New Mexico, 2024

Tornado and Flash Flooding in New Mexico, July 9 to 11, 2024

July 9 to 11, 2024 · NWS ABQ · 8 events in 5 counties and zones

A strong upper level high pressure remained over southern California and Nevada with higher moisture across central and eastern NM. Strong daytime heating resulted in the development of showers and storms across the higher terrain of central New Mexico around midday July 9th with storms slowly drifting to the southeast.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1.3 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
8

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.

A strong upper level high pressure remained over southern California and Nevada with higher moisture across central and eastern NM. Strong daytime heating resulted in the development of showers and storms across the higher terrain of central New Mexico around midday July 9th with storms slowly drifting to the southeast. Storms over the Sacramento Mountains dropped 1 to 2 inches of rain on the South Fork and Salt Fire burn scars around Ruidoso. This resulted in catastrophic burn scar flash flooding and debris flows in the Rio Ruidoso, NM48, and U.S. Highway 70 from Alto east to Ruidoso Downs. The runoff and debris flow caused the Rio Ruidoso at Hollywood to quickly spike to 11.65 feet in the mid afternoon. A landspout was also observed in the upper canyon area west of downtown Ruidoso. Neighborhoods west of downtown Ruidoso were evacuated and 64 swift water rescues were conducted. Storms exited east of Ruidoso late in the afternoon with flash flooding subsiding in the evening. Elsewhere in the state, isolated severe storms produced quarter size hail at Chamizal in Socorro County and a mile east of Ute Park in Colfax County. Storms across central and eastern New Mexico dissipated overnight. Another round of storms developed across the central mountain chain midday July 10th. Multiple rounds of training storms over the Sacramento Mountains dropped a half inch to two inches across the Ruidoso area including the South Fork and Salt Fire burn scars. This resulted in a second consecutive day of catastrophic flash flooding, debris flows and road collapses in the same areas of Ruidoso. Several swift water rescues were conducted again along U.S. Highway 70. The Rio Ruidoso at Hollywood spiked to a record level of 12.51 feet from the runoff and debris flow off the burn scars. Storms and high flows in area creeks and streams across Ruidoso slowly decreased during the evening hours. Elsewhere, storms caused high wind gusts at the Little Burro mesonet on the White Sand Missile Range and at the Dunken Mesonet on the White Sands Missile Range. Storms across the state dissipated shortly after sunset. Another round of diurnal storms developed during the afternoon and evening hours on July 11th. Outflow winds from thunderstorms resulted in roof damage to a residence in Little Water in west central San Juan County.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 9, 11:06 AM MST, 1 hour earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 9, 11:06 AM MST, 1 hour before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1206 PM MDT Tue Jul 9 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 159 AM MDT Tue Jul 9 2024

Storm coverage will increase today and Wednesday. Enough moisture
and instability will be present for isolated severe storms as well
as heavy rainfall each afternoon and evening favoring areas along
and east of the Central Mountain Chain. Flash flooding is
possible, and recent burn scars will be extremely susceptible.
Showers and thunderstorms will focus across western and central
New Mexico Thursday through the weekend. High temperatures will be
near to slightly below normal for the next few days.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 159 AM MDT Tue Jul 9 2024

It's a much quieter night across northern and central NM with
just some lingering mid to high level clouds from yesterday's
convection across central areas. The 595 dam upper high remains
over the CA Inland Empire and southern Nevada with northwest flow
over NM. Higher moisture in the form of dewpoints in the mid to
upper 40s have also made its way to the Arizona border. After a
quiet morning under mostly clear skies, strong daytime heating
along with the higher moisture will result in the development of
showers and storms across the mountain ranges along and east of
the Continental Divide. Far northwest and west central NM,
including Farmington and Gallup, will remain dry due to deep
daytime mixing tapping into the northwest flow aloft and pushing
the higher moisture back east towards the Rio Grande Valley.
Showers and storms over the higher terrain will be capable of
producing locally heavy rainfall and flash flooding over recent
burn scars including the ones surrounding Ruidoso and the HPCC
burn scar across the east slopes of the central mountain chain. A
Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for these two areas. Showers
and storms will spread into lower elevations across parts of
central and eastern NM come the evening. A few storms across the
northeast plains extending south to the east slopes of the central
mountain chain could become strong to severe due higher bulk and
directional shear from the northwest flow aloft. A mesoscale
surface high is expected to develop over northeast NM in the wake
of the convection this evening. This mesohigh will help send
another northeast to east canyon wind and moisture back to the
Santa Fe and ABQ Metro areas come the evening hours just before
sunset. Gust of up to 35 mph will be possible across eastern ABQ.
The higher moisture and east wind will make it as far west as the
Arizona border come sunrise Wednesday morning. Convection this
afternoon and evening will slowly taper off Tuesday night with
activity lingering longest across southeast NM.

