, did opt to expand
the previously issued High Wind Warning and Wind Advisory by a few
more zones. Blowing dust may potentially reduce visibilities in
and around local dust sources this afternoon, particularly in
Chaves Co. As pressure heights continue to lower and cloud cover
increases, locales across the Cont Dvd and westward will see
reductions in daytime highs as much as 10F to 15F compared to
yesterday's readings. Elsewhere will see a more subtle reduction
to Sunday's highs. As the system pushes eastward this afternoon,
precipitation will begin to encroach upon western NM. While the
majority of this activity will start out as rain, a quick
transition to snow is expected as H7 temperatures plummet from a
modest 0C to -6C by evening. As the disturbance migrates eastward
overnight, precipitation chances will spread into central NM,
eventually filling in across the RGV. Much cooler conditions are
expected Sunday night and Monday as the upper level system tours
the Desert Southwest. Afternoon highs on Monday will be in stark
contrast to Sunday most areas, landing 10F to 15F colder. Showers
and a few thunderstorms will persist across portions of western
NM, with additional activity spreading into northern NM. Breezy to
windy conditions Monday afternoon will favor the southeastern
portion of the CWA as the 130 kt 300mb jet max passes over the
area. A backdoor front begins to make its descent down the eastern
plains, which will lead to enhanced lift in and around Raton Pass
and the initiation of additional rain/snow showers.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 259 AM MDT Sun Mar 31 2024

A positively tiled longwave trough will be across the central US
with the tail across New Mexico heading into Monday night.
Decreasing CVA will allow showers across western and central NM to
wane after sunset. Showers will be slower to taper off across
northeast and parts of east central NM due to surface convergence
along the backdoor front. The backdoor front moves through all of
the eastern plains by daybreak Tuesday. The southern tail of the
longwave trough hangs back and remains over the state on Tuesday.
With the colder core aloft, daytime heating and instability will
result in the development of isolated to scattered showers across
central and southwestern areas during the afternoon hours.
Temperatures will moderate a little across western and central NM,
but cool a little further across eastern NM behind the
aforementioned backdoor front. North winds across the eastern plains
will be brisk during the afternoon and early evening hours. Any
shower activity across central and southwestern areas dissipates
around sunset with the loss of daytime heating with clear skies
overnight.

The trough feature becomes a weekly defined low over northern Mexico
near the Big Bend Wednesday, but upper level riding over the Great
Basin and intermountain West will be the more dominant feature
resulting in clear skies, warmer temperatures by around 9 to 13
degrees compared to Tuesday, and light winds. The warmup continues
Thursday with temperatures near to slightly above normal for early
April and light southerly breezes as the ridge axis moves east into
the High Plains.

South winds really strengthen areawide on Friday as the upper level
ridge moves east over the Great Plains in response to the next
abnormally deep upper level low moving into the Pacific Coast. Some
guidance is already indicating Wind Advisory criteria for western
NM, the central mountain chain, and the northeast and far northeast
highlands due to deep mixing tapping into 50 kt winds at 500-700 mb.
These winds could increase as we get closer if trends continues.
Critical fire weather looks to occur across the middle RGV and
eastern NM; however the south to slightly southeast winds could help
to bring some shallow Gulf moisture to the eastern plains.
Temperatures cool a little across western NM due to lower upper
level heights. There is some uncertainty to how far south the upper
low tracks with the southern track envelope bringing precip to
western and north central NM late Friday into the 1st half of
Saturday behind the Pacific front. Models do agree on an sharp
cooldown behind the front, especially across western NM and some of
central NM, on Saturday with gusty west to southwest winds due to
the development of a strong surface lee low in eastern CO.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 540 AM MDT Sun Mar 31 2024

