Scattered thunderstorms developed along a boundary over northeast Oklahoma and southeast Kansas on August 15, 2024, with thunderstorms developing just north of and along Interstate 44 by the evening. 49 inches primarily east of Highway 65 in Webster, Wright, Howell, and Texas counties.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SGF wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms developed along a boundary over northeast Oklahoma and southeast Kansas on August 15, 2024, with thunderstorms developing just north of and along Interstate 44 by the evening. These storms persisted into the early morning hours of August 16, 2024, resulting in heavy rainfall measuring between 3.25 and 5.49 inches primarily east of Highway 65 in Webster, Wright, Howell, and Texas counties. Flash flooding occurred at multiple locations in Webster County, with areal flooding in Ozark, Douglas, and Texas counties. As the early morning hours progressed, these storms continued to push southeast out of the area by sunrise.
Later in the day, an east to west oriented frontal boundary stalled across south-central Kansas and Missouri, resulting in enough instability and deep layer shear for storms to initiate over Kansas during the early afternoon and push into southeast Kansas by the evening. As the storms moved into southwest Missouri, damaging winds up to 70 mph resulted in numerous reports of trees down in Newton, McDonald, Barry, and Taney counties.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 16, 2:42 AM CST, 4 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Springfield MO 342 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Slight risk for severe thunderstorms this evening through tonight, mainly over far SE KS and far SW MO. Damaging wind, large hail, and localized flooding are the main severe weather risks. - Marginal severe weather risk Saturday afternoon and evening. Large hail, damaging winds, and localized flooding are the primary risks. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Issued at 311 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024 Early this morning: Lingering convection should gradually move east early this morning. Observed rainfall amounts up to 6 inches has been noted across portions of Webster, Wright, and Texas counties, which will undoubtedly result in flooding into the day today. Use caution if traveling this morning in these and surrounding areas. Today in general: A front will be stalled across the area, resulting in highs ranging from the low 90s NE to the upper 90s SW. Heat index values should top out at 100-105 in the SW, which isn't hot enough to require a heat advisory. Thunderstorm potential this evening and tonight: With the front over the area, 1,000-2,000 J/kg of instability, and deep later shear of 40-50 kts, expect storms to initiate upstream of the area and move along the frontal zone this evening into tonight. This will favor the southwestern CWA to see the greatest potential and coverage of severe weather, with the best potential being late this evening into tonight as the LLJ strengthens. Storm mode should primarily be multicell clusters and/or larger complexes as guidance suggests upstream storms may bring more than one MCS to the area. Large hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter and damaging winds to 60 mph are the primary threats this evening, turning to a 1" hail and 60 mph wind threat tonight, along with potential for training convection (flow parallel to the front) and localized flooding. Again, the best potential for these hazards is over the southwestern CWA. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Issued at 311 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024 Thunderstorm/severe potential Saturday afternoon into Saturday night: The front mentioned in the short term should remain stalled over the area on Saturday. Greater instability (2,000-3,000 J/kg of CAPE) is expected in the afternoon and evening, but that will be at least somewhat dependent on the evolution of early day convection, so watch for potential for changes as that becomes more clear. Deep layer shear looks to be 40-60 kts and with profiles that would allow for supercellular potential. Especially if higher end CAPE and shear values are realized, along with supercell storm mode, very large hail may be possible. Low level winds look too weak to advertise any tornado threat. If storms develop, they would probably linger into the overnight hours and early Sunday morning. Flow looks to be parallel to the front, so localized flooding will continue to be a concern. Overall, the potential for storms to form is less than 30% at this time, making the threat pretty conditional. Additional thunderstorm chances into early next week: The front slowly moves to the southwest with time. There will still be potential for storms at times Sunday into Monday (maybe even Tuesday), but confidence in any details is quite limited at this time given the mesoscale nature of any convective chances. Temperature trends: Saturday: Highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s. Lows in the 60s. Sunday through Thursday: Highs in the 80s. Lows in the 50s and 60s. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1240 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024 Isolated thunderstorms will continue to move near or over KSGF and perhaps KBBG for the next couple of hours. Otherwise, light winds and VFR conditions are expected until potential for additional thunderstorms in the last few hours of the TAF period this late Friday. && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...None. MO...None. && SHORT TERM...Titus LONG TERM...Titus AVIATION...Titus