On Wednesday, the upper high strengthens to 597 dam and nudges a bit
northeast to the Great Basin with northerly upper level flow over
New Mexico. Additionally, a shortwave trough dives south over the
upper Mississippi River Valley on the backside of Beryl's remnant
circulation over the Great Lakes. Between the two synoptic features
a piece of the subtropical jet moves over New Mexico with some
diffluence aloft over the central mountain chain. This will result
in an uptick in shower and storm activity across the central
mountain chain and adjacent highlands Wednesday afternoon and
evening with storm motion to the south. With a higher risk of flash
flooding from multiple rounds of storms, a Flash Flood Watch has
been issued for the Sangre de Cristo Mountains, South Central
Mountains, and surrounding highland zones. WPC has put a slight
risk for excessive rainfall (level 2 out of 4) across the south
central highlands and mountains for Wednesday. Additionally, SPC
has put a marginal risk for severe storms across south central NM
and eastern NM Wednesday afternoon and evening due to the high
directional shear in place (southerly surface winds with northerly
flow aloft). Outflow from these storms will likely produce
another east canyon wind for the ABQ metro Wednesday evening.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 159 AM MDT Tue Jul 9 2024

Showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall will continue into
the evening Wednesday. Flash flooding will remain possible and
unlike most days, it's possible that the Sacramento Mountains may
receive multiple rounds of precipitation. Most of the
precipitation will trail off by midnight.

On Thursday, the focus for showers and thunderstorms will be over
the high terrain of both western and central NM, with less
emphasis across the eastern plains. Storms will move toward the S
or SSW which will bring somewhat better chances for precip in the
ABQ metro. There is still a good chance for precipitation over
both the Hermits Peak Calf Canyon and Sacramento Mountain burn
scars, though amounts may not be as great as they will be on
Wednesday.

On Friday, the upper level high that has been parked over Las
Vegas, NV will shift over UT and CO. This will allow storm motion
to change again, with most storms moving toward the southwest or
west. This will also allow some mid level dry air to move into
southeastern portions of the CWA. This is good news in that storms
will focus across the northwest half of NM, and should allow for
what will likely be a much needed break in the action across the
Sacramento Mountain burn scars. That break should continue into
Saturday as well. Thereafter, all eyes will be on an inverted
trough moving northward from Old Mexico. Models are struggling
with the timing of this feature and if it will even make it into
NM. If it arrives early next week, the upper high will weaken and
push northeastward, and moisture will return allowing for
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms with little to no
storm motion.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1201 PM MDT Tue Jul 9 2024

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecast to develop over
the high terrain of the central mountain chain and to a lesser
extent over the Continental Divide in western New Mexico early
this afternoon. Storms will then drift southeastward at 5 to 15
kt, filling into some nearby highlands and the northeastern plains
through the early evening. Storms will produce heavy downpours
with brief reductions in ceiling and visibility, and a few of the
stronger cells will be capable of hail and damaging downburst
winds. Storms will mostly come to an end before midnight, but a
stray cell or two may linger into the early morning hours
Wednesday. Even more coverage of storms is expected Wednesday
afternoon.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 159 AM MDT Tue Jul 9 2024