Strengthening swly winds expected this morning, with gusts
beginning to occur at several terminals aft 31/15Z. Gusts of 35 to
45 kts will be commonplace this aftn, with gusts of 50 kts and
greater possible along the highlands of the central mts, as well
as in and around the south centrl mts. BLDU may cause MVFR
reductions in vsbys, particularly in ern NM, with lcl reductions
to IFR possible. The fropa will bring a wly wind shift to wrn NM
in the late aftn/early evening, with increasing coverage of
precip. MVFR/IFR cigs/vsbys are expected in wrn NM aft 31/22Z. The
front will advance ewd overnight, spreading shwrs and subsequent
drops in cigs/vsbys into the Rio Grande Valley and central mts
towards the end of the TAF period.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 259 AM MDT Sun Mar 31 2024

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
EASTERN NEW MEXICO...

Strong southwest winds combining with low humidity will lead to
critical fire weather conditions across eastern New Mexico this
afternoon. Winds will amplify early today ahead of an approaching
disturbance, with the highest gusts expected between 1400 and 1700
MDT. Gusts of 45 to 55 mph will be commonplace across much of
northern and central New Mexico, while gusts of 60+ mph favor the
highlands of the central mountains. Improved moisture with the
passing trough will limit critical fire weather conditions on
Monday as minimum humidity surges above 20 percent. A drying and
warming trend will take hold Wednesday with a stark reduction in
minimum relative humidity being seen areawide of 10 to 20 percent.
The upper level ridge will lend to lighter winds Wednesday and
Thursday but the ridge is anticipated to begin breaking down on
Thursday night. The next upper level disturbance begins pushing
inland Thursday night, dipping down into the Great Basin Friday.
This will allow winds on Friday to strengthen amongst minimum
relative humidity in the teens, bringing the potential for
widespread critical fire weather conditions. Winds will remain
elevated on Saturday with the focus on lower humidity across the
eastern plains bringing elevated to critical fire weather
conditions to eastern New Mexico.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  56  33  53  31 /  40  20  30   5
Dulce...........................  56  28  48  23 /  50  60  70  30
Cuba............................  58  28  45  27 /  30  60  70  30
Gallup..........................  52  26  47  25 /  60  70  70  10
El Morro........................  52  27  40  26 /  50  70  80   5
Grants..........................  57  27  46  26 /  20  60  60  10
Quemado.........................  54  28  42  26 /  40  80  80   5
Magdalena.......................  60  34  48  31 /   0  60  70   5
Datil...........................  54  30  43  27 /   5  70  70   5
Reserve.........................  56  28  48  24 /  40  90  70   5
Glenwood........................  61  36  51  33 /  40  90  70   5
Chama...........................  50  25  43  21 /  50  70  80  50
Los Alamos......................  59  34  44  31 /  10  50  70  40
Pecos...........................  60  31  47  28 /   5  30  70  50
Cerro/Questa....................  53  33  42  28 /  10  40  80  80
Red River.......................  49  24  40  19 /  10  40  90  80
Angel Fire......................  49  25  40  19 /   5  30  90  80
Taos............................  59  28  47  24 /  10  40  70  70
Mora............................  58  31  46  24 /   5  20  70  60
Espanola........................  66  35  51  32 /  10  50  60  50
Santa Fe........................  61  33  46  30 /  10  40  70  50
Santa Fe Airport................  64  33  50  30 /   5  40  60  40
Albuquerque Foothills...........  67  38  51  37 /   5  50  70  20
Albuquerque Heights.............  68  38  52  36 /   5  40  60  20
Albuquerque Valley..............  70  37  54  35 /   5  40  60  20
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  69  38  53  36 /   5  40  60  20
Belen...........................  70  38  56  34 /   5  50  70  10
Bernalillo......................  69  38  53  35 /   5  40  60  20
Bosque Farms....................  70  37  54  33 /   5  40  70  20
Corrales........................  70  37  54  35 /   5  40  60  20
Los Lunas.......................  69  37  55  34 /   5  40  70  20
Placitas........................  65  36  48  35 /   5  50  70  30
Rio Rancho......................  67  38  52  35 /   5  40  60  20
Socorro.........................  72  40  58  36 /   0  50  70   5
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  59  33  44  31 /   5  50  70  30
Tijeras.........................  62  35  46  32 /   5  50  70  30
Edgewood........................  63  33  47  30 /   0  30  60  30
Moriarty/Estancia...............  65  31  49  27 /   0  30  60  30
Clines Corners..................  60  30  46  26 /   0  20  50  30
Mountainair.....................  62  34  46  28 /   0  40  70  20
Gran Quivira....................  61  33  48  28 /   0  30  70  20
Carrizozo.......................  65  41  52  33 /   0  20  80  10
Ruidoso.........................  59  36  45  28 /   0  20  70  10
Capulin.........................  64  32  48  24 /   0   0  80  70
Raton...........................  66  30  52  26 /   0   0  80  70
Springer........................  67  33  55  28 /   0   0  70  70
Las Vegas.......................  63  32  49  26 /   0   5  50  60
Clayton.........................  72  40  58  30 /   0   0  80  70
Roy.............................  68  36  55  30 /   0   0  70  70
Conchas.........................  75  42  62  35 /   0   0  50  60
Santa Rosa......................  70  40  57  34 /   0   0  40  40
Tucumcari.......................  76  43  62  34 /   0   0  50  50
Clovis..........................  78  47  64  35 /   0   5  40  20
Portales........................  79  48  67  34 /   0   5  30  20
Fort Sumner.....................  77  44  62  35 /   0   0  40  30
Roswell.........................  82  50  68  40 /   0   5  20   5
Picacho.........................  72  43  58  35 /   0   5  30   5
Elk.............................  69  42  55  32 /   0   5  50   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM MDT this
evening for NMZ104-123-125-126.