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Springfield MO 247 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-170800- Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon- St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas- Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton- Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone- Taney-Ozark-Oregon- 247 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Weather hazards expected... Slight hail risk. Slight thunderstorm wind damage risk. Limited lightning risk. Limited excessive heat risk. Limited excessive rainfall risk DISCUSSION... Thunderstorms with heavy rainfall continue along and south of Highway 60 and east of Highway 65 early this morning. Some areas have received several inches of rainfall, resulting in a considerable flood threat. The most impacted areas are portions of southern Webster County, Wright County, and western Texas County. Use caution if traveling in this areas this morning. Heat Index values may reach 95 to 105 today. There is a 40 to 70 percent chance of thunderstorms this evening into early Saturday. Some of these storms may be strong to severe. Heavy rainfall and localized flooding will also be a concern. The best coverage will be in extreme southeast Kansas and extreme southwest Missouri during the overnight hours. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Overnight thunderstorms will be possible into early next week, although details are uncertain at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed this evening into tonight. && More detailed information can be accessed at: http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket This product in graphical format...along with other weather... hydrological and climate information...at http://www.weather.gov/sgf Titus
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
956 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0822 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 W Republic 37.12N 93.50W
08/15/2024 Greene MO NWS Employee
Tree downed.
&&
EWThe Springfield radar (KSGF), 77 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 08:48 UTC.
13 thunderstorm wind, 9 heavy rain, 5 flood, 3 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Highway AB at Wolf Creek was flooded.
Route E was flooded at the Gasconade River.
Route Z was flooded at Elk Creek.
Mesonet station MGRM7 in Mountain Grove measured 4.83 inches of storm total rainfall.
The West Plains ASOS station measured 3.45 inches of storm total rainfall.
Mesonet station FW9032 in Seymour measured 3.25 inches of storm total rainfall.
Mesonet station GW0312 located six miles north-northwest of Seymour measured 3.95 inches of storm total rainfall.
Mesonet station CW2523 in Macomb measured 4.90 inches of storm total rainfall.
Mesonet station FW6072 in Mansfield measured 4.02 inches of storm total rainfall.
Mesonet station GW2631 in Cabool measured 5.49 inches of storm total rainfall.
Mesonet station GW4807 in Hartville measured 5.47 inches of storm total rainfall.
Mesonet station MOA15 in Mountain Grove measured 4.54 inches of storm total rainfall.
MO 95 was closed at Spring Creek due to flooding.
Route H was closed at the North Fork River due to flooding.
MO 181 was closed at Bryant Creek due to flooding.
Route EE was closed at the North Fork River due to flooding.
Route BB was closed at the Big Piney River due to flooding.
Report of a large tree uprooted.
Several reports of large tree limbs and power lines downed in Seneca.
A trained spotter measured 70 mph winds.
Tree limbs were reported downed over the road.
Report of a collapsed wall on a metal building.
Report of a tree down across the road.
Trees and power lines reported down.
Emergency management reported tree limbs down.
Report of trees down on the road.
Report of trees down in the Eagle Rock and Shell Knob areas.
Report of a tree down on a home.
Report of tree limbs down.
Report of downed two-inch tree limbs.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, August 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1208122, 1208123, 1208124, 1208189, 1208190, 1208191, 1208192, 1208193, 1208194, 1208195, 1208196, 1208197, 1208198, 1208199, 1208200, 1208201, 1208202, 1208108, 1208109, 1208110, 1208111, 1208113, 1208114, 1208115, 1208116, 1208117, 1208118, 1208119, 1208120, 1208121.