No critical fire weather is expected across the forecast area
through early next week. Through Wednesday, higher surface moisture
will remain in place across central and eastern NM with drier air
across far northwest and west central areas in the form of afternoon
relative humidity values around 10 percent and dewpoints in the 30s.
The higher moisture makes it way to these drier areas of the state
late week due to the upper high over the Great Basin shifting east
to the central Rockies. Diurnal showers and storms will be focused
across central and eastern NM through Wednesday shifting to north
central and western NM come Friday and this weekend. Winds will
overall remain light with the one exception being from the diurnal
storm activity.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  93  61  95  63 /   0   0   0   0
Dulce...........................  86  47  87  47 /  30  20  40  20
Cuba............................  86  53  86  54 /  20  20  30  30
Gallup..........................  92  50  93  53 /   5   0   5   0
El Morro........................  87  55  88  56 /  20  20  20  10
Grants..........................  89  54  90  55 /  20  20  20  10
Quemado.........................  89  56  91  57 /  30  30  40  20
Magdalena.......................  85  62  87  60 /  50  30  60  40
Datil...........................  85  57  86  57 /  50  50  50  20
Reserve.........................  91  52  94  53 /  50  20  60  20
Glenwood........................  93  65  96  64 /  60  20  60  30
Chama...........................  78  46  77  47 /  50  30  60  30
Los Alamos......................  80  59  80  59 /  50  30  80  30
Pecos...........................  81  54  79  55 /  50  30  90  30
Cerro/Questa....................  78  44  80  42 /  60  60  80  30
Red River.......................  69  44  69  44 /  70  60  80  30
Angel Fire......................  73  39  73  39 /  70  70  80  30
Taos............................  82  48  84  49 /  50  40  60  20
Mora............................  77  49  76  49 /  60  40  80  30
Espanola........................  86  57  87  57 /  30  30  50  20
Santa Fe........................  83  58  82  58 /  40  40  80  30
Santa Fe Airport................  86  57  86  56 /  30  30  60  30
Albuquerque Foothills...........  90  64  89  63 /  30  30  50  30
Albuquerque Heights.............  91  64  90  64 /  20  20  30  30
Albuquerque Valley..............  93  64  92  63 /  10  20  20  20
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  91  64  91  64 /  20  20  30  20
Belen...........................  94  62  94  61 /  20  30  30  20
Bernalillo......................  92  63  91  63 /  20  20  30  20
Bosque Farms....................  93  60  93  60 /  10  20  30  30
Corrales........................  92  62  91  64 /  20  20  30  20
Los Lunas.......................  93  61  94  62 /  10  30  30  20
Placitas........................  90  62  88  61 /  20  30  50  30
Rio Rancho......................  91  64  91  64 /  20  20  30  20
Socorro.........................  93  66  95  64 /  30  30  50  30
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  84  58  82  57 /  30  40  60  30
Tijeras.........................  88  59  86  58 /  30  30  60  30
Edgewood........................  87  57  84  54 /  30  40  60  30
Moriarty/Estancia...............  88  54  86  52 /  30  30  60  40
Clines Corners..................  83  54  80  53 /  50  30  70  40
Mountainair.....................  86  56  85  54 /  40  30  60  40
Gran Quivira....................  87  56  86  54 /  50  40  70  50
Carrizozo.......................  87  62  86  60 /  50  50  80  50
Ruidoso.........................  77  56  76  54 /  70  40  90  50
Capulin.........................  78  53  83  54 /  60  20  40  10
Raton...........................  83  52  86  53 /  60  20  40  10
Springer........................  85  53  88  54 /  70  30  50  20
Las Vegas.......................  79  52  78  52 /  60  40  80  20
Clayton.........................  86  59  90  60 /  30  20  20   5
Roy.............................  81  57  84  56 /  60  40  50  20
Conchas.........................  90  61  90  61 /  40  50  40  30
Santa Rosa......................  88  60  88  59 /  40  40  50  50
Tucumcari.......................  91  61  91  61 /  20  40  30  40
Clovis..........................  88  64  89  63 /  10  40  40  40
Portales........................  89  64  90  63 /   5  30  40  40
Fort Sumner.....................  90  63  90  62 /  20  60  40  50
Roswell.........................  94  69  95  67 /  10  20  50  30
Picacho.........................  86  62  83  60 /  50  30  70  40
Elk.............................  81  58  81  57 /  70  30  80  40

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until 9 PM MDT this evening for NMZ214-215-226.

Flood Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday evening
for NMZ214-215-222>224-226-229-239-240.

&&

SHORT TERM...71
LONG TERM....34
AVIATION...52

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 50 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:04 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 thunderstorm wind, 2 flash flood, 2 hail, 1 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.

Tornado, Lincoln

When
July 9, 12:06 PM MST to 12:08 PM MST
Where
Lincoln County, 2.58 mi NW of Ruidoso to 2.04 mi NW of Ruidoso
Rating
EFU
Path length
0.55 mi
Path width
30 yd
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.360, -105.707

The Ruidoso emergency manager forwarded a video of a landspout in the Upper Canyon area. The time, length and width of landspout estimated based on derived radar products and video footage.