Wind Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM MDT this evening
for NMZ214-215-221-222-224-225-227-230>232-234-239>241.

Wind Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for NMZ208.

High Wind Warning from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM MDT this
evening for NMZ223-228-229-233.

High Wind Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for NMZ226.

&&

SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....71
AVIATION...12

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

7 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Guadalupe County

When
March 31, 10:35 AM MST to 11:40 AM MST
Where
Guadalupe County forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
34.863, -104.791 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Ziamet station southeast of Vaughn observed a peak wind gust of 65 mph. The station also observed high sustained winds peaking at 46 mph during the time period.

High Wind, Central Highlands

When
March 31, 10:53 AM MST to 11:00 AM MST
Where
Central Highlands forecast zone
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
35.209, -105.548 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Clines Corners ASOS observed a peak wind gust of 61 mph.

High Wind, Union County

When
March 31, 11:35 AM MST to 11:38 AM MST
Where
Union County forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
36.482, -103.471 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Clayton ASOS observed a wind gust of 58 mph.

High Wind, South Central Mountains

When
March 31, 12:30 PM MST to 2:00 PM MST
Where
South Central Mountains forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
33.745, -105.459 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Sierra Blanca ASOS observed a peak wind gust of 60 mph. The station also observed high sustained winds peaking at 49 mph during the time period.

High Wind, Northeast Highlands

When
March 31, 2:58 PM MST to 3:00 PM MST
Where
Northeast Highlands forecast zone
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
35.480, -104.816 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Las Vegas ASOS observed a wind gust of 63 mph.

High Wind, Eastern San Miguel County

When
March 31, 4:59 PM MST to 5:05 PM MST
Where
Eastern San Miguel County forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
35.480, -104.816 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A wunderground weather station just south of Conchas Lake observed a wind gust of 58 mph.

High Wind, Chaves County Plains

When
March 31, 5:41 PM MST to 5:53 PM MST
Where
Chaves County Plains forecast zone
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Roswell ASOS observed a peak wind gust of 63 mph.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Mexico in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, March 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1161034, 1161029, 1161032, 1161030, 1161031, 1161033, 1161035.