North to northwest flow aloft continued with another upper trough moving through New Mexico. Severe thunderstorms developed over the Tularosa Basin and produced a couple of wind gusts of 58 mph to 66 mph.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
North to northwest flow aloft continued with another upper trough moving through New Mexico. Severe thunderstorms developed over the Tularosa Basin and produced a couple of wind gusts of 58 mph to 66 mph.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 22, 4:30 PM MST, 3 hours 6 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 530 PM MDT Mon Jul 22 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 109 PM MDT Mon Jul 22 2024 Scattered mountain based thunderstorms and a few isolated lowland thunderstorms will occur this afternoon and early evening with localized flooding possible. Reduced moisture levels in the region will start to limit thunderstorm activity across the region as early as tonight and will continue through the week. However, enough residual moisture remains to form isolated storms, mostly over the mountains in the afternoon periods. The drier conditions and clearer skies will lead to warmer temperatures with near seasonal averages by the end of the week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 109 PM MDT Mon Jul 22 2024 Widespread showers from last night and this morning have stabilized the atmosphere and lowered temperatures across the region. This has limited thunderstorm development to mainly the mountain zones this afternoon. Periods of heavy rainfall and localized flooding remain possible for the mountain areas. A mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) is lingering near El Paso, and continues to generate clouds and light showers mainly over portions of west Texas. This has suppressed day time heating and kept temperatures well below normal this afternoon, making thunderstorm development for the area less likely. For areas west of the Rio Grande, skies have been clearer to allow for daytime heating. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorm development is expected to continue into this evening. The weather pattern is trending toward a drier less active pattern over the next several days. Current water vapor imagery indicates drier continental air aloft is dropping south over the area. At first, this reduction will bring moisture levels back closer to seasonal normals with some convective activity continuing across the area. Moist conditions at the lower levels of the atmosphere will continue to help facilitate some thunderstorm development. For Tuesday and Wednesday scattered mountain and isolated lowland thunderstorms are expected. Periods of moderate rainfall, and wind gusts up to 40-50 mph will still be possible from thunderstorms. Temperatures will begin rebound with the drier conditions with afternoon readings near or slightly below normal. The drying trend will continue later in the week as high pressure builds over New Mexico and pushes deeper moisture further west into Arizona. With moisture levels dropping below normal, convective activity will be limited to mostly the mountains just a few brief isolated storms in the lowlands. Rain amounts will become lighter and spotty. These storms may be higher based and capable of producing stronger wind gusts with a potential for blowing dust in the dust prone areas of the lowland deserts. Long range models indicate that moisture will start to return to the region by late weekend with an increase for rain and thunderstorms. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 527 PM MDT Mon Jul 22 2024 Mainly VFR conditions are expected with a slight chance for category impacts related to TSRA. Skies will mainly be FEW-SCT060 with light easterly winds. There is a slight chance for TSRA/SHRA throughout the entire period with some indication SCT SHRA/TSRA will effect portions of the areas overnight, especially at TCS. Otherwise, we will be in our usual monsoonal pattern by Tuesday afternoon with ISO TSRA/SHRA in the lowlands with the usual impacts of gusty winds and RA+. No mention of Thunder or rain was included in the TAFs because of low confidence, however. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 109 PM MDT Mon Jul 22 2024 Fire concerns remain low with much of the area receiving wetting rains over past few days. Scattered mountain and isolated lowland thunderstorms are expected again this afternoon and evening. Some localized flooding is possible in the mountains, especially near the recent burn scars. Should any showers develop over scars with even modest amounts of rain, they could flood. Atmospheric moisture levels are dropping somewhat next few days with diminished thunderstorm activity and with min RH values trending from the 20s in the lowlands and 30s mountains to upper teens lowlands and 20s mountains by Thursday. Moisture levels will rebound by next weekend with increasing RH levels expected. Winds will be light except near thunderstorms, with terrain induced light drainage winds at night. Vent rates during the day will continue to be good. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 69 93 72 96 / 20 10 10 10 Sierra Blanca 60 84 62 89 / 20 10 10 10 Las Cruces 66 92 68 94 / 30 10 10 10 Alamogordo 60 87 62 92 / 20 20 10 10 Cloudcroft 44 66 47 70 / 40 40 10 20 Truth or Consequences 64 88 67 92 / 40 20 10 20 Silver City 60 83 62 86 / 60 60 30 60 Deming 66 91 67 94 / 40 20 30 10 Lordsburg 68 91 70 94 / 40 40 30 30 West El Paso Metro 69 91 72 94 / 20 10 10 10 Dell City 62 88 65 93 / 20 10 10 10 Fort Hancock 65 92 67 95 / 20 10 10 10 Loma Linda 61 83 63 87 / 20 10 10 10 Fabens 67 91 68 94 / 20 10 10 10 Santa Teresa 66 89 68 92 / 20 10 10 10 White Sands HQ 66 88 70 92 / 20 20 10 10 Jornada Range 64 89 66 92 / 30 20 10 10 Hatch 65 91 67 94 / 40 20 20 10 Columbus 68 91 69 94 / 30 20 20 10 Orogrande 62 86 63 90 / 20 20 10 10 Mayhill 49 76 51 81 / 30 40 10 20 Mescalero 49 77 52 81 / 40 40 10 30 Timberon 47 74 49 78 / 20 40 10 10 Winston 55 81 56 84 / 60 50 20 50 Hillsboro 61 86 63 89 / 60 40 40 40 Spaceport 62 88 62 92 / 30 20 10 10 Lake Roberts 57 83 58 87 / 60 70 40 60 Hurley 60 86 62 89 / 50 50 20 40 Cliff 62 93 64 97 / 50 70 30 60 Mule Creek 62 88 66 91 / 50 60 40 60 Faywood 62 86 64 88 / 60 40 30 40 Animas 68 92 69 96 / 20 30 30 20 Hachita 65 91 67 94 / 30 20 30 10 Antelope Wells 65 90 67 94 / 20 20 20 10 Cloverdale 64 87 65 90 / 20 20 30 20 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...Flood Watch until 10 PM MDT this evening for NMZ414>416. && FORECASTER...34-Brown
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service El Paso TX
754 PM MDT Mon Jul 22 2024
NMZ409-414-427-428-230230-
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet NM-
Sierra County Lakes NM-East Central Tularosa Basin/Alamogordo NM-
West Central Tularosa Basin/White Sands NM-
754 PM MDT Mon Jul 22 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN OTERO AND
NORTHEASTERN SIERRA COUNTIES THROUGH 830 PM MDT...
At 754 PM MDT, trained weather spotters reported a strong
thunderstorm 8 miles north of Three Rivers, moving south at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.
SOURCE...WSMR Mesonet Site.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Three Rivers, Tularosa, and Three Rivers Petroglyph Site.
This includes Highway 54 in New Mexico between mile markers 79 and
100.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3339 10637 3339 10597 3306 10587 3307 10666
3348 10640 3348 10637
TIME...MOT...LOC 0154Z 353DEG 30KT 3343 10611
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
BROWNSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service El Paso TX
830 PM MDT Mon Jul 22 2024
NMZ401-404-426-230300-
Upper Gila River Valley NM-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley NM-
Southern Gila Region Highlands/Black Range NM-
830 PM MDT Mon Jul 22 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL GRANT AND NORTH
CENTRAL HIDALGO COUNTIES THROUGH 900 PM MDT...
At 830 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5
miles north of Redrock, moving south at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Redrock, Gila Lower Box, and Gila Middle Box.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3287 10880 3283 10862 3254 10867 3262 10897
TIME...MOT...LOC 0230Z 017DEG 20KT 3277 10874
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
ROGERSThe Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 10 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 02:32 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The White Sands Missile Range station 28(Tula) reported a peak wind gust of 66 mph. Station 25, also on the missile range reported a peak gust of 58 mph.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, July 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1202027.