Flash Flood, Lincoln

When
July 9, 12:15 PM MST to 2:30 PM MST
Where
Lincoln County, 2.64 mi WNW of Ruidoso to 1.13 mi WSW of Ruidoso
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.338, -105.725

Heavy rainfall from thunderstorms on the South Fork and Salt Fire burn scars resulted in flash flooding and debris flows across the Upper Canyon and Brady Canyon neighborhoods along the Rio Ruidoso. A bridge on Main Road at McDaniel Road was washed from the debris flow and runoff. Video on social media showed the roof of a house along with other household debris sliding down the Rio Ruidoso upper canyon among fast moving water. Additionally, a woman was trapped in a tree due to high rushing water. Runoff from the rainfall moved downstream through the Rio Ruidoso exceeding its banks and impacting the Fern Trail and Paradise Canyon near downtown Ruidoso. Several car and water rescues were conducted in this area. The Riverside RV Park in Hollywood along the banks of the Rio Ruidoso was completely flooded out. Another video on social media showed the Rio Ruidoso at Ruidoso Downs Racetrack and Casino out of its banks flooding the horse racetrack. Additionally, crews with excavators are seen digging up dirt along the banks of the Rio Ruidoso at the racetrack cleaning up prior flash flood damage. Thankfully, no injuries or fatalities were reported from the catastrophic flash flooding. Property damage cost is an estimate.

Hail, Colfax

When
July 9, 2:01 PM MST to 2:15 PM MST
Where
Colfax County, Ute Park
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
36.560, -105.100

A severe thunderstorm dropped quarter size hail in Ute Park.

Hail, Socorro

When
July 9, 2:45 PM MST to 2:57 PM MST
Where
Socorro County, 1.32 mi N of Polvadera
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
34.219, -106.920

A trained spotter reported 1 inch hail in Chamizal from a severe thunderstorm.

Flash Flood, Lincoln

When
July 10, 12:00 PM MST to 4:10 PM MST
Where
Lincoln County, 1.85 mi WNW of Ruidoso to 1.13 mi WSW of Ruidoso
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Property damage
$750,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.340, -105.710

Multiple rounds of heavy rainfall from thunderstorms impacted the South Fork and Salt Fire burn scars for a second day in a row. This resulted in exacerbated flash flooding and debris flow in the same locations along the Rio Ruidoso. A house near downtown Ruidoso was reported to have been pushed 10 feet due to flash flooding. A busted water line and gas leak were also reported in the area. An SUV with 3 occupants inside floated down the Rio Ruidoso. Thankfully, all 3 occupants were rescued. The worst impacts from this episode of flash flooding and debris flow occurred on U.S. Highway 70 in Hollywood. The highway and its various intersections, including Mechem Drive and Sudderth Drive were shut down. Fast and heavy debris flow resulted in a road collapse near the Sudderth Dr. and U.S. Highway 70 intersection. The debris flowing down U.S. Highway 70 at one point included a large shipping container. Property damage cost is an estimate.

Thunderstorm Wind, Chaves

When
July 10, 3:36 PM MST to 3:38 PM MST
Where
Chaves County, 1.43 mi NE of Dunken
Measured
59 kt (68 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
32.825, -105.183

A mesonet at Dunken measured a wind gust of 68 mph from nearby thunderstorms.

Thunderstorm Wind, Socorro

When
July 10, 4:25 PM MST to 4:45 PM MST
Where
Socorro County, 19.62 mi S of Bingham
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
33.608, -106.416

The Little Burro mesonet on the White Sand Missile Range observed a peak wind gust of 64 mph from nearby thunderstorms.

Thunderstorm Wind, San Juan

When
July 11, 5:00 PM MST to 5:03 PM MST
Where
San Juan County, 8.05 mi E of Sanostee
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
36.429, -108.725

Thunderstorm outflow winds partially removed the roof of a residence in Little Water, New Mexico. Time estimated based on limited radar data. Property damage cost estimated.

What these are

Tornado
A violently rotating column of air in contact with the ground and extending from a thunderstorm, filed with its path, width and Fujita or Enhanced Fujita rating from the damage survey.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Mexico in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for New Mexico, 2024Warnings in New Mexico, July 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1182643, 1182636, 1182650, 1182652, 1182646, 1182666, 1182674, 1182681.