Mississippi, 2024

Strong Wind in Mississippi, April 10, 2024

April 10, 2024 · NWS MEG · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

A wake low developed over north Mississippi as an area of showers and thunderstorms moved east in Alabama. Surface pressure falls of 6 millibars in a couple of hours generated gusty easterly winds across parts of north Mississippi.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$35,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.

A wake low developed over north Mississippi as an area of showers and thunderstorms moved east in Alabama. Surface pressure falls of 6 millibars in a couple of hours generated gusty easterly winds across parts of north Mississippi. Numerous trees were knocked down.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 10, 11:48 AM CST, 2 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 10, 11:48 AM CST, 2 hours 12 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1248 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 919 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024

The flooding threat continues to increase across areas of north
Mississippi this morning as an area of showers pushes across the
region. Most recent CAMs depict a steady rainshield pushing across
north Mississippi through early afternoon, before coverage begins
to decrease. Soils across this area remain saturated due to recent
bouts of rain. Therefore, additional rainfall may further
aggravate rivers and streams.

In addition, there exists a low but non-zero severe weather threat
this afternoon. 12Z CAMs depict SBCAPE values rising near 400 J/kg
in northeast MS along with bulk shear in excess of 60kts.
Overall, the storm mode looks messy but if any bowing segments
manage to materialize, a damaging wind threat may emerge.
Confidence for this occurring remains low.

ANS

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 254 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024

Wet and unsettled weather will continue for the next 24-36 hours
as a cold front and deep low pressure system traverse the area.
An additional 2-3 inches of rain is possible today, especially
across north Mississippi. A low confidence severe weather threat
also exists across the area this afternoon. After the front moves
through tomorrow, expect gusty winds on the back side of the
system. Dry weather and mild temperatures return Friday through
this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 254 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024

A surface low is forecast to materialize over SE TX later this
morning, deepening as it ejects across the ArkLaTex up through
the TN Valley. An associated warm front will also begin lifting
north throughout the day as the surface low occludes. While much
of the ongoing stronger convection will remain confined to
central and south MS in the open warm sector, the latest CAMs
suggest another wave of showers and thunderstorms will surge up
along the warm front later this morning. Expect a broad swath of
heavy rain with the occasional embedded strong thunderstorm to
follow the evolution of the occluded surface low.

Forecast soundings for today depict a classic high shear, low CAPE
environment. The column is extremely saturated across most of the
area, which has further limited instability given the last 24
hours of steady rain. HREF probabilities of CAPE > 500 J/kg colocated
with higher dBZ are quite low overall (average 20%), but are
maximized across the MS Delta into West Tennessee in the 12PM-4PM
time frame today. Storm mode will likely be quite messy and
disorganized across the Mid-South today on the northern flank of
the warm front. The more organized convection and/or linear storm
modes will stay along the cold front as it treks across central
and south MS/AL. Still, a low confidence conditional severe threat
exists for much of the area today, especially south of I-40. All
hazards will be on the table.

The more noteworthy impact of this deep low pressure system will
be the additional rainfall and flooding potential it will bring
this afternoon. Forecast PWATs exceed 1.6 inches south of the
TN/MS state line, which is nearing the maximum of NAEFS
climatology for this time of year. Additional QPF today is
expected to be around 2-3 inches for some parts of north
Mississippi and even eastern AR. On top of the 3-4 inches of rain
that has already fallen over the last 24 hours, this will elicit a
very quick flooding response in urban and low-lying areas. As
such, the Flood Watch remains in effect until 7AM tomorrow.

The deeply occluded surface low's trajectory crosses right over
west Tennessee overnight tonight. It's a very progressive system
aided by an anomalously strong meridional jet. As a result, the
pressure gradient will tighten very quickly over the Mid-South
tonight, subsequently increasing winds. A Wind Advisory was
debated for the overnight period, but the strongest winds look to
be too short-lived to warrant an Advisory and mostly confined to
north Alabama. However, high res models are indicating the
potential for a wake low to develop across west TN on the back
side of the system tomorrow morning. Tomorrow (Thursday) may be
more likely to meet Wind Advisory criteria for long enough to
warrant a headline, but confidence was still too low for issuance
this morning.

Showers should taper off from west to east tomorrow as the front
pulls away. Expect a very pleasant and much needed dry period
Friday through Sunday under the influence of upper level ridging.
Afternoon highs should be slightly above normal in the upper 70s
this weekend, warming further to the lower 80s by Monday as
return flow sets back up over the Lower MS River Valley. PoPs are
generally in the 20-30% range early to mid week as a slow moving
cold front approaches from the central Plains.

CAD

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024

A difficult forecast over the next 12 hours or so as a couple of
bands of SHRAs and TSRAs rotate into the area from the south and
east. One ongoing area of SHRAs and TSRAs will affect all sites
over the next 4 to 5 hours. Thereafter, a lull in activity is
expected for a few hours, before another round of SHRAs and TSRAs
impacts all terminals after 00Z. CIGs will gradually lower this
afternoon to MVFR and then IFR late tonight. LIFR CIGs are
possible, with the highest confidence near TUP towards daybreak.

Surface winds will remain rather erratic in both speed and
direction as a surface low moves from the ArkLaTex and directly
into the Mid-South tonight. As the low pressure system lifts to
our northeast tomorrow morning, strong northwest winds will
develop tomorrow morning and gust as high as 30 knots for a couple
of hours at all sites. Conditions should improve tomorrow
afternoon as the low pressure systems moves out of the area.

AC3

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for ARZ049-058.

MO...None.
MS...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for MSZ001>017-020>024.

TN...None.
&&

PUBLIC FORECAST...CAD
AVIATION...AC3

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 10, 1:58 PM CST, 2 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Strong Wind, Lafayette

When
April 10, 2:00 PM CST to 3:00 PM CST
Where
Lafayette forecast zone
Measured
43 kt (49 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$25,000
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
34.357, -89.485 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Numerous trees were reported down across Oxford, Abbeville, and Springdale.

Strong Wind, Union

When
April 10, 2:00 PM CST to 3:00 PM CST
Where
Union forecast zone
Measured
43 kt (49 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
34.491, -89.004 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Numerous trees were knocked down in Myrtle.

What these are

Strong Wind
Non-thunderstorm winds below high wind criteria that nonetheless caused damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Mississippi in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, April 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1173007, 1173008.